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Blame Labour policies for fuelling populism

The rise of Reform UK is still perplexing Labour MPs. Credit: Getty

October 7, 2024 - 10:00am

The goalposts are starting to shift on Labour’s taxation policies once again. Liam Byrne, a key figure in the government and chair of the Commons Business and Trade Committee, is calling on the party to raise taxes on wealth. Byrne does not just see a raid on people’s wealth as a means to raise revenue, but also as a way to curtail the rise of populism in Britain — as strange as this might seem.

Byrne is drawing on a new study that shows a strong correlation between regional income inequality and support for Reform UK. But this study only confirms what many on the Labour Left already think: populism is caused by capitalism and inequality. This is a classic in the genre of Marxist analysis. Since “there is no war but class war” — as Marx famously wrote — any anger among the working classes must be caused by class envy. Take a bite out of the wealth of the rich, the Marxist will tell you, and the working classes will be happy once more.

Labour’s juvenile retreat into theories its politicians learned in undergraduate sociology class is pushing the party, already deeply out of touch with the average Briton, into a fantasy-world of its own making. The root cause of populism is obviously not primarily economic. If you listen to those who are voting for Reform, they are quite clear that their most immediate concern is immigration.

Indeed, this is not just confined to Reform UK voters. Polling reveals that the two top issues across the country are crime and immigration. The study that shows poorer people are more concerned about these issues is an obvious “spurious correlation”: the reason for the correlation is that crime and immigration affect people in poorer areas much worse than those in wealthier areas because these areas have higher crime rates and are used to settle immigrants when they arrive as the housing is cheap.

During the election, Labour talked tough on immigration. But this is a government led by former civil servants who listen closely to what institutions such as the Office for Budget Responsibility say, and these organisations are saying that very high rates of immigration are required for the next 50 years to keep the economy ticking over. When it comes to its policy on crime, Labour is rubbing the British publics’ nose in it by releasing large numbers of prisoners back into society — presumably to commit more crime.

Labour politicians are ignoring the fact that it is their policies which are driving populism. They truly believe public concern about migration or crime is irrational, driven by “racist” impulses that should be policed — whether through re-education in schools or through actual police action — and that the real underlying issues are class-oriented and to do with the rich having too much wealth.

Britain relies extremely heavily on the financial sector to prop up living standards and to generate tax revenue. Byrne is advocating raising capital gains tax to the same level as income tax, meaning an enormous jump from the current 20% rate to a 40% rate. This will cause financiers to leave Britain and set up in Dublin, mainland Europe, or possibly even the United States. It would be nice if Britain could wean itself off its reliance on finance by rebuilding British industry, but Labour has no idea how to approach that question and so just defaults to the punitive option — a constant theme in a government run by the former head of the Crown Prosecution Service.

Starmer and his government are leading Britain into a very dark place, both politically and economically. Starmer himself is almost unbelievably unpopular: after only a few weeks in office he is less popular than Rishi Sunak was at the end of his term. But one need not look at the polling. The mood in Britain is extremely low right now, with a general sense of despair and decline apparent across the country. Yet this does not seem to bother the technocrats in the Labour Party; in some ways they appear to even be enjoying it. They tell themselves that these are the “tough decisions” which are required and pat themselves on the back for having the guts to undertake them.


Philip Pilkington is a macroeconomist and investment professional, and the author of The Reformation in Economics

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Katharine Eyre
Katharine Eyre
1 hour ago

Labour politicians are ignoring the fact that it is their policies which are driving populism. They truly believe public concern about migration or crime is irrational, driven by “racist” impulses that should be policed — whether through re-education in schools or through actual police action — and that the real underlying issues are class-oriented and to do with the rich having too much wealth.”
It is this which has led me to define the Left as “those who take the longest to understand anything.”

AC Harper
AC Harper
1 hour ago
Reply to  Katharine Eyre

I believe the Left operate on the principle of levelling everybody down to the lowest common level of wealth as it will make the march to Utopia much smoother. Of course it won’t apply to the people leading the march.

Hugh Bryant
Hugh Bryant
2 hours ago

Liam Byrne always was a bit of a dumbo.

AC Harper
AC Harper
1 hour ago

But correlation is not necessarily causation. You could argue that ‘taxing the rich’ will be seen as spiteful and removing any possible personal hope for people striving to do well for themselves.
The popular aphorism for the Leave argument was ‘taking back control’. Many Reform supporters recall that fondly and wonder if Labour’s current behaviour is more like ‘impose further control’.

RA Znayder
RA Znayder
15 minutes ago
Reply to  AC Harper

I guess if you truly want to tax the rich you need to tax capital and not labor in the first place. It’s not about people making 500k a year. It’s about the billions of parasitical capital which has a 100 ways the evade taxation.

j watson
j watson
10 minutes ago

Bit of a yah-boo piece not adding much to the discourse. Author uses a range of over-simplistic statements that’ll get a cheer but mislead in the process. Furthermore Byrne is not a Minister and the Labour Left is not in power, albeit pretty grumpy about that.
The mess Starmer inherited is worse than the Right were prepared to admit when in power, but is also not as bad as doom-monger like this Author might suggest either. Starmer not had a great start but it’s likely ‘chip paper’ stuff in the 5yr term he’s got if he gets his act together now. Confronting a range of challenges honestly been lacking from Govt for over a decade.

UnHerd Reader
UnHerd Reader
2 minutes ago

In modern times when the term “populism” is denigratwd, it seems that the person expressing it is a reactionary pushing the opposite populism.. “unpopulism” comes to mind.