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Good news for the Tories: Labour’s polling lead has been slashed to just 12 points. And the bad news? The Conservatives are no longer the UK’s second-most popular party, according to a new survey by WeThink, which has Nigel Farage’s Reform UK on 21%, behind Labour on 33%. Labour’s slight tumble follows criticism of Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s response to nationwide riots this month, after a shorter than expected honeymoon for the new government.
Labour leads by 12% (Reform in 2nd)
LAB 33% (-6)
REF 21% (+5)
CON 20% (-)
LD 11% (-1)
GRN 8% (+1)Via @wethinkpolling, 7-8 Aug (+/- vs 11-12 Jul) pic.twitter.com/zVd60FO5XZ
— Stats for Lefties ️⚧️ (@LeftieStats) August 15, 2024
An independent analysis of the WeThink polling by Stats for Lefties also reveals that the Tories, based on this vote share, could slump to third place in Parliament. If the present total of 121 MPs wasn’t bad enough, these figures suggest that the Conservative Party could only have 71 representatives following the next election in 2029 — fewer than the Lib Dems’ current Parliamentary tally. Meanwhile, Reform is projected to gain another 24 MPs in five years’ time. Of course, this drop in popular support would do nothing to dent Labour’s ironclad majority…
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SubscribeGreetings from one of your readers in the United States. I think the Conservative Party, went from a smashing victory in 2019 to ignominious defeat this year. Too many prime ministers. Lack of focus. More managerial than inspirational.
Nigel Farage is at least entertaining. You, like we here in the USA, have some tough problems to solve. NHS, immigration, the role of Islam in the UK (maybe some day it will replace the Church of England), housing and economic growth and wellbeing. Brexit? If Brexit was a bad idea, why are migrants coming to the UK after traveling through the EU? Shouldn’t it be the other way around?
I wish you well through the next five years of Labor government.