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Roger Smith
Roger Smith
9 months ago

This “analysis” is pure garbage because the author has poor understanding of the original sources. First, it has become crystal clear already in 2022 that Russia found itself in proxy war with NATO. It was expressly confirmed multiple times by the highest level officials of the Western war machine (e.g. Victoria Nuland, Mike Pence, Lindsay Graham, Jens Stoltenberg, Annalena Baerbock, etc. with Oleksii Reznikov perfectly summarising on camera: “We are carrying out NATO’s mission today. They aren’t shedding their blood. We’re shedding ours. That’s why they’re required to supply us with weapons.”).
Second, the Russians, and Putin personally, has never really questioned that present-day Russia is no longer comparable to and is in fact dwarfed by NATO in conventional military capabilities. Therefore, if there is an all-out war against a more powerful enemy that seeks the destruction of state power (which is the case), it must naturally result sooner or later in nuclear escalation (which is by the way a quite standard response under similar circumstances in the nuclear doctrines of ALL nuclear powers, except for the USA, which uniquely reserves the discretionary right to pre-emptive nuclear strikes).
Again, all these have been repeated for two decades now and the facts that these warnings (i.e. the so-called “nuclear threats”) were repeated several times and that a trigger event has not materialised yet do not make the warnings “empty rhetoric”, only indicates that until now the Russian state power has still not received an irreversible major blow (which alone should be interesting enough for a cost-benefit assessment by the way). If it does, however, one could indeed finally be happy in the last seconds before evaporation that the rhetoric is no longer empty.
But for the deaf and blind this is surely beyond comprehension.

martin logan
martin logan
9 months ago
Reply to  Roger Smith

Since there won’t be “an all-out war” anywhere near Russia, your post is incomprehensible nonsense.
All Ukraine wants is the territory taken from it in 2014. Russia was doing far better before that than after.
Apocalyptic nonsense-rhetoric make you sound almost as dumb as one of Putin’s Z-Russians.

Roger Smith
Roger Smith
9 months ago
Reply to  martin logan

Every word of yours prove that ЦИПсО recruitment does not require intelligence, only uncontrolled, limitless, raging Russophobia. We get it.
Here in Europe though this is well below standard. This is why you don’t fit in, and this is why your whole operation is toxic.

Roger Smith
Roger Smith
9 months ago
Reply to  martin logan

Every word of yours prove that ЦИПсО recruitment does not require intelligence, only uncontrolled, limitless, raging Russophobia. We get it.
Here in Europe though this is well below standard. This is why you don’t fit in, and this is why your whole operation is toxic.

martin logan
martin logan
9 months ago
Reply to  Roger Smith

Since there won’t be “an all-out war” anywhere near Russia, your post is incomprehensible nonsense.
All Ukraine wants is the territory taken from it in 2014. Russia was doing far better before that than after.
Apocalyptic nonsense-rhetoric make you sound almost as dumb as one of Putin’s Z-Russians.

Roger Smith
Roger Smith
9 months ago

This “analysis” is pure garbage because the author has poor understanding of the original sources. First, it has become crystal clear already in 2022 that Russia found itself in proxy war with NATO. It was expressly confirmed multiple times by the highest level officials of the Western war machine (e.g. Victoria Nuland, Mike Pence, Lindsay Graham, Jens Stoltenberg, Annalena Baerbock, etc. with Oleksii Reznikov perfectly summarising on camera: “We are carrying out NATO’s mission today. They aren’t shedding their blood. We’re shedding ours. That’s why they’re required to supply us with weapons.”).
Second, the Russians, and Putin personally, has never really questioned that present-day Russia is no longer comparable to and is in fact dwarfed by NATO in conventional military capabilities. Therefore, if there is an all-out war against a more powerful enemy that seeks the destruction of state power (which is the case), it must naturally result sooner or later in nuclear escalation (which is by the way a quite standard response under similar circumstances in the nuclear doctrines of ALL nuclear powers, except for the USA, which uniquely reserves the discretionary right to pre-emptive nuclear strikes).
Again, all these have been repeated for two decades now and the facts that these warnings (i.e. the so-called “nuclear threats”) were repeated several times and that a trigger event has not materialised yet do not make the warnings “empty rhetoric”, only indicates that until now the Russian state power has still not received an irreversible major blow (which alone should be interesting enough for a cost-benefit assessment by the way). If it does, however, one could indeed finally be happy in the last seconds before evaporation that the rhetoric is no longer empty.
But for the deaf and blind this is surely beyond comprehension.

Right-Wing Hippie
Right-Wing Hippie
9 months ago

The Ukrainian-Russian War is peculiar in that nobody seems to know what is actually happening on the ground there save, presumably, a select circle within the high command on either side. Of course, throughout history during conflicts each side has attempted to provide the most positive spin on events for reasons of morale and war justification, but this is one of the few conflicts I’m aware of where even the very facts on the ground are completely unknown. Is Russia winning? Is Ukraine? We probably won’t know until it’s all over, and even then the spin machine will be going full-blast.

D Walsh
D Walsh
9 months ago

The Russians are winning

Steve Farrell
Steve Farrell
9 months ago
Reply to  D Walsh

They’ve been winning so hard for so long now, it’s amazing that it’s all still happening in the present tense.

martin logan
martin logan
9 months ago
Reply to  D Walsh

Oh yes, losing half their initial winnings, and sending human wave assaults to slow down the Ukrainian offensive is surely “winning.”
Fact is, Putin is so much more weakened than he was even a month ago that he dare not call a general mobilization.
And without that, Russia can never hold the crumbs it still has.

D Walsh
D Walsh
9 months ago
Reply to  martin logan

Anyone watching the war closely knows very well that that for almost 2 months, the Ukrainian counter offensive has been a total disaster, they have lost thousands of men and a huge number of tanks and armoured vehicles, they have failed to reach any of the main Russian defensive lines

All the Leopard super tanks have managed to do, is get their crews killed, please send the next wonder weapon the F-16 LOL

Last edited 9 months ago by D Walsh
D Walsh
D Walsh
9 months ago
Reply to  martin logan

Anyone watching the war closely knows very well that that for almost 2 months, the Ukrainian counter offensive has been a total disaster, they have lost thousands of men and a huge number of tanks and armoured vehicles, they have failed to reach any of the main Russian defensive lines

All the Leopard super tanks have managed to do, is get their crews killed, please send the next wonder weapon the F-16 LOL

Last edited 9 months ago by D Walsh
Steve Farrell
Steve Farrell
9 months ago
Reply to  D Walsh

They’ve been winning so hard for so long now, it’s amazing that it’s all still happening in the present tense.

martin logan
martin logan
9 months ago
Reply to  D Walsh

Oh yes, losing half their initial winnings, and sending human wave assaults to slow down the Ukrainian offensive is surely “winning.”
Fact is, Putin is so much more weakened than he was even a month ago that he dare not call a general mobilization.
And without that, Russia can never hold the crumbs it still has.

Jerry Carroll
Jerry Carroll
9 months ago

Truth is the first victim of war. Somebody said that.

D Walsh
D Walsh
9 months ago

The Russians are winning

Jerry Carroll
Jerry Carroll
9 months ago

Truth is the first victim of war. Somebody said that.

Right-Wing Hippie
Right-Wing Hippie
9 months ago

The Ukrainian-Russian War is peculiar in that nobody seems to know what is actually happening on the ground there save, presumably, a select circle within the high command on either side. Of course, throughout history during conflicts each side has attempted to provide the most positive spin on events for reasons of morale and war justification, but this is one of the few conflicts I’m aware of where even the very facts on the ground are completely unknown. Is Russia winning? Is Ukraine? We probably won’t know until it’s all over, and even then the spin machine will be going full-blast.

Steve White
Steve White
9 months ago

I think we need to understand that the nuke button is not necessary for Ukraine. Russia is taking care of what is necessary for the taking of Ukraine. They went on a war footing, and ramped up to 750K troops, allegedly on their way to 1.2M.
So, the nuke button is not necessary for the much smaller non-nuke wielding foe. However, the ones using that smaller foe as their proxy, they do have nukes, and so that’s what I think that button is for.
For the US, on March 28th 2022 Biden is the one who just implemented a new National Defense Strategy (NDS) that allows the US first nuclear weapons use, even the use against non-nuclear attacks, even attacks such as cyber could be labeled “extreme circumstances” and the US could nuke someone. 

Charles Stanhope
Charles Stanhope
9 months ago
Reply to  Steve White

Didn’t that cretin George Bush Jnr make the same threat to Saddam Insane?

polidori redux
polidori redux
9 months ago
Reply to  Steve White

Okay Steve, you have earnt your wages for the week. You can stop now.

Gordon Arta
Gordon Arta
9 months ago
Reply to  polidori redux

But he’s paid in Roubles, so with the exchange rate plummeting, he’ll need to earn more to afford next week’s turnip.

Gordon Arta
Gordon Arta
9 months ago
Reply to  polidori redux

But he’s paid in Roubles, so with the exchange rate plummeting, he’ll need to earn more to afford next week’s turnip.

martin logan
martin logan
9 months ago
Reply to  Steve White

“Biolabs! Biolabs!”
You forgot biolabs!

Charles Stanhope
Charles Stanhope
9 months ago
Reply to  Steve White

Didn’t that cretin George Bush Jnr make the same threat to Saddam Insane?

polidori redux
polidori redux
9 months ago
Reply to  Steve White

Okay Steve, you have earnt your wages for the week. You can stop now.

martin logan
martin logan
9 months ago
Reply to  Steve White

“Biolabs! Biolabs!”
You forgot biolabs!

Steve White
Steve White
9 months ago

I think we need to understand that the nuke button is not necessary for Ukraine. Russia is taking care of what is necessary for the taking of Ukraine. They went on a war footing, and ramped up to 750K troops, allegedly on their way to 1.2M.
So, the nuke button is not necessary for the much smaller non-nuke wielding foe. However, the ones using that smaller foe as their proxy, they do have nukes, and so that’s what I think that button is for.
For the US, on March 28th 2022 Biden is the one who just implemented a new National Defense Strategy (NDS) that allows the US first nuclear weapons use, even the use against non-nuclear attacks, even attacks such as cyber could be labeled “extreme circumstances” and the US could nuke someone. 

Jerry Carroll
Jerry Carroll
9 months ago

We must remember we are not dealing with rational people. Or maybe they just want us to think that.

Jerry Carroll
Jerry Carroll
9 months ago

We must remember we are not dealing with rational people. Or maybe they just want us to think that.

martin logan
martin logan
9 months ago

The reason Dmitry has to do this is because, otherwise, he might be a viable candidate to run against Putin, or replace him.
Putin can only beat a crazy man in a fair election. So that’s what Dmitry must become.

martin logan
martin logan
9 months ago

The reason Dmitry has to do this is because, otherwise, he might be a viable candidate to run against Putin, or replace him.
Putin can only beat a crazy man in a fair election. So that’s what Dmitry must become.

martin logan
martin logan
9 months ago

This is just standard Russian behaviour in Moscow or Leningrad.
When most Russians want something, they always threaten menacingly. If you just stand them down, or better yet, laugh, they invariably slink away.
That’s why, in any attack in this war, Russians always have to have someone behind them with a gun–who will shoot anyone who turns back.
Russians always need “encouragement” to take any real risks. That’s why most cannot do or create anything on their own.
Theirs is a Sub-Normal Culture.

martin logan
martin logan
9 months ago

This is just standard Russian behaviour in Moscow or Leningrad.
When most Russians want something, they always threaten menacingly. If you just stand them down, or better yet, laugh, they invariably slink away.
That’s why, in any attack in this war, Russians always have to have someone behind them with a gun–who will shoot anyone who turns back.
Russians always need “encouragement” to take any real risks. That’s why most cannot do or create anything on their own.
Theirs is a Sub-Normal Culture.