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Keir Starmer's small boats plan won't fix UK immigration crisis

Keir Starmer speaks during an Interpol General Assembly in Glasgow yesterday. Credit: Getty

November 5, 2024 - 2:30pm

Keir Starmer has a plan for stopping illegal migration to the UK. But so did Rishi Sunak — and look what happened to him.

Starmer hopes to avoid the same fate by focusing on the people smugglers. In his speech to the Interpol General Assembly in Glasgow yesterday, the Prime Minister promised to treat the gangs “like terrorists”. He also pledged more money for the Border Security Command, plus a policy of closer cooperation with our European allies. The aim is to deal with the problem “upstream” and smash the gangs before they can send further dinghies across the Channel.

That sounds tough, but it won’t stop the people traffickers for the same reason we haven’t stopped the drug traffickers. As long as the demand exists, organised crime will always find some way of supplying it. Before the small boats, it was migrants stowing away on lorries, which means that, if necessary, the smugglers will find other conduits.

Of course, there’s nothing wrong with trying to shut down specific smuggling operations. But unless we also tackle the “pull factors” — namely, the things that make Britain so attractive as a destination — then, in one form or another, the push will continue.

Making Britain less desirable would mean getting asylum seekers out of hotels and into purpose-built detention centres. Asylum criteria could be tightened to get acceptance rates down to continental levels. In the longer term, Starmer could even try where Tony Blair failed and introduce ID cards, though this has its own downsides. Combined with a crackdown on rogue businesses and landlords, this would make it much harder for migrants to disappear into black-market employment and slum accommodation. Above all, deportation needs to become the norm for everyone who shouldn’t be in this country.

The trouble for Starmer is that these measures would be unpopular with his Labour colleagues. He’s already walking a tightrope between party unrest on one side and losing Labour voters to Reform UK on the other.

A further test comes later this week, when he goes to a meeting of the European Political Community. The British are especially keen to talk to the Italians because of their success in cutting illegal immigration levels by 60%. However, the location for these talks (Viktor Orbán’s Hungary), the key participant (Italy’s populist PM, Giorgia Meloni), and the main topic of conversation (emulating her policies) won’t go down well with the Labour Left. The same goes for Starmer’s core constituency of immigration-friendly centrist dads.

Indeed, as the EU moves further and further to the Right on this issue, dangerously high levels of cognitive dissonance are building among British Remainers. Starmer doesn’t want to be the one who ignites that particular powder keg, which is why he has framed his approach as a crackdown on the people smugglers and not the actual people.

And yet the uncomfortable truth is that Meloni has achieved progress by making her country less welcoming. There has been an effort to speed up deportations, a scheme for processing asylum claims offshore in Albania and, most controversially, a crackdown on charities picking-up migrants in the Mediterranean.

For his part, Starmer will present himself as a man of action on this issue. But unless he faces up to the hardest decisions, the pretence won’t last.


Peter Franklin is Associate Editor of UnHerd. He was previously a policy advisor and speechwriter on environmental and social issues.

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Hugh Bryant
Hugh Bryant
2 hours ago

Keir Starmer’s small boats plan won’t fix UK immigration crisis
It’s not intended to.

Alex Lekas
Alex Lekas
2 hours ago

Why does the author assume that Starmer wants to ‘fix’ anything?

D Walsh
D Walsh
22 minutes ago
Reply to  Alex Lekas

The normie problem is intractable

Francis Turner
Francis Turner
2 hours ago

Britain’s Directorate of Special Forces easily has the capability to locate and neutralise the people smuggling gangs, and could do so secretly… Evidently this is not happening- one has to ask as to why this is?

Hugh Bryant
Hugh Bryant
2 hours ago
Reply to  Francis Turner

one has to ask as to why this is?
It’s quite simple: as with so many problems in contemporary Britain, Richmond profits while Rotherham pays. And Richmond controls the media.

Kiddo Cook
Kiddo Cook
1 hour ago
Reply to  Hugh Bryant

Richmond controls more than the media…..

Jonathan Nash
Jonathan Nash
2 hours ago
Reply to  Francis Turner

Probably because, unlike Russia,we don’t go in for assassinations in foreign countries. r

Jeremy Bray
Jeremy Bray
2 hours ago
Reply to  Jonathan Nash

Are you saying we don’t have 00 agents licensed to kill. Surely James Bond 007 is based on fact. I am shocked to hear we were woke back in the Cold War years.

Last edited 2 hours ago by Jeremy Bray
A Robot
A Robot
1 hour ago

Peter franklin correctly states that the UK must tackle the pull factors in order to reduce illegal immigration and he is also correct in saying that solutions such as ID cards, a crackdown in employers hiring illegal immigrants and offshore processing are all expensive and/or political dynamite. But the article does not mention the pull factor that we can control, namely applying the rules for granting asylum in the same way as European nations, such as France, apply them. In France in 2023, 31.4% of first instance asylum decisions were in favour of the asylum seeker. In the UK, in the same period, the grant rate was 63%.
In other words, by crossing the Channel, an asylum seeker can double his chances of success. We use the same asylum rules as the French, but the difference is that the UK tribunals have effectively been instructed to be wilfully gullible in their interpretation of those rules. This is simple to fix.

Kiddo Cook
Kiddo Cook
2 hours ago

All it needs is intermittent RN coast guard escorting small boats back to the shores of France. Job done.

Jim Veenbaas
Jim Veenbaas
1 hour ago

Maybe his plan is to make the economy so bad that immigrants won’t want to come anymore. Problem solved.