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Labour’s farm tax threatens national security

Keir Starmer addresses the National Farmers' Union. Credit: Getty

November 6, 2024 - 2:00pm

Labour’s recent inaugural budget has shown that the party’s top brass are not quite the squeaky-clean “competent” representatives of the Civil-Service class that they billed themselves to be. Instead, they are class warriors. But rather than representing the interests of labour against capital, the Starmerites represent the short-term interests of the urban metropole against those in the provincial breadbasket. At least, that is what the new tax on farms suggests. The tax also puts British food security — something which should be a priority in today’s uncertain world — at grave risk.

From April 2026, any inherited agricultural assets worth more than £1 million will have to pay an inheritance tax of 20%. The Treasury has said that 72% of farms will not pay this tax, but the National Farmers Union (NFU) disagrees. The farming industry is claiming that 75% of food produced in Britain will be hit by the new tax, and that the impact on British farming will be dire.

The problem is that farming operates on razor-thin margins. Most farmers are asset-rich and cash-poor, meaning that, while their work keeps us all alive, it is not an industry that can absorb significantly higher costs of production. Farmers must squeeze every last penny of profit out of the land. On Sunday, NFU president Tom Bradshaw wrote in the Financial Times that agricultural margins are often less than 1%. This means that a plot of land worth £1 million will often yield its owner less than £10,000 a year. An investor would be better off putting their money in a standard savings account. When faced with a 20% tax to pass the land on to their children — the generational value of which cannot be measured merely in cash — many farmers will rationally choose to just pack it in and sell the farm.

Ultimately, this will mean less food production in Britain. The country is already a major food importer, as British readers will have noticed when buying Irish beef or Spanish tomatoes in the supermarket. Britain currently produces about 60% of the food needed for its own consumption, which is down from its postwar peak of around 80% in 1985. This is low by international standards. For example, while imports have increased, the US is a net food exporter and puts great strategic stock in its food security. The statistics show that the British model is closer to Japan and South Korea than it is to France, another net exporter.

It is an odd time to further undermine British food security. Not a day goes by where we do not hear a Whitehall securocrat tell the public that Britain needs to prepare itself for further global conflict. Surely, nothing could be more important for Britain’s economic national security than ready access to domestic food. And yet Keir Starmer’s government — which explicitly touts its alleged focus on security — is undermining the already teetering British agricultural industry.

What explains this seeming contradiction? It is becoming increasingly hard not to conclude that the Labour government is acting mainly as a conduit for various factions in Whitehall. When Chancellor Rachel Reeves increased the defence budget by £2.9 billion, it was less the result of a strategic vision than it was a gesture to please one Civil Service faction. The tax increases on farmers are to fund this and other expenditure, including the pay increases to public-sector workers, another interest group that has the Government’s ear.

There is no strategy here. Rather, what we see is a grab-bag of different interest groups trying to cleave as much as they can away from what is fast becoming a bankrupt state. This is why the British public is treated to the gross hypocrisy that the UK is preparing for World War III by starving itself. The previous Conservative governments struggled to hold firm against Whitehall’s myriad conflicting demands, and Labour must learn from those mistakes. If not, the hypocrisy will continue apace.


Philip Pilkington is a macroeconomist and investment professional, and the author of The Reformation in Economics

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Santiago Excilio
Santiago Excilio
5 hours ago

This labour government is a disaster, in so many ways; they are stupid, ignorant, spiteful, envious and a national liability.

I have just heard from some farming friends that there are moves afoot amongst farmers to stop the spreading of human waste on their fields as a fertiliser substitute. If this is true then the government will soon find themselves deep in genuine shit, because the water companies don’t have the processing capacity to otherwise deal with it.

Hugh Bryant
Hugh Bryant
4 hours ago

When the Dutch government tried to shut down half the country’s farms it didn’t go well. In fact it upended Dutch politics, so Starmer is trying to implement the WEF policy in more roundabout way.
The man said it himself in an interview with Emily Maitlis, when she asked: ‘Westminster or Davos?’, he replied ‘Davos’ – without a nanosecond’s hesitation.

John Tyler
John Tyler
3 hours ago

Shortsighted class-driven politics.

David Morley
David Morley
1 hour ago

many farmers will rationally choose to just pack it in and sell the farm.

Ultimately, this will mean less food production in Britain.

Is that because farms which are sold cease to be farms? I’m not quite following here. Do they become wasteland, housing estates? What happens to them?

David Morley
David Morley
1 hour ago

agricultural margins are often less than 1%. This means that a plot of land worth £1 million will often yield its owner less than £10,000 a year.

Thats not what we would normally mean by a margin. Rather it is a return. Margins are based on the costs involved in producing the item and the price it is sold for. So the profit margin on a yield of £10,000 might still be high.

Dennis Roberts
Dennis Roberts
1 hour ago
Reply to  David Morley

1% per year on a passive, almost risk free investment isn’t bad I guess.

However, if you’re the person doing all the work for 10k pa (perhaps more as you get to keep some of the wages that were a cost to the passive farm owner), that’s not so good.

A land value tax would’ve been better than inheritance tax. ie a smaller, manageable amount each year rather than a large, unpayable lump once a generation.

Last edited 42 minutes ago by Dennis Roberts
David Morley
David Morley
58 minutes ago
Reply to  Dennis Roberts

It depends on the size of the plot and the amount of Labour involved in farming it. I’m also not sure how accurate or representative the figures are.

David Morley
David Morley
1 hour ago

I think we need a bit more clarity on this, and (until we have it) a bit less outrage. From what I can tell, this will not hit the average family farm so much as rich people who have invested in land in order to deliberately avoid inheritance tax. Clearly that is a loophole which needs to be closed.

Christopher Barclay
Christopher Barclay
43 minutes ago

There is another possible outcome that the Labour Government may not have thought of: family farms are sold to agricultural corporations. It would be just like Starmer to want to punish the British for voting for Brexit by putting agricultural land in the hands of Monsanto et al.

j watson
j watson
3 hours ago

What threatened national security was the consistent cuts in the defence budget of the last Govt. Ex Ministers even admitted the Armed services had been hollowed out. We have to go back to Blair and Brown for 2.5% of GDP to be spent on Defence. Starmer and Reeves confirmation that is now factored into the expenditure plans deeply embarrassing for the Right so it has to complain about how they’ve done that.
They’ll be no exodus of real farmers. It’s the v rich doing their usual to protect themselves. Read the details of the proposals and you’ll know the gripes are hyperbolic nonsense put out by vested interests.