11. Explanatory Inversion
Questions rest on unexamined assumptions, so always try flipping them. For instance, don’t just ask why there is poverty, ask why there is prosperity. This helps you realise poverty is the norm and the lack of it is the thing that needs to be explained.
12. Event Bias
One reason negativity dominates the news is that bad news tends to happen suddenly while good news tends to happen gradually so is rarely newsworthy on any particular day. But even though it may not get as much attention, good news is always happening.
13. Pie Fallacy
Many believe wealth is zero-sum; that if someone gets richer, someone else must get poorer. But wealth creation is one of society’s few positive-sum games; if you fix up a battered old car, you increase its value, making yourself richer without making anyone else poorer.
14. Golden Law of Stupidity
A stupid person is a person who causes losses to others while themselves deriving no gain and even possibly incurring losses.
15. Goal Dilution Effect
We assume that the more arguments we give, the better our case. In reality, our weakest arguments dilute the strongest. Generally, you’ll only be as convincing as your worst point, so instead of making as many arguments as you can, make only the best.
16. Bias Blindspot
We see bias easily in others, but not in ourselves. Whenever I post about a bias or fallacy, people tell me how it explains their opponents’ beliefs, but never their own. The assumption that bias is just something that affects those we disagree with is our greatest source of bias.
17. Sheepskin Effect
Employers value qualifications more than education. This is because the purpose of the education system is not actually to educate people, but to sort the “wheat” (worker bees) from the “chaff” (slackers, dreamers). What students learn is not as important as demonstrating that they can follow instructions and complete what they started, which a qualification signifies.
“The purpose of the education system is not actually to educate people.”
18. Deviancy Amplification
An outrageous act or event gets the public’s attention, prompting reporters to look for new examples. Cases that previously would not have been considered newsworthy are reported just because they fit the trend, creating the impression of an epidemic of such events. A recent example is mystery drone sightings.
19. Rumsfeld Matrix
There are things you know you know, things you don’t know you know, things you know you don’t know, and things you don’t know you don’t know. The last group is the biggest pitfall. Always try to account for what you don’t know you don’t know.
20. Left-Brain Interpreter
Experiments on split-brain patients show that when the experimenters instruct the patient’s right-side of the brain to perform an action (e.g. open the window), the patient will do it, and then the left-side of their brain, which was unaware of the instruction, will convince the patient they chose to do it unbidden (e.g. “because I felt hot”).Our reasons are stories we tell ourselves.
21. Blue Dot Effect
The more we solve our problems, the more we widen the definition of “problem” so that our number of problems remains constant. So don’t expect a life without problems. Progress doesn’t mean reducing your quantity of struggles, but increasing their quality. The goal of life is to trade bad problems for better ones.
22. Overview Effect
Although astronauts are chosen for their unflappability, when they see the Earth from space — a tiny marble in an infinite void — they’re often overcome with a sense of profound connection with all humanity, and everyone’s earthly squabbles suddenly seem trivial. In the words of Apollo 14 astronaut Edgar Mitchell: “on that fragile little sphere… all I had ever known, all I had ever loved and hated, longed for, all that I once thought had ever been and ever would be.” When something is bothering you, zoom out to see if it really matters.
23. Barrow’s First Law (aka Barrow’s Uncertainty Principle)
“Any universe simple enough to be understood is too simple to produce a mind able to understand it.” So don’t worry if you don’t know why you’re here, or where you’ll eventually go. Just focus on living. The purpose of life is to find purpose in life.
24. Ichi-go ichi-e
Every moment is unique and unrepeatable, so appreciate every experience as if it’s your last (which, in a way, it is). Even if your current situation sucks, be gracious that, of all the humans that will ever exist, only you will have the privilege of experiencing this moment in this specific way.
25. Sphexishness
Army ants follow each other’s pheromone trails to know where to go. Sometimes, they accidentally form a loop, or “ant mill”, circularly following each other until they die of exhaustion. Sphexishness is when you blindly follow a rule without checking if the rule works in the present situation. Don’t use the concepts in this list sphexishly. They’re not intended as rigid rules, only as food for thought.
This is an edited version of a list that first appeared on The Prism.
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SubscribeThanks, Unherd.
PS: editors, ignore those who subscribe seemingly just to troll Unherd, in virtually every comment. Take their money and carry on producing articles like this, whilst bringing new voices onboard like today.
That’s number 16, bias blind spot – and I collect my £100.
Witty, David. But a bit inaccurate. LL’s exhortation doesn’t mention who HE has in mind. Only his readers ‘fill in the blank’ with their own Bete Noire. THEY might fall foul of #16….
Thanks GS Boghal
Brilliant as always
Hope there will be more articles from you
“The move from a structuralist account in which capital is understood to structure social relations in relatively homologous ways to a view of hegemony in which power relations are subject to repetition, convergence, and rearticulation brought the question of temporality into the thinking of structure, and marked a shift from a form of Althusserian theory that takes structural totalities as theoretical objects to one in which the insights into the contingent possibility of structure inaugurate a renewed conception of hegemony as bound up with the contingent sites and strategies of the rearticulation of power.”
“When sociologists stopped thinking about social relations as being rigidly determined by capital in roughly the same way and instead started viewing them as changeable and dependent on circumstance, they started asking whether they evolved over time; this led them to conclude that entire social structures aren’t really static Platonic ideals but are instead flexible and determined by the situation ‘on the ground’.”
Was that so hard? Also, duh.
‘Things change’ she could have said.
Maybe throw in – ‘Experts agree.’
But then you can’t really stretch that out into a big book.
We have lost our poetic culture of concision and aphorism and replaced it with a meaningless super-abounding muddle of soul destroying self important verbosity…
All around you – words words words
Thanks. I feel a little less block-headed now.
Insights, good humour, timely and concisely put – whats not to like?
I liked 12, event bias. As a former news man, people intuitively want to know bad news to arm themselves for eventualities. I hadn’t, however, thought of the slow nature, by and large, of good happenings.
A retired news man once told me the secret of all newsrooms……”if it bleeds, it leads.”
Excellent. Particularly Dawkins’ Law and the choice of Judtih Butler’s 94 word nonsense sentence to illustrate it.
I’ve never forgotten his “Problem Selling” concept from January 2024.
Interesting list which delivered as stated. Being in sales, I’ve long known # 15, as do my lawyer friends. I certainly agree with # 12 (as did the Beatles in Getting Better) and I’ll work on 16 and 19.
There’s a few on there I’d debate, but in general great stuff.
Excellent article Boghal! Certainly made my day! And one of the reasons I keep subscribing to Unherd!
This rang a bell, and I’m certainly a bit guilty of it myself. But then it’s followed by lots of things the author hates or at least dislikes.
The sad truth is that many of us can’t find much to be especially positive about. The last election was fought on the basis of: nothing can we worse than this.
Presumably if we found a drug that got rid of cravings in general (for status, wealth, cars etc) capitalism would collapse overnight. Surely what we need is a drug to increase cravings. Oh wait, that’s social media.
#22 is my favorite. On a clear night, without light pollution, I love to look up at the stars and wonder how absolutely mesmerizing life on earth really is. To think of the probability that all of us can survive in such a tiny portion of the universe, and chuckle that some folks believe they are the masters of their own fate. I am in awe whenever I fly in a plane, which a comedian recently described as hurtling through the sky, sitting on a couch inside a tube of metal. And some complain when it’s an hour late after traveling a thousand miles. 🙂
Some airlines have better couches than others.
I think we should perhaps add the pie fallacy fallacy. This is when people who have heard of the pie fallacy think it still applies even when the poor are clearly getting poorer, the rich richer and overall wealth is not increasing.
Also, the original version tells us that the rich do not necessarily get rich at the expense of the poor. It does not tell us that they never do.
No one ever talks about the poor people/rich people fallacy which many who are drunk on the pie fallacy fallacy are drunk on as well. It’s the belief that “poor people” and “rich people” are immovable monoliths rather than dynamic groups between which millions of real humans move throughout their lives. The poor people/rich people fallacy makes so many other fallacies possible that I don’t think we should blow it up just yet lest we lose too many subscribers.
Ah – the total social mobility fallacy.
SJ didn’t say ‘total’. I’m sure there must be a fallacy for taking an example of a thing and extending it to universality. The Black Swan fallacy, perhaps?
Great piece. More like this please.
Baumol was completely new to me – one of those things that instantly makes sense once it’s pointed out.
Total aside: does anybody understand the difference between Unherd and Unherd Newsroom. The newsroom stuff just seems to be shorter opinion pieces rather than actual news.
Number 17
Education is a ladder: if you don’t know your (multiplication) tables, it’s less likely that you will excel at long multiplication, let alone to be very numerate. While we probably rely on the checkout for the exact figure, I expect many would query a 25% error, due to our subconscious fuzzily adding the numbers. That is the goal: being comfortable at the checkout.
This insight is true for many subjects: not learning vocabulary or grammar, and just using a phrase book, will limit your language skills. Even in subjects where grades can be at the examiner’s discretion, for example, in essay writing, many of the skills to be learnt are built on earlier skills, like an extended vocabulary. Some subjects, like Calculus are strictly taught in stages because, without understanding the tools used, there’s no possibility of understanding the current work. They need bedding down in the brain, so they can be used intuitively, in order to learn the next skill. It is also an opportunity to make a more informed choice on what to do next.
For the Three R’s, there really are no opt outs, one just has to struggle, whether it’s something Mathematical, or Spelling! But other subjects should be, not so much optional, as deferred. The goal is to have, or a plan to have, a useful set of knowledge and skills after leaving school to enable self-sufficiency.
I used to, and still, thank my STEM teachers for contributing to my successful career, but I now thank my Art teacher for recognising my disconnect with his subject, and letting me be.
So, number 17 is a very deconstructed version of Common Sense.
Love it! Could take one point per week for reflection.
Is this the best today’s worldly wisdom can offer? A circular aphorism which, by its own admission of subjectivity, contains no basis for anyone to support or believe in it beyond arbitrary, shifting, baseless personal preference.
You’ll forgive me if I find this supposed consolation utterly unconsoling, that I call it nihilism in a quirky, smirky mask.
Relativists: disagree with me if you want. Just remember, you have no basis for saying I’m wrong about anything.
Despite the pop-science cringe, there were still some interesting ideas in here. Thanks for the article.
Go on then. What is your alternative? Money? Pleasure? God? There Is No Purpose?