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Jeremy Bray
Jeremy Bray
1 year ago

“When the facts change l change my opinion. What do you do?” Is a quote often attributed to John Maynard Keynes. It seems Victor Orban and the impeccably liberal Keynes share a similar approach to things. Who would have thought it? Certainly not the commentariat that regularly describes him as “far right”.

Jeremy Bray
Jeremy Bray
1 year ago

“When the facts change l change my opinion. What do you do?” Is a quote often attributed to John Maynard Keynes. It seems Victor Orban and the impeccably liberal Keynes share a similar approach to things. Who would have thought it? Certainly not the commentariat that regularly describes him as “far right”.

Nicky Samengo-Turner
Nicky Samengo-Turner
1 year ago

Fascinating as to how the media portrays Ukraine as some downtrodden cradle of freedom and democracy? Just ask anyone who actually has experience of the place?

Colin Elliott
Colin Elliott
1 year ago

Ukrainians have chosen the kind of freedom and democracy enjoyed in Europe in preference to the corruption and authoritarianism of Russia, let alone extinction of Ukraine and absorption as part of Russia, the objective unambiguously stated by Putin. If you dispute this, then I doubt the motives for your post.

Billy Bob
Billy Bob
1 year ago

Zelensky’s election as President was deemed to be fair by all international observers befire the war started, so how is the country not democratic? Whilst it may have problems with nepotism and financial corruption which are common in many poorer countries, the Ukrainians were certainly more free than their Russian counterparts

martin logan
martin logan
1 year ago

Having been there, I really don’t see any sense in your statement.
It was probably somewhat less corrupt than Russia in 2014. Some people did try to cheat you, but most didn’t. Just like Moscow. There certainly was organized crime. How could there not be when Russian organized crime, particularly in Donbas, tries to gain access to Europe through Ukraine?
But they have made real efforts to fight corruption. Putin’s battlefield failures ae the direct result of a corrupt Russian nation’s inability to defeat a nation with a strong civil society.
And now with Russia overtly promising to wipe out Ukrainje and all Ukrainians, they have the best incentive in the world to pull together.
Places like Bucha, Kherson, Kyiv, etc. concentrate their minds–and their honesty–wonderfully.

Andrew Watson
Andrew Watson
1 year ago

The greater the distance it sets between itself and Russia the freer and more democratic it becomes – that is what it is fighting for. It is certainly downtrodden by its association with Russia – as all eastern European countries have been.

Colin Elliott
Colin Elliott
1 year ago

Ukrainians have chosen the kind of freedom and democracy enjoyed in Europe in preference to the corruption and authoritarianism of Russia, let alone extinction of Ukraine and absorption as part of Russia, the objective unambiguously stated by Putin. If you dispute this, then I doubt the motives for your post.

Billy Bob
Billy Bob
1 year ago

Zelensky’s election as President was deemed to be fair by all international observers befire the war started, so how is the country not democratic? Whilst it may have problems with nepotism and financial corruption which are common in many poorer countries, the Ukrainians were certainly more free than their Russian counterparts

martin logan
martin logan
1 year ago

Having been there, I really don’t see any sense in your statement.
It was probably somewhat less corrupt than Russia in 2014. Some people did try to cheat you, but most didn’t. Just like Moscow. There certainly was organized crime. How could there not be when Russian organized crime, particularly in Donbas, tries to gain access to Europe through Ukraine?
But they have made real efforts to fight corruption. Putin’s battlefield failures ae the direct result of a corrupt Russian nation’s inability to defeat a nation with a strong civil society.
And now with Russia overtly promising to wipe out Ukrainje and all Ukrainians, they have the best incentive in the world to pull together.
Places like Bucha, Kherson, Kyiv, etc. concentrate their minds–and their honesty–wonderfully.

Andrew Watson
Andrew Watson
1 year ago

The greater the distance it sets between itself and Russia the freer and more democratic it becomes – that is what it is fighting for. It is certainly downtrodden by its association with Russia – as all eastern European countries have been.

Nicky Samengo-Turner
Nicky Samengo-Turner
1 year ago

Fascinating as to how the media portrays Ukraine as some downtrodden cradle of freedom and democracy? Just ask anyone who actually has experience of the place?

Arkadian X
Arkadian X
1 year ago

I am no expert, but I thought that Kherson had been strategically vacated, rather than being actively “liberated” (or at least this the impression I was given reading other articles on the matter in here)

R Wright
R Wright
1 year ago
Reply to  Arkadian X

A scorched earth retreat from annexed territory is not a victory. It is a defeat.

Mike Doyle
Mike Doyle
1 year ago
Reply to  Arkadian X

Ukrainian artillery inflicted significant damage on the bridges, significantly restricting the amount and weight of materiel that the Russians could supply to Kherson. The Ukrainians then attacked Kherson, over open ground, against dug-in positions, without the 3:1 advantage that attckers want. The Russians were caused to expend munitions at a greater rate than they could be supplied with. The Russians were left with a choice: retreat, or stand, fight and die. Their retreat was a strategic defeat.

Colin Elliott
Colin Elliott
1 year ago
Reply to  Arkadian X

You mean in the same way as Germany strategically vacated Russia in 1945?

Tony Price
Tony Price
1 year ago
Reply to  Colin Elliott

I think that you will find that Germany left the Soviet Union in 1944!

Tony Price
Tony Price
1 year ago
Reply to  Colin Elliott

I think that you will find that Germany left the Soviet Union in 1944!

R Wright
R Wright
1 year ago
Reply to  Arkadian X

A scorched earth retreat from annexed territory is not a victory. It is a defeat.

Mike Doyle
Mike Doyle
1 year ago
Reply to  Arkadian X

Ukrainian artillery inflicted significant damage on the bridges, significantly restricting the amount and weight of materiel that the Russians could supply to Kherson. The Ukrainians then attacked Kherson, over open ground, against dug-in positions, without the 3:1 advantage that attckers want. The Russians were caused to expend munitions at a greater rate than they could be supplied with. The Russians were left with a choice: retreat, or stand, fight and die. Their retreat was a strategic defeat.

Colin Elliott
Colin Elliott
1 year ago
Reply to  Arkadian X

You mean in the same way as Germany strategically vacated Russia in 1945?

Arkadian X
Arkadian X
1 year ago

I am no expert, but I thought that Kherson had been strategically vacated, rather than being actively “liberated” (or at least this the impression I was given reading other articles on the matter in here)

AC Harper
AC Harper
1 year ago

Putin has to win to secure his position. A stalemate, defeat, or a general Russian mobilisation will be politically unacceptable. At the moment things look bad for Putin.

AC Harper
AC Harper
1 year ago

Putin has to win to secure his position. A stalemate, defeat, or a general Russian mobilisation will be politically unacceptable. At the moment things look bad for Putin.

Colin Elliott
Colin Elliott
1 year ago

As a Hungarian, I’m sure Oban knows only too well what is involved in domination by a Russia governed in the way it is. No doubt his policy of avoiding dispute with Russia is because he wishes to avoid the trouble which it can cause him because of its proximity and monopoly on the supply of energy, I’ve no idea if he is changing policy or why. It’s a narrow path to tread.

Andrew Watson
Andrew Watson
1 year ago
Reply to  Colin Elliott

How does being a Hungarian differ from being an Estonian, Latvian, Lithuanian, Pole, Romanian or Bulgarian vis-a-vis Russia? Yet all of those countries have had the courage and integrity to denounce Russian imperialist aggression from the start. Why is Orban obliged to be craven and fearful of Russia when no one else is? A false and dishonourable man who brings shame on his country.

Andrew Watson
Andrew Watson
1 year ago
Reply to  Colin Elliott

How does being a Hungarian differ from being an Estonian, Latvian, Lithuanian, Pole, Romanian or Bulgarian vis-a-vis Russia? Yet all of those countries have had the courage and integrity to denounce Russian imperialist aggression from the start. Why is Orban obliged to be craven and fearful of Russia when no one else is? A false and dishonourable man who brings shame on his country.

Colin Elliott
Colin Elliott
1 year ago

As a Hungarian, I’m sure Oban knows only too well what is involved in domination by a Russia governed in the way it is. No doubt his policy of avoiding dispute with Russia is because he wishes to avoid the trouble which it can cause him because of its proximity and monopoly on the supply of energy, I’ve no idea if he is changing policy or why. It’s a narrow path to tread.

martin logan
martin logan
1 year ago

I suspect Putin will continue his war–and Orban’s new stance reflects the likely outcome.
Russia’s high-tech phase is over. Now it’s just sending ill-armed, ill-equipped cannon fodder forward, again and again.
This is actually what Stalin did in 1941. Most of the Russian army was destroyed. Nearly all of its 20,000 tanks were lost. But it prevented the Germans from reaching Moscow. Then, lend-lease and reserves from the east enabled the later counterattacks and victory.
Orban sees that, yes, Moscow won’t fall. But he now doubts that Putin can hold on to the few crumbs of Ukrainian territory that Russia still occupies.

martin logan
martin logan
1 year ago

I suspect Putin will continue his war–and Orban’s new stance reflects the likely outcome.
Russia’s high-tech phase is over. Now it’s just sending ill-armed, ill-equipped cannon fodder forward, again and again.
This is actually what Stalin did in 1941. Most of the Russian army was destroyed. Nearly all of its 20,000 tanks were lost. But it prevented the Germans from reaching Moscow. Then, lend-lease and reserves from the east enabled the later counterattacks and victory.
Orban sees that, yes, Moscow won’t fall. But he now doubts that Putin can hold on to the few crumbs of Ukrainian territory that Russia still occupies.

Philip MINNS
Philip MINNS
1 year ago

Thanks for an interesting article. Orban is no fool and he can see which way the wind is blowing. He seems at last to realise, like many others, that Russia will always be there but that Putin has to go. He also realises that it won’t look good after the war, as Ukraine moves to root out endemic corruption and prepare for EU membership, if he still appears to be the most egregious example of endemic corruption within the EU, to the point of consistently being refused eagerly awaited EU funds.

Philip MINNS
Philip MINNS
1 year ago

Thanks for an interesting article. Orban is no fool and he can see which way the wind is blowing. He seems at last to realise, like many others, that Russia will always be there but that Putin has to go. He also realises that it won’t look good after the war, as Ukraine moves to root out endemic corruption and prepare for EU membership, if he still appears to be the most egregious example of endemic corruption within the EU, to the point of consistently being refused eagerly awaited EU funds.