I find it very hard to believe the US will intervene militarily if China takes any form of military action against Taiwan. And Europe simple doesn’t have the military might to do anything.
The cost for China would be severe, though. Any lingering doubts about China’s global ambitions would be erased, Western efforts to begin ‘on-shoring’ key aspects of technology, pharmaceutical production, etc, would accelerate. But perhaps China realizes that, to fully implement its global ambitions, some sort of military action against a much smaller state will eventually be necessary and it’s willing to pay the cost in lost business, possible sanctions, etc. Frankly, I’m not convinced the West has the stomach to push back on China in any meaningful way. We’re too busy imploding.
Well what do you expect? Transphobia won’t solve itself you know.
Charles Stanhope
3 years ago
“If the British government has plans to deal with a looming semiconductor crisis, it would be reassuring to know what they are”
Really? If they are anything like the response to the C-19 Scamdemic we might as well give now, for all is lost.
Unions managing the manufacturing facilities and the chips being a year late and with a 20% faulty rate?
But not really. USA and any European nation could make fine chips, all lacking is the will. The billions of $ on both sides of the Atlantic in insane covid, supposedly, aid could fund it by the left over pocket change. Check out the Dems 1.9 Trillion covid relief – 9% is for covid relief, the rest some kind of pork. Just a fraction of this mad political pork (500 Million to fund abortions overseas, real covid stuff?) and we would be manufacturing all the chips and things which use them we need, but the MSM are owned by China so not happening. Instead it will be spent to deliver every kind of self harm and waste the Dems can conceive of.
Unions managing the manufacturing facilities and the chips being a year late and with a 20% faulty rate?
If you are lucky you can get 20% rate and there is ABSOLUTELY no connection between union labor (hello Germany/Netherlands/Sweden/Switzerland/etc. and their manufacturing base) and chip yield. But bang on about it!
500 Million to fund abortions overseas,
Yes, absolutely yes!!!!! 5 billion would be better.
The last thing the world needs (and USA+EU since many migrate) is more babies born in the 3rd world.
Give them condoms, morning after pills, abortion – everything. Do all you can (financially) to keep their birthrate down.
Then they won’t stay poor, and then where will we get our slave and underpaid labor?
Mark H
3 years ago
I think blockade would not be viable, as it would be self-harm for the PRC – causing even more economic damage to itself than to Taiwan. Also, a blockade would result in a shift of US forces to the area.
More likely a surprise invasion.
Actually in 1950 MacArthur gave his battle plan to Truman to push the Chinese back across the Yalu, from the book
“In his 1964 book Gen. Douglas MacArthur (Gold Medal Books, Greenwich, Conn.), Bob Considine” (MacArthur said): “The enemy’s air would first have been taken out. I would have dropped between 30 to 50 tactical atomic bombs on his air bases and other depots strung across the neck of Manchuria from just across the Yalu at Antung (northwest tip of Korea) to the neighborhood of Hunchun (northeast tip of Korea near the border of the USSR).
Instead Truman fired him on the spot when he said that, basically. But China still likely remembers.
But part of MacArthur’s plan also included Chank Ki invading back across from Formosa. The world has not always been an Obama, Carter, Biden mess, and USA still has a bite if real people are at the helm.
This time the USN has a minimum first strike option of 336
Trident II D-5 Ballistic missiles, somewhat of an improvement on MacArthur’s rather meagre requirement.
Primary targets maybe the 102 or so Chinese cities with a population of 1 million or more.
The Chinese might do something about that, and the US ruling class has too much to lose to risk it. For now, all parties are going to play around the edges — unless someone makes a mistake.
The world has not always been an Obama, Carter, Biden mess, and USA
Biden has been president for a month, Trump was for 4 years – the great success (so tired of winning).
You could have addressed the point of the article without the need to score cheap political points or pointless (!) historical references.
Chinese talk about the Century of Humiliation and not MacArthur’s plan.
Last edited 3 years ago by Jeremy Smith
Jeremy Smith
3 years ago
There is no chance in hell that UK can make chips like TSMC. UK simply doesn’t have the engineers that know how to make chips – (and please don’t give me that BS about ARM Holdings). Or design the high end chips used in computers/phones.
TSMC plans to spend between $25-$28bn in 2021 for its next 3nm fab production. UK’s total (private & government) investment in R&D is about 45-50bn.
Who is going to make these high end chips? JCB? Rolls Royce?
And for what purpose? UK doesn’t have an electronic industry!
Ditto for the EU
It is very very difficult to get EUV lithography right – just ask Intel who despite decades of semiconductor process leadership are now basically a generation behind TSMC.
they claim to (investor call FY2020) have solved the problems. Will see it if is true.
fhealey1212
3 years ago
China would never “try” Trump. He knows as do a few American politicians exactly what China wants and is capable of doing. These few know exactly the economic and strategic consequences of the fall of Taiwan. Biden unfortunately is clueless.
US air and sea power dwarfs a minuscule Chinese navy and an untested Air Force. The Chinese people are not quite as captive to the CCP as Xi would like to believe.
The purpose of the US military is to prevent the invasion not defeat it.
When China creates a Taiwan “crisis” that “necessitates” it’s intervention the US must place their own forces on the front line so China attacks US forces. That is the step they might think about twice. The US must use it’s cultural and social media influence to make the Chinese people buy into political and moral freedom and begin to doubt authoritarianism.
I find it very hard to believe the US will intervene militarily if China takes any form of military action against Taiwan. And Europe simple doesn’t have the military might to do anything.
The cost for China would be severe, though. Any lingering doubts about China’s global ambitions would be erased, Western efforts to begin ‘on-shoring’ key aspects of technology, pharmaceutical production, etc, would accelerate. But perhaps China realizes that, to fully implement its global ambitions, some sort of military action against a much smaller state will eventually be necessary and it’s willing to pay the cost in lost business, possible sanctions, etc. Frankly, I’m not convinced the West has the stomach to push back on China in any meaningful way. We’re too busy imploding.
Well what do you expect? Transphobia won’t solve itself you know.
“If the British government has plans to deal with a looming semiconductor crisis, it would be reassuring to know what they are”
Really? If they are anything like the response to the C-19 Scamdemic we might as well give now, for all is lost.
I heard that if we are in permanent lockdown and we don’t carry our computers and phones around with us, the semiconductors last twice as long.
What a cheerful thought, thanks!
Could you please be more specific; I don’t follow your drift.
‘the EU is rushing to achieve self-sufficiency by the end of the decade‘
What could possibly go wrong?
Unions managing the manufacturing facilities and the chips being a year late and with a 20% faulty rate?
But not really. USA and any European nation could make fine chips, all lacking is the will. The billions of $ on both sides of the Atlantic in insane covid, supposedly, aid could fund it by the left over pocket change. Check out the Dems 1.9 Trillion covid relief – 9% is for covid relief, the rest some kind of pork. Just a fraction of this mad political pork (500 Million to fund abortions overseas, real covid stuff?) and we would be manufacturing all the chips and things which use them we need, but the MSM are owned by China so not happening. Instead it will be spent to deliver every kind of self harm and waste the Dems can conceive of.
If you are lucky you can get 20% rate and there is ABSOLUTELY no connection between union labor (hello Germany/Netherlands/Sweden/Switzerland/etc. and their manufacturing base) and chip yield. But bang on about it!
Yes, absolutely yes!!!!! 5 billion would be better.
The last thing the world needs (and USA+EU since many migrate) is more babies born in the 3rd world.
Give them condoms, morning after pills, abortion – everything. Do all you can (financially) to keep their birthrate down.
Then they won’t stay poor, and then where will we get our slave and underpaid labor?
I think blockade would not be viable, as it would be self-harm for the PRC – causing even more economic damage to itself than to Taiwan. Also, a blockade would result in a shift of US forces to the area.
More likely a surprise invasion.
I don’t think it would be a surprise. They’ve been expecting it since circa 1950.
Actually in 1950 MacArthur gave his battle plan to Truman to push the Chinese back across the Yalu, from the book
“In his 1964 book Gen. Douglas MacArthur (Gold Medal Books, Greenwich, Conn.), Bob Considine” (MacArthur said): “The enemy’s air would first have been taken out. I would have dropped between 30 to 50 tactical atomic bombs on his air bases and other depots strung across the neck of Manchuria from just across the Yalu at Antung (northwest tip of Korea) to the neighborhood of Hunchun (northeast tip of Korea near the border of the USSR).
Instead Truman fired him on the spot when he said that, basically. But China still likely remembers.
But part of MacArthur’s plan also included Chank Ki invading back across from Formosa. The world has not always been an Obama, Carter, Biden mess, and USA still has a bite if real people are at the helm.
This time the USN has a minimum first strike option of 336
Trident II D-5 Ballistic missiles, somewhat of an improvement on MacArthur’s rather meagre requirement.
Primary targets maybe the 102 or so Chinese cities with a population of 1 million or more.
The Chinese might do something about that, and the US ruling class has too much to lose to risk it. For now, all parties are going to play around the edges — unless someone makes a mistake.
Currently they can’t, but this ‘opportunity’ will only last for the next five years, ten if we’ are lucky.
Biden has been president for a month, Trump was for 4 years – the great success (so tired of winning).
You could have addressed the point of the article without the need to score cheap political points or pointless (!) historical references.
Chinese talk about the Century of Humiliation and not MacArthur’s plan.
There is no chance in hell that UK can make chips like TSMC. UK simply doesn’t have the engineers that know how to make chips – (and please don’t give me that BS about ARM Holdings). Or design the high end chips used in computers/phones.
TSMC plans to spend between $25-$28bn in 2021 for its next 3nm fab production. UK’s total (private & government) investment in R&D is about 45-50bn.
Who is going to make these high end chips? JCB? Rolls Royce?
And for what purpose? UK doesn’t have an electronic industry!
Ditto for the EU
It is very very difficult to get EUV lithography right – just ask Intel who despite decades of semiconductor process leadership are now basically a generation behind TSMC.
they claim to (investor call FY2020) have solved the problems. Will see it if is true.
China would never “try” Trump. He knows as do a few American politicians exactly what China wants and is capable of doing. These few know exactly the economic and strategic consequences of the fall of Taiwan. Biden unfortunately is clueless.
US air and sea power dwarfs a minuscule Chinese navy and an untested Air Force. The Chinese people are not quite as captive to the CCP as Xi would like to believe.
The purpose of the US military is to prevent the invasion not defeat it.
When China creates a Taiwan “crisis” that “necessitates” it’s intervention the US must place their own forces on the front line so China attacks US forces. That is the step they might think about twice. The US must use it’s cultural and social media influence to make the Chinese people buy into political and moral freedom and begin to doubt authoritarianism.
Thank the Almighty for that!