Wagner Group mercenaries after the abortive coup attempt (Roman Romokhov/AFP/Getty Images)
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No group in history has posed as many dangers as soldiers who feel abandoned by their leaders. Whether they are conscripts, volunteers or mercenaries, officers or rank-and-file, the men who fought for a cause that later became reviled as failed or wrong are neglected at great peril. History is littered with examples of rogue militias, mutinous guard regiments and brigades-turned-brigands, who have escaped their leash and gone on to wreak havoc and commit worse crimes than their creators ever imagined.
A product of Russia’s mafioso imperium, neither fully of the state nor a market mercenary, the Wagner Group threatens to become our latest example. But in the contest between Vladimir Putin and Yevgeny Prigozhin, there is are clear winners — aggrieved frontline soldiers who demanded better conditions, and their non-commissioned officers (NCOs) who nurse a cult of militarist ultra-nationalism mixed with toxic masculinity. The two men were competing for the allegiances of these soldiers.
Indeed, commentaries on the Wagner Group mutiny against the Russian high command have focused on what it tells us about Putin’s political frailty and the balance of forces in Ukraine. Few have fastened onto the point that Prigozhin channelled the anger of neglected soldiers, and Putin neutralised him by appeasing their grievances.
As it turned out, Prigozhin’s appeal didn’t ignite a wider mutiny and Putin’s counter-offer was better on the day, but the bidding isn’t over. Russia’s soldiers — in the regular army and in the half-dozen private military companies — have tasted power and will be asking for more. Whether they will settle for a material payoff, or whether their demands will be overtly political, remains to be seen. Probably it will be both.
Like forgotten soldiers throughout history, Wagner’s grievances are easy to understand. Shared experience of combat generates heightened emotions and deep bonds of solidarity. Low wages paid late, poor rations, worse sanitation and medical care, are the topic of resentful gossip during the interminable hours of boredom, alongside stories of generals who care only for their own comforts. When the war is over, their skills are no longer in demand. All of this breeds feelings of collective victimhood. Bitter veterans often despise civilian political leaders; they are commonly misogynistic and conspiracy-minded. Theirs is an infectious sentiment that can be eagerly adopted by other men who missed out on the war and crave to join the club.
A ruler bidding for the loyalty of disaffected soldiers is a combustible mix. The would-be tsar in the Kremlin might want to reflect on what happened during the “auction of the Roman empire” in AD 193. That year, the Pretorian Guard mounted a coup and declared that whoever paid them most would become Caesar. Didius Julianus, a man whose wealth and vanity exceeded his political acumen, outbid his rival and won the post — and was assassinated a few months later.
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Subscribe“the last stand of racist rule in Africa”?
What a joke? The native Africans in power are just as racist as the British and other European colonial rulers, be it inter-tribal wars, Muslim oppression, corrupt rulers practicing genocide, or targeting remaining white landowners who are keeping part of the local economy viable. Then there’s the Russian intervention. Sorry, but Africa is bit of a basket case in terms of oppression and lack of civilised rule. A large proportion of the African population is suffering as a result and will there be an end to this?
Good article but unsubstantiated words like racist and misogynistic spoiled it. Are journalists now aping the corporate ticking off the DIE requirements?
Yes, and the use of “toxic masculinity” – from a man – makes me suspect you’re right.
You beat me to the punch.
You beat me to the punch.
Yes, and the use of “toxic masculinity” – from a man – makes me suspect you’re right.
Good article but unsubstantiated words like racist and misogynistic spoiled it. Are journalists now aping the corporate ticking off the DIE requirements?
“the last stand of racist rule in Africa”?
What a joke? The native Africans in power are just as racist as the British and other European colonial rulers, be it inter-tribal wars, Muslim oppression, corrupt rulers practicing genocide, or targeting remaining white landowners who are keeping part of the local economy viable. Then there’s the Russian intervention. Sorry, but Africa is bit of a basket case in terms of oppression and lack of civilised rule. A large proportion of the African population is suffering as a result and will there be an end to this?
If accurate, that was something of an eye-opener about the origins of Al Qaeda. What is it with the impotency of the msm that this type of critical insight isn’t more widely known?
The ways in which rogue armies mutate isn’t a recent phenomenon, although modern communications exacerbate their potential to do so. I watched a documentary series on the warring factions in pre-Norman conquest England recently, and the same themes of mercenary switching of loyalties and betrayals between Anglo-Saxon kingdoms as the last waves of Vikings swept through the country (ending when their leader Cnut was proclaimed king) followed a very similar pattern.
Africa now seems the most contested territory, with the former Soviet republics also prone to the same kind of toxic militarism. A thousand years of history and men fighting each other whilst laying waste to the land persists. Is it any wonder many in the West seek to take humanity on a different path? There’s nothing glorious about combat for the sake of it, except in self defence.
Usama did indeed offer to fight Saddam in Kuwait–as long as no non-Muslims would be involved.
The problem with that was: Kuwait was totally different from Afghanistan, and a guerrilla war had zero chance of winning.
So the dilemma for the (still very Muslim) Saudis was: do you give in to a total nut-job, and thereby enable an empowered Iraq on your border, or do you let a coalition restore Kuwait?
We all know what they did.
The moral is do not employ mercenary troops, recruit infantry from home country and pay them well.
Britain has managed to keep the Armed Forces out of politics since 1660. After the War of the Roses , Henry VII received massive support in reducing the number of armed retainers employed by aristocrats and destroyed their castle walls.
Usama did indeed offer to fight Saddam in Kuwait–as long as no non-Muslims would be involved.
The problem with that was: Kuwait was totally different from Afghanistan, and a guerrilla war had zero chance of winning.
So the dilemma for the (still very Muslim) Saudis was: do you give in to a total nut-job, and thereby enable an empowered Iraq on your border, or do you let a coalition restore Kuwait?
We all know what they did.
The moral is do not employ mercenary troops, recruit infantry from home country and pay them well.
Britain has managed to keep the Armed Forces out of politics since 1660. After the War of the Roses , Henry VII received massive support in reducing the number of armed retainers employed by aristocrats and destroyed their castle walls.
If accurate, that was something of an eye-opener about the origins of Al Qaeda. What is it with the impotency of the msm that this type of critical insight isn’t more widely known?
The ways in which rogue armies mutate isn’t a recent phenomenon, although modern communications exacerbate their potential to do so. I watched a documentary series on the warring factions in pre-Norman conquest England recently, and the same themes of mercenary switching of loyalties and betrayals between Anglo-Saxon kingdoms as the last waves of Vikings swept through the country (ending when their leader Cnut was proclaimed king) followed a very similar pattern.
Africa now seems the most contested territory, with the former Soviet republics also prone to the same kind of toxic militarism. A thousand years of history and men fighting each other whilst laying waste to the land persists. Is it any wonder many in the West seek to take humanity on a different path? There’s nothing glorious about combat for the sake of it, except in self defence.
The Prigozhin affair is the direct result of the Mafia/KGB model Putin imposed on Russia.
Every aspect of Russia–commerce, entertainment, MSM, etc–was eventually coopted through surreptitious means. Putin essentially created one giant spy network, which only he fully controlled.
This wasn’t “genius.” It was just the only model of control that existed in Putin’s tiny head, learned via his experieince in the KGB.
The problem in all this is that “assets” can quite often turn on their handlers. They do, after all, have minds of their own. And when their handlers become weak, they get ideas…
And that’s what has happened with Prigozhin.
The Prigozhin affair is the direct result of the Mafia/KGB model Putin imposed on Russia.
Every aspect of Russia–commerce, entertainment, MSM, etc–was eventually coopted through surreptitious means. Putin essentially created one giant spy network, which only he fully controlled.
This wasn’t “genius.” It was just the only model of control that existed in Putin’s tiny head, learned via his experieince in the KGB.
The problem in all this is that “assets” can quite often turn on their handlers. They do, after all, have minds of their own. And when their handlers become weak, they get ideas…
And that’s what has happened with Prigozhin.
A lot here about bad things happening in Africa and Eastern Europe. I’ve got news for you these are not the only parts of the world with a supply of disenchanted military prople, who have been abandoned to a greater or lesser extent by their former military masters and the government they represent.
I”m sure the US has a good supply of disenchanted gulf war and Afghanistan veterans who feel pretty abandoned by their former masters. Australia where I am from has its share of unhappy military veterans.
The fact that these veterans have opertuneistic politations and Journalist trying to stitch then up as war criminals does not help the situation.
A charismatic leader in any of these places would be a significant problem for the government concerned.
A lot here about bad things happening in Africa and Eastern Europe. I’ve got news for you these are not the only parts of the world with a supply of disenchanted military prople, who have been abandoned to a greater or lesser extent by their former military masters and the government they represent.
I”m sure the US has a good supply of disenchanted gulf war and Afghanistan veterans who feel pretty abandoned by their former masters. Australia where I am from has its share of unhappy military veterans.
The fact that these veterans have opertuneistic politations and Journalist trying to stitch then up as war criminals does not help the situation.
A charismatic leader in any of these places would be a significant problem for the government concerned.