January 5, 2022 - 3:51pm
At the end of 2021, the consensus was that Boris Johnson was in deep trouble. Keir Starmer, on the other hand, was in a stronger position than at any time since he became Labour leader.
But after Starmer’s big speech yesterday, I’m not so sure. For a start he fumbled his lines. At one point he struggled to remember the third of the three values that the speech was all about — “security, prosperity and um er um and er er [nervous sip of water] um and respect”.
WATCH: Keir Starmer forgets one of his 3 "key values". pic.twitter.com/tFMVXsI5Va
— Olaf Stando (@OlafSNP) January 4, 2022
But the problem wasn’t just with the delivery. The content was weak too. Instead of providing positive reasons to vote Labour, it was more about removing negative reasons not to. Starmer said he was “proud” (or “ploughed” as he pronounced it) to stand in front of the Union Jack, but why on Earth wouldn’t he be?
It’s as if Starmer’s entire strategy depends on Johnson’s continued self-sabotage. Obviously, there’s been plenty of that lately — but like most things associated with the Prime Minister it can’t be relied upon.
If there’s no more scandal and if Britain rides out the Omicron wave with comparative success, then Conservative fortunes could revive. Those are big ifs, of course — but there’s little that Starmer can do to influence them. His position is therefore more fragile than appearances suggest.
Before last year’s Tory meltdown, Labour was trailing in the polls. Starmer had to show he was capable of catching up — but the deadline for doing so was hazy. There was no defined make-or-break point for his leadership.
But now there is. Labour has a lead in the polls. To have any hope of winning the next general election the party must keep out in front. Losing the lead would be more dangerous for Starmer than if he’d never gained it.
The first poll of the year, from Redfield and Wilton, appears to show the Conservatives getting off the floor:
Westminster Voting Intention (3 Jan):
Labour 38% (-1)
Conservative 35% (+4)
Liberal Democrat 10% (-3)
Green 5% (-1)
Reform UK 4% (-1)
Scottish National Party 5% (–)
Other 2% (–)Changes +/- 20 Dechttps://t.co/fcAAHXQrBK pic.twitter.com/kRwCKdbGxq
— Redfield & Wilton Strategies (@RedfieldWilton) January 3, 2022
Obviously, it’s just one poll. But the next few months will be a bigger test for Starmer than most Westminster pundits are allowing for. The point of maximum danger will be in the aftermath of the local elections in May. If the results are disappointing for Labour, then there’d be no better opportunity for a leadership challenge.
At the mid point of a five-year parliament, it wouldn’t be too late to give a new leader a chance. And for the first time in years, there are plausible alternatives for the party to choose from: Yvette Cooper is back on the frontline of politics; Rachel Reeves has impressed as Shadow Chancellor; Wes Streeting’s star is in the ascendancy.
Up to this point, Starmer has had time to play for and room for error. But no longer. His next slip could be his last.
Peter Franklin is Associate Editor of UnHerd. He was previously a policy advisor and speechwriter on environmental and social issues.
peterfranklin_
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SubscribeJournalists across the western democracies have mostly become shills for the Common Purpose oriented ruling class.
One motive is that they agree with its priorities; another is that at the national media level they are part of that ruling class.
Hence the incredible overblown hysteria that has characterised their treatment of Donald Trump ever since he announced his candidature for President and began to win primaries on the way to the White House. Hence the sycophancy to Hillary Clinton and, still more, Barack Obama; but the complete lack of devotion when a certain amount of power belonged to Mr Trump.
One factor in all of this is that editors (of broadcast programmes, press publications) are owned by big corporate interests, and they, the editors, in turn require from their journos 24/7 propaganda on behalf of the Globalist, no-borders, mass immigration &c priorities of the puppeteers who manage them.
Another factor is that many younger journalists are now wonderfully uneducated persons – like their contemporaries at large, and thanks to the near-complete takeover of education in the Occident by the ‘Liberal’ Left (actually totalitarian nihilists).
A third is that they are as lazy as schools and colleges have allowed/taught them to be (as a life principle). President Obama’s own right-hand man Ben Rhodes has spoken with utter scorn of the Press Corps in Washington DC during his time there; how they hardly knew anything about Cairo and its politics; would lap up everything he fed them; and had done no reporting other than political campaigns.
Yet another is that so many journalists at that level now are in bed (literally as well as metaphorically) with the politicians and lobbyists of the Swamp capitals. They network and schmooze with each other, in many cases intermarry with each other’s families.
For the most part (there are a very few honourable exceptions) the national media in the West have become a moral omnishambles
Hear! Hear!
the media has become an arm of the DNC. Change my mind. I disagree with Taleb’s argument. It has nothing to do with a desire to be popular; journalism has confused itself with activism. Far too many of practitioners believe their role is telling people what to think. The same cohort that hides behind the first amendment when challenged has become a Ministry of Truth, the type of state media associated with people’s republics.
Indeed. Look no further than dear old BBC. “Breakfast Brainwash” followed later in the day by “The (selective) truth about stuff we think you should be doing.”
As far as i’m concerned the MSM is now just part of the ruling establishment, and has been for some time. This is one of the many reasons why I have totally ceased to fund it in any way. Other reasons include its nepotism, its failure to predict anything accurately, and the fact that almost none of its commentators and broadcasters appear to know anything about anything.
Can Biden-Harris do anything wrong – ever ?
Trump could never ever do anything right, if he did it simply wasn’t mentioned.
Should this continue with everything, but everything being reported as a raging success or not reported at all, then surely America will be aligning with Soviet Russia, China and North Korea.
The USA is now, in all salient features, a grim mixture of
* Mussolini’s Italy (thugs roaming the streets violently, attacking people and property; which warns all citizens of the fate awaiting dissent)
* Hitler’s Germany: the one time the socially conservative hit back – with their very wrongful but highly provoked attack on the Capitol building – that event (like the burning of the Reichstag 1933) to inaugurate a new era of martial government and purges – tens of thousands of National Guard deployed in Washington in a brute show of force, Lieut-Governor of Pennsylvania wanting all talk of a stolen election forbidden by law….
* Stalin’s Russia: vindictive persecution of anyone who has supported Donald Trump (John Brennan, former CIA CEO and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez among other members of Congress drawing up blacklists of people to be cancelled), and
* Mao Tse-Tung’s China: talk of forced political re-education of the thick barbarians who voted for Trump.
That’s a nice summation. The remarkable thing is how quickly talk of cleansing and deprogramming has become mainstream on the left.
Also too many years of looking inwards saying, “I’m proud to be American.”
I’m still wondering.
Is this what America wants?
I know this is what the voting said but really, is this what America wants – a Green, flat economy and a repressively woke society ?
I don’t know about wants but it might be what America deserves. We’ve had it so good for so long, able to indulge ourselves in debating first-world problems but, unfortunately, lacking the self-awareness to realize what we were doing. Sometimes, people need to experience bad ideas in order to appreciate that they are bad ideas, and we appear intent on doing this.
“Sometimes, people need to experience bad ideas in order to appreciate
that they are bad ideas, and we appear intent on doing this.”
I at least hope that this is true because it appears we are already awash in the bad ideas.
Yes, I think you’re correct. I’ve been a teacher for close to twenty years and one thing I’ve learned is that some people just need to learn the hard way.
It is what the rigging said which is not quite the same thing.
Race activists, supported entirely by Democrats are hellbent on getting it….
Hard to believe that in 21st Century Western democracies we should need, free speech organisations with teams set up to defend the ‘cancelled’.
A very apt way of putting this. Kudos to Ed West for writing this.
The only publications worthwhile reading appear to be the New Criterion and Spectator USA and the last borrows from its English parent, America’s history is astoningly close to Ancient Rome’s. Ill-informed commentators in the USA and even, sadly, abroad never stopped shouting that Trump was America;s Hitler which he was not. If anything, he was more like Tiberias Gracchus who led a popular revolt towards the end of the Roman Republic. Whatever Trump’s grotesqueries have already been outdone by Biden and he has already put many workers in his country and Canada out of work by shutting done the Keystone pipeline and offending Canada’s government, as woke as he, by not warning or consulting it. Anyone who dares to question him or others in his party and pointed they are wearing no clothes will be in danger of being persecuted by the domestic terrorism laws the Democrats are preparing. The end of the American republic
Apart from a few intellectuals and deep thinkers most of the population which includes all journalists,, is incapable of the reasoning or insight to see anything other than what is put in front of their eyes. Lack of experience, especially in the young, compounds the issue. Social media and AI algorithms have free reign over our minds.
Yes algorithims now control much/most/all of the cultural, social and political agendas. See the new book by Carissa Veliz titled Privacy Is Power.
And much of the dreadfully sane population “lives” in the realm of flatland, or what Nicholas Carr described in his 2010 book The Shallows How the internet is changing the way we think, read and remember. Check out his Rough Type website
https://www.youtube.com/wat…
Rowan Atkinson’s 2018 speech and nothing has changed, only worsened.
Side note…Reminds me of a fascinating fact I learned from Tom Holland’s Dominon…the name Charlemagne comes from “Charles Le Magne” or Charles The Great
You can’t kill the king in chess .Apart that that “checkmate” comes from the Arabic “al sheik al mat” “the king is dead”. But since when do we read Unherd to learn anything?
I agree. Some good things and points are often made on the Unherd website..
But you will seldom find anything which provides you with the comprehensive tools for understanding and navigating your way through the ever increasing chaos created by today,s media, especially social media.
And be deeply beware of anyone justifying their applied politics by appeals to Greatness either of the past or for the “glorious” future – mountains of corpses and oceans of blood will be the inevitable result.