March 6, 2024 - 8:20pm
Elections in California used to be like brilliant set-piece battles, with two powerful, well-financed parties warring across the Golden State. Today, results tend to be as predictable as elections to the old Supreme Soviet — and about as closely followed by the voters. More and more Californians simply tune out and don’t even bother to mail in their ballots: the big question is whether the turnout will reach a record low.
One might think that Californians would want regime change. After all, the state suffers from a $73 billion deficit, an unemployment rate among the nation’s highest, the highest percentage of residents living in poverty, a failed education system, and mounting business flight. That’s not to mention its massive net outmigration, with a net total of 1.7 million people from domestic migration between 2016 and 2022. Overall the state has 30% of the nation’s homeless population, and is currently witnessing its highest crime rate in a decade.
In what passed for a “headline” race to succeed Dianne Feinstein in the Senate, Democrat Adam Schiff — the Russiagate fabulist and the only pro-Israel candidate in the race — won his primary. The second-placed finish by 75-year-old former Los Angeles Dodgers player Steve Garvey may seem impressive to some, but his percentage was in the high 30s, entirely normal for GOP state-wide candidates. He might not even have made the run-off if Schiff, no stranger to dirty tricks, hadn’t helped finance his predictably cash-short and tepid campaign.
Two more progressive party-liners, Katie Porter and Barbara Lee, did poorly. Their attempts to rally a perceived groundswell of pro-Palestine sentiment apparently failed to energise voters in an extremely low-turnout election. One promising sign may also be the surprisingly close race on Proposition One, the latest Gavin Newsom move to deal with the state’s homeless and mental health crisis. Perhaps the history of failures to address this issue and the looming deficit is turning voters away from acting like political lemmings.
Where California elections matter is what happens within the Democratic majority. In this respect, Schiff’s win reflects a more useful trend. San Francisco, battered and humiliated by its awful social disorder, has moved back towards rationality, endorsing proposals to boost police surveillance and requiring drug testing for welfare recipients by surprisingly wide margins.
A similar trend may be emerging in Los Angeles. The state’s dominant urban centre remains firmly Democratic, but unease over crime threatens the career of DA George Gascón. In a race featuring nearly a dozen candidates, Gascón came in first but with less than a quarter of the vote. His leading challenger will be Nathan Hochman, a former federal prosecutor who once ran as a Republican. Although now an independent, Hochman can expect the Democratic machine, financed by rich progressives and public employees, to use the GOP label as something close to erstwhile membership of the Nazi Party.
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SubscribeI appreciate reading this analysis. Here’s hoping for some common sense to eventually prevail on the west coast.
California is so far gone, like New York, it will take at least a decade to recover and probably more if they get started now. That said, as the article mentioned many on the right have just left the state. And friends that we have in L.A. now are just contemplating what to do – they’ve already been burgled three times.
60+ year Angelino and this is the worst I’ve seen it. Used to be the best place in the country to live (arguably) with the best public schools and universities. Now not so much!
Unfortunately there will need to be an economic collapse before many people realize something is wrong.
If it doesn’t hit them in their wallet then a lot of people don’t care.
California is having a grand replacement. Shit loads of People are relocating to safer states to live and work in. At the same time California has a warm glow from being a “ Sanctury state welcoming hundreds of new citizens from below the Mexico border. At best who require lots of care and feeding, at worst with their own criminal intent.
For the average California citizen ( those who are still left there) the exchange is at best a really shit deal.
Conservatives in California need to have a more concerned father approach with their conservatism. A Trumpian or Kari Lake smash mouth conservatism won’t win there. It’s good if they have compassion and sympathy for people who burned their state to the ground. Leftist will be more forgiving if you approach politics more cautiously.