LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - 3 FÉVRIER : La drag queen Eureka O'Hara se produit lors de RuPaul's Drag Race Live ! au Flamingo Las Vegas le 3 février 2022 à Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo par Denise Truscello/Getty Images pour RuPaul's Drag Race Live !)

À quelques jours de l’élection, le destin de l’Amérique repose sur ce Valhalla des bookmakers, Las Vegas. “Si nous gagnons le Nevada, nous allons tout gagner,” a juré Trump, et pour une fois, il ne exagérait pas. Le Nevada détient non seulement la clé du résultat présidentiel, mais aussi l’équilibre du Sénat. Dans ce patch de désert violet, les deux combattants sont en tie statistique.
Le candidat MAGA est le Capitaine Samuel Boaz Brown, un orateur vedette à la Convention nationale républicaine et un vétéran de l’armée de la guerre en Afghanistan. Son visage a été défiguré par un engin explosif improvisé en Afghanistan, faisant de lui la personnification des frondes et des flèches que la masculinité américaine doit endurer. Il a été le bénéficiaire de 60 millions de dollars en contributions de campagne de “dark money” visant son adversaire bien nanti, Jacky Rosen, la seule membre juive féminine du Sénat, qui a financé ses études universitaires en travaillant comme serveuse au Caesar’s Palace.
Dans la ville du péché, le concours atteint ses dernières étapes frénétiques. Barack Obama a récemment fait une apparition pour la cause, déclarant que la course du Nevada était décisive, et que chaque vote compterait, et que tirer le levier pour une femme ne vous qualifiait pas automatiquement de cocu. Donald Trump et Kamala Harris ont chacun fait une visite dans l’État à plusieurs reprises pour mettre les choses en place, sans oublier leurs colistiers, J.D. Vance et Tim Walz, et des représentants allant de Bernie Sanders à Vivek Ramaswamy. Près de trois quarts des électeurs du Nevada vivent dans le comté de Clark, foyer du Vegas Strip et de plus de 1,7 million d’électeurs. Pourtant, le résultat de la dernière course sénatoriale de l’État d’Argent s’est joué à seulement 7 928 voix. Une division longue donne une statistique plutôt surprenante : le contrôle de la chambre haute du Congrès des États-Unis pourrait se jouer à moins de cinq voix par bureau de vote.
Avec le destin de l’Amérique en jeu, j’ai sauté dans un taxi en direction du strip de Las Vegas, où des publicités désespérées pour des avocats à moitié prix laissaient place à des panneaux lumineux pour des semaglutides et des montres Movado. Alors que mon chauffeur de taxi Mohammed nous dirigeait à travers le pays d’Adele et de Donny, il secouait la tête. “C’est une élection très significative,” m’a-t-il dit. “Ce pays est à un carrefour.” Et puis, utilisant les métaphores de son métier, il a ajouté de manière plutôt sinistre : “Si vous prenez un mauvais tournant, vous ne vous retrouverez peut-être jamais.”
Les mots se sont révélés être une métaphore appropriée pour Vegas, où les débris défoncés des enterrements de vie de garçon erraient sans but parmi les tables de roulette, avec l’assortiment habituel de psychotiques en chemises hawaïennes surdimensionnées, de dames en salopettes et Birkenstocks, et de vieux de la vieille crachant leur mucus tout en guidant leurs fauteuils roulants électriques de machine à sous en machine à sous.
Je m’attendais à ce que l’épicentre du combat de poids lourds entre le Capitaine MAGA et “Wacky Jacky” soit grouillant d’antagonisme politique, mais il n’y avait aucun signe du moment de vérité américain imminent nulle part. Plus tôt dans la journée, j’avais osé m’aventurer au-delà du strip dans un trou perdu pour trouver le QG du Capitaine Brown, caché parmi des hangars en béton et en métal avec des panneaux poussiéreux vantant “Houston TX Hot Chicken” et “NY Pizza and Pasta”. Mais les portes d’entrée étaient verrouillées, et il n’y avait pas âme qui vive en vue. Le quartier général de la campagne de Rosen, niché parmi les chapelles de mariage du South Las Vegas Boulevard, avait également été abandonné — probablement pour Reno.
Le seul signe d’une bagarre était à la télévision. J’ai rapidement perdu le compte des écrans plats crachant silencieusement des matchs de football américain, mais chaque fois qu’un énorme joueur de ligne tombait à cause d’une nouvelle blessure à la moelle épinière, la diffusion passait à une publicité — et à la rhétorique politique désastreuse : Sam Brown était un extrémiste. Sam Brown chercherait à interdire l’avortement. Sam Brown retirerait aux femmes leur droit de choisir. Rien de tout cela ne semblait avoir beaucoup d’impact sur les croupiers de blackjack — c’est-à-dire, les personnes qui vivaient dans le comté de Clark. L’un de ces habitants, un immigrant éthiopien, semblait surpris que je puisse lui poser des questions sur l’élection, et sur qui il pourrait soutenir. “Je n’ai pas encore prêté assez d’attention,” a-t-il dit. “Je le ferai la semaine prochaine.”
Depuis le Bellagio, j’ai flâné à travers les escalators extérieurs et les ponts piétonniers — où pas mal de sans-abri s’étaient endormis au son de l’incontournable imitateur d’Elvis — jusqu’au Caesar’s Palace. J’imaginais qu’ici je pourrais trouver quelques signes de soutien pour leur ancienne serveuse de cocktail star, la sénatrice Jacky Rosen, mais tout comme les Old Fashioneds et les Gin Fizzes s’étaient transformés en Basil Cucumber Margaritas et Kimbo Espresso Martinis, les cocktails ne sont plus servis par des jeunes de vingt ans souriant de manière rigide dans des tenues légères essayant de rassembler suffisamment d’argent pour payer les frais de scolarité d’une école publique. Les jeunes ambitieux avaient très probablement changé pour des entreprises plus rémunératrices que les pourboires, comme OnlyFans, tandis que les anciens lieux de Rosen étaient devenus le domaine de Cubains expatriés costauds discutant en détail des nuances du bullpen des Dodgers par rapport aux Yankees. Immigration ? Le mur ? La violence des gangs vénézuéliens ? Transgéneros jouant au football féminin ? Pas un mot.
Il devenait de plus en plus évident que j’avais commis une grosse erreur, car j’avais été sous l’illusion romantique partagée par des générations de journalistes selon laquelle parmi les grands hôtels du Las Vegas Boulevard envahi, sexuel et régi par des algorithmes, on pourrait entrevoir un aperçu du sombre avenir de l’Amérique. Il y a beaucoup d’indices pour suggérer que l’apocalypse commence ici : alors que le lac Mead s’assèche, alors que la température de l’été dernier a atteint 120°F, battant tous les précédents records, et alors que le travail du sexe, le jeu et le capitalisme criminel sont devenus la norme.
Il n’a pas échappé à personne que les pires habitudes de l’Amérique émanent toutes d’ici. En 1968, deux professeurs de l’École supérieure d’architecture de Yale ont amené 13 de leurs étudiants ici pour étudier le paysage urbain surréaliste. Le résultat fut le livre Learning from Las Vegas, qui soutenait qu’au lieu d’être considéré comme un vestige décadent de la déchéance poussiéreuse de l’ouest, Vegas était un présage des choses à venir. Tout au long de la seconde moitié du 20ème siècle, des flots de soi-disant “nouveaux journalistes” se sont fait un nom en étudiant le paysage humain. L’épopée de journalisme gonzo de Hunter S. Thompson, Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas, a livré une prémonition de la culture de la drogue qui était alors une question d’hystérie nationale, mais qui allait bientôt devenir banale. “Marrying Absurd” de Joan Didion explorait la étrange coutume des mariages drive-in du strip, qui ébranlait ses sensibilités établies. Et l’essai maniaque de Tom Wolfe pour Esquire Magazine, “Las Vegas (What?) Las Vegas (Can’t Hear You! Too Noisy) Las Vegas !!!!” exposait les casinos comme le cas d’essai pour le TDAH des années avant que notre attention nationale ne tombe à cinq secondes avec l’avènement des smartphones. Sans aucun doute, les algorithmes des cartes et des dés étaient des précurseurs des algorithmes numériques qui sont devenus notre addiction collective.
Mais si l’Armageddon américain était effectivement imminent dans les casinos de Vegas post-MAGA, il semblait que personne ne s’en souciait. Les joueurs, croupiers et aspirants stars de la ville étaient bien trop préoccupés par leurs propres perspectives de gloire et de fortune pour s’inquiéter du sort de l’Amérique.
Cependant, il y avait une question qui résonnait au-dessus du bruit des jackpots. Le sexe. Peut-être était-il approprié qu’à Sin City, à la fois la gauche et la droite s’orientent vers la politique du sexe. Comme on pouvait s’y attendre, le capitaine Brown a félicité la législation controversée de la Floride “Don’t Say Gay”, présentant la restriction des discussions sur l’orientation sexuelle et l’identité de genre dans les écoles comme une mesure nécessaire pour prévenir l'”endoctrinement” des enfants dans la queerité. Il a s’opposé à l’égalité des mariages et soutenu une législation permettant la discrimination contre les couples de même sexe. Et en tant que président et président de la Nevada Faith and Freedom Coalition, il a dénoncé la loi sur le Respect de la Mariage que le président Biden a signée en 2022, déclarant que la loi était une attaque contre la liberté religieuse. Cela dit, Brown ne peut pas se déclarer 100 % anti-avortement, car 76 % des habitants du Nevada soutiennent les droits à l’avortement.
En ce qui concerne la politique sexuelle, le contraste avec Rosen ne pourrait pas être plus prononcé. La sénatrice débutante a présenté le Equality Act pour interdire la discrimination fondée sur l’orientation sexuelle et l’identité de genre dans l’emploi et le logement. Elle a co-parrainé le Respect for Marriage Act, reconnaît le mois des fiertés et a été soutenue par la Human Rights Campaign, la plus grande organisation de défense des droits civiques pour les lesbiennes, les gays, les bisexuels, les transgenres et les personnes queer du pays.
Rien de tout cela ne semblait importer aux gars aux machines à sous, mais tout cela compte énormément pour la communauté LGBTQ florissante de Las Vegas. GLAAD estime que 145 000 personnes LGBTQ vivent au Nevada, dont plus d’un sur cinq élève des enfants. Il n’est pas non plus surprenant que si l’amour est l’amour, alors le sexe est le sexe dans cette partie du désert, car tous les clubs, du haut de gamme Zouk et TAO aux établissements moins prestigieux comme le Palomino et Discopussy, sont tout aussi susceptibles de présenter des strip-teaseurs gays que hétéros, et les brunchs de spectacles de drag queens sont aussi répandus que les plumes, le cuir et la dentelle traditionnellement cisgenres.
À cet égard, Las Vegas est une fois de plus à l’avant-garde de la politique nationale, car la question des droits LGBTQ a commencé à dominer le cycle électoral américain. Les dernières années de cris publics sur le mélange des hommes et des femmes biologiques dans les sports universitaires ont propulsé ce qui était autrefois une question périphérique au centre de la réaction américaine. Jusqu’à présent, divers PAC de droite ont dépensé 17 millions de dollars pour plus de 30 000 spots de 30 secondes attaquant Kamala Harris pour sa position sur les athlètes transgenres, qui, comme l’a noté National Public Radio, étaient axés sur les diffusions de la NFL et du football universitaire.
Sensibilisé à la faiblesse libérale sur le point de friction des garçons jouant avec les filles, le capitaine Brown a tenu à se montrer pour une photo avec l’équipe de volleyball féminin Wolf Pack de l’Université du Nevada, qui a attiré l’attention nationale après que certains membres ont refusé de jouer contre les Spartans de l’État de San Jose, qui comptent une joueuse transgenre. “Je suis avec eux,” a déclaré Brown. “Assurons-nous que c’est le combat dans lequel nous sommes jusqu’à la fin.” La question a pesé lourdement sur le seul débat entre Brown et Rosen, poussant le Las Vegas Review à faire retentir le titre : “Le fossé des sports transgenres est officiellement une question électorale au Nevada.”
Encore une fois, Las Vegas est la boule de cristal de l’Amérique. Sans aucun doute, les résultats au Nevada fourniront un aperçu des perspectives législatives du mariage entre personnes de même sexe, de l’égalité matrimoniale, des traitements médicaux affirmant le genre, de l’éducation sexuelle et des diverses règles et règlements scolaires “Ne dites pas gay” à travers l’Amérique. Sans oublier la question brûlante de l’heure de conte de drag queen pour les enfants, alors que des interdictions sont envisagées en Arkansas, Idaho, Kentucky, Montana, Oklahoma et Utah.
Oubliez le changement climatique et le génocide au Soudan. Qui se soucie que le monde soit au bord de la Troisième Guerre mondiale ? En Amérique, où le Dow est en hausse, le sexe et les drogues sont bon marché, et les cheeseburgers excellents, la question de qui contrôlera les codes nucléaires se résume au volleyball féminin.
Après un certain temps passé à contempler ce fait, et quatre verres de Sauvignon Blanc dilué plus tard (la boisson préférée des journalistes libéraux de la côte Est), j’ai conclu que la décision la plus responsable serait de me rendre sur les lignes de front des guerres LGBTQ de l’Amérique, où le multimillionnaire RuPaul, la drag queen la plus célèbre du monde, a dirigé sa propre version franchisée de The Apprentice de Trump : RuPaul’s Drag Race Live ! Las Vegas. En achetant le billet à 100 dollars, je n’avais aucun doute que c’était ici que la ville la plus sexuellement positive d’Amérique délivrerait son référendum sur la question de savoir si la poussée pour les droits LGBTQ était allée trop loin — ou pas assez loin.
Le spectacle éponyme de RuPaul se déroulait au Flamingo, un hôtel et casino un peu moins prestigieux de l’autre côté de la rue du Bellagio et du Caesar’s Palace, qui offre agréablement aucune prétention de grandeur. Le deuxième spectacle de “Queens Are Wild” Drag Race a commencé en retard, donc l’alcool avait eu tout le temps d’atteindre ses effets cumulés sur les touristes, qui s’encourageaient bruyamment les uns les autres aux tables. J’ai attendu en ligne, supprimant frénétiquement des tsunamis d’e-mails de collecte de fonds de Jacky Rosen de mon téléphone, qui arrivaient maintenant à un rythme effréné. Si elle ne parvenait pas à obtenir ses 750 000 dollars avant minuit, elle serait cuite.
Je ne suis pas un grand consommateur de spectacles de drag, donc j’ai été surpris que le point zéro de la menace trans dégage une ambiance plutôt saine, complètement dépourvue de la concupiscence inquiétante qui flottait depuis les stripteaseuses XX sur scène, à une douzaine de pas à gauche. J’ai également été ravi de constater que les fans de RuPaul’s Drag Race sont des gens intellectuels, car les deux femmes de Cedar Rapids, Iowa, qui partageaient ma table discutaient des nuances de chaque reine depuis 16 saisons.
Les lumières se sont tamisées et puis, pour la première fois depuis mon arrivée, il y avait Kamala Harris dans son tailleur-pantalon lavande, affichant son sourire sur d’énormes écrans jumeaux. Un silence a envahi la foule alors que sa voix remplissait la pièce. “Nous sommes tous dans le même bateau,” a-t-elle dit. “Votre vote est votre pouvoir.” La foule a éclaté en un amen spontané — oui, littéralement, “Amen”. Emportées par un fervent enthousiasme religieux, les deux femmes de l’Iowa ont joyeusement crié : “Tu ferais mieux de travailler, Bitch !”
Je n’aurais pas dû être choqué par une telle réponse enthousiaste. Après tout, le plus grand motivateur politique est la victimisation. Trump joue cette carte tout le temps, vendant ses t-shirts avec sa photo de mugshot et ses tasses à café avec une oreille ensanglantée, déclarant que les libéraux s’en prennent à lui sans relâche, de manière injuste et inéquitable. Alors pourquoi la communauté LGBTQ et ses alliés ne devraient-ils pas utiliser leur propre persécution par des législateurs anti-gays comme moyen de rassembler leur base — même si le tailleur-pantalon lavande de Kamala dégageait une ambiance strictement asexuée de Hillary Clinton.
Après un numéro disco des années 70 et un hit espiègle de Britney, il semblait tout à fait normal de voir Barack Obama apparaître sur ces mêmes écrans géants, nous rappelant la politique de l’amour. Ce faisant, il a cimenté le fait peu probable qu’un spectacle de drag au Flamingo était le seul endroit dans le comté de Clark, Nevada, qui réalisait pleinement notre moment politique tendu. Qui aurait pu s’attendre à un tel impact politique d’un spectacle mettant en vedette des garçons dansants sculptés portant des chaps violets sans culotte ? Ou que l’équipe à moitié nue atteindrait son climax ondulant en tenant des pancartes avec le cri : “Inscrivez-vous pour voter.”
C’était un moment rafraîchissant : une communauté sous attaque se battait pour la bonne cause. Il y avait, peut-être, encore un peu d’espoir pour l’Amérique. Soit cela, soit nous allions tous être consumés par une victimisation terminale. Et donc, c’était de retour au chaos du sol du casino, où l’avenir était aussi sûr que le craps.
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SubscribeIs this satire?
Like Roosevelt, Biden came into office at a time of overwhelming economic crisis and despair? Overwhelming? Overwhelming means beyond control yet this economic crisis was due to government control, namely shuttering the economy. That isn’t overwhelming, that’s self-inflicted, and was easily reversible by simply rescinding the fiats that had shuttered the economy.
His economic package included the $400 billion Chips and Science Act? His? The Act is actually a combination of the Endless Frontiers Bill and the CHIPS for America Bill, both bipartisan and both presented to Senators by Trump’s Under Secretary of State Keith Krach in 2019 and 2020 respectively. This isn’t Biden’s package.
Biden’s $400 billion green energy bill the largest investment the US has ever made in green energy? Largest ever investment? For starters, it isn’t a single investment so it isn’t the largest ever investment in green energy. Roughly half of it is a hypothecated corporate tax incentive scheme, not investment, for favoured renewables players. The other half is for countless small soft loans to be doled out by the Department of Energy. In the words of the Inspector General, these loans present “tremendous risk to the taxpayers” with substantial risk of awards being made to entities with foreign entanglements. This is not anything like the New Deal.
Biden’s popularity has plummeted as his economic plan succeeded? Succeeded? Thanks to Biden’s largesse, the federal government deficit has ballooned to $1.7tn, which is less than the nominal GDP growth of $1.2tn. Keynsian spending to pump prime the economy has exceeded its limits. In response, Treasury bond prices have collapsed because lenders can’t absorb this huge borrowing. It is bond prices, not Fed rates, that determine the US public’s cost of debt, and the cost of debt has risen sharply and put pressure on household incomes. Disposable income is the same as 2019, a longer and larger reversal than the Great Financial Crash.
Clearly this is not satire. It is then a very slanted analysis of Biden’s presidency that tries and fails to compare Biden with FDR for FDR did a lot more besides the New Deal. Sure, the economy is important, but voter concerns aren’t just disposable income. It is almost as if the author is self censoring so as not to write about anything else that might be negative or contradict the comparison with FDR. In short order, US voter top concerns today are (excepting inflation) healthcare, drug abuse, and violent crime.
Obama’s medicare reforms left the healthcare system unchanged and actually made healthcare more expensive for middle America. Biden is closely associated with that and has offered nothing new. FDR forever promised a national insurance system, albeit always tomorrow.
Drug abuse and violent crime are surging, societal cancers now visible on every Main Street. Biden’s welcoming of the reawakened Left into his administration means his administration is filled with radicals who use crackpot social theory to defend shoplifting, drug use and even violence. This is in stark contrast to FDR’s “war on crime” during the 1930s, and the huge reduction in crime during the 1930s.
All considered, the article reads more like a gushing review by a fanboi than a serious analysis of Biden’s presidency and sober comparison with FDR. Suggesting Biden is the beginning of an economic reconstruction is an idea not borne from any rational assessment of what is in fact a barely disguised business as usual presidency. As is so often the case, I am left convinced of Orwell’s truism that some ideas are so stupid that only intellectuals believe them.
“In short order, US voter top concerns today are (excepting inflation) healthcare, drug abuse, and violent crime.”
Slight correction, you can also add out of control illegal immigration to that list.
Yes, you’re right. Another contrast with FDR, who inherited and kept tight shut America’s borders. The author does recognise this, but he cops out of drawing the obvious conclusion by declaring FDR was able to “draw the metaphorical borders of the national community more tightly than can be done today”. A cop out for two reasons: there’s nothing metaphorical about a national community, it’s literally the legal citizens; and he infers there is some new law of the universe that means borders can’t be tightly controlled today.
I don’t think Pollyanna articles like this are written to engage skeptics in dialogue about empirical reality. The Left believes in social constructivism. They believe if you feel that something is true than that Narrative eventually becomes reality if you repeat it enough.
More than anything these are Hegelians that truly believe that they are on the Right Side of History because they are writing that History.
Agree, though “rewriting” history is more accurate.
Correction accepted!
And the Right, well exemplified in the comments, does exactly the same thing!
This is clearly an apology for Biden. He has done the bare minimum of economic nationalist policies, mostly at the behest of the Pentagon and the MIC who rightly see China’s possible invasion of Taiwan as a serious threat to the global supply of microchips over the short and long term, and much of it was carried over from what the Trump administration was already doing. Nobody opposed the CHIPS act because it was so painfully obvious we should have done something like that a very long while ago.
The author isn’t entirely wrong about one thing. The US public would embrace an FDR like figure. FDR’s message though, was more nationalistic than economic. He painted a picture of hardworking Americans betrayed by big business, big banks ,and barons of industry who deserved a ‘New Deal’. He named his enemies in a way Biden obviously can’t. Biden can’t credibly set himself up as anti-elite and anti-establishment because that lane is already filled by Sanders/Warren on the left and Trump on the right. The establishment did everything they could to get Biden on the ballot over the former two and has used every conceivable tactic to undermine Trump for eight solid years. There’s no credible way to separate Biden from the elites who got him elected, even if his policy appears more economically nationalist than any Democrat from the past three decades (that’s not a high bar to clear).
Putting up Biden as a reformer in the vein of FDR is laughable. Seeing his administration as the turning point that moved us away from globalism and towards populist reform is willful blindness. The author obviously suffers from TDS, where Trump can’t possibly be given any credit for anything. Historically speaking, Trump’s election will be credited by future historians as the real turning point. Even if history agrees that the man himself was a narcissistic power mad wannabe tyrant, they will conclude that when the people elected him, they were delivering a clear message to the elites. Does anyone seriously believe we’d be making comparisons to FDR and the New Deal without the impetus of Trump defeating Clinton in 2016?
This is spot on. Indeed, if the Bernie Bros were holding down the ramparts of leftist economic protest, which still has an establishment flavor–esp. with the current union bureaucracies, Trump was actually somewhere way, waaaay further afield, doing bizarre populist things that weren’t even recognizable to run of the mill liberals. Questioning the sanity of our immigration policies was one thing–questioning the MIC was decidedly another–which Trump did in ways that were callous, crude, and remarkably honest. Calling out McCain, who was one of our most reckless hawks, for one.
Look, I cannot stand this man and have zero respect for his manner and think he is vulgar in ways that have absolutely demeaned this country. But was he the first punk rock president who was a big middle finger to almost everything in conventional liberal American and blase conservative American life? He was spectacular, in spades.
That’s how I see him as well. The man is exactly what he has always appeared to be. The fact of his election and what it revealed about American politics then and subsequently are the things that really mattered. Probably well over half of Trump’s historic impact was accomplished before he even took office. It was never about the man, that’s why all attempts to destroy the man have failed completely. You can’t sink a ship by shooting whoever happens to be at the helm.
The impact is shattering–it upended my world in Nov of 2016, and I couldn’t see it coming. Then, I started listening to the people who voted for him, many of them Rust Belt union workers and people from regions that had been utterly left behind by both Democrats and Republicans for generations–I understood it all. I would argue that Trump isn’t even a Republican in the conventional sense; he’s more like Le Pen or the AFD in Germany, but with some real leftist economic stuff thrown in, which as we found out was all trickery.
I also agree that a real left-populist would crush any conventional Democrat or Republican. I thought RFK Jr. was, until he started speaking about Oct 7th. Now I have no trust for this man, either.
I’m unsure exactly what RFK is trying to accomplish at this point. Regarding Oct 7th, everyone is mostly supportive of Israel so he’s not really separating himself from either of the major candidates. America is going to support Israel regardless. The fact that none of the major candidates have dared to criticize Israel too loudly speaks to the political cost of doing so. I wouldn’t read too much into Kennedy’s rhetoric on this issue any more than Biden or Trump. I don’t know what Kennedy’s real motives are, but there’s some data to suggest he’s pulling more support from Trump than Biden, so maybe this is yet more political maneuvering from Democrats and elites to rig the game in their favor by splitting the populist vote. It might work, but tactics like this are just kicking the can further down the road.
As the author outlines in this article, the establishment at the turn of the 20th century managed to stymie the efforts of populists and progressives for several decades but ultimately were defeated when FDR brought it all together. There’s nobody in today’s politics that could be an FDR like figure and I’m not sure how there could be, but that’s because we’re in the early stages of the process. It will take a few years or maybe a decade or two, plus the right man with the right personality to pull it off.
I suspect it will ultimately be a Republican though. That party has been sufficiently bland over the past half century to allow much broader and more pragmatic political coalitions. For a Democrat to do what FDR did in this era would be hard. Anyone trying to replicate what FDR did would first have to jettison identity politics and reject the grievance peddlers and SJW’s, and I don’t see how any Democrat could do that with any credibility or get the grassroots of the party to back them. Sanders was the least divisive Democrat in decades, a calming voice who spoke to economic inequality without pushing identity politics. He was rewarded for his efforts by twice having his candidacy undermined by a coalition of grievance pushers and establishment stooges. They’re probably stuck with their bizarre coalition of super rich globalists, urban hipsters, SJW’s, climate alarmists, and ‘oppressed’ minorities.
I thought this article was delusional and misleading. Biden has been a disaster, n ot just for the USA but the world. He has facilitated and spearheaded the Woke revolution that is throttling the last vestiges of western civilisation. He has been very bad news.
Biden is the first President to wage a policy and lawfare war against America. His open borders lawlessness is a deliberate, well articulated strategy to change America’s demographics. His unlawful censorship campaign is designed to silence criticism. His anti-scientific climate/energy policies have the effect of leaving Americans poorer and less healthy. Let us actively work to see Bidenism end long before his passing
Satire – yes! This author is living an alternate reality. He’s living on another planet, not Earth. The comparisons of Biden to FDR are laughable. It’s hard to know where to begin. For starters, Biden and his team have repeatedly used the phrase, ‘MAGA Republicans’ – about 70 million people who voted for Trump – to disparage half the voting population, demonizing them as being ”un-American’. Biden’s embrace of the Far-Left of Democrat party is a bait ‘n’ switch that he sold the American public upon being nominated. There’s no need to go into further detail of which there’s lots. If anything, Biden anything is a lousy communicator; He slurs his words. He’s inarticulate and finally, he took on a woman VP who’s equally inarticulate. This essay is unhinged.
Talk about flight of fancy!
Which bubble does Mr. Gerstle inhabit?
Check the early life section
I suspect you might find the answer there
….the Ebony tower.
Whenever I hear expressions like “Bidenomics” (or “securonomics”), I start to switch off.
I see that one of Biden’s core policies is the “Inflation Reduction Act”. But I’m not at all clear just how a program of massive government subsidies is going to reduce inflation as it will normally have the opposite effect.
Yes, in what way is Biden corporatism and pandering to the rent-seeking class any different to Clinton’s or Blair’s corporatism and pandering to the rent-seeking class? What a load of nonsense!
I thought this was a satirical essay at first. Hard to believe that serious people could actually agree this classic case of gaslighting.
I think he mistyped “devolution”
Advice to the author, quit getting into Hunter’s supply. News flash, the economy sucks and no amount of charts and media talking heads will convince people their dwindling bank balance is a figment of their imagination. With the exception of Lina Khan and the FTC enforcing antitrust law, most of Biden’s economic plans have been mixed bags to put it lightly. Doubling down on the Covid 19 lockdowns severely hurt the economy. His administration was actually correct about about corporate price gouging being a major cause of the massive increase in inflation which they promptly got on… no wait checking my notes here… yeah they pretty much just ignored it. He put Useless Pete as Secretary of Transportation right when we were having a supply chain crisis and didn’t bother to sack the guy when he proved worthless! Reshoring industrial capacity is essential but there is a good chance much of it will just go to “green industries” and other nonessential boondoggles (who knows when it will even really take effect). Janet Yellen is not even a person you want managing a McDonalds. Heck even his “Union Joe” schtick runs into trouble when you remember whose administration crushed the railway strike. You still having trouble figuring out why there are
issuessubscriptions with his economic message?I was going to make a comment, but you said it all. Thanks. People certainly don’t feel better off and no amount of propaganda will change that.
Amazing what $5 trillion out of thin air can do!
I’ve read essentially the same article from dozens of regime parrots deployed to spread the Progressive Faith. It’s performance theatre.
My favorite part is when they equate “success” with how much a legislative initiative will cost taxpayers. We passed 400 billion and 1 trillion packages…they must be great!
Everything is fine! Everything is great! Progressives are ALWAYS on the Right Side of History. You’ll see!
According to many economists Roosevelt’s New Deal actually prolonged the depression. Biden’s so-called “Inflation Reduction Act” also seems to spend billions of borrowed money, this time favouring and subsidising hand picked “green”projects. Proterra is already filing for bankruptcy. Corporatism always was/is producing failures.
The U.S. and other Western countries urgently need somebody, who has the guts to reverse this madness and in Trump’s words :“drill, drill, drill”… This will do more in solving the energy problems and with it inflation, than spending billions of government money on hand picked enterprises, which won’t add to the U.S.’ prosperity. Let private companies pick the winning technologies and not a bunch of politicians and an apparatus of useless bureaucrats.
Subsidies are not an economic plan.
This piece is nonsense.
As someone loosely on the left (whatever that even is anymore) I can honestly say that I have never despised a president more than I do Joe Biden, even more than the imbecile Donald Trump.
Of the many things I despise about his mean-spirited regime: putting Anthony Fauci as numero uno and *Most Important Person * of his health mafia clearly was early writing on the wall for me. Those of us on the left who questioned the Covid regime were further disenfranchised and despised by a left that suddenly fell in love with the most despicable lobbying group of all: Big Pharma. Thousands lost their jobs.
Why, I ask, do you think RFK Jr. could rate such huge numbers? Because so many of us were canceled and despised for even questioning the vaccine mandates and lockdowns. Add to that a radicalized FBI, which has gone after dissenters with a fervor not seen since the McCarthy Era?
I despise him for his warmongering, his incompetence at diplomacy, his corruption and his inept cabinet appointment like the feckless Butiggieg.
But nothing is worse than what he did with Covid.
Biden has, indeed, passed massive spending bills that, we’re told, will stimulate the economy. But who do these bills really help?
The Chips Act will create specialized jobs in a highly specialized sector; the green energy bill is directed at a climate problem which is not as settled as the administration and media (let alone “the science”) would have us believe, and the green agenda will further eviscerate traditional manufacturing activity. The infrastructure bill would seem to be of most utility to most Americans, but it remains to be seen whether that money will be used to address true infrastructure needs, or if it will be largely diverted to other dubious “green” projects.
Little of this money is squarely aimed at the economically dispossessed people who need it most. That’s not surprising because many/most of those people are poor whites in rural areas or in the rust belt. These are the people openly disparaged by the hard Left which Biden embraced. Indeed, in terms of his social policies (as distinct from his economic policies), the Biden administration empowers the most extreme left-wing views in the Democratic party. Maybe he is not personally in favor of all those policies (or perhaps he is), but he embraced the zealots in order to be elected and he must now pay the tab.
We live in a time of economic and social disruption. It is unclear if the Biden administration spending will do anything more than pay for unrealistic “green” projects, and pay the salaries of more left-wing commissars within our institutions. In that regard, Biden’s heirs might well rule America’s future, but Biden shouldn’t expect gratitude for his legacy.
The CHIPS Act essentially gave a huge cash subsidy to TMSC to build a soon to be superseded silicon fab plant on USA soil. Typical of all bureaucratic interventions, it distilled a multifaceted problem down to a single “do something” prescription. It didn’t incentivise building the economic ecosystem around the plant, including the skills pipeline, to build a self-sustaining industry. So what’s happened is TMSC has collected the cash, nearly finished building the plant, and is waiting for more than 500 visas to import its staff from Taiwan to make it operational. It is not clear what the USA has gained from this subsidy given Taiwan is essentially a commercial outpost of the American empire.
I’ll say this. It does provide some measure of security of supply. Totally on board with tour argument though.
Not an accurate picture at all.
No cash has been handed over yet under the CHIPS Act. Only promised.
TSMC is one of many companies that hope to be supported – the overwhelming majority are US companies. The largest beneficiary will be Intel.
The TSMC plant is not “soon to be superceded”.
TSMC is finding that actually building a chip fab (factory) in the US is harder than in most other countries – a parallel project in Japan is proceeding at around twice the speed. Bureaucracy and labour unions are slowing them down.
TSMC would employ more local labour if it were available. Of course in a project like this, key staff need to be brought over from Taiwan to get it up and running. This is no different from the 1980s/90s Japanese car factories in the UK. No one’s complaining about those now.
It is normal in the semiconductor industry for chip fabs to receive huge state/local government subsidies. Just as Intel gets huge subsidies in Ireland and Israel. Not news.
I admit I immediately had suspicions about an article by someone who wrote a book with a seventeen word title. As I read on my suspicions only grew. When I finished I knew it was codswallop. Painting Joe Biden as a Messiah like figure whose heirs shall inherit the earth is truly absurd.
What the h•ll is this guy talking about? Biden has always been a colossal f•ck up run by those who paid for him. Now he just does what he’s told because he has no idea what time it is. Yikes if this author really believes what he’s written.
Haha, yeah, perfect. He wouldn’t even recognize Hunter’s crack pipe when he finds the stuffed down his Lay-z-boy. This man, of extremely limited intelligence as it is, should have ridden into the sunset like a good DLC hack back in 2016, but the seemingly retarded folks at the DNC decided to stuff him with newspaper and send him back out to perform the Undead Meat Puppet Dance.
Some highly illuminating responses to this
counter-intuitive if isolated platform for Democrat propaganda bizarrely proffered by Unherd in the fashion of a state broadcaster like the BBC.
The difference between Unherd and The Guardian/Times/Independent, nonetheless, is the preponderance of informed North American commentators who could perform a service to the British and European readers as well as their standard media.
What is this nonsense. Franklin D. Roosevelt was one of the worst Presidents the US ever had.
He put in place the system of crony capitalism that has ultimately bought the US to its knees. A system where the elite were able to tap into public purse initially to grow even more wealthy and safeguard their position which evolved in to a system where they could shamelessly extort the public purse seemingly without limit. No wonder he is so venerated.
Wow!
You didn’t just drink the Kool-Aid, you’re drowning in it.
Joe Biden’s heirs will rule America
…with an iron fist.
One-Party State anyone?
…more a massively wet blanket I would’ve thought,
The idea that Biden has agency in anything he does is just laughable. If he’d had anything worthy of the kind of support that Roosevelt was able to muster, he’d have become President long ago. He’s now President, and just about stumbling through his term, because he’s Not Trump.
His legacy will be an awkward embarrassed silence.
The author is Professor Emeritus of American history and head of a research group at Cambridge? God help us all.
A fair amount of my professors in undergrad (Poli Sci/Econ, with a minor in Journalism) weren’t much more than propagandists for the left wing.
A fair amount weren’t. But academia today is even further to the left, so this article is hardly out of character for an historian.
The editors of this online publication should read the comments section of this article carefully. These comments aptly and succinctly demonstrate why I cancelled my subscription; not because I am not interested in how leftists think, or considering their opinions and “analysis” of events. But because there is quite a bit of drivel, such as this article, and paying for significant amounts of it becomes more than annoying. Virtually all of this author’s ‘analysis’ is really a flight of fancy, as someone else pointed out already.
M Weiss, MD
My God–yes. . . . . it’s not just fancy, it’s total lunacy. This man has caused vast division and heartache throughout the country–more even than the incompetent piece of crap that was his predecessor. You are even told that you are “anti-democratic” and despised for considering 3rd Parties in lieu of voting for this warmongerer and his hateful Maoist left minions.
Although I thought this article should be used as the poster child for the definition of gaslighting, I quite enjoy the occasional rebuttal essay, as it only brings to light what the other side is thinking/dreaming. Echo chambers are unhealthy.
A man cannot step into a river twice – for he is not the same man and it is not the same river.
FDR was a different politician in a different age. Biden is not that man. He might be the proxy for the third term Obama but even that comparison is looking tattered.
Rather Biden is (nominally) responsible for his own triumphs (few) and failures (many) and he certainly is not popular with the general electorate.
Perhaps the ghost of FDR would be hurt and offended at the comparison made in the article?
Pure fantasy.
But for some reason, the more he tries to emulate America’s most beloved Democratic president, the less popular he becomes.
Oh Come now. The man’s a corrupt, lying fraud who’s been on the take for decades. Are we seriously supposed to believe he wasn’t paid off by Burisma?
‘Bidenomics’ my @rse.
I couldn’t make it to the end with pearls like this:
‘But one would think that he would get some credit for cutting the inflation rate from its 9% peak in 2022 by nearly two thirds. ”
It’s sort of like praising the arsonist for throwing a bucket of water on the burning house when he sees the cops arrive.
What a fatuous piece of nonsense this is. I’m loosely aligned with the American left, but despise Joe Biden: he’s only mired us more forever wars, his administration comes close to Joseph McCarthy’s ilk in their attempts to censor critics, his economic policies are functionally made by and for the elites; trade unions administrators and their lackies have had a field day negotiating watered down contracts under his watch.
Covid policy was horrific and a disgrace, starting with the incredibly ill-advised move of making the liar and thief Anthony Fauci numero-uno in his administration and trickling down with the illegal vaccine mandates, which mind you put 1000s of hard working Americans on the streets, not to mention the ill-effects of an imposed vaccine. Did I mention that there are many of us on the left and who are independent thinkers who think that his bellicosity about Ukraine has far more to do with family interests in that corrupt country, than any interests that actual Americans have in this broken, non democracy in an Eastern European backwater?
Finally–Israel. The hug with the fascist Netanyahu said it all. This man is a warmonger, who only sees war and destruction as the path toward international order. This man is entirely compromised, has only made things worse for me and my family, has caused division and fear in this country, esp. for those of us who dissented from the Covid narrative on the left and were intimidated, some losing their jobs because they wouldn’t take this experimental vaccine.
Biden is a disgrace as is piece. I hope this awful president has no “heirs.”
The Inflation Reduction Act – vast amounts of money spent by government to err, reduce inflation.
Sheer genius.
As the article says,
We have always known that heedless self-interest was bad morals, we now know that it is bad economics,” said Franklin D. Roosevelt at the height of the Great Depression. It is a lesson that President Joe Biden has taken to heart.
He sure has.
I hate to defend Biden, but that was Joe Manchin screwing him over. He demanded the bill be renamed to that or he would not sign it and it probably would not have passed. Manchin is a classy guy like that.
Wow, a bit of DNC sanctioned historical perspective that’s for sure!
Mr. Gerstle, no one is thinking of marginalizing issues of racial inequality, equality has been achieved, what minorities now want is equity without merit which is a bridge too far. I also found it interesting that after saying Biden should tamp down the culture wars you expect the party to win on the mother of all culture war issues abortion.
As for Biden’s economic reform, all he has done is print money. Roosevelt created programs like Social Security and unemployment insurance and built lasting institutions to regulate capitalism like the SEC, FDIC and NLRB. These programs and institutions are moribund today and Biden has done nothing. He has also done nothing to break up big banks and monopolies the beating heart of neo-liberalism. The Democratic Party is as beholden to Wall Street and Tech as it was under Obama.
And the Left that Biden is cooperating with is not a brain trust made up of men like Rexford Tugwell, Raymond Moley and Henry Wallace, it is a Left corrupted by identity politics, post-modern ideologies and the anti-racist ideas of Kendi and Di Angelo. This is a Left that forces women athletes to undress in front of and compete with men. This is a Left that marches for Hamas. All the Left cares about today are culture wars and they cancel anyone who dissents. They are an anchor for the party and an impediment to reform.
Your nostalgia for the New Deal reminds me of the Right’s nostalgia for the fifties, more wishful thinking for a return to the good old days.
“Americans who hated each other were now willing to come out of their bunkers and find common ground.”
Key difference. Americans NOW hate each other, but in the 1930s, Americans still had a connection with each other AS AMERICANS.
Elites were not contemptuous of the working class, as they are today. The president was not shoving cultural issues in ppl’s faces (“Rachel” Levine and the Xmas Show in the White House). Political parties were not hanging other-than-American flags in public spaces. There was still a predominant belief in truth and reality, as the postmoderns hadn’t entered the scene with their towering cynicism and post truth theories.
Completely different worlds, my man.
Dear Professor Gerstle, if you have a chance would you please ask Joe Biden who was Franklin D. Roosevelt?
He would bumble around and say something like “rueori, Teddy and his Rough Riders! loved um!
Nothing of Biden will last except the bad smell.
Biden is a vacuous old man who can barely speak. We now have even more deficit & unsustainable debt because he gives money away with no accountability. He’s a fiscal idiot. The deficit has gone from 938 Billion to 2 Trillion in just ONE YEAR.
Comparing Biden to FDR is not particularly useful. Conditions were far different, even more than Gerstle recognizes here. The unemployment rate during the Depression reached 25%; today it is less than 4%. FDR spoke of one third of the nation being “ill-fed, ill-housed, and ill-clothed.” There is no such suffering today. Gerstle is also wrong in contending that Democrats increased their majority in the 1934 election despite worsening economic conditions. In 1934, U.S. GDP grew by nearly 11% and the unemployment rate fell by 3%.
It’s perfectly fine to want more progressive policies but false analogies do not help that cause.
Will someone please explain Bidenomics? Bueller? Bueller? Anyone? Other than “When the stock market go up, that’s bcuz me! When it go down, it’s bcuz Putin’s invasion! Or Trump or someone. Anyone else!”
“Biden observed”, “Biden thought.” Am I in some parallel world where Biden isn’t a geriatric puppet barely aware of where he is at any given moment? The man has no cogent political theory acting on him. He likely wears nappies.
The question is: do they still pass the port to the left in the Oxbridge common rooms? I was in the Douro last spring and talked to a woman married to a Symington (she said), but I forgot to ask.
Is the writer from a different universe?
This guy was a professor of American History at Cambridge??? Explains a lot about the current state of academia, and bolsters the case for the critiques of universities on both sides of the Atlantic as echo chambers for the Left.
Biden is in NO way anything approaching FDR; to compare the two is to do a disservice to Roosevelt, even with questions of his handling of the Great Depression in the USA. Biden walked/stumbled into a post-COVID American economy that was ready to take off, and managed to exacerbate inflation as well as hobble the energy sector, thus making us dependent on foreign sources. And then there’s the small matter of his corrupt dealings with foreign powers via his bag man, Hunter, as well as the demonization of those who oppose his administration’s woke agenda.
F- for Professor Gerstle.
This is one of the worst articles I have ever seen on UnHerd. Wow. Total fantasy world. Biden is nothing like FDR…
While 6 million Jews were murdered by the Nazis, Roosevelt did little or nothing. In that regard at least, and so far, Biden also is nothing like Roosevelt. His support for Israel has been unwavering (so far), and for this ‘thanks’ is too poor and shabby a word.
That’s ahistorical nonsense. The extent of the “final solution” wasn’t established until the end of the war, when the Allies fought their way to those camps to liberate them.
And by that time Roosevelt was already dead. He might have known about the persecution from Einstein and other prominent scientists who fled Germany, but he probably thought it was fairly ordinary persecution similar to what the American government did to Japanese Americans during WWII, that is round them up and put them into secure camps without the starvation and murder.
It became clear in 41-42. Roosevelt did little or nothing.
It seems that the Unherd sheep haven’t been able to keep up with Biden’s economic miracle!
No surprise there!
Repeat after me “I am wee Tod Did”
Please explain for the dumb Britons – where is the miracle?
Good luck with that. CS is incapable of writing more than three sentences.
Please don’t feed the trolls.
It will be a miracle if the USA survives Bidenomics.