March 21, 2025 - 5:50pm

The Irish presidency is a largely ceremonial role. But the office does carry soft power, with the incumbent able to use it to highlight issues they consider important. Current President Michael D. Higgins, for instance, has decided to use the office as a soapbox to promote his socialist view of the world. With an election due towards the end of this year, someone else who would like to use the soft power of the presidency is ex-mixed martial arts fighter Conor McGregor, who this week announced his intention to run for the office.

McGregor’s fame is such that Donald Trump invited him to the White House to mark St Patrick’s Day earlier in the week. Like Trump, the former fighter believes immigration is too high — which, in the case of Ireland, isn’t wrong. Net migration into the country was 80,000 in the year to April 2024, equivalent to 1.2 million people migrating to Britain in a single year.

McGregor took the opportunity to address the issue of immigration and in particular the sheer volume of asylum seekers entering Ireland. Per capita, it is one of the highest figures in Europe. Many of those asylum seekers are accommodated by the state in small Irish towns, sometimes sparking local protests and even violence.

The former MMA fighter also accuses political parties of ignoring the concerns of ordinary voters, and it is true that a majority of the electorate believes immigration is too high and that the rules around asylum need to be tightened. But while McGregor would like to run for the presidency, he first needs to be nominated by 20 members of the Oireachtas — as Ireland’s parliament is known — or by four local councils, and there is no chance of either of these things happening.

For the sake of argument, what would happen if he did run? Last year McGregor was found liable by a civil jury for sexually assaulting a woman, and was ordered to pay her almost €250,000 in damages. He has appealed the verdict, but it confirmed his image as a thug in the minds of most Irish people.

However, there is a sizeable protest vote in Ireland. If McGregor did somehow manage to get his name on the ballot paper later this year, at a rough guess he might attract up to 20% support, especially in working-class areas and those rural regions which are most directly affected by high immigration and intense competition for housing.

In the 2018 presidential election, businessman Peter Casey appeared out of nowhere to win almost a quarter of the vote, much of it in rural areas. He had generated controversy when he described Irish Travellers, who often live a semi-nomadic life, as “basically people camping in someone else’s land”. He also said they were “not paying their fair share of taxes in society”.

Casey was accused of racism and hate speech, but his comments made him stand out from the pack and struck many voters as plain-speaking. As a result, he attracted a large, floating protest vote.

Could another figure break out from the pack the way Casey did? None did so in the general election last November. Despite public concerns about influxes into the country, Right-wing anti-immigration candidates struck the vast majority of voters as too extreme and eccentric.

Curiously, the party probably best placed to tap into public misgivings about immigration is Sinn Féin, which has broad working-class support. Yet its politicians remain reluctant to address the issue, which is likely one reason why they underperformed in November. Many working-class voters simply stayed at home, deprived of a champion.

The real effect of McGregor’s recent appearance in the White House and the announcement of his wish to run for the presidency will probably be to make it even harder to discuss immigration, in the short term at least. For example, an Irish comedian and musician by the name of Garron Noone, who has 1.7 million followers on TikTok, deactivated his social media accounts yesterday because he was roundly attacked online after posting a short video in which he said there are legitimate concerns about high immigration. This was despite distancing himself from McGregor first.

In due course, McGregor’s visit to the White House will have faded into the background for most people. But if he somehow manages in the meantime to make himself a leading voice in the immigration debate, a sort of Irish Tommy Robinson, the main effect will be to make it almost impossible for sensible criticisms of Ireland’s immigration policy to be heard. Currently, that is the last thing the country needs.


David Quinn is an Irish social and religious commentator.

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