There’s a brilliant sequence in The Big Short (the 2015 film based on the book by Michael Lewis) in which the protagonists – high-flying financiers – venture out into the real world. Within the Wall Street bubble, the sub-prime mortgage market is still booming, but on the ground, amid cheaply financed (but nearly abandoned) housing developments, the signs of collapse are plainly visible. Our heroes are thus forewarned of the impending catastrophe: the 2007 ‘credit crunch’ and the global financial crisis that followed it.
But what became of those unsold, unsellable and abandoned houses? An eye-opening long-read by Alana Semuels in The Atlantic provides a substantial part of the answer:
“In 2010, at the height of the foreclosure crisis, the federal government watched nervously as hundreds of thousands of families lost their homes. Empty houses blighted neighborhoods, their shades drawn, their yards overgrown. Without some kind of intervention, federal officials worried, the housing market would continue in its free fall, prices would keep dropping for existing homeowners, and the economic recovery, already tenuous, would be imperiled.”
The US government therefore “incentivised Wall Street to step in”:
“It worked. Between 2011 and 2017, some of the world’s largest private-equity groups and hedge funds, as well as other large investors, spent a combined $36 billion on more than 200,000 homes in ailing markets across the country.”
Rather than re-selling once the economy recovered, the homes have been rented out via property management companies.
In theory, the efficiencies and expertise that should come from letting homes on a large scale should mean a better deal for tenants – compared to renting from private landlords with no more than a few properties. However, there’s more than one possible business model here.
Model A is to strive to provide the best service possible; model B is to provide the worst possible service you can get away with – finding inventive ways to skimp on repairs or stick tenants with extra charges. Where landlords are competing for high-earning and potentially litigious customers in prosperous areas, then model A is likely to predominate. But in rental markets where people have limited means and fewer options, model B (though immoral) becomes viable.
Of course, there are many examples of small-time landlords exploiting tenants too. However, these bit-players aren’t in a position to dominate the rental markets of entire neighbourhoods. Nor do they have the lobbying clout that big companies have (especially those in which major financial institutions have direct investments).
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