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How Justin Welby hollowed out the Church Tradition has been tossed aside

Justin Welby's 12-year tenure needs as much scrutiny as his final scandal. Mary Turner/Getty Images.

Justin Welby's 12-year tenure needs as much scrutiny as his final scandal. Mary Turner/Getty Images.


January 9, 2025   7 mins

Most media comment about Justin Welby has naturally focused on the safeguarding lapses that triggered his downfall. What of the wider landscape? In big-picture terms, his 12 years as Archbishop of Canterbury involved a reprise of George Carey’s Evangelical vision during the Nineties, but executed with far more organisational flair — along with a ready embrace of the Charismatic style much associated with Holy Trinity, Brompton (HTB), and its church plants across the country.

Unlike either of his two most recent predecessors, Welby appeared to relish the executive side of his job. He knows that networking is meat and drink to an effective operator. Though the Church of England, the Scottish Episcopal Church, the Church of Ireland and the Church in Wales continue to shrink, there is evidence of a tailing off in decline across some quarters. Where misgivings about the direction of travel arise, they tend to centre on the price paid for shiny Evangelical/Charismatic takeovers of smaller congregations which have thereby lost their traditions and distinctiveness.

It was misgivings about Welby’s style that gave rise to Save the Parish, a movement set up in 2018. Marcus Walker, Rector of St Bartholomew-the-Great in London and one of Save the Parish’s leading members, argues that both money and personnel would be available for threatened churches if there had been better management. He points out that the Church Commissioners’ assets total well over £10 billion, and that more Anglican priests are being ordained in England than two decades ago. Save the Parish also argues that the amalgamation of parishes in dioceses including Truro, Leicester and Sheffield is ecclesiological – namely driven by a sense among Evangelical bishops, especially, that the parish structure is dispensable. Meanwhile, money is held to be wasted on new projects that amount to reinventing the wheel.

“Take the purchase of a former Chinese takeaway in Manchester,” comments a priest in the city. “At least £7 million was spent on this venture. Several clergy and a youth worker were recruited. Yet it was only a few minutes’ walk from the 12th century parish church, where the incumbent would have given an arm and a leg for investment on that scale.” This example is not seen as untypical. Another source told me an unnerving story about St George’s, Portsmouth, a more or less viable church that was taken over by HTB when a problem arose with the city centre premises the church-planters had originally rented. “The congregation were told that they could keep their Sunday-morning parish eucharist for year one. But it was made clear that after that, drumkits and a big screen would take the place of the altar.”

Save the Parish campaigners judge that current forms of church reorganisation are highly damaging. Its mission is to reverse what it describes as the accelerating process of “church closures, parish amalgamations, clergy reductions, increasing parish shares, expanding bureaucracy, mindless central initiatives and general bad governance that are strangling mission at the grassroots level”. Other clerics, while sympathetic to Save the Parish, nevertheless question the value of binary solutions. One of my friends recently spent a year helping out at a cluster of rural parishes in East Anglia. “Many of the churches concerned are on their last legs,” she told me. “Even if it were possible to provide more clergy — and that would be a big ask — it’s not clear what kinds of strategy could simply rebuild traditional Anglican worship from the ground up, except in certain places.”

A priest of great experience close to retirement, she makes several other germane points. One is that church-planting and initiatives such as “Messy Church” — informal worship in café-style conditions — have kept people who might otherwise have fallen away, and drawn in others who might never have attended worship in the first place. Another is that diocesan projects are usually bottom-up processes. The Church Commissioners’ interest is piqued by attractive-sounding proposals. It is no surprise to learn that Evangelical parishes have in the main been quicker off the mark with their funding applications. An archdeacon who himself has a high-church background expressed the matter in salty terms: “Whenever I find that Anglo-Catholics get money, they tend to buy a new set of vestments, but Evangelicals employ a youth worker.” He insisted that, on the whole, “Evangelicals have been more strategic, better organised, more able to exploit contemporary culture — perhaps for obvious reasons — in ways that mean they have a bigger footprint among student populations in particular.”

Another cleric in northern England expressed a less nostalgic view: “Fortunately, we are not polarised between slick HTB plants on the one hand — which may be culturally appropriate in parts of west London but can lack self-awareness about how they appear elsewhere — and Save the Parish on the other, which can become a little like nostalgia.” He has retired with his wife to live a mile or so from the parish church and “the parish priest is never seen on the estate and no one from this estate is a regular worshipper there. Where parish priests have responsibilities beyond the luxury (found in London but not far beyond) of a single parish, the fiction of universal cure of souls within the parish becomes even more ridiculously hard to maintain.”

There was greater agreement among those with different outlooks on the thinning out of theological education in the contemporary Church of England. A major chapter of the recent past has been the rise of St Mellitus College, co-founded in 2007 by the then Bishop of London, Richard Chartres. In the view of some, however, the college is a victim of its own success. Having become a franchise with outposts across the country, it now offers non-residential (and thus much cheaper) training to about a quarter of all ordinands. ( It is also worth noting the high number of candidates for ministry in the C of E: 591 priests were ordained in 2020, almost 15 times the number of new Catholic priests in the whole of Germany.) The current Dean of St Mellitus, Russell Winfield, has emphasised the priority given to academic rigour. But I also heard private complaints that elsewhere in the country students are not learning biblical languages or receiving a solid grounding in theology.

“Where I found greater agreement among the clergy was regarding the thinning of theological education.”

Concerns about a sparse intellectual diet are repeated by critics of the Church’s current leadership. “I regularly encounter bishops with very little theological scholarship or depth,” comments a priest who has served as an episcopal adviser. “This poses enormous problems. There is now not a single diocesan bishop who has taught theology at university level.” His charge in essence is that the “Go for growth” cast of mind much evident under Welby has promoted assumptions that the show should be run by successful middle managers who have demonstrated that they can boost congregations. The shift underlying this change is influenced by changes to vacancy-in-see committees, now usually dominated by local voices. These representatives are likely to say that appointing a theologian could be a good thing in theory, but the best candidate for preferment to the bench is a parish priest.

My friend from East Anglia was gloomy: “We face a really unfortunate mix. Shrinking organisations have very few options. The choice on my own patch is stark. Do we strip the countryside of resources because there are very few people who go to church there, and favour the city, where lots more people attend church? Or do we strip the city of its resources to better prop up the countryside, where churches are in such obvious decline? There are very few good options.” And, she adds, “the dilemma is replicated across the Church of England in so many different contexts”.

Add to all this negative publicity about safeguarding — along with endless debate on sexuality — and it is easy to sound dispirited. But that verdict strikes me as over-hasty. On child protection, the Church is not different in kind from secular settings such as sport and education, where many outrages also took place in less transparent times. Everyone I spoke to while researching this subject insisted that the welfare of minors is now taken with utmost seriousness by British and Irish Anglicans. Meanwhile, sexuality remains a hot topic because it dovetails with wider teaching on biblical authority and the limits of diversity. In response to Living in Love and Faith, a long-awaited report, the Bishops have presented the General Synod with prayers for blessing same-sex unions, a move against which conservatives are fighting hard. Parishes and deaneries across the land remain divided for the same reason as the Catholic Church is split; it is too soon to tell whether a question that has already polarised the Anglican Communion will trigger a formal schism in the Church of England, or (more likely, perhaps) a peeling away of traditionalists to other Christian folds, as happened with the ordination of women. What seems certain is that Anglicans face biting headwinds ahead.

Does all this tell in favour of disestablishment? Not necessarily. Jonathan Chaplin, author of Beyond Establishment opposes the notion of a state Church on the grounds that it generates “conflicting and inevitably compromising expectations”. He adds that disestablishment ought to be accompanied by the shaping of a positive vision of how the state should engage with religious bodies generally. This would contrast with French-style laïcité, in which the state supervises a thoroughly secularised public realm, where religious identity is largely invisible, and religious voices silenced.

But Chaplin also has the grace to acknowledge the extent of support for the status quo in other faith communities. Tariq Modood, the Muslim political scientist, speaks for many in holding that the vestigial nature of Anglican establishment expresses a recognition of religion’s public character. It is thus less intimidating to minority faiths than a triumphant secularism. (I have regularly heard Hindu, Jewish and Muslim friends express gratitude for the way bishops in the House of Lords speak up for faith in general, rather than just their own version of it.)

At another level — earthier and for that reason all the more compelling — stands the novelist Anne Atkins’s defence of the status quo. Having lived in a number of inner-city vicarages for many years, she has seen lives turned round seven days a week “because we are the Established and official Church of the nation”. When you’re at the end of your rope, she adds, you hold fast to what you recognise. “Far fewer strangers would have rung on our… door — desperate, lost, poor, cold, or without a passport — if we’d been non-denominational, however much purer in heart and freer of fault we might have been.”

Atkins’s comment points to a reality insufficiently acknowledged by secularists and believers alike. The Churches — and Christian endeavour generally — form the largest source of social capital on earth. That will remain true, whatever the scale of institutional failings or the wrongs committed by individual believers.


Rupert Shortt is a research associate at the University of Cambridge. His book The Eclipse of Christianity and Why It Matters is published by Hodder.


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Archibald Tennyson
Archibald Tennyson
16 hours ago

The Church isn’t a source of social capital. It’s the Body of Christ, the continuation of His incarnation.

The Church needs to be otherworldly, to live up to the description given by the Prince of Rus on witnessing the Divine Liturgy in Constantinople: “We knew not whether we were in heaven or on earth, for surely there is no such splendour or beauty anywhere on earth. We cannot describe it to you; we only know that God dwells there among men.”

As much as the CofE helps the poor and needy, it’s clear that it’s long since abandoned its Orthodox roots and now sees itself as a kind of special charity or NGO.

People can already get the world in the world. The church, like Christ, needs to show that it’s overcome the world.

Phil Richardson
Phil Richardson
14 hours ago

“The Church isn’t a source of social capital. It’s the Body of Christ, the continuation of His incarnation.”
At different levels, obviously, it’s both. Shortt’s is a good analysis, I think.

Archibald Tennyson
Archibald Tennyson
14 hours ago

Looking at how the CofE communicates and operates, the sheer worldliness of its approach, it’s not “obvious” that this balance is maintained.
Of course, Christians are called to do good works, to love our neighbour. I don’t doubt that. But when I look at the CofE, I see an organisation that prioritises being a community hub, food bank provider, and so on, over its role as a hospital for sinners.
Then again, I don’t think the CofE, as a schismatic body, possesses the sacramental means to truly purify the human heart. Perhaps this is why its priorities tend towards the worldly.

William Amos
William Amos
13 hours ago

I wish that you had been with us on Wednesday when 5 of us took The Lords Supper quietly at lunchtime in a said service of Holy Communion according to the Book of Common Prayer in our beautiful metropolitan church in London.
Perhaps you would not have felt able to share the sacrament but I think you would have felt it a God facing and other-wordly rite.

Archibald Tennyson
Archibald Tennyson
12 hours ago
Reply to  William Amos

I’ve taken communion in the Church of England before, in the years when I was still Anglican. The service has many beautiful elements, to be sure. It is, after all, derived from apostolic liturgy.
The question remains, however: is the CofE part of the one holy, catholic, and apostolic church? If you subscribe to “branch theory”, then I suppose you can consider it so. My studies of church history and theology have led me to conclude that branch theory is an untenable position.
All the same, I suspect that debating this is a task unsuited to the UnHerd comments section.

Last edited 12 hours ago by Archibald Tennyson
Michael Smith
Michael Smith
10 hours ago

“Orthodox roots”?

Archibald Tennyson
Archibald Tennyson
9 hours ago
Reply to  Michael Smith

The Church of England was Orthodox for many centuries before the East-West schism.
King Alfred wasn’t a Protestant, you know…

William Amos
William Amos
6 hours ago

With respect to your undoubted deep reading on the subject, Alfred was, perhaps, orthodox but surely not “Orthodox” as the term is understood today?
Or are you in earnest?
By your rules could I not equally claim Christ as the first Protestant –
“And when he was come into the temple, the chief priests and the elders of the people came unto him as he was teaching, and said, By what authority doest thou these things? and who gave thee this authority?”
Matthew 21:23

Last edited 6 hours ago by William Amos
Archibald Tennyson
Archibald Tennyson
3 hours ago
Reply to  William Amos

When I say Orthodox, I mean belonging to the undivided Body of Christ. Before the 1054 schism, there was no need to use that term. Today’s proliferation of heretical sects makes the term necessary.

The Body itself can’t be divided. But people and groups can break off from it. That’s what the Pope did, taking all of Western Europe with him. Then the Protestants broke off from that and went further into schism. Then the Protestants fragmented into thousands of sects, of which the CofE is merely one.

If anyone deserves the title of the first Protestant, it is most certainly not our Lord and Saviour, who delivered one faith to the apostles and established one Church, against which the gates of Hades will not prevail. No, the title must surely go to the Pope, who decided that the West’s theological innovations and his own desire for temporal power superceded the conciliar wisdom of the Church. The Protestants, and indeed today’s atheistic postmodernists, are merely following the pattern established by the schismatic papacy.

Susan Grabston
Susan Grabston
13 hours ago

Married to a lay clerk theologian, so plenty of exposure to CofE. Lack of scriptural knowledge is a major problem – the dumbing down of the average sermon with a consistent failure to identify the role of learnings in daily life. This is exaccerbated by the Church’s undermining of scripture. I left CofE after the trans priest general synod – my bishop, Stephen Croft, changed his views on the matter following his “lived experience” of meeting distressed men and women who believe they are member of the opposite sex.
Welby’s role in this has been to.create a top heavy system at thesxprnse of the parish.and to.favour “right on”.cultural messaging over.scripture. He was another metropolitan pick with no.understanding.of the country beyond Islington.
What to fix it? Priests are teacher, coaches, abd mentors. Go back to basics – inspirational teaching, pastoral care, and reachout Sunday schools which teach young British people about.the judeo christian tradition.

Milton Gibbon
Milton Gibbon
12 hours ago

Thanks for the article. The whole problem falls on attendance. Our small church was packed for the carol service (10% of the village population, people standing in the porch as there was no room inside, children in the choir stalls) but then the next Sunday only the 8 regulars. People think they have better things to do on a Sunday morning. Most have a lie in or spend time with their family and then wonder why there is no sense of community and they are depressed. The CoE has got to recognise that per capita cities/towns are not more valuable than rural areas. The two villages we are joined with have about 2% of the population attend on a regular Sunday. In town they would need more than 800 people at the services (I would be surprised if it broke the 100 mark). Their carol service in town would need about 4,000 people in attendance for the first comparison.

Last edited 12 hours ago by Milton Gibbon
William Amos
William Amos
12 hours ago
Reply to  Milton Gibbon

While an interest in attendance, even a concern, is understandable and even useful, it should never be an anxiety. A church that is administering the sacraments correctly and preaching the gospel is succeeding.
Take solace in focusing on what it is in your charge to do. “Presume not to number Israel”. The rest belongs to God, who gives the increase.

William Amos
William Amos
13 hours ago

I appreciate the space and time given over to Church of England topics on here and this was a particularly helpful gloss of many subjects and issues which are not readily explained to the neophyte and the uninitiated in our Church.

Last edited 9 hours ago by William Amos
David Kingsworthy
David Kingsworthy
4 hours ago

2 issues traceable to Welby but not seen in this piece:
1, The capitulation of the CofE to a highly diminished role as the state religion, along with the elevation of Islam as the protected faith; 2, The sale, donation? of church properties to Muslim or secular groups for other uses

Last edited 4 hours ago by David Kingsworthy
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0 0
8 hours ago

The current (just) Bishop of St Edmundsbury & Ipswich, Martin Seeley, has taught theology at university level (Cambridge).

Peter B
Peter B
3 hours ago

This confirms what many of us suspected – Justin Welby was really nothing more than a manager. Not a real leader.
There’s no chance of turning any declining company or organisation around without appointing a leader.
Recent history suggests that’s a risk the C of E aren’t prepared to take.
Just disestablish the thing (as was done in Wales in 1920). Then they got stop pretending to be all things to all people and get off the fence.