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Warmer-than-average temperatures may have spared Europe from the worst effects of the energy crisis, but that is about to change: with temperatures predicted to plummet in the coming weeks, heightened demand for dwindling (and very expensive) supplies of natural gas will seriously test Europe’s fragile energy networks — potentially to breaking point.
In Germany, the Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance recently issued a near-apocalyptic advisory telling people what to expect in the event of a blackout: “The telephone is dead, the heating doesn’t come on, there is no warm water, the computer goes on strike, the coffee machine stays off, there is no light.” The agency urged households to stock up on battery-powered flashlights and candles, and even suggested camp stoves to prepare small meals. Elsewhere in Europe, governments are preparing food distribution networks that can function through a blackout.
A colder-than-normal winter is expected in the UK as well. Ofgem has said there is “a significant risk” of gas shortages, which could affect electricity supplies. And with more than 3 million low-income UK households unable to afford to heat their homes, the cold weather, combined with potential energy shortages and higher prices, could have lethal consequences, and not just in Britain. According to one disturbing study published in The Economist, based on the historical relationship between mortality, weather and energy costs, the death toll from the energy crisis across Europe could exceed the number of soldiers who have died in the Ukraine war so far. Depending on temperatures, prices and government support measures, between 30,000 and 300,000 deaths above the historical average may be recorded across the continent this winter. Sanctions kill — we’ve known that for a long time (just ask the Iraqis); these, however, are probably the first sanctions in history that could kill the sanctioners.
Meanwhile, EU countries have reduced their gas demand by a quarter, according to the Financial Times as industry cuts back or stops production altogether following the rising costs. In the coming months, this will mean higher prices and possible shortages in energy-intensive industries such as metals, chemicals (including fertiliser), plastic and food. Moreover, analysts warn that without increased supplies, gas shortages could persist for years in Europe, regardless of the lower demand. This would effectively mean the long-term deindustrialisation of the continent — with the chaos, political instability and unrest that would go along with that.
It’s no surprise, then, that European leaders are looking for a way out of the hole they dug themselves by joining the US in its proxy war against their main gas provider — even as the EU itself continues to sabotage any possible diplomatic solution to the conflict. Only last week, French president Emmanuel Macron marked his profound difference with the US (and EU) stance on Ukraine during an interview for the French channel TF1, in which he said that Nato member states may have to offer “security guarantees” to Russia when Moscow and Kyiv resume negotiations. “This means that one of the essential points we must address — as Putin has always said — is the fear that Nato comes right up to its doors and the deployment of weapons that could threaten Russia,” Macron said. “That topic will be part of the topics for peace, so we need to prepare what we are ready to do, how we protect our allies and member states, and how to give guarantees to Russia the day it returns to the negotiating table.”
Macron has always had a more “realist” approach to the issue than his colleagues, yet this was the first time a European leader suggested that Russia’s decision to invade Ukraine may have been motivated by legitimate security concerns. Before the invasion, Putin said at a joint press conference with Macron in Moscow that Russia would aim to obtain replies from the West to its main three security demands. These included stopping any future Nato enlargement, presenting missile deployments near its borders, and a scaling back of Nato’s military infrastructure in Europe to 1997 levels.
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SubscribeWhy would America put anyone’s interests ahead of its own? Do we expect any different from Germany or Britain?
I think it’s fair for Europe to demand some consideration from the U.S., whatever that might look like. They are closely linked and real partners support each other.
But European leaders need to put on their big boy pants and take ownership of their domestic issues.
The U.S. has basically been footing the bill for NATO since its inception. Maybe Europe should start paying its share. As for energy, Europe can’t blame anyone but itself. In the midst of maybe the worst energy crisis ever, Germany hasn’t lifted a finger in the North Sea. Britain refuses to get serious about fracking.
The political leadership in Europe is a joke, just like it is in the U.S. and the rest of the west. This train wreck was years in the making and it needs to stop, or the consequences will be dire.
The ruling and managerial elite is in the thrall of some self-destructive ideology that blinds them to common-sense decision making, whether it be foreign affairs, energy production, budgets, health care, education – basically anything and everything.
But European leaders need to put on their big boy pants and take ownership of their domestic issues.
Quite so. But ‘managerial’ politicians try to manage the consequences of events whereas ‘proper’ politicians manage whether or not the events happen. Back foot and front foot stances. Arguably Putin is a front foot politician and the managerial politicians of the West don’t know how to respond.
Maybe Putin is a “front foot politician” — whatever that means — but by the way this smells, his front foot really stepped in it.
Maybe Putin is a “front foot politician” — whatever that means — but by the way this smells, his front foot really stepped in it.
Your last paragraph sums up Europe’s conundrum perfectly.
“Why would America put anyone’s interests ahead of its own? ”
Then Britain should pause and think that joining a war in Iraq or Afghanistan or a needless conflict in Ukraine is purely in American interests, and put British interests ahead of others.
” The U.S. has basically been footing the bill for NATO since its inception. ”
Nope. Western Europe paid enormous amounts for defense during the cold war.
The US has footed the bill for NATO since the end of the cold war – and the end of NATO’s relevance. While Europe opted to scale back, the US continues in war mode, ever searching for new reasons for war like a mad dog.
The fact that we had talks a out extending NATO all the way to Russia three decades after 1991, is astounding. Why don’t Germany and Russia join hands with Britain and Austria to invade France to honour their 1815 alliance?
In Europe’s case this is a question of peacekeeping, or keeping the peace, rather than warmongering. When you have a malignant cancer trying to threaten, spread and take over as Russia/USSR has done over the last 100 or so years then Europe should be thankful for US support, whatever their other intentions. It’s a choice between a much lesser capitalist evil or an authoritarian, totally corrupt and barbaric evil. My wife and millions others will tell you what it was like growing up in Poland in the 50’s and 60’s. “Needless conflict in Ukraine”? Yes of course, but the needless is 100% attributed to Russia and not Europe’s need to restore peace on its boundaries to the east. Your reasoning is warped and ridiculous in the current context.
Well said.
“Europe’s case this is a question of peacekeeping”
The same “Europe” that launched a bloody invasion of Russia in 1812, interfered in Crimea in 1856, attacked the nascent communist government in Russia, murdered 20 million in ww2?
The same Europe that pushed all the way to a Russia that was no threat as soon as they had the opportunity in the 90s, while showing how peaceful they are in Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan,?
“the needless is 100% attributed to Russia ”
Sure, all they had to do was to accept NATO and it’s missiles next door, all for purely defensive reasons, allow an American funded regime in Ukraine.
And of course, accept the Russian speaking minorities of the Donbass being pounded into submission.
The Russians didn’t murder 6mn Poles in the 50s and 60s. The Germans did, just a decade prior. Strange how you manage to enjoy a military alliance with them now?
The correct answer to the above is that Germany today has no correlation with 1940s Germany, but anyone with a brain could also tell you the Russian that peacefully withdrew from Poland 30 years back and has an army 1/10th the size, has no correlation with 1950s Soviet Union.
What the Russians do have in common with the 50s Soviets is all the bloody Invasions by “peaceful” West Europeans through the centuries.
Quite right, and it’s refreshing to read someone objective and historically literate enough to see it. What a shower of baying, brainwashed eejits we get BtL on any right-of-centre publication whenever Ukraine, Russia and NATO come up. Brookings Institute trolls, or just armchair nutters? God knows, but they’re the same loons who show up loyally for the well-lunchedby Northrup Grumman and MI6, barking mad bore Con Coughlin and his weekly Two-Minutes Hate. Khomeini, Gaddafi, Sadaam Hussein, now Tsar Vlad – in Coughlin’s world view (which always bears a remarkable similarity to the State Dept’s world view) every decade has an exotic, evil new foreign supervillain engaged in a Manichean struggle with the forces of Freedum and, er, Wall Street and General Dynamics.
The Defence Illuminati have ruled the US since 1776!
Democracy there is just a play of shadow puppets!
The Defence Illuminati have ruled the US since 1776!
Democracy there is just a play of shadow puppets!
I honour Russia’s sense of victimhood.
But the above is also an ingenious, and very selective reading of history.
The Russians murdered 1 million in the Caucasus in the 19th C, many more in all its other Central Asian conquests.
And, of course, at least 30 million last century.
It also chose to try and implement a totally bankrupt system of governance and economics for 74 years–one that drove the country over the cliff in 1991.
Blaming everyone but oneself for the idiotic choices Russia has made over the last several centuries is emotionally satisfying, but will probably end in another collapse in the near future.
Oh, did I mention Russia’s alliance with Nazi Germany, which resulted in a Germany in 1941 with a capability four times its size, as compared with 1939?
What a very great pity for you Putin himself stent set these sheen as his reasons for invading his sovereign neighbour, claiming instead it’s sovereignty was invalid and it was really a part of his country.
He hasn’t been kind to his apologists, has he.
Under Russian puppet control between 1948 and 1987 20,000 and 50,000 Poles were executed by the regime. https://warsawinstitute.org/post-war-war-years-1944-1963-poland/
Delete
Quite right, and it’s refreshing to read someone objective and historically literate enough to see it. What a shower of baying, brainwashed eejits we get BtL on any right-of-centre publication whenever Ukraine, Russia and NATO come up. Brookings Institute trolls, or just armchair nutters? God knows, but they’re the same loons who show up loyally for the well-lunchedby Northrup Grumman and MI6, barking mad bore Con Coughlin and his weekly Two-Minutes Hate. Khomeini, Gaddafi, Sadaam Hussein, now Tsar Vlad – in Coughlin’s world view (which always bears a remarkable similarity to the State Dept’s world view) every decade has an exotic, evil new foreign supervillain engaged in a Manichean struggle with the forces of Freedum and, er, Wall Street and General Dynamics.
I honour Russia’s sense of victimhood.
But the above is also an ingenious, and very selective reading of history.
The Russians murdered 1 million in the Caucasus in the 19th C, many more in all its other Central Asian conquests.
And, of course, at least 30 million last century.
It also chose to try and implement a totally bankrupt system of governance and economics for 74 years–one that drove the country over the cliff in 1991.
Blaming everyone but oneself for the idiotic choices Russia has made over the last several centuries is emotionally satisfying, but will probably end in another collapse in the near future.
Oh, did I mention Russia’s alliance with Nazi Germany, which resulted in a Germany in 1941 with a capability four times its size, as compared with 1939?
What a very great pity for you Putin himself stent set these sheen as his reasons for invading his sovereign neighbour, claiming instead it’s sovereignty was invalid and it was really a part of his country.
He hasn’t been kind to his apologists, has he.
Under Russian puppet control between 1948 and 1987 20,000 and 50,000 Poles were executed by the regime. https://warsawinstitute.org/post-war-war-years-1944-1963-poland/
Delete
”In Europe’s case this is a question of peacekeeping, or keeping the peace, rather than warmongering.”
You have drunk the Koolaid, as have your upvoters.
This regional conflict which was in NO Western power’s vital interests has been made into WWIII and divided the Globe into ‘Axis and Allies’ and will destroy the global economy, change it when the BRICS, and all the resource economies join in making a new Reserve currency, and will destroy EU – and naturally Ukraine you say you are saving will be destroyed – –
EVERYTHING bad comes from this Neo-Con warmongering by Biden/Boris, and NOTHING Good.
This is an evil war and the treaty table must solve it – no matter the results in Ukraine, the world NEEDS this WWIII to STOP!!!!
PEACE NOW!
or you destroy yourself, the Ukraine, and the Global economy – for NOTHING GOOD!
I would aver that a broken and destitute Russia–which now seems unavoidable–will be the greatest boon to mankind since the victory in 1945.
No Russia,
No Problem.
I would aver that a broken and destitute Russia–which now seems unavoidable–will be the greatest boon to mankind since the victory in 1945.
No Russia,
No Problem.
Well said.
“Europe’s case this is a question of peacekeeping”
The same “Europe” that launched a bloody invasion of Russia in 1812, interfered in Crimea in 1856, attacked the nascent communist government in Russia, murdered 20 million in ww2?
The same Europe that pushed all the way to a Russia that was no threat as soon as they had the opportunity in the 90s, while showing how peaceful they are in Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan,?
“the needless is 100% attributed to Russia ”
Sure, all they had to do was to accept NATO and it’s missiles next door, all for purely defensive reasons, allow an American funded regime in Ukraine.
And of course, accept the Russian speaking minorities of the Donbass being pounded into submission.
The Russians didn’t murder 6mn Poles in the 50s and 60s. The Germans did, just a decade prior. Strange how you manage to enjoy a military alliance with them now?
The correct answer to the above is that Germany today has no correlation with 1940s Germany, but anyone with a brain could also tell you the Russian that peacefully withdrew from Poland 30 years back and has an army 1/10th the size, has no correlation with 1950s Soviet Union.
What the Russians do have in common with the 50s Soviets is all the bloody Invasions by “peaceful” West Europeans through the centuries.
”In Europe’s case this is a question of peacekeeping, or keeping the peace, rather than warmongering.”
You have drunk the Koolaid, as have your upvoters.
This regional conflict which was in NO Western power’s vital interests has been made into WWIII and divided the Globe into ‘Axis and Allies’ and will destroy the global economy, change it when the BRICS, and all the resource economies join in making a new Reserve currency, and will destroy EU – and naturally Ukraine you say you are saving will be destroyed – –
EVERYTHING bad comes from this Neo-Con warmongering by Biden/Boris, and NOTHING Good.
This is an evil war and the treaty table must solve it – no matter the results in Ukraine, the world NEEDS this WWIII to STOP!!!!
PEACE NOW!
or you destroy yourself, the Ukraine, and the Global economy – for NOTHING GOOD!
Because NATO is still a very effective defensive force.
And defence is the key word hear, the idea that it’s preparing to invade Russia is just an invention from Putin.
Eastern European countries have wanted to join NATO because they fear Russian expansionism. They were absolutely right.
Putin fears NATO not because he thinks they will invade Russia, but because NATO stops him from his dream of annexing all the ex-USSR territories.
“defence is the key word hear”
What were the NATO nations defending against in Iraq, Libya and Afghanistan?
Afghanistan was to go after Al-Qaeda after 9/11 which was heavily based in Afghanistan.
Iraq #1 was due to Iraq invading Kuwait.
Iraq #2 didn’t need to happen.
This wasn’t just NATO as there were many countries involved outside of NATO.
Notice that none of these countries are controlled by NATO or and NATO member countries. Whether you agree with them or not, they were not fought for conquest as Russia is doing.
Er, demahcracy and freedum!
And also, dah rules based world order!
Afghanistan was to go after Al-Qaeda after 9/11 which was heavily based in Afghanistan.
Iraq #1 was due to Iraq invading Kuwait.
Iraq #2 didn’t need to happen.
This wasn’t just NATO as there were many countries involved outside of NATO.
Notice that none of these countries are controlled by NATO or and NATO member countries. Whether you agree with them or not, they were not fought for conquest as Russia is doing.
Er, demahcracy and freedum!
And also, dah rules based world order!
Defensive? The USSA has invaded dozens of foreign countries since the 1890s. Modern Russia, since 1990, er, one prior to Ukraine (namely Syria).
Biden has made mo secret of his intention to bring Ukraine into NATO, Crimea and all. Russia is not going to allow that to happen, any more than the USSA would allow Texas to join the Warsaw Pact. Just look at the CIA’s backing for the Greek Colonels’ coup in 1967: never mind what the elected government of Greece might have preferred, the State Dept was determined to have its way and democracy be damned.
I suppose that was all fine, was it? Russia is a country of very limited means and little real threat to anyone beyond the borders of the former Soviet Union. The rabid, self-righteous, warmongering, woke- and fentanyl-addled USSA, on the other hand, proves itself decade after decade a worsening global menace, militarily, economically and culturally.
Did you have to wipe the spittle off your screen after typing that 70s-esque fever dream?
Uh, then how did Russian troops get into Moldova, Georgia, and Ukraine?
Into Syria?
Into Libya?
And various sub-Saharan African states?
And try to overthrow the Montenegran Govt?
Factually, Russia has tried to overturn far more govts than the US since the Cold War ended.
And also poisoned many more people.
You forgot https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Georgian_War 2008 and South Ossetia and Abkhazia,
Did you have to wipe the spittle off your screen after typing that 70s-esque fever dream?
Uh, then how did Russian troops get into Moldova, Georgia, and Ukraine?
Into Syria?
Into Libya?
And various sub-Saharan African states?
And try to overthrow the Montenegran Govt?
Factually, Russia has tried to overturn far more govts than the US since the Cold War ended.
And also poisoned many more people.
You forgot https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Georgian_War 2008 and South Ossetia and Abkhazia,
“defence is the key word hear”
What were the NATO nations defending against in Iraq, Libya and Afghanistan?
Defensive? The USSA has invaded dozens of foreign countries since the 1890s. Modern Russia, since 1990, er, one prior to Ukraine (namely Syria).
Biden has made mo secret of his intention to bring Ukraine into NATO, Crimea and all. Russia is not going to allow that to happen, any more than the USSA would allow Texas to join the Warsaw Pact. Just look at the CIA’s backing for the Greek Colonels’ coup in 1967: never mind what the elected government of Greece might have preferred, the State Dept was determined to have its way and democracy be damned.
I suppose that was all fine, was it? Russia is a country of very limited means and little real threat to anyone beyond the borders of the former Soviet Union. The rabid, self-righteous, warmongering, woke- and fentanyl-addled USSA, on the other hand, proves itself decade after decade a worsening global menace, militarily, economically and culturally.
Thanks for a comment that made my actually dig up the data.
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS?locations=FR
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS?locations=SE
At first glance, I thought you were correct. However, the view changes a little when these are compared with the US:
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS?locations=US
It would be more accurate to say that Europe has been reducing its military spending for 60 years straight. They cut back after 1990, but the decline began decades before. The NATO alliance was bound up with European WWII reconstruction. In theory, a reconstructed Europe should have been able to provide MORE of its own defense. That didn’t happen. The US really did carry the vast majority of cold war military expenditures.
They could afford to. As bankers and chief suppliers for two world wars, they were the ones with money left when Europe and the British Empire were broken and ruined.
They could afford to. As bankers and chief suppliers for two world wars, they were the ones with money left when Europe and the British Empire were broken and ruined.
Who is American-led NATO defending us against? The Russian Federation is quite different from the Soviet Union with its open borders, political structure and joint economic interests In fact, the EU had friendly relations with Putin until America nudged Ukraine into rejecting neutrality and creating the present unending conflict.
The UK was more ambivalent in its relationship with Russia with Boris Johnston and his political allies being totally American orientated. However, from the evidence so far, it would seem that the present PM is less subservient..
Is China a threat? I don’t think so. Its interest are on the other side of the globe. We just must make sure that America does not manufacture a reason to start a conflict over there as, I believe, (and this article shows) it did in Europe…
Oh, it was UKRAINE that invaded on 24 Feb, and not peace-loving Russia?
Ukraine was quite happy to remain neutral right up to 24 Feb.
But the result has been that NATO is now far closer to Russia’s borders, and the Baltic is basically a NATO lake.
Pretty good defence I’d say.
I think you will find the EU were behind the overthrow of the Russian puppet regime by offering EU accession they provoked the uprising. How was the USA to blame for that ?
Oh, it was UKRAINE that invaded on 24 Feb, and not peace-loving Russia?
Ukraine was quite happy to remain neutral right up to 24 Feb.
But the result has been that NATO is now far closer to Russia’s borders, and the Baltic is basically a NATO lake.
Pretty good defence I’d say.
I think you will find the EU were behind the overthrow of the Russian puppet regime by offering EU accession they provoked the uprising. How was the USA to blame for that ?
If you want to know why NATO still exists, see the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
You are naive if you buy the argument that Russia invaded BECAUSE of NATO. Aggressive totalitarian leaders always give false reasons for their aggression. The real reason is always that they want to expand their power.
In Europe’s case this is a question of peacekeeping, or keeping the peace, rather than warmongering. When you have a malignant cancer trying to threaten, spread and take over as Russia/USSR has done over the last 100 or so years then Europe should be thankful for US support, whatever their other intentions. It’s a choice between a much lesser capitalist evil or an authoritarian, totally corrupt and barbaric evil. My wife and millions others will tell you what it was like growing up in Poland in the 50’s and 60’s. “Needless conflict in Ukraine”? Yes of course, but the needless is 100% attributed to Russia and not Europe’s need to restore peace on its boundaries to the east. Your reasoning is warped and ridiculous in the current context.
Because NATO is still a very effective defensive force.
And defence is the key word hear, the idea that it’s preparing to invade Russia is just an invention from Putin.
Eastern European countries have wanted to join NATO because they fear Russian expansionism. They were absolutely right.
Putin fears NATO not because he thinks they will invade Russia, but because NATO stops him from his dream of annexing all the ex-USSR territories.
Thanks for a comment that made my actually dig up the data.
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS?locations=FR
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS?locations=SE
At first glance, I thought you were correct. However, the view changes a little when these are compared with the US:
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS?locations=US
It would be more accurate to say that Europe has been reducing its military spending for 60 years straight. They cut back after 1990, but the decline began decades before. The NATO alliance was bound up with European WWII reconstruction. In theory, a reconstructed Europe should have been able to provide MORE of its own defense. That didn’t happen. The US really did carry the vast majority of cold war military expenditures.
Who is American-led NATO defending us against? The Russian Federation is quite different from the Soviet Union with its open borders, political structure and joint economic interests In fact, the EU had friendly relations with Putin until America nudged Ukraine into rejecting neutrality and creating the present unending conflict.
The UK was more ambivalent in its relationship with Russia with Boris Johnston and his political allies being totally American orientated. However, from the evidence so far, it would seem that the present PM is less subservient..
Is China a threat? I don’t think so. Its interest are on the other side of the globe. We just must make sure that America does not manufacture a reason to start a conflict over there as, I believe, (and this article shows) it did in Europe…
If you want to know why NATO still exists, see the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
You are naive if you buy the argument that Russia invaded BECAUSE of NATO. Aggressive totalitarian leaders always give false reasons for their aggression. The real reason is always that they want to expand their power.
It was only yesterday that European leaders were enthralled with the Biden Administration- what gives now? They got what they wanted but they don’t want it anymore.
And wasn’t it just a few years ago that the Germans laughed at Trump when he warned them against their reliance on Russia? And wasn’t it the Germans who shut down at least three of their nuclear power plants and were on the way to shutting down more when the Ukrainian crisis occurred? Who in these countries is deluded or has no foresight?
It is certainly a strange 180 degree turn of events. Not long ago, just mentioning that we should have at least considered Putin’s demands about not having NATO on his Western borders would have gotten you cancelled or labeled as a stooge for Putin. Now the NYT is agreeing?
What next? The realization that a few humans can’t impact the globe’s climate? Can only hope.
The NYT is a corrupt leftist rag unworthy even for use in the outhouse.
I wouldn’t let it near by rear!
I wouldn’t let it near by rear!
Few humans??? Ever been to Los Angeles? You can taste the brown air…
The NYT is a corrupt leftist rag unworthy even for use in the outhouse.
Few humans??? Ever been to Los Angeles? You can taste the brown air…
It is certainly a strange 180 degree turn of events. Not long ago, just mentioning that we should have at least considered Putin’s demands about not having NATO on his Western borders would have gotten you cancelled or labeled as a stooge for Putin. Now the NYT is agreeing?
What next? The realization that a few humans can’t impact the globe’s climate? Can only hope.
I neve4 understood why Merkel closed down Germany’s nuclear power after Fukishima. It is not as if anyone died from the explosion there. They died from the dam burst ( something recently denied by Wikipedia) and the flooding and other hardships associated with mass eva uation.
The level of radiation exposure at Fukishima was no greater than what people living in Colorado are exposed to every day.
That is correct, mostly. The diesel pumps for the Fukushima plant’s cooling water had been placed too close to sea level, an irresponsible thing to do in a country with a long history of near-shore earthquakes and tsunamis. So th8e tsunami put them out of commission, and that’s what caused the meltdown. On the other hand the German nuclear plants — and the much more numerous French plants — are not in active earthquake zones at all; and considering that plus her “Energiewende”s idiotic switch to wind and sun, it seems to me Angela Merkel deserves to be ranked as one of the worst heads of state ever. Though that’s unlikely to happen. After all, she is woman.
Because of the depopulation agenda?
Don’t forget Mutti grew up in communist East Germany and basically wanted to get on-side with her old Russian allies. She was even a member of the “Free German Youth” basically a marxist version of the 3rd Reich’s children’s wing. Its no surprise she would be pining for the old days in the same way that Putin is.
The level of radiation exposure at Fukishima was no greater than what people living in Colorado are exposed to every day.
That is correct, mostly. The diesel pumps for the Fukushima plant’s cooling water had been placed too close to sea level, an irresponsible thing to do in a country with a long history of near-shore earthquakes and tsunamis. So th8e tsunami put them out of commission, and that’s what caused the meltdown. On the other hand the German nuclear plants — and the much more numerous French plants — are not in active earthquake zones at all; and considering that plus her “Energiewende”s idiotic switch to wind and sun, it seems to me Angela Merkel deserves to be ranked as one of the worst heads of state ever. Though that’s unlikely to happen. After all, she is woman.
Because of the depopulation agenda?
Don’t forget Mutti grew up in communist East Germany and basically wanted to get on-side with her old Russian allies. She was even a member of the “Free German Youth” basically a marxist version of the 3rd Reich’s children’s wing. Its no surprise she would be pining for the old days in the same way that Putin is.
This is one of those cases where I wish I had more likes to give.
But European leaders need to put on their big boy pants and take ownership of their domestic issues.
Quite so. But ‘managerial’ politicians try to manage the consequences of events whereas ‘proper’ politicians manage whether or not the events happen. Back foot and front foot stances. Arguably Putin is a front foot politician and the managerial politicians of the West don’t know how to respond.
Your last paragraph sums up Europe’s conundrum perfectly.
“Why would America put anyone’s interests ahead of its own? ”
Then Britain should pause and think that joining a war in Iraq or Afghanistan or a needless conflict in Ukraine is purely in American interests, and put British interests ahead of others.
” The U.S. has basically been footing the bill for NATO since its inception. ”
Nope. Western Europe paid enormous amounts for defense during the cold war.
The US has footed the bill for NATO since the end of the cold war – and the end of NATO’s relevance. While Europe opted to scale back, the US continues in war mode, ever searching for new reasons for war like a mad dog.
The fact that we had talks a out extending NATO all the way to Russia three decades after 1991, is astounding. Why don’t Germany and Russia join hands with Britain and Austria to invade France to honour their 1815 alliance?
It was only yesterday that European leaders were enthralled with the Biden Administration- what gives now? They got what they wanted but they don’t want it anymore.
And wasn’t it just a few years ago that the Germans laughed at Trump when he warned them against their reliance on Russia? And wasn’t it the Germans who shut down at least three of their nuclear power plants and were on the way to shutting down more when the Ukrainian crisis occurred? Who in these countries is deluded or has no foresight?
I neve4 understood why Merkel closed down Germany’s nuclear power after Fukishima. It is not as if anyone died from the explosion there. They died from the dam burst ( something recently denied by Wikipedia) and the flooding and other hardships associated with mass eva uation.
This is one of those cases where I wish I had more likes to give.
Why would America put anyone’s interests ahead of its own? Do we expect any different from Germany or Britain?
I think it’s fair for Europe to demand some consideration from the U.S., whatever that might look like. They are closely linked and real partners support each other.
But European leaders need to put on their big boy pants and take ownership of their domestic issues.
The U.S. has basically been footing the bill for NATO since its inception. Maybe Europe should start paying its share. As for energy, Europe can’t blame anyone but itself. In the midst of maybe the worst energy crisis ever, Germany hasn’t lifted a finger in the North Sea. Britain refuses to get serious about fracking.
The political leadership in Europe is a joke, just like it is in the U.S. and the rest of the west. This train wreck was years in the making and it needs to stop, or the consequences will be dire.
The ruling and managerial elite is in the thrall of some self-destructive ideology that blinds them to common-sense decision making, whether it be foreign affairs, energy production, budgets, health care, education – basically anything and everything.
To re-phrase Blackadders famous quote…
The plan was to create a series of interconnected energy interdependent semi-sovereign states ruled by a globalist managerial class, distanced from the electorate by a vast bureaucracy, thereby avoiding the possibility of war. There was just one problem with the plan….. it was bollox.
Excellent!
This evil war, made to the apocalyptic WWIII by the Evil Biden/Boris Regimes, for who knows what reason, will destroy the global economy, destroy the EU and UK economies, and rather than save, will totally destroy Ukraine.
PEACE NOW
Enough Death, destruction, maiming, destroying civilian lives and future, starving the Third World, and destroying the Global Economy.
War What Is It Good For Absolutely Nothing Lyrics[Intro]
(War, huh) Yeah!
(What is it good for?) Absolutely nothing, uhuh
(War, huh) Yeah!
(What is it good for?) Absolutely nothing
Say it again, y’all!
(War, huh) Lookout!
(What is it good for?) Absolutely nothing
Listen to me, awwwww!
[Verse 1]
War I despise
‘Cause it means destruction of innocent lives
War means tears to thousands of mothers’ eyes
When their sons go out to fight and lose their lives
I said
[Hook]
(War, huh) Good God y’all
(What is it good for?) Absolutely nothing, say it again
(War, huh) Lord, lord, lord, lord
(What is it good for?) Absolutely nothing
Listen to me!
[Verse 2]
(War), It ain’t nothing but a heartbreaker
(War), Friend only to the undertaker, awwww
War is the enemy of all mankind
The thought of war blows my mind
War has caused unrest, within the younger generation
Induction then destruction
Who wants to die?
Awwww!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GmNXzMw69zI
Some things are best said with music. Brilliant. I answer you with my millennial equivalent:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CFrxuVo4oI0
Peace now sounds very sensible to me.
Uh, you ARE aware that it was Putin who invaded on 24 Feb?
Easy to forget that small detail.
Some things are best said with music. Brilliant. I answer you with my millennial equivalent:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CFrxuVo4oI0
Peace now sounds very sensible to me.
Uh, you ARE aware that it was Putin who invaded on 24 Feb?
Easy to forget that small detail.
bollocks – bull testicles I think – anyone else ?? Tis a bit lazy to bring bull testicles into the analysis – what about ego driven greed and wilfully ignorant criminal hyper irresponsibily ??
Excellent!
This evil war, made to the apocalyptic WWIII by the Evil Biden/Boris Regimes, for who knows what reason, will destroy the global economy, destroy the EU and UK economies, and rather than save, will totally destroy Ukraine.
PEACE NOW
Enough Death, destruction, maiming, destroying civilian lives and future, starving the Third World, and destroying the Global Economy.
War What Is It Good For Absolutely Nothing Lyrics[Intro]
(War, huh) Yeah!
(What is it good for?) Absolutely nothing, uhuh
(War, huh) Yeah!
(What is it good for?) Absolutely nothing
Say it again, y’all!
(War, huh) Lookout!
(What is it good for?) Absolutely nothing
Listen to me, awwwww!
[Verse 1]
War I despise
‘Cause it means destruction of innocent lives
War means tears to thousands of mothers’ eyes
When their sons go out to fight and lose their lives
I said
[Hook]
(War, huh) Good God y’all
(What is it good for?) Absolutely nothing, say it again
(War, huh) Lord, lord, lord, lord
(What is it good for?) Absolutely nothing
Listen to me!
[Verse 2]
(War), It ain’t nothing but a heartbreaker
(War), Friend only to the undertaker, awwww
War is the enemy of all mankind
The thought of war blows my mind
War has caused unrest, within the younger generation
Induction then destruction
Who wants to die?
Awwww!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GmNXzMw69zI
bollocks – bull testicles I think – anyone else ?? Tis a bit lazy to bring bull testicles into the analysis – what about ego driven greed and wilfully ignorant criminal hyper irresponsibily ??
To re-phrase Blackadders famous quote…
The plan was to create a series of interconnected energy interdependent semi-sovereign states ruled by a globalist managerial class, distanced from the electorate by a vast bureaucracy, thereby avoiding the possibility of war. There was just one problem with the plan….. it was bollox.
Why is the EU complaining about America behaving in exactly the way the EU itself does? The protectionist practices under discussion are also the core function of EU institutions, and it is a function, notably, that Brussels isn’t even really very good at, given the colossal cost and damage that its serial mistakes cause, such as the Euro, the bungled Brexit saga (yes, it was bungled on the EU side as well as the UK’s), the migration fiasco, the adoption of Green politics to achieve nothing except expensive and unreliable energy, deindustrialisation and dangerous geo-strategic dependencies etc.
What the EU is complaining about, really, is that when America decides to play the EU at its own game, America keeps winning. “Not fair!” shout the Eurocrats, but honestly who in their right minds cares when the Brussels corruptocracy cries foul?
Why is the EU complaining about America behaving in exactly the way the EU itself does? The protectionist practices under discussion are also the core function of EU institutions, and it is a function, notably, that Brussels isn’t even really very good at, given the colossal cost and damage that its serial mistakes cause, such as the Euro, the bungled Brexit saga (yes, it was bungled on the EU side as well as the UK’s), the migration fiasco, the adoption of Green politics to achieve nothing except expensive and unreliable energy, deindustrialisation and dangerous geo-strategic dependencies etc.
What the EU is complaining about, really, is that when America decides to play the EU at its own game, America keeps winning. “Not fair!” shout the Eurocrats, but honestly who in their right minds cares when the Brussels corruptocracy cries foul?
Any thinking would be welcome at this point. It was depressing that at the recent G20 Sunak thought that the best way to engage with Russia was not to talk to Lavarov but to give him a “really hard” stare (immediately released on Instagram). This is playground stuff. Lavarov is not an ex-KGB goon: he is a highly intelligent career diplomat with whom we could at least begin a discussion, but that would involve some leadership rather than posturing.
Lavrov may be highly intelligent but the only intelligence he demonstrates in his outpourings and posturing (too) is the need to conform to his leader’s strategy and mentality. His other alternative in terms of intelligence would be to defect.
To be fair, Lavrov’s calculation is whether he’d rather die from defenstration, polonium or piano wire.
Feeble, childish sneer-stuff more worthy of the DT than UnHerd. As a career Russian diplomat and a loyal Russian, I expect Mr Lavrov has Russia’s eternal geostrategic interests at heart. These will not be served by abandoning the ethnic Russian Donbas and the Crimea and its Black Sea ports to the USSA-NATO, let alone allowing Russia to become an emasculated, deracinated, LGBTQPZMAP??++ BLM-kneeling Queer Studies cultural and ‘security’ colony of Wall Street and Palo Alto on the Airstrip One/ Canada/ Australia pattern.
Feeble, childish sneer-stuff more worthy of the DT than UnHerd. As a career Russian diplomat and a loyal Russian, I expect Mr Lavrov has Russia’s eternal geostrategic interests at heart. These will not be served by abandoning the ethnic Russian Donbas and the Crimea and its Black Sea ports to the USSA-NATO, let alone allowing Russia to become an emasculated, deracinated, LGBTQPZMAP??++ BLM-kneeling Queer Studies cultural and ‘security’ colony of Wall Street and Palo Alto on the Airstrip One/ Canada/ Australia pattern.
To be fair, Lavrov’s calculation is whether he’d rather die from defenstration, polonium or piano wire.
Yes. When you look at educated, shrewd men such as Putin and Lavrov, and then compare them with clowns, idiots, weirdos, and rubbish like Biden, Harris, von der Leyen, May, Truss, Johnson, Ellwood, Fallon, Mordaunt and ‘Sir’ Gavin Williamson, it really is quite embarrassing. Are these risible comedy characters the best the western party electoral charade system can produce? Utterly pathetic lightweights. A ‘hard stare’ from Rishi Sunak? Jeez, Sergei Lavrov must have been trembling in his boots….
Always wise to suck up to “dear comrades” Vova and Serge.
But Putin’s only real education was in the KGB. His “legal degree” came from a plagiarized paper.
Since his KGB job mostly involved running agents, the only model he had was to convert the oligarchs into a spy ring, and govern Russia that way.
Creating a real, western style economy was thus impossible. It would have quickly resulted in a large middle class, anxious to protect itself, not Putin.
The result has been the stagnation of the last 10 years.
Always wise to suck up to “dear comrades” Vova and Serge.
But Putin’s only real education was in the KGB. His “legal degree” came from a plagiarized paper.
Since his KGB job mostly involved running agents, the only model he had was to convert the oligarchs into a spy ring, and govern Russia that way.
Creating a real, western style economy was thus impossible. It would have quickly resulted in a large middle class, anxious to protect itself, not Putin.
The result has been the stagnation of the last 10 years.
Although I realize in some circles criticizing those in power is forbidden, fact is, Lavrov now has zero effect on Russian foreign policy.
To think otherwise is naive.
But if you all your faith in the Power Verticle, I guess it doesn’t matter.
Lavrov may be highly intelligent but the only intelligence he demonstrates in his outpourings and posturing (too) is the need to conform to his leader’s strategy and mentality. His other alternative in terms of intelligence would be to defect.
Yes. When you look at educated, shrewd men such as Putin and Lavrov, and then compare them with clowns, idiots, weirdos, and rubbish like Biden, Harris, von der Leyen, May, Truss, Johnson, Ellwood, Fallon, Mordaunt and ‘Sir’ Gavin Williamson, it really is quite embarrassing. Are these risible comedy characters the best the western party electoral charade system can produce? Utterly pathetic lightweights. A ‘hard stare’ from Rishi Sunak? Jeez, Sergei Lavrov must have been trembling in his boots….
Although I realize in some circles criticizing those in power is forbidden, fact is, Lavrov now has zero effect on Russian foreign policy.
To think otherwise is naive.
But if you all your faith in the Power Verticle, I guess it doesn’t matter.
Any thinking would be welcome at this point. It was depressing that at the recent G20 Sunak thought that the best way to engage with Russia was not to talk to Lavarov but to give him a “really hard” stare (immediately released on Instagram). This is playground stuff. Lavarov is not an ex-KGB goon: he is a highly intelligent career diplomat with whom we could at least begin a discussion, but that would involve some leadership rather than posturing.
If the EU wasn’t so neoliberal it could follow America’s lead and instigate it’s own policies designed to restore its industrial base.
One of Guy Verhofstadt’s criticisms of the UK leaving the EU was that only the EU was big enough to counter the large power blocks in the world such as the US, China & Russia. This is laughable when you consider the EU ruling elites have been the wisest set of incompetents who over decades have exposed themselves to industrial, energy and political blackmail. The UK also needs to get fracking and reduce our energy costs, our government does need to get real, but thank god we are not tied to the EU!
The EU leadership and the American leadership aren’t THAT far apart, but the realities of domestic politics limit what the neoliberals can do in the US. The US system does not favor large, dense, population centers in terms of power. Many of the people that wrote the Constitution, particularly Thomas Jefferson, feared urban mob rule to such a degree that there probably wouldn’t be a USA had there not been concessions, such as the electoral college and a Senate that apportions members by state, that put urban areas at a disadvantage. This is a feature, not a bug. I have little doubt that Biden, or rather his establishment puppeteers, would lift the China tariffs, push TPP through the Senate, and go back to how things were in 2015 if he could. He can’t though, because rural America would put a Republican in the white house, and they have no influence over who because the Republican nomination process is much harder to control than the Democratic one. In other words, they might get Trump, but they might also get something much worse, an actual populist, and trust me, there is NOTHING the global neoliberal establishment fears more than a real populist in the White House. They are only adopting a bare minimum of protectionism in an attempt to stave off a much more sweeping revolution and/or shift a significant portion of the blame to foreign enemies, China/Russia.
Yep. Imagine if Tulsi Gabbard of Bernie Sanders had been elected POTUS. Either would have got the same universal MSM smear treatment as Trump did, BBC, NYT, WaPo, CNN, MSNBC and all.
Yep. Imagine if Tulsi Gabbard of Bernie Sanders had been elected POTUS. Either would have got the same universal MSM smear treatment as Trump did, BBC, NYT, WaPo, CNN, MSNBC and all.
One of Guy Verhofstadt’s criticisms of the UK leaving the EU was that only the EU was big enough to counter the large power blocks in the world such as the US, China & Russia. This is laughable when you consider the EU ruling elites have been the wisest set of incompetents who over decades have exposed themselves to industrial, energy and political blackmail. The UK also needs to get fracking and reduce our energy costs, our government does need to get real, but thank god we are not tied to the EU!
The EU leadership and the American leadership aren’t THAT far apart, but the realities of domestic politics limit what the neoliberals can do in the US. The US system does not favor large, dense, population centers in terms of power. Many of the people that wrote the Constitution, particularly Thomas Jefferson, feared urban mob rule to such a degree that there probably wouldn’t be a USA had there not been concessions, such as the electoral college and a Senate that apportions members by state, that put urban areas at a disadvantage. This is a feature, not a bug. I have little doubt that Biden, or rather his establishment puppeteers, would lift the China tariffs, push TPP through the Senate, and go back to how things were in 2015 if he could. He can’t though, because rural America would put a Republican in the white house, and they have no influence over who because the Republican nomination process is much harder to control than the Democratic one. In other words, they might get Trump, but they might also get something much worse, an actual populist, and trust me, there is NOTHING the global neoliberal establishment fears more than a real populist in the White House. They are only adopting a bare minimum of protectionism in an attempt to stave off a much more sweeping revolution and/or shift a significant portion of the blame to foreign enemies, China/Russia.
If the EU wasn’t so neoliberal it could follow America’s lead and instigate it’s own policies designed to restore its industrial base.
When Germany was thinking of getting out of line with the American agenda, suddenly their gas pipelines were blown up. At the same time German railway was “sabotaged”. Getting out of bed with the US will be like breaking up with an abusive boyfriend who threatens to kill you if you do. Unless Europe does it all together it won’t happen.
By structure and definition the EU can only do it ‘together’. And regarding ‘abusive relationships’, ask the UK how that went with its withdrawal from the EU.
When Zalenski and Potin were to have peace talks very early Boris (Biden’s mini-me) flew to Kiev and stopped any chance of Peace (He bought this war $$$$ ££££££) EVIL!
By structure and definition the EU can only do it ‘together’. And regarding ‘abusive relationships’, ask the UK how that went with its withdrawal from the EU.
When Zalenski and Potin were to have peace talks very early Boris (Biden’s mini-me) flew to Kiev and stopped any chance of Peace (He bought this war $$$$ ££££££) EVIL!
When Germany was thinking of getting out of line with the American agenda, suddenly their gas pipelines were blown up. At the same time German railway was “sabotaged”. Getting out of bed with the US will be like breaking up with an abusive boyfriend who threatens to kill you if you do. Unless Europe does it all together it won’t happen.
Aye Biden’s (American Democrats) proxy war. Did Biden not suggest that a limited incursion into Ukraine by Putin would be tolerable?
MSM have ignored this totally. Wake up Europe, rid yourselves of the communists and their little helpers (Climate Change and Woke policies), They have destroyed your common sense and you now do their deceitful bidding.
The next moron to damage a priceless work of art should be given flying lesson without the benefit of an aircraft.
Too the ‘person’ who voted me down, be brave enough to reply if you think I’m wrong. Or are you just behaving typically as all cowards do.
Did Biden not say that???
There’s one in every crowd, and you did pretty well on the up-votes!
There’s one in every crowd, and you did pretty well on the up-votes!
The social media, MSM, and education leadership, and entertainment industries gave us this leadership.
The true evil in the world is in the few hands of Social Media, Gates Foundation, and MSM – just a couple men and the world is wrecked. They rigged the voting in 2020, they gave us the covid response, they gave us this WWIII. They should be for the rest of their lives in a Supermax cell.
um – surely the root cause is that Joe Lunchbox cant be bothered to investigate what is REALLY going on in his world – and is thereby able to be easily manipulated . Socrates 101- buggerall has changed in 2700 years and now it is the phase of watching the slow disintegration of the roman/ western-liberal-capitalist empire . Some of us are damn lucky to have safe seats from which to watch said disintegration whilst amassing our sleeping pills etc – hopefully without vulnerable offspring. Some of us were smart/lucky enough not to produce said vulnerable offspring – or if they did said offspring sensibly did not reproduce further – OR am I overly pessimistic – I would like to think so – but twill be hard work refuting much of the above. If one does have vulnerable offspring maybe the only sensible plan is to bring them close by and work as a multigenerational coping/survival/flourishing unit ???
Having more offspring was always the answer. Not doing that is actively contributing to your demise; there will be no bulwark to provide a defense.
Having more offspring was always the answer. Not doing that is actively contributing to your demise; there will be no bulwark to provide a defense.
um – surely the root cause is that Joe Lunchbox cant be bothered to investigate what is REALLY going on in his world – and is thereby able to be easily manipulated . Socrates 101- buggerall has changed in 2700 years and now it is the phase of watching the slow disintegration of the roman/ western-liberal-capitalist empire . Some of us are damn lucky to have safe seats from which to watch said disintegration whilst amassing our sleeping pills etc – hopefully without vulnerable offspring. Some of us were smart/lucky enough not to produce said vulnerable offspring – or if they did said offspring sensibly did not reproduce further – OR am I overly pessimistic – I would like to think so – but twill be hard work refuting much of the above. If one does have vulnerable offspring maybe the only sensible plan is to bring them close by and work as a multigenerational coping/survival/flourishing unit ???
Too the ‘person’ who voted me down, be brave enough to reply if you think I’m wrong. Or are you just behaving typically as all cowards do.
Did Biden not say that???
The social media, MSM, and education leadership, and entertainment industries gave us this leadership.
The true evil in the world is in the few hands of Social Media, Gates Foundation, and MSM – just a couple men and the world is wrecked. They rigged the voting in 2020, they gave us the covid response, they gave us this WWIII. They should be for the rest of their lives in a Supermax cell.
Aye Biden’s (American Democrats) proxy war. Did Biden not suggest that a limited incursion into Ukraine by Putin would be tolerable?
MSM have ignored this totally. Wake up Europe, rid yourselves of the communists and their little helpers (Climate Change and Woke policies), They have destroyed your common sense and you now do their deceitful bidding.
The next moron to damage a priceless work of art should be given flying lesson without the benefit of an aircraft.
Genius.
These sanctions will destroy the Economies, and a lost decade at a minimum; although I suspect this war’s economic fallout in the West will mean the young of the West will never have pensions, secure jobs, or homeownership. I think we many have destroyed a generation between the Insane covid response and this WWIII.
Biden/Boris have destroyed the future of the young as well as the present.
Seeing Boris sitting on the front bench grinning and gesturing and smirking – seeing Bidens face in a twisted rage when something he does not like is said – I see pure evil in these men. They have brought destruction on the world equal to any in history – what they have wrought has no end in sight, it may never end and go back to the prosperity and security of 2019.
see my comment above….
see my comment above….
These sanctions will destroy the Economies, and a lost decade at a minimum; although I suspect this war’s economic fallout in the West will mean the young of the West will never have pensions, secure jobs, or homeownership. I think we many have destroyed a generation between the Insane covid response and this WWIII.
Biden/Boris have destroyed the future of the young as well as the present.
Seeing Boris sitting on the front bench grinning and gesturing and smirking – seeing Bidens face in a twisted rage when something he does not like is said – I see pure evil in these men. They have brought destruction on the world equal to any in history – what they have wrought has no end in sight, it may never end and go back to the prosperity and security of 2019.
Genius.
The Biden Cleptocracy commands that we:
— Fight to the last Ukrainian
— Embargo Russia to the last European pensioner
— Say things we all knew to be false 5 minutes ago
Our leaders can’t mentally process the fact that Orange Man was right.
Trump Derangement Syndrome has been the most effective psychological operation ever devised, preventing anyone examining the Ukrainian Corruption project. Iraq was a trial run for the global scale military industrial complex scam that started with Biden-Burisma under Obama and is now spiraling the world into economic collapse and war.
The long march through our digital platforms has given a global thought control tool to the most unhinged, callous and despotic. There is no end to the corruption East and West and speaking the truth has indeed become a revolutionary act.
Things do not always get better – we are entering the de-enlightenment.
The Biden Cleptocracy commands that we:
— Fight to the last Ukrainian
— Embargo Russia to the last European pensioner
— Say things we all knew to be false 5 minutes ago
Our leaders can’t mentally process the fact that Orange Man was right.
Trump Derangement Syndrome has been the most effective psychological operation ever devised, preventing anyone examining the Ukrainian Corruption project. Iraq was a trial run for the global scale military industrial complex scam that started with Biden-Burisma under Obama and is now spiraling the world into economic collapse and war.
The long march through our digital platforms has given a global thought control tool to the most unhinged, callous and despotic. There is no end to the corruption East and West and speaking the truth has indeed become a revolutionary act.
Things do not always get better – we are entering the de-enlightenment.
I think American, those that trade, manufacture, create or market are classic opportunists. They’ll see an opportunity that benefits them in any situation and seize it, They are essentially commercial animals. They don’t really have alliances, a global philosophy or a sense of ethics. In the first stage of any conflict they’ll begin talking about human rights, the enemy of freedom loving people and building a safer world. But that’s just the door being opened for the bottom feeders. The US will do very well out of Ukraine.
Interesting that they jump from one conflict to the next. Never ending wars and proxy wars. Hmm. I wonder why?
INGSOC
‘War is Peace’
‘Freedom is Slavery’
‘Ignorance is Strength’
If you look at the USA Democrat Party policies you see these are exactly what they stand for!
War in Ukraine is Peace
Critical Race Theory
The education/University/MSM. Social Media produce ignorance
Nothing new there, of course. The USSA started out on this course with the fabricated bombing of the USS Maine in 1898 and the Spanish-American War. And they set out on that soon after completing the violent seizure their own entire territory (bar Florida and Alaska). Britain made a great geopolitical mistake in not seizing its own opportunity and allying with the Confederacy in 1861, using its heavy Naval and industrial resources to break the United States into manageable pieces once and for all.
Trump didn’t though…
INGSOC
‘War is Peace’
‘Freedom is Slavery’
‘Ignorance is Strength’
If you look at the USA Democrat Party policies you see these are exactly what they stand for!
War in Ukraine is Peace
Critical Race Theory
The education/University/MSM. Social Media produce ignorance
Nothing new there, of course. The USSA started out on this course with the fabricated bombing of the USS Maine in 1898 and the Spanish-American War. And they set out on that soon after completing the violent seizure their own entire territory (bar Florida and Alaska). Britain made a great geopolitical mistake in not seizing its own opportunity and allying with the Confederacy in 1861, using its heavy Naval and industrial resources to break the United States into manageable pieces once and for all.
Trump didn’t though…
Free market economics is all about opportunity. Why do you describe it in terms that imply something sinister? It is the bedrock of the prosperity we all enjoy.
As for the USA not having alliances, the quote in the article by Kissinger was merely a repeat of Lord Palmerston’s own expression of exactly the same concept many years before applied to the UK, and it is of course an agnostic principle of nation-state diplomacy and statecraft in any case. America is under no particular obligation to apologise for it.
I’m not suggesting that there’s something sinister about free market economics. I’m just making an observation about American behaviour in international affairs. In this case their “free market” policy is investment in death, destruction and international instability. The prosperity “we all” enjoy does not apply to those living in war zones.
I don’t think America is deliberately investing in global instability itself, that is hardly in its interests. It’s certainly arguable that America cynically tries to settle local power disputes in its own favour and gets it wrong too often for comfort, I would certainly say that argument has some merit.
But really America is simply trying to make the world a peaceful place with the global economy ordered in such a way that the USA sits at the top of it. Given that there is no alternative to some superpower doing this except for global war, I think it’s probably better that it’s the USA at the top. The UK has been too small for a century to take on the challenge (and we were considerably more brutal about it when we could do it), the EU is a global joke, and China would destroy democracy across most of the planet.
The point here is to count the – admittedly meagre – blessings that the existing USA hegemony represents. There are no alternatives in which nations all happily rub along with each other, no easy choices. It’s a hard fact of life, but there it is.
I am afraid you are brutally correct
It’s also a hard fact of life to acknowledge that if not for the U.S., most Brits would likely have a German accent by now.
Do you mean rather like the Royal Family?
I would dispute that! It was Hitler deciding to invade Russia (seemingly ignorant of Napoleon’s disastrous campaign) that was the beginning of the end for Germany. It might have taken longer if the US had not joined the fray but right would have prevailed.
Also, Italy surrendered in 1943, and that meant Germany increasing its area of conflict down through Italy to North Africa, thinning its military resources
Ah … the Soviet regime didn’t like to be reminded of it, but it was the material aid from the US, shipped at great cost to the USSR, that made the difference. This has been recognized by no less great a war celebrity than Marshal Zhukov, who marveled at the 350,000 first-class American vehicles, the gunpowder and ammunition, the rolled steel without which not many Russian tanks could have been built … See Robert Conquest, ‘The Dragons of Expectation’, p. 132. Of course, we should not ignore the enormous cost in Soviet lives on that front — three times the war dead that Germany suffered — but then, ruthlessness with human life has always been a hallmark of Russian war policy. Just like right now.
Ah … the Soviet regime didn’t like to be reminded of it, but it was the material aid from the US, shipped at great cost to the USSR, that made the difference. This has been recognized by no less great a war celebrity than Marshal Zhukov, who marveled at the 350,000 first-class American vehicles, the gunpowder and ammunition, the rolled steel without which not many Russian tanks could have been built … See Robert Conquest, ‘The Dragons of Expectation’, p. 132. Of course, we should not ignore the enormous cost in Soviet lives on that front — three times the war dead that Germany suffered — but then, ruthlessness with human life has always been a hallmark of Russian war policy. Just like right now.
Tosh. This was in fact, until 1914, a very much Germanophile country: the Hanoverian connection and much more, music, science, trade and industry. Had it not been for US gold and supplies to France and Britain, the Great War would likely have terminated in 1917 in, essentially, a draw or a negotiated peace moderately to Prussia-Germany advantage, with a lot of lives and money owed to Wall Street saved and the British Empire not fundamentally weakened. And there would have been no second instalment a generation later.
German accents? Utter bosh. The idea of a successful German invasion in the second war is as militarily preposterous as it was in 1915. British Naval superiority, German lack of resources, logistical feebleness and amphibious inexperience and murderous British beach defences and defence in depth made Seelowe a complete non-starter. Though had a Nazi invasion succeeded, the plans were clear and did not include accent coaching: the whole UK male population between 14 and 45 was to be deported for slave labour.
And FTIW, what ‘most Brits’ have ended up with is American accents instead, in the sense of Woke US culture and values.
Well said Guardsmen 33 Joy!
Well said Guardsmen 33 Joy!
Didn’t Russia also play a rather important role in beating the Nazis?
75% :costing about 20-25 million dead, to our approximately 450,000 dead.
75% :costing about 20-25 million dead, to our approximately 450,000 dead.
Do you mean rather like the Royal Family?
I would dispute that! It was Hitler deciding to invade Russia (seemingly ignorant of Napoleon’s disastrous campaign) that was the beginning of the end for Germany. It might have taken longer if the US had not joined the fray but right would have prevailed.
Also, Italy surrendered in 1943, and that meant Germany increasing its area of conflict down through Italy to North Africa, thinning its military resources
Tosh. This was in fact, until 1914, a very much Germanophile country: the Hanoverian connection and much more, music, science, trade and industry. Had it not been for US gold and supplies to France and Britain, the Great War would likely have terminated in 1917 in, essentially, a draw or a negotiated peace moderately to Prussia-Germany advantage, with a lot of lives and money owed to Wall Street saved and the British Empire not fundamentally weakened. And there would have been no second instalment a generation later.
German accents? Utter bosh. The idea of a successful German invasion in the second war is as militarily preposterous as it was in 1915. British Naval superiority, German lack of resources, logistical feebleness and amphibious inexperience and murderous British beach defences and defence in depth made Seelowe a complete non-starter. Though had a Nazi invasion succeeded, the plans were clear and did not include accent coaching: the whole UK male population between 14 and 45 was to be deported for slave labour.
And FTIW, what ‘most Brits’ have ended up with is American accents instead, in the sense of Woke US culture and values.
Didn’t Russia also play a rather important role in beating the Nazis?
I should be a bit clearer; I don’t think America is deliberately investing in global instability and that it hopes to profit from that. What it does do is act without concern for consequences to others. But as Ethniciodo says the reality is brutal and as you say there is no alternative to US hegemony, not one that is better anyway. But I fear that Ukraine will not come out of this well. When the US is ready they will just walk away from things. Though Ukraine is not like Afghanistan. There are still powerful geopolitical interests in Ukraine and until we reach the collapse, which is what I imagine, we will not know how these interests play out.
I am afraid you are brutally correct
It’s also a hard fact of life to acknowledge that if not for the U.S., most Brits would likely have a German accent by now.
I should be a bit clearer; I don’t think America is deliberately investing in global instability and that it hopes to profit from that. What it does do is act without concern for consequences to others. But as Ethniciodo says the reality is brutal and as you say there is no alternative to US hegemony, not one that is better anyway. But I fear that Ukraine will not come out of this well. When the US is ready they will just walk away from things. Though Ukraine is not like Afghanistan. There are still powerful geopolitical interests in Ukraine and until we reach the collapse, which is what I imagine, we will not know how these interests play out.
I don’t think America is deliberately investing in global instability itself, that is hardly in its interests. It’s certainly arguable that America cynically tries to settle local power disputes in its own favour and gets it wrong too often for comfort, I would certainly say that argument has some merit.
But really America is simply trying to make the world a peaceful place with the global economy ordered in such a way that the USA sits at the top of it. Given that there is no alternative to some superpower doing this except for global war, I think it’s probably better that it’s the USA at the top. The UK has been too small for a century to take on the challenge (and we were considerably more brutal about it when we could do it), the EU is a global joke, and China would destroy democracy across most of the planet.
The point here is to count the – admittedly meagre – blessings that the existing USA hegemony represents. There are no alternatives in which nations all happily rub along with each other, no easy choices. It’s a hard fact of life, but there it is.
I’m not suggesting that there’s something sinister about free market economics. I’m just making an observation about American behaviour in international affairs. In this case their “free market” policy is investment in death, destruction and international instability. The prosperity “we all” enjoy does not apply to those living in war zones.
“come into my parlour said the spider to the fly”
The last 150 years surely, has shown the only true ally of the US is the US. Cast your eye across the globe and you see a repeating story of political usefulness leading to a buddying up. End of usefulness = “drop them like a stone” – South America, the middle East, the far East, North Africa – watch out Europe your next !
So a German run Europe would have been better for all, and there would have been no subsequent internal conflict.
You learn something new every day.
And, yes, I hope you are being ironic!
And, yes, I hope you are being ironic!
You might want to visit several cemeteries in France.
You’re confusing the calculated self-interests of the Washington-Wall Street establishment with their willingness to sacrifice the of lives of tens of thousands of young, idealistic volunteers or more or less willing conscripts. Rick Atkinson’s Liberation Trilogy is vey strong on the original sources – diaries from everyone from Eiesnhower to PFCs in the trenches at Salerno – and the hard realities of the US experience of the second world war in N. Africa and Europe.
You’re confusing the calculated self-interests of the Washington-Wall Street establishment with their willingness to sacrifice the of lives of tens of thousands of young, idealistic volunteers or more or less willing conscripts. Rick Atkinson’s Liberation Trilogy is vey strong on the original sources – diaries from everyone from Eiesnhower to PFCs in the trenches at Salerno – and the hard realities of the US experience of the second world war in N. Africa and Europe.
If only they would ‘drop us like a stone’. Oh happy day…
It can’t work like that now. The USA isn’t able to control the world on its own anymore. It needs allies, and more to the point the UK, Europe, the rest of the Americas, Australia etc need the USA. Even if we perfect a proper coherent Western set of military and economic alliances, it’ll still be difficult to contain China. It’s a great pity we’ve fallen out with Russia, because really the Russians ought to be part of a functioning western alliance.
So a German run Europe would have been better for all, and there would have been no subsequent internal conflict.
You learn something new every day.
You might want to visit several cemeteries in France.
If only they would ‘drop us like a stone’. Oh happy day…
It can’t work like that now. The USA isn’t able to control the world on its own anymore. It needs allies, and more to the point the UK, Europe, the rest of the Americas, Australia etc need the USA. Even if we perfect a proper coherent Western set of military and economic alliances, it’ll still be difficult to contain China. It’s a great pity we’ve fallen out with Russia, because really the Russians ought to be part of a functioning western alliance.
They already have. Remember Albright’s statement that it was like dealing with huge pots of money, but she wouldn’t play.
They used to have ethics but Obama ended them!
“After all, the chief business of the American people is business.”
Well you could do better at it, you’re doing a very poor job all you Americans on here of understanding how business works. Business needs stability. For stability we need peace. So it might be that business is the chief business of the American people but it seems to me the problem is that you’re not actually very good at it. Your multinationals all manufacturer in China. Your silicone valley people, all invested in China. All got rich. Screwed your own manufacturing base, now you want to turn it around again. At great cost to us. Most business people understand that competition is healthy, that a free market is important for a healthy economy, America is starting to move far away from those principles by shutting off Chinese manufacturing, crippling Europe by shutting off Russia. Nopec Bill. No thank you.
We are bloody trying to run a business here in the UK. Do you understand just how serious this could get for us over here?
I could go on for hours about how it was not JUST America that won the world wars, please remember the red army were the first to Berlin, had the highest number of casualties of anyone. And while sit there on your high American horse, there’s people freezing there arses off in this country unable to afford gas, businesses that don’t know what to do from one month to the next, more like from one year to the next with covid now this. So maybe you could spare us the war victory trope, Germany is hurting too at the moment so leave off them as well. We are worried for good bloody reason, I’m putting up but I’m not shutting up. You will find the British people have already put up and shut up with your shenanagins for a long time. Remember 2008? America being good at business was that? Remember Iraq? Afghanistan? Our sons. Our daughters. It’s about time you treated us with some respect.
Unfortunately they haven’t forgiven us for thrashing them in the so called War of 1812, nor for burning the White House and all the major buildings of Washington DC to the ground in 1814.
Still “we mustn’t boast must we!”
Thank you Mr Stanhope, do you think that’s what it is?
I think my problem is I haven’t indulged in Internet posting for a fair time before joining here and I seem to have been saving it up, but hey ho sometimes it’s just good to let it out, I think I’m nearly done with that phase.
I know I’ve already subjected you (at length) to my feelings regarding America and you’ve been very patient with me, so I’ll spare you and everyone else, anymore rants, I’ve probably embarrassed myself enough already 🙂
Thank you Mr Stanhope, do you think that’s what it is?
I think my problem is I haven’t indulged in Internet posting for a fair time before joining here and I seem to have been saving it up, but hey ho sometimes it’s just good to let it out, I think I’m nearly done with that phase.
I know I’ve already subjected you (at length) to my feelings regarding America and you’ve been very patient with me, so I’ll spare you and everyone else, anymore rants, I’ve probably embarrassed myself enough already 🙂
Unfortunately they haven’t forgiven us for thrashing them in the so called War of 1812, nor for burning the White House and all the major buildings of Washington DC to the ground in 1814.
Still “we mustn’t boast must we!”
Well you could do better at it, you’re doing a very poor job all you Americans on here of understanding how business works. Business needs stability. For stability we need peace. So it might be that business is the chief business of the American people but it seems to me the problem is that you’re not actually very good at it. Your multinationals all manufacturer in China. Your silicone valley people, all invested in China. All got rich. Screwed your own manufacturing base, now you want to turn it around again. At great cost to us. Most business people understand that competition is healthy, that a free market is important for a healthy economy, America is starting to move far away from those principles by shutting off Chinese manufacturing, crippling Europe by shutting off Russia. Nopec Bill. No thank you.
We are bloody trying to run a business here in the UK. Do you understand just how serious this could get for us over here?
I could go on for hours about how it was not JUST America that won the world wars, please remember the red army were the first to Berlin, had the highest number of casualties of anyone. And while sit there on your high American horse, there’s people freezing there arses off in this country unable to afford gas, businesses that don’t know what to do from one month to the next, more like from one year to the next with covid now this. So maybe you could spare us the war victory trope, Germany is hurting too at the moment so leave off them as well. We are worried for good bloody reason, I’m putting up but I’m not shutting up. You will find the British people have already put up and shut up with your shenanagins for a long time. Remember 2008? America being good at business was that? Remember Iraq? Afghanistan? Our sons. Our daughters. It’s about time you treated us with some respect.
Interesting that they jump from one conflict to the next. Never ending wars and proxy wars. Hmm. I wonder why?
Free market economics is all about opportunity. Why do you describe it in terms that imply something sinister? It is the bedrock of the prosperity we all enjoy.
As for the USA not having alliances, the quote in the article by Kissinger was merely a repeat of Lord Palmerston’s own expression of exactly the same concept many years before applied to the UK, and it is of course an agnostic principle of nation-state diplomacy and statecraft in any case. America is under no particular obligation to apologise for it.
“come into my parlour said the spider to the fly”
The last 150 years surely, has shown the only true ally of the US is the US. Cast your eye across the globe and you see a repeating story of political usefulness leading to a buddying up. End of usefulness = “drop them like a stone” – South America, the middle East, the far East, North Africa – watch out Europe your next !
They already have. Remember Albright’s statement that it was like dealing with huge pots of money, but she wouldn’t play.
They used to have ethics but Obama ended them!
“After all, the chief business of the American people is business.”
I think American, those that trade, manufacture, create or market are classic opportunists. They’ll see an opportunity that benefits them in any situation and seize it, They are essentially commercial animals. They don’t really have alliances, a global philosophy or a sense of ethics. In the first stage of any conflict they’ll begin talking about human rights, the enemy of freedom loving people and building a safer world. But that’s just the door being opened for the bottom feeders. The US will do very well out of Ukraine.
You can’t reason with a paranoid maniac. Putin may be strategic (though the evidence is increasingly shaky) but his premise – that Russia needs a buffer zone against Western invasion – is born of a delusion.
Granted, Russia has been invaded in the past (though in the 40s only after itself carving up Poland with Hitler) – but for the past eighty years the only invasions in have been the Russians pushing their troops into Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Finland, Georgia, Ukraine…
The fact that Eastern European want Nato membership isn’t NATO forcing itself on those countries, it’s a rational response to having a domineering, paranoid, heavily armed, expansionist, economically self-f*cked neighbour – whose people, a majority at least, seem happy to be led by a psychopath.
A far more realistic summary than the article itself.
Quite right. I upvoted you, but then your total upvotes went down instead of up. Peculiar, and not my fault.
Maybe joining NATO will give them more security. But I don’t understand why NATO would not help a country even if it was not part of NATO and being invaded by another state? Why must they be part of NATO to be considered a victim of another power and needing support?
A far more realistic summary than the article itself.
Quite right. I upvoted you, but then your total upvotes went down instead of up. Peculiar, and not my fault.
Maybe joining NATO will give them more security. But I don’t understand why NATO would not help a country even if it was not part of NATO and being invaded by another state? Why must they be part of NATO to be considered a victim of another power and needing support?
You can’t reason with a paranoid maniac. Putin may be strategic (though the evidence is increasingly shaky) but his premise – that Russia needs a buffer zone against Western invasion – is born of a delusion.
Granted, Russia has been invaded in the past (though in the 40s only after itself carving up Poland with Hitler) – but for the past eighty years the only invasions in have been the Russians pushing their troops into Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Finland, Georgia, Ukraine…
The fact that Eastern European want Nato membership isn’t NATO forcing itself on those countries, it’s a rational response to having a domineering, paranoid, heavily armed, expansionist, economically self-f*cked neighbour – whose people, a majority at least, seem happy to be led by a psychopath.
No two countries, ever, share exactly the same interests, but there’re other things to care for, such as cultural traditions and values. Confronted with a West-hating, illiberal and autocratic alliance of Russia, China and Iran, the USA and EU need to remember that they’re, ultimately, in the same boat.
The problem is that same boat happens to be increasingly self-hating, illiberal, and autocratic.
Why would they ‘hate’ the west? They just want the USSA to leave them TF alone, for once. The USSA has spent decades meddling in all three, China (since the 1890s) and Iran (since the 1920s) in particular. Always this effort to portray people YOU hate as people who have, er, an obsession with hating you. It’s a narcissistic-psychopathic displacement fantasy.
And if the sick woke bigoted depraved intolerant degenerate ‘culture’ we have now in ‘the west’ constitutes ‘liberalism’ and our, er, ‘cultural traditions (!) and values’, chum, then you can keep it. The values of the stinking Woke campus, BBC-New York Times, rainbow LGBTQ trans-worshipping Blob bureaucracy, BLM-kneeling FA, Biden junta and the rest of it may be your ‘cultural traditions and values’, but by God they are not mine. If anyone’s standing up for the cultural traditions of civilisation, nation and hard reality, it is Putin and Russia.
The problem is that same boat happens to be increasingly self-hating, illiberal, and autocratic.
Why would they ‘hate’ the west? They just want the USSA to leave them TF alone, for once. The USSA has spent decades meddling in all three, China (since the 1890s) and Iran (since the 1920s) in particular. Always this effort to portray people YOU hate as people who have, er, an obsession with hating you. It’s a narcissistic-psychopathic displacement fantasy.
And if the sick woke bigoted depraved intolerant degenerate ‘culture’ we have now in ‘the west’ constitutes ‘liberalism’ and our, er, ‘cultural traditions (!) and values’, chum, then you can keep it. The values of the stinking Woke campus, BBC-New York Times, rainbow LGBTQ trans-worshipping Blob bureaucracy, BLM-kneeling FA, Biden junta and the rest of it may be your ‘cultural traditions and values’, but by God they are not mine. If anyone’s standing up for the cultural traditions of civilisation, nation and hard reality, it is Putin and Russia.
No two countries, ever, share exactly the same interests, but there’re other things to care for, such as cultural traditions and values. Confronted with a West-hating, illiberal and autocratic alliance of Russia, China and Iran, the USA and EU need to remember that they’re, ultimately, in the same boat.
The present crisis illustrates how inept our politicians have been over the last few decades. Leaving basics like water and energy to the free-market should have been left behind in the 20th century. Europe can be a positive example of governance to the rest of the world, but must drop its obsession with narcisistic cultural issues, concentrate on the basics, and unite around a common Enlightenment programme.
I’m not sure any European country has left energy production to the free markets.
I’m not sure you have grasped how the global energy market works, or understand the current crisis. There’s a lot going on in the energy markets at the moment, it is simplistic at best to blame Europe, more than I can summarise here in the time I have but:
One: when it comes to investment in energy, it pretty much all comes from the ‘free market’, the big players like BP, exxon, shell, Gazprom, Cnooc etc. Etc. The article about peak oil below talks about BP investing £5 billion in green by 2030. More examples:
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Texas-Senate-Committee-Takes-Aim-At-BlackRock-Over-ESG-Policies.html
https://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Nuclear-Power/Tech-Billionaires-Are-Betting-Big-On-Nuclear-Power.html
Two: Another massive part of the problem for Europe is in the derivatives market explained by yanis varoufakis, guy I’m a big fan of.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=NicE0-N9ux0
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Europes-Multi-Trillion-Euro-Energy-Derivatives-Market-Is-Under-Scrutiny.html
Three: There is enormous, gigantic, investment going into hydrogen at the moment.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.euronews.com/my-europe/amp/2022/12/09/hydrogen-pipeline-between-spain-and-france-to-be-complete-by-2030-and-cost-25-billion
https://www.google.com/amp/s/oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Scientist-Invent-New-Way-To-Convert-Ammonia-Into-Hydrogen.amp.html
That should keep you going for a while, short on time today. I don’t know what’s going on at the moment but it seems we are also in the process of moving into nuclear, hydrogen and renewables, and the big firms are moving out of fossil fuels, explained a bit here: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/The-Biggest-Argument-For-Peak-Oil.html. The peak oil story is worth keeping an eye on too.
As far as I’m concerned, the US companies are making big money from selling lng to us, all the big oil firms have posted record profits. Europe is suffering big time from the sanctions on Russia. Much worse than America.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/08/trafigura-posts-17bn-net-profit-fuelled-by-ukraine-war
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/totalenergies-shell-post-bumper-profits-lng-business-diverges-2022-10-27/
All very interesting.
Great article Mr Fazi.
Some good stuff there, but a few misleading items as well. I’ve been in the industry 42 years, 21 with BP, all in the alternate energy sectors. The rush to nuclear, hydrogen, and renewables is mostly green-washing. Sure, BP wants to be a big player when these things become important, but everyone knows (everyone with any sense, that is) that this is decades, many decades, away. Only government mandates can change that, and we have seen how well that works – gilet jeunes, Sri Lanka, Dutch farmers, etc – because the costs are far too high to compete with oil and gas (and coal), and some – ethanol – are false ecological fixes. The free market will tell us when we near peak oil because it will become very expensive WITHOUT government manipulation. Of course, governments can screw up anything.
Europe fell for the green propaganda in an effort to prove their ‘virtue’ and are now suffering the consequences. The US did a similar thing with medical supplies from China and suffered during the pandemic.
The US and Europe will remain allies and friends as long as their interests align, which is likely for a long time into the future. We also have strong philosophical alignment, so that will support the relationship when economic/political events are challenging.
Yes but if BP isn’t exploring any more oil and gas fields, we have no choice but to change what we use do we. I understand green washing I work in the electrical industry so I’ve worked on a lot of ‘green’ projects. We get an avalanche of new regs with every new development. BP is taking it to quite a level in that peak oil article. Do you dispute that they said we had passed peak oil? My point more was that Europe is way out of control at this point, it can’t control the derivatives market, it can’t control the gas or electricity markets without further intervention (that might go as well as the Russian oil price cap, down like a lead balloon). The oil market is already upset with this intervention. America is in charge of how much lng we get now, lng freighters are in very high demand, there’s a complete mess in Germany where Gazprom has been kicked out their gas refineries. Spanish lng ports can’t keep up. I dispute I have posted anything ‘misleading’ everything I have posted I have provided a source for, please be more specific and I will address your point. On the last Fazi article another poster did a good job of explaining peak oil, so I won’t repeat and reshare the stuff I put on there again, but it’s on there if you want to get into it.
I refute that hydrogen is that far away:
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/environment/2022/nov/21/no-choice-hydrogen-heating-pilot-whitby-ellesmere-port-lab-rats
https://www.constructionenquirer.com/2022/10/24/jcb-rolls-out-worlds-first-hydrogen-refueller-truck/#:~:text=JCB%20has%20designed%20the%20world's,equipment%20around%20large%20construction%20sites
https://www.great.gov.uk/international/content/investment/sectors/hydrogen/
How will the US be supporting us, I’m curious? At the moment we are paying above the odds for lng, America is pushing the nopec bill again, very isolationist, only going to cause more trouble.
“Do you dispute that they said we had passed peak oil?” Current peak oil debate becomes a bit confusing since “peak oil” has historically been associated with reserves. Now it seems to be used as a demand issue which would make it easy to claim we’ve passed peak oil when it essentially is being outlawed.
OK fair enough, I know peak oil is disputed, but that poster said he worked for BP, BP have specifically said that we passed peak oil, according to them, in 2020, they have said they will not explore any further gas or oil fields from 2030. That they will be investing in hydrogen, renewables etc. To the tune of $5 billion. The reason they give for this, is peak oil.
So, if the oil companies are moving away from further exploration, and into hydrogen and nuclear instead, for this reason, it doesn’t matter what green policy anyone implements, if we want power, its going to come from the big firms who are at this moment swiftly shifting to hydrogen and nuclear. So we could say yes let’s get gas/oil from wherever, but without the backing of firms like BP, the project is surely unlikely to happen. From the article title argument for peak oil above:
It’s been two years since British oil and gas supermajor BP Plc. (NYSE: BP) dramatically declared that the world was already past Peak Oil demand. In the company’s 2020 Energy Outlook, chief executive Bernard Looney pledged that BP would increase its renewables spending twentyfold to $5 billion a year by 2030 and “… not enter any new countries for oil and gas exploration”. That announcement came as a bit of a shocker given how aggressive BP has been in exploring new oil and gas frontiers.
When many analysts talk about Peak Oil, they are usually referring to that point in time when global oil demand enters a phase of terminal and irreversible decline. According to BP, this point has already come and gone, with oil demand slated to fall by at least 10% in the current decade and by as much as 50% over the next two. BP noted that historically, energy demand has risen steadily in tandem with global economic growth with few interruptions; however, the COVID-19 crisis and increased climate action might have permanently altered that playbook.
So what I’m trying to say, is squarely blaming Europe for the debacle unfolding in the energy markets right now, is far from fair or correct. There seems to be a lot going on and going wrong here, not all of it Europes fault and none of it can be easily fixed.
Bernard Looney may have been aptly named. So-called experts have been predicting ‘Peak Oil’ for many decades, only to be disproved by new discoveries.
Bernard Looney may have been aptly named. So-called experts have been predicting ‘Peak Oil’ for many decades, only to be disproved by new discoveries.
OK fair enough, I know peak oil is disputed, but that poster said he worked for BP, BP have specifically said that we passed peak oil, according to them, in 2020, they have said they will not explore any further gas or oil fields from 2030. That they will be investing in hydrogen, renewables etc. To the tune of $5 billion. The reason they give for this, is peak oil.
So, if the oil companies are moving away from further exploration, and into hydrogen and nuclear instead, for this reason, it doesn’t matter what green policy anyone implements, if we want power, its going to come from the big firms who are at this moment swiftly shifting to hydrogen and nuclear. So we could say yes let’s get gas/oil from wherever, but without the backing of firms like BP, the project is surely unlikely to happen. From the article title argument for peak oil above:
It’s been two years since British oil and gas supermajor BP Plc. (NYSE: BP) dramatically declared that the world was already past Peak Oil demand. In the company’s 2020 Energy Outlook, chief executive Bernard Looney pledged that BP would increase its renewables spending twentyfold to $5 billion a year by 2030 and “… not enter any new countries for oil and gas exploration”. That announcement came as a bit of a shocker given how aggressive BP has been in exploring new oil and gas frontiers.
When many analysts talk about Peak Oil, they are usually referring to that point in time when global oil demand enters a phase of terminal and irreversible decline. According to BP, this point has already come and gone, with oil demand slated to fall by at least 10% in the current decade and by as much as 50% over the next two. BP noted that historically, energy demand has risen steadily in tandem with global economic growth with few interruptions; however, the COVID-19 crisis and increased climate action might have permanently altered that playbook.
So what I’m trying to say, is squarely blaming Europe for the debacle unfolding in the energy markets right now, is far from fair or correct. There seems to be a lot going on and going wrong here, not all of it Europes fault and none of it can be easily fixed.
“Do you dispute that they said we had passed peak oil?” Current peak oil debate becomes a bit confusing since “peak oil” has historically been associated with reserves. Now it seems to be used as a demand issue which would make it easy to claim we’ve passed peak oil when it essentially is being outlawed.
Yes but if BP isn’t exploring any more oil and gas fields, we have no choice but to change what we use do we. I understand green washing I work in the electrical industry so I’ve worked on a lot of ‘green’ projects. We get an avalanche of new regs with every new development. BP is taking it to quite a level in that peak oil article. Do you dispute that they said we had passed peak oil? My point more was that Europe is way out of control at this point, it can’t control the derivatives market, it can’t control the gas or electricity markets without further intervention (that might go as well as the Russian oil price cap, down like a lead balloon). The oil market is already upset with this intervention. America is in charge of how much lng we get now, lng freighters are in very high demand, there’s a complete mess in Germany where Gazprom has been kicked out their gas refineries. Spanish lng ports can’t keep up. I dispute I have posted anything ‘misleading’ everything I have posted I have provided a source for, please be more specific and I will address your point. On the last Fazi article another poster did a good job of explaining peak oil, so I won’t repeat and reshare the stuff I put on there again, but it’s on there if you want to get into it.
I refute that hydrogen is that far away:
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/environment/2022/nov/21/no-choice-hydrogen-heating-pilot-whitby-ellesmere-port-lab-rats
https://www.constructionenquirer.com/2022/10/24/jcb-rolls-out-worlds-first-hydrogen-refueller-truck/#:~:text=JCB%20has%20designed%20the%20world's,equipment%20around%20large%20construction%20sites
https://www.great.gov.uk/international/content/investment/sectors/hydrogen/
How will the US be supporting us, I’m curious? At the moment we are paying above the odds for lng, America is pushing the nopec bill again, very isolationist, only going to cause more trouble.
Some good stuff there, but a few misleading items as well. I’ve been in the industry 42 years, 21 with BP, all in the alternate energy sectors. The rush to nuclear, hydrogen, and renewables is mostly green-washing. Sure, BP wants to be a big player when these things become important, but everyone knows (everyone with any sense, that is) that this is decades, many decades, away. Only government mandates can change that, and we have seen how well that works – gilet jeunes, Sri Lanka, Dutch farmers, etc – because the costs are far too high to compete with oil and gas (and coal), and some – ethanol – are false ecological fixes. The free market will tell us when we near peak oil because it will become very expensive WITHOUT government manipulation. Of course, governments can screw up anything.
Europe fell for the green propaganda in an effort to prove their ‘virtue’ and are now suffering the consequences. The US did a similar thing with medical supplies from China and suffered during the pandemic.
The US and Europe will remain allies and friends as long as their interests align, which is likely for a long time into the future. We also have strong philosophical alignment, so that will support the relationship when economic/political events are challenging.
I’m not sure you have grasped how the global energy market works, or understand the current crisis. There’s a lot going on in the energy markets at the moment, it is simplistic at best to blame Europe, more than I can summarise here in the time I have but:
One: when it comes to investment in energy, it pretty much all comes from the ‘free market’, the big players like BP, exxon, shell, Gazprom, Cnooc etc. Etc. The article about peak oil below talks about BP investing £5 billion in green by 2030. More examples:
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Texas-Senate-Committee-Takes-Aim-At-BlackRock-Over-ESG-Policies.html
https://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Nuclear-Power/Tech-Billionaires-Are-Betting-Big-On-Nuclear-Power.html
Two: Another massive part of the problem for Europe is in the derivatives market explained by yanis varoufakis, guy I’m a big fan of.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=NicE0-N9ux0
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Europes-Multi-Trillion-Euro-Energy-Derivatives-Market-Is-Under-Scrutiny.html
Three: There is enormous, gigantic, investment going into hydrogen at the moment.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.euronews.com/my-europe/amp/2022/12/09/hydrogen-pipeline-between-spain-and-france-to-be-complete-by-2030-and-cost-25-billion
https://www.google.com/amp/s/oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Scientist-Invent-New-Way-To-Convert-Ammonia-Into-Hydrogen.amp.html
That should keep you going for a while, short on time today. I don’t know what’s going on at the moment but it seems we are also in the process of moving into nuclear, hydrogen and renewables, and the big firms are moving out of fossil fuels, explained a bit here: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/The-Biggest-Argument-For-Peak-Oil.html. The peak oil story is worth keeping an eye on too.
As far as I’m concerned, the US companies are making big money from selling lng to us, all the big oil firms have posted record profits. Europe is suffering big time from the sanctions on Russia. Much worse than America.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/08/trafigura-posts-17bn-net-profit-fuelled-by-ukraine-war
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/totalenergies-shell-post-bumper-profits-lng-business-diverges-2022-10-27/
All very interesting.
Great article Mr Fazi.
Leave it to the state and you end up like the USSR or Venezuela
Only the basics. It is not a binary choice between free markets ‘rip them off’, and communist ‘dissent = gulag’. As the 21st century unfolds, this model will be slowly adopted; some, like the Brits, screaming and howling.
It never sticks with “just the basics” though. “The basics” become an entrenched vested interest and the ratchet only ever tightens.The slippery slope is undefeated.
It never sticks with “just the basics” though. “The basics” become an entrenched vested interest and the ratchet only ever tightens.The slippery slope is undefeated.
The USSR broke up in 1989, i.e.33 years ago!
You should look up the” Russian Federation Constitution” on the internet to get a better understanding of Russia as it is today.
Of course it is different in a war situation with legislation denying free speech and criticism of decision-making in the press but isn’t that happening in the West too?.
Ukraine was notorious for its corruption before the war. Today it is a paragon of virtue! Such is the manipulation of our minds!
Only the basics. It is not a binary choice between free markets ‘rip them off’, and communist ‘dissent = gulag’. As the 21st century unfolds, this model will be slowly adopted; some, like the Brits, screaming and howling.
The USSR broke up in 1989, i.e.33 years ago!
You should look up the” Russian Federation Constitution” on the internet to get a better understanding of Russia as it is today.
Of course it is different in a war situation with legislation denying free speech and criticism of decision-making in the press but isn’t that happening in the West too?.
Ukraine was notorious for its corruption before the war. Today it is a paragon of virtue! Such is the manipulation of our minds!
I wouldn’t hold my breath for that, I’m afraid.
That would depend on how you define “Enlightenment”. Views of that will differ widely and wildly.
I’m not sure any European country has left energy production to the free markets.
Leave it to the state and you end up like the USSR or Venezuela
I wouldn’t hold my breath for that, I’m afraid.
That would depend on how you define “Enlightenment”. Views of that will differ widely and wildly.
The present crisis illustrates how inept our politicians have been over the last few decades. Leaving basics like water and energy to the free-market should have been left behind in the 20th century. Europe can be a positive example of governance to the rest of the world, but must drop its obsession with narcisistic cultural issues, concentrate on the basics, and unite around a common Enlightenment programme.
The religion of climate change kills. Now in Europe, going forward the deaths will continue in Africa, India, etc.
The religion of climate change kills. Now in Europe, going forward the deaths will continue in Africa, India, etc.
Both Europe and Ukraine are fools, and fools deserve what they get.
Ukraine, because it agreed to become a pawn to threaten Russia and entangle them in a war, despite enough evidence (South Vietnam, Pakistan) that it would be catastrophic for their country.
Europe, because they were unable to figure out that the US is of a more natural rival and Russia is a natural ally.
For all the “Evil Putin” and Russia about to invade Poland talk, fact is Russia (led by men like Putin) withdrew voluntarily and peacefully from East Europe and did nothing to seriously threaten Europe till 2014.
And why would they?
A nice easy trade deal where they keep supplying gas, huge improvement in living standards from the terrible 90s, a neutral and friendly Ukraine, life was good.
The only country which benefited from NATO and hostile missiles in Ukraine, a horrible war in Ukraine, Europe cutoff from cheap energy? Was it really that difficult to figure out the answer to that question?
Putin’s only interest in Europe is reclaiming as much as possible for his own personal empire.
Whilst I agree the Russian people themselves would make could partners, they have a long history of failing to establish a democracy.
“Putin’s only interest in Europe is reclaiming as much as possible for his own personal empire.”
The funny thing is, Putin is under fire from the more aggressive and nationalistic parts of his own country for having being too soft and conciliatory.
And as for Russian people and democracy, they tried that in the 90s. Not a great advert for democracy, though.
“Putin’s only interest in Europe is reclaiming as much as possible for his own personal empire.”
The funny thing is, Putin is under fire from the more aggressive and nationalistic parts of his own country for having being too soft and conciliatory.
And as for Russian people and democracy, they tried that in the 90s. Not a great advert for democracy, though.
Russia has brutally suppressed its former satellite states in Europe. Their attitudes and actions have not changed with Putin, who leads a kleptomaniacal dictatorship. Ex soviet satellite states want to be shielded from Russian aggression – hence NATO expansion. If Russia changed its rhetoric and expansionist policies perhaps others would not feel as threatened and perhaps closer mutually beneficial alliances could be forged.
Dear Samir – How about taking that towel off your head; it’s guaranteed to improve your view of reality.
Dear Wim – how about pulling your head out from your own arsehole, it’s guaranteed to improve your manners.
Dear Wim – how about pulling your head out from your own arsehole, it’s guaranteed to improve your manners.
Putin’s only interest in Europe is reclaiming as much as possible for his own personal empire.
Whilst I agree the Russian people themselves would make could partners, they have a long history of failing to establish a democracy.
Russia has brutally suppressed its former satellite states in Europe. Their attitudes and actions have not changed with Putin, who leads a kleptomaniacal dictatorship. Ex soviet satellite states want to be shielded from Russian aggression – hence NATO expansion. If Russia changed its rhetoric and expansionist policies perhaps others would not feel as threatened and perhaps closer mutually beneficial alliances could be forged.
Dear Samir – How about taking that towel off your head; it’s guaranteed to improve your view of reality.
Both Europe and Ukraine are fools, and fools deserve what they get.
Ukraine, because it agreed to become a pawn to threaten Russia and entangle them in a war, despite enough evidence (South Vietnam, Pakistan) that it would be catastrophic for their country.
Europe, because they were unable to figure out that the US is of a more natural rival and Russia is a natural ally.
For all the “Evil Putin” and Russia about to invade Poland talk, fact is Russia (led by men like Putin) withdrew voluntarily and peacefully from East Europe and did nothing to seriously threaten Europe till 2014.
And why would they?
A nice easy trade deal where they keep supplying gas, huge improvement in living standards from the terrible 90s, a neutral and friendly Ukraine, life was good.
The only country which benefited from NATO and hostile missiles in Ukraine, a horrible war in Ukraine, Europe cutoff from cheap energy? Was it really that difficult to figure out the answer to that question?
The US has done a lot to support Europe, not just the EU.
Yes, Europe could do more to stand on its own two feet, but don’t let’s blame the USA for Europe’s incapacity.
The US has done a lot to support Europe, not just the EU.
Yes, Europe could do more to stand on its own two feet, but don’t let’s blame the USA for Europe’s incapacity.
Even with working electricity generation, cold weather kills. In the UK, some thousands of deaths every year, and more in the colder decades after the war. Lemming like journos ignorr this fact, fastening on a few hundred dead from the heat as proof of AGW.
Even with working electricity generation, cold weather kills. In the UK, some thousands of deaths every year, and more in the colder decades after the war. Lemming like journos ignorr this fact, fastening on a few hundred dead from the heat as proof of AGW.
The US insisting on a high price for security support is not exactly new. The details behind wartime Lend-Lease arrangements and subsequent Bretton Woods agreement show there is really nothing new in this. And yet one can still hold the view they remain our strongest ally at the same time. Realpolitik is not straight-forward.
Of course the lessons of 70+ yrs ago was an added spur for greater European collaboration which rapidly developed post war. The squeeze being currently experienced between Putin and US interests is v likely, as the dust settles, to reinforce that necessity for a new generation. Energy policy of course is also learning some hard lessons, but again mutual collaboration and support the essential medium term approach.
The tendency though to semi-justify Putin’s invasion should be strongly resisted. NATO is no threat to Russia and merely a threat to some Russian egos. To appease a brutal invasion so we can avoid some pain of our own this winter, alongside the need to think much more coherently about energy policy, could be an era defining example of moral weakness which we could all live to regret.
The US insisting on a high price for security support is not exactly new. The details behind wartime Lend-Lease arrangements and subsequent Bretton Woods agreement show there is really nothing new in this. And yet one can still hold the view they remain our strongest ally at the same time. Realpolitik is not straight-forward.
Of course the lessons of 70+ yrs ago was an added spur for greater European collaboration which rapidly developed post war. The squeeze being currently experienced between Putin and US interests is v likely, as the dust settles, to reinforce that necessity for a new generation. Energy policy of course is also learning some hard lessons, but again mutual collaboration and support the essential medium term approach.
The tendency though to semi-justify Putin’s invasion should be strongly resisted. NATO is no threat to Russia and merely a threat to some Russian egos. To appease a brutal invasion so we can avoid some pain of our own this winter, alongside the need to think much more coherently about energy policy, could be an era defining example of moral weakness which we could all live to regret.
“Several European officials have accused the Americans of profiting from the war — and from Europe’s hardship. In their attempt to reduce their reliance on Russian energy, EU countries have turned to gas from the US instead — but the price Europeans pay is almost four times higher than the same fuel costs in America.” Got to say I told you so on this one. Been commenting for months on stories like this about how the USA is the number one producer of gas in the world, and understood very well that the sanctions would be manageable for America but devastating for Europe from the start, and that begging the Saudis to maintain oil production was always just a dog and pony show for the ignorant masses.
Of course Europe is paying prices four times as high as America for gas. Of course the Europeans are expected to hold their nose and accept American protectionism without retaliation. Of course Europe is expected to participate in sanctions against Russia. This is how empires work, traditionally speaking, going back to ancient times. It used to be a lot simpler and more direct, with smaller kingdoms simply paying tribute to larger ones, either gold or part of the harvest or soldiers or w/e else might be available. These days it is subtler, but the point is basically the same. Europe is basically in a tributary relationship with the US, and has been since WWII. For the first 80 or so years, the relationship was relatively harmonious because the vassal (Europe) benefitted from military security and trading relationships and the empire made few demands mainly because the empire was still in its growth phase and had little need to demand anything from anyone. That time has passed. America has found the limitations of its own growth, and the bills are coming due, which everybody riding America’s coattails will be expected to pay. In any tributary relationship, vassal states have to put up with unfair treatment because of the unequal nature of the relationship. Further, in any relationship between nations, equal or unequal, members leverage is based on what they bring to the table. Europe has little military power. They are resource and energy poor. Their manufacturing sector is in worse shape than ours. European states spend most of their budgets on expansive welfare programs instead of investing in economic or military strength. They have no leverage. NATO runs on inertia from the past, not present benefits. America holds all the cards in this relationship. It might be better for Europe to terminate the relationship before it becomes toxic and abusive in addition to being unequal, but given the overall reaction to Ukraine, I don’t see that happening. Europe had better get used to this dynamic, because it’s going to get worse, not better. Cutting off Russia was just the first demand. Cutting off China will be the next one.
“Several European officials have accused the Americans of profiting from the war — and from Europe’s hardship. In their attempt to reduce their reliance on Russian energy, EU countries have turned to gas from the US instead — but the price Europeans pay is almost four times higher than the same fuel costs in America.” Got to say I told you so on this one. Been commenting for months on stories like this about how the USA is the number one producer of gas in the world, and understood very well that the sanctions would be manageable for America but devastating for Europe from the start, and that begging the Saudis to maintain oil production was always just a dog and pony show for the ignorant masses.
Of course Europe is paying prices four times as high as America for gas. Of course the Europeans are expected to hold their nose and accept American protectionism without retaliation. Of course Europe is expected to participate in sanctions against Russia. This is how empires work, traditionally speaking, going back to ancient times. It used to be a lot simpler and more direct, with smaller kingdoms simply paying tribute to larger ones, either gold or part of the harvest or soldiers or w/e else might be available. These days it is subtler, but the point is basically the same. Europe is basically in a tributary relationship with the US, and has been since WWII. For the first 80 or so years, the relationship was relatively harmonious because the vassal (Europe) benefitted from military security and trading relationships and the empire made few demands mainly because the empire was still in its growth phase and had little need to demand anything from anyone. That time has passed. America has found the limitations of its own growth, and the bills are coming due, which everybody riding America’s coattails will be expected to pay. In any tributary relationship, vassal states have to put up with unfair treatment because of the unequal nature of the relationship. Further, in any relationship between nations, equal or unequal, members leverage is based on what they bring to the table. Europe has little military power. They are resource and energy poor. Their manufacturing sector is in worse shape than ours. European states spend most of their budgets on expansive welfare programs instead of investing in economic or military strength. They have no leverage. NATO runs on inertia from the past, not present benefits. America holds all the cards in this relationship. It might be better for Europe to terminate the relationship before it becomes toxic and abusive in addition to being unequal, but given the overall reaction to Ukraine, I don’t see that happening. Europe had better get used to this dynamic, because it’s going to get worse, not better. Cutting off Russia was just the first demand. Cutting off China will be the next one.
Excellent assessment. The EU has been politically naive, that’s obvious. It’s time for it to grow up and think more strategically.
Excellent assessment. The EU has been politically naive, that’s obvious. It’s time for it to grow up and think more strategically.
Europe only has itself to blame for its energy crisis. By demonising reliable nuclear power, fetishising unreliable renewables and relying on Russia for gas supplies we have behaved like short-sighted morons. We deserve everything we get from our own stupidity.
Europe only has itself to blame for its energy crisis. By demonising reliable nuclear power, fetishising unreliable renewables and relying on Russia for gas supplies we have behaved like short-sighted morons. We deserve everything we get from our own stupidity.
Well the Europeans should have jumped in to save the pipeline from Israel to Eurpoe when the Americans pulled the plug. Anyone with an ounce of brain matter could see that the Americans were eager to protect their own supplies to Europe at inflated cost in the certain knowledge that they had no competitors. He who hesitates is lost!
Well the Europeans should have jumped in to save the pipeline from Israel to Eurpoe when the Americans pulled the plug. Anyone with an ounce of brain matter could see that the Americans were eager to protect their own supplies to Europe at inflated cost in the certain knowledge that they had no competitors. He who hesitates is lost!
The argument that Russia invaded Ukraine to prevent NATO from being on its border seems odd when Russia’s aim, explicitly stated by Putin, is to absorb Ukraine as a seamless part of the Russian Federation. Should Western European nations then be required to neutralize those who are newly adjacent to reduce Russian concerns?
I would be interested to see where Putin said that re Ukraine. Recently?
I would be interested to see where Putin said that re Ukraine. Recently?
The argument that Russia invaded Ukraine to prevent NATO from being on its border seems odd when Russia’s aim, explicitly stated by Putin, is to absorb Ukraine as a seamless part of the Russian Federation. Should Western European nations then be required to neutralize those who are newly adjacent to reduce Russian concerns?
Did anyone else notice the PR damage limitation this week on indiscreet details from Merkels biography?
Merkel says “Minsk Agreement was an opportunity to buy time to arm Ukraine”
UK Defence Sec Ben Wallace says “Putin will use any peace negotiations as an opportunity to buy time to rearm”
How to make quoting Merkel against the West sound ridiculous. Clever.
Did anyone else notice the PR damage limitation this week on indiscreet details from Merkels biography?
Merkel says “Minsk Agreement was an opportunity to buy time to arm Ukraine”
UK Defence Sec Ben Wallace says “Putin will use any peace negotiations as an opportunity to buy time to rearm”
How to make quoting Merkel against the West sound ridiculous. Clever.
At tremendous cost for decades the US has been defending Europe from its enemies in the east and elsewhere . It continually urged Europeans to budget two per cent of its GNP for self-defense. Only the UK, Poland and France succeeded from time to time. The rest, particularly the deadbeat Germans, simply refused. The ingratitude expressed in this article is is ahistorical at the very least. Now that Russia has returned to being Russia once again, some are saying the US has no right to take a profit from its job of being the world’s policeman, a burden it is all too anxious to shed. You can’t have it both ways. If you want your hedgemon to be the Kremlin rather than Washington, D.C., you are certainly free make that choice. Meanwhile, the US has China to consider while at the same time dealing with the rages of malignant wokeism. The military has been forced to lower its intellectual and physical standards because young white males, the bedrock of the increasing feminized services, are not signing up in the numbers they once did.
At tremendous cost for decades the US has been defending Europe from its enemies in the east and elsewhere . It continually urged Europeans to budget two per cent of its GNP for self-defense. Only the UK, Poland and France succeeded from time to time. The rest, particularly the deadbeat Germans, simply refused. The ingratitude expressed in this article is is ahistorical at the very least. Now that Russia has returned to being Russia once again, some are saying the US has no right to take a profit from its job of being the world’s policeman, a burden it is all too anxious to shed. You can’t have it both ways. If you want your hedgemon to be the Kremlin rather than Washington, D.C., you are certainly free make that choice. Meanwhile, the US has China to consider while at the same time dealing with the rages of malignant wokeism. The military has been forced to lower its intellectual and physical standards because young white males, the bedrock of the increasing feminized services, are not signing up in the numbers they once did.
Good article. America has the capacity to produce more natural gas to sell at a reasonable, but not inflated, profit to our European allies. Unfortunately, the Biden Administration’s green agenda war on fossil fuels being produced in the U.S. works against this.
Good article. America has the capacity to produce more natural gas to sell at a reasonable, but not inflated, profit to our European allies. Unfortunately, the Biden Administration’s green agenda war on fossil fuels being produced in the U.S. works against this.
The war has been a god send to the Biden administration, However, Putin was an idiot to play into Biden’s and Nato’s hands then way he has. All he had to do was wait until winter and cut off all gas supplies with the minimum of warning.
The US is now prepared to fight to the last Ukrainian to weaken Russia, but the longer the war goes on, the more damage is being done to the world economy, the more people will starve in developing countries and the more people will freeze to death in Europe.
Also, the more people will die in Ukraine, including the same men who will be needed to rebuild the country. How will it be paid for? If Russia’s economy is destroyed, how will they pay reparations? The US tax payer may feel they have done their bit by paying for the weapons, and not be up for any “Marshal Plan”.
Let’s look at Ukraine’s war aims (or are they America’s war aims). If they were to take back the eastern Donbass and the Crimea, they would ethnically cleanse the Russian people living there, Many who have been living there since the 18th century, and have always considered them selves to Russian, till an unelected Dictator (Khrushchev) handed them to Ukraine for bureaucratic reasons in 1954..
This ethnic cleansing would involve massacres of tens of thousands. It is not up to Ukraine to decide on peace talks,It is up to the US and NATO.. They supply the weapons, however, Western Europe must stand up tp the US.
Tut-tut.
Tut-tut.
The war has been a god send to the Biden administration, However, Putin was an idiot to play into Biden’s and Nato’s hands then way he has. All he had to do was wait until winter and cut off all gas supplies with the minimum of warning.
The US is now prepared to fight to the last Ukrainian to weaken Russia, but the longer the war goes on, the more damage is being done to the world economy, the more people will starve in developing countries and the more people will freeze to death in Europe.
Also, the more people will die in Ukraine, including the same men who will be needed to rebuild the country. How will it be paid for? If Russia’s economy is destroyed, how will they pay reparations? The US tax payer may feel they have done their bit by paying for the weapons, and not be up for any “Marshal Plan”.
Let’s look at Ukraine’s war aims (or are they America’s war aims). If they were to take back the eastern Donbass and the Crimea, they would ethnically cleanse the Russian people living there, Many who have been living there since the 18th century, and have always considered them selves to Russian, till an unelected Dictator (Khrushchev) handed them to Ukraine for bureaucratic reasons in 1954..
This ethnic cleansing would involve massacres of tens of thousands. It is not up to Ukraine to decide on peace talks,It is up to the US and NATO.. They supply the weapons, however, Western Europe must stand up tp the US.
Europe’s interests definitely do not lie in abandoning Ukraine to Russian invasion. I often agree with Thomas Fazi, but to suggest (as he does) that Russia had a legitimate reason to invade and that Ukraine is some sort of US proxy is a huge disservice to the Ukrainian people. This is not a US imperialist war. This is a war of national liberation. As far as I’m concerned, all of the world should be rallying around Ukraine. Russia started this by invading in the first place. NATO troops weren’t close to Russia until it illegally annexed Crimea in 2014.
The anti-American spin of this article is very visible. The USA, however, should not be blamed for pursuing a modern industrial policy. Europe should have exploited its shale gas resources instead of relying on Russia. They also should have pursued nuclear energy instead of unreliable wind and solar. The Germans have laid their bed, so they should get in it and stop complaining. If German industry fails, so what? Hopefully it’ll move to Italy and Spain whose industry was gutted by joining the Euro and Single Market. If this crisis causes the EU to collapse then that can only be a good thing. Europe need to stop looking to the US for help as well. Europeans are just as capable as Americans, but they lack the self-belief and strategic thinking.
Europe’s interests definitely do not lie in abandoning Ukraine to Russian invasion. I often agree with Thomas Fazi, but to suggest (as he does) that Russia had a legitimate reason to invade and that Ukraine is some sort of US proxy is a huge disservice to the Ukrainian people. This is not a US imperialist war. This is a war of national liberation. As far as I’m concerned, all of the world should be rallying around Ukraine. Russia started this by invading in the first place. NATO troops weren’t close to Russia until it illegally annexed Crimea in 2014.
The anti-American spin of this article is very visible. The USA, however, should not be blamed for pursuing a modern industrial policy. Europe should have exploited its shale gas resources instead of relying on Russia. They also should have pursued nuclear energy instead of unreliable wind and solar. The Germans have laid their bed, so they should get in it and stop complaining. If German industry fails, so what? Hopefully it’ll move to Italy and Spain whose industry was gutted by joining the Euro and Single Market. If this crisis causes the EU to collapse then that can only be a good thing. Europe need to stop looking to the US for help as well. Europeans are just as capable as Americans, but they lack the self-belief and strategic thinking.
West Texas has sufficient oil to power America for the next 250 years. We don’t need to be involved in Europe other than nurturing customers. Why we are funding the bulk of the fight to limit Russia expansion escapes me entirely.
West Texas has sufficient oil to power America for the next 250 years. We don’t need to be involved in Europe other than nurturing customers. Why we are funding the bulk of the fight to limit Russia expansion escapes me entirely.
They aren’t legitimate. There was never a threat that NATO or Ukraine would invade Russia. There are already three NATO countries on Russia’s border. This is simply a case of Russia trying to take back Ukraine. Putin has lamented the loss of previous territory once controlled by the Soviet Union and he is trying to get as much of it back as he can.
It seems to me that an acceptable agreement would be to leave Ukraine out of NATO and no missiles in NATO countries bordering Russia in exchange for Russia giving back all territory it has taken in this war and with the understanding that any future invasion of any bordering country by Russia invalidates these restrictions on NATO and immediately begin negotiations to add Ukraine to NATO.
You can’t give Russia concessions regarding NATO and let it keep some of the territory it has taken. That would be rewarding Russia for the invasion and incentivize future aggression from Russia anytime it thinks the West has weak leaders.
They aren’t legitimate. There was never a threat that NATO or Ukraine would invade Russia. There are already three NATO countries on Russia’s border. This is simply a case of Russia trying to take back Ukraine. Putin has lamented the loss of previous territory once controlled by the Soviet Union and he is trying to get as much of it back as he can.
It seems to me that an acceptable agreement would be to leave Ukraine out of NATO and no missiles in NATO countries bordering Russia in exchange for Russia giving back all territory it has taken in this war and with the understanding that any future invasion of any bordering country by Russia invalidates these restrictions on NATO and immediately begin negotiations to add Ukraine to NATO.
You can’t give Russia concessions regarding NATO and let it keep some of the territory it has taken. That would be rewarding Russia for the invasion and incentivize future aggression from Russia anytime it thinks the West has weak leaders.
First, it’s not a proxy war. USA wasn’t looking for it, and its experts thought it’d last three days. Not an accident that Putin invaded Ukraine when America appeared divided and in retreat (having pulled out of Afghanistan). Putin sensed weakness, not strength. Second, Europe is not just France, Germany, and the UK. There’s also Poland, Finland, Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania, Czechia, Slovakia– all of whom would be supporting Ukraine no matter what USA did or didn’t do. I’m sure though they appreciate USA’s help, and look upon it as a dependable ally.
First, it’s not a proxy war. USA wasn’t looking for it, and its experts thought it’d last three days. Not an accident that Putin invaded Ukraine when America appeared divided and in retreat (having pulled out of Afghanistan). Putin sensed weakness, not strength. Second, Europe is not just France, Germany, and the UK. There’s also Poland, Finland, Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania, Czechia, Slovakia– all of whom would be supporting Ukraine no matter what USA did or didn’t do. I’m sure though they appreciate USA’s help, and look upon it as a dependable ally.
It’s simple: as long as Western Europe remains totally dependent upon US military security, the US will be able to take Western Europe for granted.
It’s simple: as long as Western Europe remains totally dependent upon US military security, the US will be able to take Western Europe for granted.
Nato has been on Russia’s borders since the Baltic States joined so these appeasers who think that Ukraine changed that in some way are being silly. The fact is that Putin launched an unprovoked imperialists war on his neighbor.
It is true that Europe freeloaded its defense for decades and now is payng the price. I for one am glad that the US has stepped up to the mark..
Nato has been on Russia’s borders since the Baltic States joined so these appeasers who think that Ukraine changed that in some way are being silly. The fact is that Putin launched an unprovoked imperialists war on his neighbor.
It is true that Europe freeloaded its defense for decades and now is payng the price. I for one am glad that the US has stepped up to the mark..
Expect more articles promoting canards like these. To take one, the complaints that American gas costs more than Russian gas. Russian gas came by pipeline, a transport mode that makes it a great deal cheaper than LNG, which is produced in very expensive facilities that use a lot of the gas coming into the plant to chill and compress it into LNG, which takes up 1/600th the volume of the gas, making shipping economically feasible, in LNG tankers, which are also very expensive — so yes, it will cost more, and it’s subject to global market prices. Even so the LNG process has proved its worth for supplying gas to countries that have none, such as Korea and Japan; but yes, it’s more expensive. And I doubt very much that an undersea pipeline could bring American natural gas to Europe, given the volcanic activity in the mid-Atlantic. Maybe it could be done by way of Iceland, where the volcanoes are on land, but that would take a lot of time and study.
For another canard, take the writer’s naive acceptance of Putin’s complaints about a military threat posed by NATO. This is the exact excuse Hitler used to invade Poland in 1939; and just as improbable; where in western Europe can we find a dictatorial regime with the ambition and popular support necessary to invade Russia? But then, Adolf and Vladimir are two of a kind.
Expect more articles promoting canards like these. To take one, the complaints that American gas costs more than Russian gas. Russian gas came by pipeline, a transport mode that makes it a great deal cheaper than LNG, which is produced in very expensive facilities that use a lot of the gas coming into the plant to chill and compress it into LNG, which takes up 1/600th the volume of the gas, making shipping economically feasible, in LNG tankers, which are also very expensive — so yes, it will cost more, and it’s subject to global market prices. Even so the LNG process has proved its worth for supplying gas to countries that have none, such as Korea and Japan; but yes, it’s more expensive. And I doubt very much that an undersea pipeline could bring American natural gas to Europe, given the volcanic activity in the mid-Atlantic. Maybe it could be done by way of Iceland, where the volcanoes are on land, but that would take a lot of time and study.
For another canard, take the writer’s naive acceptance of Putin’s complaints about a military threat posed by NATO. This is the exact excuse Hitler used to invade Poland in 1939; and just as improbable; where in western Europe can we find a dictatorial regime with the ambition and popular support necessary to invade Russia? But then, Adolf and Vladimir are two of a kind.
Thomas Fazi asked, “Is America still Europe’s ally?”
By 2040, the United States will cease being a Western nation, due to open borders. By 2040, most Americans will reject Western culture (as the American population is swelled by anti-Western migrants from primarily Latin America and secondarily South Asia), and Hispanic culture will dominate. In California, 40% of the residents are currently Hispanic. Most residents of the state already reject Western culture, and Hispanic culture dominates.
In other words, by 2040, the United States will cease being an ally of Europe. The non-Western American government will implement policies that harm the interests of Western nations like Germany, France, Japan, etc.
The governments of all Western nations must immediately begin distancing themselves from the United States, its government, and its people.
Distancing includes exiting the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and other components of the American security architecture.
Get more info about this issue.
Since when were Hispanic immigrants anti-Western? You know that over 70% of Hispanic Americans are Christian, right? Additionally, if they really were anti-Western then why would they choose to move to the United States?
Since when were Hispanic immigrants anti-Western? You know that over 70% of Hispanic Americans are Christian, right? Additionally, if they really were anti-Western then why would they choose to move to the United States?
Thomas Fazi asked, “Is America still Europe’s ally?”
By 2040, the United States will cease being a Western nation, due to open borders. By 2040, most Americans will reject Western culture (as the American population is swelled by anti-Western migrants from primarily Latin America and secondarily South Asia), and Hispanic culture will dominate. In California, 40% of the residents are currently Hispanic. Most residents of the state already reject Western culture, and Hispanic culture dominates.
In other words, by 2040, the United States will cease being an ally of Europe. The non-Western American government will implement policies that harm the interests of Western nations like Germany, France, Japan, etc.
The governments of all Western nations must immediately begin distancing themselves from the United States, its government, and its people.
Distancing includes exiting the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and other components of the American security architecture.
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Putin’s Russia is a revisionist power, just as was Napoleon, the Kaiser and Hitler.
Any compromise with them won’t be honoured and just results in more war. That has been the lesson of European history in the last few centuries.
So, do you want 20 years of Napoleonic Wars, 4 years of WW1, or 7 years of WW2?
Or settle this once and for all in Ukraine?
Putin’s Russia is a revisionist power, just as was Napoleon, the Kaiser and Hitler.
Any compromise with them won’t be honoured and just results in more war. That has been the lesson of European history in the last few centuries.
So, do you want 20 years of Napoleonic Wars, 4 years of WW1, or 7 years of WW2?
Or settle this once and for all in Ukraine?
Putin also demanded a total demilitarization of those NATO countries that joined post-1991. Europe MUST hold its nerve otherwise tens of thousands of Ukrainians will have died in defence of the greatest cause that mankind can, and should, uphold. Freedom.
Putin also demanded a total demilitarization of those NATO countries that joined post-1991. Europe MUST hold its nerve otherwise tens of thousands of Ukrainians will have died in defence of the greatest cause that mankind can, and should, uphold. Freedom.
The whole set up is based on lies. It cannot go anywhere because what is being officially said about this war is all lies. There is a clear objective to dismember and plunder Russia that was revived from Hitler’s times by Cheney and Brzezinski, it is not about “Russian aggression” (there is none) but about Russia existing as a sovereign country. The phrase “Russian aggression” means Russia defending itself from this threat that is acting by the ways of rabid nazification of the former Soviet Republics, weaponizing them against Russia, indoctrinating them into hatred of everything Russian and planting propaganda that Russia “colonized” them. It is a diabolical plan that has to go ahead no matter what. When Russia responds to this activity (terrorism, persecution of Russian-speaking population, prohibition of Russian culture and language, military juntas, white supremacist parties and even children camps) it is called “Russian aggression”. There is no way out, unless the NATO and Anglosphere drops the plan of destroying and dividing Russia, unless fascism is gone both from the small republics and from the West, until there is no more greed about Russian land and resources.
“Deluded” is an apt description of this rubbish. Or else “Bought by Putin.”
“Deluded” is an apt description of this rubbish. Or else “Bought by Putin.”
The whole set up is based on lies. It cannot go anywhere because what is being officially said about this war is all lies. There is a clear objective to dismember and plunder Russia that was revived from Hitler’s times by Cheney and Brzezinski, it is not about “Russian aggression” (there is none) but about Russia existing as a sovereign country. The phrase “Russian aggression” means Russia defending itself from this threat that is acting by the ways of rabid nazification of the former Soviet Republics, weaponizing them against Russia, indoctrinating them into hatred of everything Russian and planting propaganda that Russia “colonized” them. It is a diabolical plan that has to go ahead no matter what. When Russia responds to this activity (terrorism, persecution of Russian-speaking population, prohibition of Russian culture and language, military juntas, white supremacist parties and even children camps) it is called “Russian aggression”. There is no way out, unless the NATO and Anglosphere drops the plan of destroying and dividing Russia, unless fascism is gone both from the small republics and from the West, until there is no more greed about Russian land and resources.