by Mark Krikorian
Tuesday, 5
July 2022
Explainer
16:20

Biden’s border crisis is about to get a lot worse

Trump-era programmes are set to expire soon
by Mark Krikorian
One of millions crossing the border. Credit: Getty

Even President Biden no longer claims that the border surge is just a seasonal phenomenon that “happens every single solitary year“. May broke the monthly record for the largest number of illegal-alien “encounters” on the southern border, at nearly a quarter-million. While there will certainly be fluctuations, there’s no reason to think the mass violation of America’s border will end so long as the Biden/Harris administration is in power.

Despite much teeth-gnashing, the recent Supreme Court ruling that the administration is permitted to end the so-called Remain in Mexico programme (which required illegal border-jumpers claiming asylum to to await their court dates back in Mexico) probably will not make things much worse. A lower court had ordered that it be kept in place, but the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) complied only in the most trivial way; of 1.2 million illegal aliens “encountered” (to use the current euphemism) at the border with Mexico, only about 5,000 were enrolled in Remain in Mexico. While the Supreme Court ruling may send a message of encouragement to some migrants hoping to get past the Border Patrol, it’s not likely to increase the flow of border-jumpers.

What will make things much, much worse is the likely end of a different border-control programme called Title 42. This is a public health measure triggered by the pandemic that allows the Border Patrol to expel border-jumpers without allowing them to make an asylum claim. It is one of the only Trump-era border measures that the new administration kept in place, though it is applying it to a smaller and smaller share of those apprehended at the border. Under Trump, nearly 90% were expelled under this order; in May, fewer than half were.

Not satisfied with applying Title 42 to a progressively smaller share of border-infiltrators, the Biden administration attempted to terminate the programme altogether in May, but was stopped on procedural grounds by a different federal judge. Nonetheless, as a Covid-related restriction, it will almost certainly end at some point in the not-too-distant future.

And that will be really bad. Even DHS is terrified of the possible fallout. It has estimated that today’s record level of border violations could more than double to as many as 18,000 a day once Title 42 is ended. To give some context, Obama’s DHS secretary, Jeh Johnson, has said that 1,000 border intrusions in a single day “overwhelms the system“, and we’re already at seven or eight times that.

The reason for all this is simple: the White House does not believe in deterring illegal border crossers, seeking only to process them as expeditiously as possible into the interior of the United States. DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas made this explicit in a recent TV interview, where he was asked whether it is “the objective of the Biden administration to reduce, sharply reduce the total number of illegal immigrants coming across the southern border?” Mayorkas responded: “It is the objective of the Biden administration to make sure that we have safe, orderly, and legal pathways for individuals to be able to access our legal system.”

In other words, no, the administration is not interested in enforcing America’s southern border.

If something can’t continue forever, it won’t. But the “root cause” of the problem is sitting in the Oval Office, and so it will be some time yet before the unprecedented dissolution of the border is reversed.

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J Bryant
J Bryant
1 month ago

Meanwhile the January 6 committee theater continues to try to distract attention from the current administration’s policy failures.
We can only hope people are paying attention to inflation, woke policies in schools, the huge influx of illegal immigrants, violence in democrat controlled cities, etc, and vote accordingly in the midterms. I doubt, however, even a bad midterm result will deter Biden and his closest associates.

Stephen Walsh
Stephen Walsh
1 month ago
Reply to  J Bryant

Why would it? The Administration is achieving a demographic transformation which will rapidly make traditional two party US politics redundant, to be replaced by Central American politics.

R Wright
R Wright
1 month ago
Reply to  Stephen Walsh

The assumption that mostly socially conservative traditionally-minded people from ‘backward’ ‘reactionary’ third world countries are all going to vote Democrat is pretty outdated. Biden’s making a mistake in assuming that all ‘people of colour’ are the same. It’s mostly only black Americans that are slavish in their voting patterns.

Mary Bruels
Mary Bruels
1 month ago
Reply to  R Wright

There have been recent off cycle elections that seem to show a shift in Hispanic voting patterns towards the GOP. Most recently was the winner of a south Texas congressional seat, Maya Flores, who is a Mexican born naturalized citizen. She and her family entered the country the legal way. I personally know of some Latin Americans who have entered the country legally who are furious with the Biden administration’s border policies. So maybe there is a shifting pattern after all.

Warren Trees
Warren Trees
1 month ago
Reply to  R Wright

Even a very small shift in voting patterns would create a massive change in the results, when every election seems to be won by around a 2% margin. But these illegal immigrants are not supposed to have voting rights until they are citizens, so it’s puzzling.

Last edited 1 month ago by Warren T
Kat L
Kat L
1 month ago
Reply to  Warren Trees

Some cities have been allowing illegals to vote on local races and issues so you understand the ultimate goal.

Kat L
Kat L
1 month ago
Reply to  R Wright

Fox is reporting Soros just bought a bunch of Spanish speakers radio stations…

Hardee Hodges
Hardee Hodges
1 month ago
Reply to  Stephen Walsh

The migrants are voting with their feet because of those politics. Once freed of the indignity of welfare, many are more likely to adopt new cultural values. Their politics may not fit assumptions.

Ethniciodo Rodenydo
Ethniciodo Rodenydo
1 month ago
Reply to  J Bryant

Is there not a possible treason charge in this?

Jack Byham
Jack Byham
1 month ago

I think you’re right: the president is uninterested in curbing illegal immigration.

Warren Trees
Warren Trees
1 month ago

This, of course, is grounds for impeachment as clearly as can be articulated.

Kat L
Kat L
1 month ago

There is some nefarious underlying everything that is happening in the west. I hope we discover or someone becomes a whistleblower before it’s too late.

Hardee Hodges
Hardee Hodges
1 month ago

The open immigration policy fits the Cloward–Pivenstrategy. Surprised that the old theory isn’t talked about much. But we are not as rich as we were in 1966. We have already arrived at a huge debt/GDP ratio that now we must inflate our way out. That huge effective tax on all of us may collapse the welfare state but not the way Cloward–Pivenwould wish.

Kat L
Kat L
1 month ago
Reply to  Hardee Hodges

These effing people…

Last edited 1 month ago by Kat L