May 15, 2024 - 2:10pm

When does the great Tory blame game begin? The morning after the expected electoral wipeout? Not for Janan Ganesh of the Financial Times: he’s starting right now: “If the Tories are smashed at the coming general election,” he writes in his new column, “it will be the fault of these people, and almost no one else.” By “these people” he means the Conservative Right — or, as he goes on to specify, “the populist right”.

His accusations come with a plan: “the Tories have to finger the correct culprits for their defeat, then stigmatise them.” This is “vital work”, he claims, which the Conservatives got “wrong” the last time they suffered a landslide defeat, in 1997. Yet the idea that one party faction and “almost no one else” is to blame is nonsense. It is said that success has many fathers while failure is an orphan, but what Ganesh is looking for is a scapegoat to be punished for the collective sins of the Conservative Party.

He itemises three sins in particular — Partygate, the Liz Truss disaster and Brexit — which should be pinned on the populist Right.

But in what way was Partygate populist? It was an institutional breakdown of discipline that had as much to do with the Civil Service custodians of Downing Street as it did with Boris Johnson. Even in the case of the former prime minister, his culpability had everything to do with his personal flaws, not his political beliefs (whatever those are).

As for Truss and the calamitous mini-budget, the ideological inspiration for that came from the free-market fundamentalists of Tufton Street, not anything resembling populism. Tax cuts specifically targeted at the rich are about as unpopulist as it gets. Perhaps Ganesh is confused by the fact that the surviving Trussites have since tried to rebrand themselves as Popular Conservatives — a grotesque irony that should convince no one.

Does he have a point in regard to Brexit? That can certainly be described as a populist phenomenon. The “get Brexit done” general election of 2019 produced the biggest Tory majority since the 1980s. What went wrong is that two of the three big promises of that election were abandoned. Brexit did get done, but the Conservatives didn’t take back control of our borders. Far from it: immigration has since reached record levels.

The Tories also promised to level up the land, but instead of transformative investment their new voters have been given trinkets. No one is more to blame for that than Rishi Sunak, who starved the levelling-up agenda of funds, reorganised Whitehall to remove all trace of industrial policy, and used his party conference speech in Manchester last year to cancel the HS2 link to, er, Manchester. As an “up yours” to the North it was the epitome of anti-populism.

Tory Right-wingers should not be absolved of responsibility. Such is the extent of the party’s disgrace, only a group effort could have delivered it. But make no mistake: the Tories’ downfall lies in the fact that their 2019 manifesto was betrayed, not honoured. The big mistake wasn’t populism, but capitulating to the establishment and pandering to vested interests.


Peter Franklin is Associate Editor of UnHerd. He was previously a policy advisor and speechwriter on environmental and social issues.

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