A community centre in Lewisham (Photo by Chris J Ratcliffe/Getty Images)

The Corbett Estate is a neighbourhood of some 3,000 houses located between Hither Green and Catford in south-east London. The houses — mostly small Victorian-style terraces with generous gardens — were built by the Scottish MP, property developer and stern Presbyterian teetotaller Archibald Corbett in the late 1890s.
Many of the streets have Scottish names; many of the houses are graced with distinctive male or female keystones above the front door, rumoured to be based on Archie and his wife. The estate is at least a 15-minute walk from the nearest train station and is mostly an established family neighbourhood. I have lived here for three years and have fallen hard for its charms.
While Archibald Corbett’s legacy is widely known and celebrated with affection locally, it’s unlikely that his politics would go down well with many of his estate’s residents today: he was an unapologetic capitalist (Lewisham has been Labour for as long as anyone can remember) and he disapproved thoroughly of drinking (summer nights around here are full of the sound of late-night partying; K-pop, Jamaican dance-hall, Eastern European folk, take your pick). And as someone who believed in decent housing for working-class people — by which he meant one family per house, a garden, proximity to a station and park — it’s likely he would have been appalled by what’s been going on lately in his streets.

Because at the moment, as a result of Tory housing policy, the modest houses of the Corbett estate are being bought up by property developers, their interiors ripped out, and in their place, units designed for individual occupation inserted into them. The units can be as small as 6.52 metres squared — smaller than a prison cell. By adding a hastily constructed loft, a narrow terraced house of approximately 60 square metres can be transformed into a “HMO” — a house of multiple occupancy comprising up to six separate “units”. These HMOs represent different things to different people: for the owners, they are sources of profit; for the neighbours, they can often be sources of nuisance or even danger. And for the vulnerable people who live in them, they can be a living nightmare.
As residents became aware of an increase of HMOs in the area, an acquaintance of mine organised a meeting last month with the Lewisham East MP, Janet Daby, to address the issue: he expected it would be attended by him and a few other people who were directly affected. In the event, the church hall was standing room only, with at least 150 people in attendance. The officials were clearly expecting this as we were met not only by Janet Daby, but two local councillors, three council staff including Lewisham’s Director of Planning, and three Metropolitan Police Officers.
Residents spoke of a sense of hopelessness as developers bought up houses next to them and undertook building work without any regard for its impact on them, ignoring party wall agreements. One woman from another ward but within the borough reported being told by a council officer to not go into her back garden because the irresponsible building work rendered it too dangerous. For her there was nothing that could be done, because the work was being conducted around the back of the house and was, as such, private and none of the council’s business. A councillor described the companies that make hay amid the lax regulatory environment as “cartels”.
The council staff and the politicians were not defensive, as I expected them to be. It was far more depressing: they seemed utterly defeated. The Director of Planning asked people not to sell their houses to these developers; one might reasonably ask, if you have a badly run HMO next door to you, who other than a developer is going to buy it? Another councillor suggested direct action and looked to the three Met police officers in attendance, one of whom had already described local HMOs as “not fit for human habitation”. They shrugged, perhaps in assent. The “cartel” comment councillor — with a flair for drama or perhaps an appropriate sense of what was at stake — spoke of law and order breaking down. Another woman questioned the absence of the state, why she was paying her taxes, and whether anyone cared about what was going on in the community?
What is going on here is something called “exempt accommodation”: housing that is exempt from the usual limit a local authority can pay in housing benefit for the provision of accommodation to vulnerable people. The additional money is intended to cover the cost of caring for the residents of such accommodation; people who are vulnerable for a whole host of reasons. Ashley Horsey of Commonweal, a charity that has researched exempt accommodation extensively, explained to me that there are two types: one sort is for people with long-term challenges such as mobility or an intellectual disability. This kind tends to be well run.
The other type of exempt accommodation (“non-commissioned”) is intended as a stop-gap for people who temporarily need assistance during a transitional stage in their lives. This includes people emerging from prison, people recovering from drug and alcohol addiction, women escaping domestic violence, care-leavers and people who have been sleeping rough. It’s not uncommon for people from all of these categories — and others — to live alongside one another, sharing a hallway, a kitchen and an entrance. According to Crisis, 150,000 people across the UK are being housed in exempt accommodation, a 62% increase since 2016.
This type of accommodation (non-commissioned exempt) has created a situation that turns vulnerable people into units of profit to be mined by developers — the “cartels” the local councillor spoke of. Providers can charge up to £960 per month for the provision of accommodation for people in this category. By examining adverts for rental accommodation locally, one can clearly see this: a “studio” going for £960 per month in a borough where a double room in a more traditional house-share with a responsible landlord yields only around £500-£700 per month. At the meeting in Lewisham, one such landlord — and brave soul, given the atmosphere — spoke up in some bewilderment: why aren’t the Government regulating us, he asked.
The additional money paid to these providers is supposed to be used to provide assistance to residents, to ensure they have the help they need to move on with their lives. What has actually happened is that many providers absolutely fail to provide this “help” — it is neither defined, measured nor monitored — and simply cream off the money that is supposed to assist people, as profit. In a detailed report into the issue Commonweal describe an “accountability deficit” that has arisen here: there is no obligation on providers to ensure that their residents are looked after — despite the premium that is paid for the accommodation. The results can be grim — “sex for rent” situations, drug users living alongside those trying to stay clean and endless anti-social behaviour issues for neighbours.
Imagine for a moment that you are a woman escaping a violent situation in your home. You get away, and you get housed. You turn up at your new address and find a six-square-metre room is now your home. The kitchen you use is shared by five others, some of whom have histories of violence, some of whom are using drugs. The kitchen has no window; you have nowhere to dry your clothes. You are supposed to stay here temporarily, but you can’t afford private rents, and there is no social housing available.
What do you do? What can you do? It’s too noisy to sleep at night. Your landlord is making up to £12,000 per year off of you; he doesn’t want you to leave and there is nowhere for you to go. Some women in situations like this have children living with them — and because of the lack of oversight, it is unclear how many children are currently living in such circumstances.

The “accountability deficit” — lax oversight, little to no building regulation and helpless local councils — has created a gold rush in neighbourhoods like Lewisham: places where housing is still cheap, relatively, and where local homeowners are of modest incomes and can’t easily afford solicitors to defend their rights. A local homeowner here in Catford dug into the ownership of the HMO next door to him and found the property was flipped four times in quick succession between companies owned by the same person. The tactics used by many of these companies are straightforward: they purchase houses, in cash, easily outbidding ordinary buyers. They then proceed with building work as quickly as possible and ignore legal requirements that require consent from neighbours.
If neighbours object, they have trouble finding out to whom they can object — these companies maintain a practice of keeping former buyers’ names on the land register or they flip houses (four to five times in one day) to obscure ownership. These companies take a calculated risk, knowing that most regular homeowners will not have the time or the resources to wade through the legality of the situation. The game is stacked utterly in favour of the developers; the only instrument the council has is weak and ineffectual.
This instrument — an Article Four Direction — can be used to prevent further HMO development in a neighbourhood, but only after complaints have been made. It cannot be applied retrospectively, meaning there is no disincentive for developers to continue to act with impunity. Article Four was applied in wards to the south of the Corbett estate and this is why development has suddenly descended upon these streets; the problem was not solved, it simply moved. The first many people knew of it was the sudden, poignant sight of six small fridges turning up for delivery at the recently-sold, small three-bedroom house next door.
This, of course, points to another issue: habitation by what amounts to six separate households creates a dangerous strain on services and facilities. I hear of a HMO in another neighbourhood that had its gas and electricity switched off due to fire safety concerns.
Nobody is being incentivised to fix this situation. Not local government, not the taxpayer, not vulnerable citizens, and not central government, which is effectively paying private corporations a premium to house people in dangerous conditions. But when the guiding ideology of our era lacks a moral dimension, or a sense of responsibility towards a community then this is where we end up. It’s hard not to think of Grenfell and the callousness of companies such as Kingspan, where staff have admitted to prioritising profits over standards. And I’m struck by the clinical nature of the language we now use around housing: units, delivery, services, clients. Who thinks about their homes in that way? Who are we forcing to think about their homes in that way?
A lack of housing security, a lack of a home — not knowing where or if you’re going to sleep at night or if the place you have is safe, is a reality for thousands of people across this country. The current solution: pay developers to make it go away; pay them whatever they want. The utter disregard for the dignity of the individuals involved or the neighbourhoods they live in, is grim and very telling. As a resident told me: the developers don’t live in Catford. They live in Knightsbridge or Dubai, or everywhere and nowhere.
These are our elites: they don’t put the names of their cherished homeland on the streets they create, they hide behind shell companies and when they look at vulnerable people and ordinary neighbourhoods, they see pound signs and profit.
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Subscribehttps://www.nature.com/articles/s44304-024-00011-0 Check your sources
Every time there is a hurricane or a twister, we get tv images of houses shattered like matchboxes. And the impression this leaves on me is that those houses WERE like matchboxes – spacious, but built mostly of wood and other light materials. Houses built in areas where extreme weather events occur regularly – and everyone knows that is the case in North America – should be built to withstand them, with appropriate design, and stone and brick bodies. I say this as an ignorant person. Maybe they are. Maybe appropriate regulations are in place. But it certainly does not seem so.
Another shill post. Lost me at the third paragraph.
This subject is best addressed out of storm season on an actuarial basis. One should not address one’s medical and accident insurance when some lout is bearing down on one in a dodgy vehicle at speed.
More astroturfed fear mongering claptrap from motivated climate porn evangelists selling a data free narrative.
I’m skeptical that extreme weather events like Helene and Milton (and I’m not saying this from a distance; my own town was hit by Helene) are going to be the decisive factor here.
Back when America was a vibrant, rapidly growing country with a semblance of good government, we shrugged off much worse disasters – things like the San Francisco Earthquake, which the author even mentions, or the 1900 Galveston hurricane which killed about 10,000 people, way more than all the extreme weather events since the turn of the century combined.
If AGW is making hurricanes more dangerous (which is very debatable) then satellite-based forecasts have already made them less dangerous by a bigger amount.
If the American Empire continues to decline over the next few decades, it will (1) decline slowly, and (2) decline mostly as a result of weak political leadership and NIMBYism, with weather playing only a marginal role.
But I’ve written about these themes before:
https://twilightpatriot.substack.com/p/honorius-and-the-slowness-of-decline
https://twilightpatriot.substack.com/p/the-democrats-lovehate-relationship
Certainly the Gleissburg Solar Dust Cycle due in 2025. Perhaps it will temper hubris and make people return to fundamentals in all senses. We have been living in our heads for far too long.
Unherd. Come on. There is exactly ZERO data supporting the hypothesis that climate change (AGW) is causing an increase in the frequency and intensity of weather events. How could the author write the article without acknowledging this fact? It makes him sound like an activist in his second year at a state university.
The report that’s linked is actually really poor. I will pull it apart because it is that awful I now feel I have no choice. Especially if this is the type of data they are basing the climate change theory on. The quotes are pulled from the linked report in the article and the comment above:
‘There were 28 weather and climate disasters in 2023, surpassing the previous record of 22 in 2020, tallying a price tag of at least $92.9 billion’
‘Adding the 2023 events to the record that began in 1980, the U.S. has sustained 376 weather and climate disasters with the overall damage costs reaching or exceeding $1 billion. The cumulative cost for these 376 events exceeds $2.660 trillion.’
So first of all, the records only start in 1980, that they are basing their conclusions on.
Note the language ‘at least 92.9 billlion’ – this means this an estimate not a solid figure, there is no reference as to how this has been calculated. Then only when you note the title of the graph:
‘The history of billion-dollar disasters in the United States each year from 1980 to 2023, showing event type (colors), frequency (left-hand vertical axis), and cost (right-hand vertical axis.) The number and cost of weather and climate disasters is rising due to a combination of population growth and development along with the influence of human-caused climate change on some type of extreme events that lead to billion-dollar disasters. NOAA NCEI’
So the report is very misleading if you read the graph properly, making you think the increases are due to climate change but:
– They are attributing the cost increase to MORE THAN JUST CLIMATE CHANGE – ‘due to a combination of population growth and development along with the influence of human-caused climate change’
So I would question how these costs have been calculated – if it is a combination of those things that have increased costs, it isn’t just climate change that they costed in, and there is no separation of the figures so it isn’t clear how much population growth or further development has increased costs and what proportion of the cost is actually because of climate change.
The next graph also only starts in 1980 and again is based on estimated figures:
‘Month-by-month accumulation of estimated costs of each year’s billion-dollar disasters, with colored lines showing 2023 (red) and the previous top-10 costliest years.’
If you go through it, it’s really not a very scientific report, it’s full of hyperbole too’ billion dollar disaster’ features frequently, cost increases are highlighted but it isn’t made clear until you check out the graphs the cost increases are due to a number of factors, not just climate change. There is no reference as to how all their cost estimates have been calculated.
Good work there. It’s often my experience in following links in Unherd articles (not just them) that they’re often very shallow or just another article that then has its own references and on it goes.
It’s not really the case here, beleive it or not that is from a government website:
NOAA Climate Program Office/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research
About:
‘Americans’ health, security, and economic well-being are closely linked to climate and weather. People are looking for information to help them understand climate and make decisions on how to manage climate-related risks and opportunities. To meet this need, NOAA Climate.gov provides timely and authoritative scientific data and information about climate science, adaptation, and mitigation.
Our goals are to promote public understanding of climate science and climate-related events, to make NOAA data products and services easy to access and use, to provide climate-related support to the private sector and the Nation’s economy, and to serve people making climate-related decisions with tools and resources that help them answer specific questions. In short, NOAA Climate.gov’s mission is to provide science and information for a climate-smart nation.’
So rather worryingly, they are advising all sorts of people on all kinds of things, at government level.
The home page is just as bad. Most of the graphs the data has been collected from the 1960s onwards, the earliest data they have, for one graph is from 1880. So they are showing only a very short time period really, I think that’s a bit poor given the enormity of the subject.
And since stuff costs more, and fixing stuff costs more, the same actual damage will lead to far higher costs as years go by.
This article is like saying climate change is causing the prices of football players to rise exponentially, and will soon lead to a collapse of the sport, since the most expensive transfers in history have all happened in the last few years.
Nicely done
Good stuff. Climate hysterics are counting on people not digging deeper into the numbers.
You are wildly wrong. Seems to be that many of you folks have biasses so deep and engrained that no evidence of any kind can shift it.
NOAA themselves say there are no long term trends in either the frequency of US hurricanes, or their severity,.
But you obviously know better!
Can you find the information then, since you are the non biased one apparently, that tells us what proportion of the costs in that report are attributed to climate change alone, and not to a combination of population increase, additional development and climate change. Because in that report those costs are for the combination, not for climate change alone. Do you disagree that the report is misleading in that respect?
Did anyone else read the headline and just laugh?
Are we serious right now?
Now the weather can melt down the entire western financial system too?
I think we need to rethink the stability of our system.
I’m not sure there are words.
At least Ms Yellen Debtfire can take a holiday.
I think we need to rethink the stability of our system.
Or our minds.
Probably both.
There is only so long before sceptics realise what is looming upon humanity.
This is just one facet of the impacts of climate change. Drought, floods, crop failures, mass migration and civil unrest – that is the face of the problem over the next 50 years.
Dealing with the issue is going to be very expensive and take generations, that has been established. Ignoring or denying it will be far worse however.
The problem, Robbie, is that you, like the author, are confused about where your opinion ends and the facts begin. There is no data to support the claim that there is an increase in extreme weather events or that human co2 emissions are causing them. I’m sorry to be the one to break it to you but it was going to happen eventually.
There’s no confusion SJ. There are dozens of reports detailing how these storms are being made more powerful by climate change impacts. I doubt if you and the others are subscribers to New Scientist but there are many other sources if you take off your tin foil hats.
div > p:nth-of-type(2) > a”>https://www.newscientist.com/article/2451207-extreme-hurricane-season-is-here-and-it-is-fuelled-by-climate-change/
That’s paywalled. I don’t need dozens, I only need one. Please link one study that proves a link between human co2 emissions and the frequency and intensity of storms. When you’ve succeeded in this effort (you won’t, one doesn’t exist) then I’ll happily hand you a $100 bill and kiss your bare a**.
Pucker up baby, I’m clenching.
div > p:nth-of-type(2) > a”>https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-change-key-driver-of-catastrophic-impacts-of-hurricane-helene-that-devastated-both-coastal-and-inland-communities/
To study these storms they have used computer models:
‘The IRIS model was used to investigate Helene’s strong winds by analysing storms making landfall within 2 degrees of Helene. By statistically modelling storms in a 1.3°C cooler climate, this model showed that climate change was responsible for an increase of about 150% in the number of such storms (now once every 53 years on average, up from every 130 years), and equivalently that the maximum wind speeds of similar storms are now about 6.1 m/s (around 11%) more intense.’
So they have concluded that if it was 1.3degrees cooler the storms would be less frequent. Was the climate consistently 1.3degrees cooler before climate change started? Where does the 1.3 degrees come from? As in from what year are they saying we have experienced an increase of 1.3degrees from? I can’t actually find that information in the link. I’m not saying it’s wrong, just it seems a stiff model, that information would make a difference.
Weather attribution models have been widely debunked as merely headline seekers.
Real world data does not support them
Robbie. What you read as data proving a link between human co2 emissions and the amount of rainfall in hurricane Helene is, like your comments, yet more confirmation of the absence of data. It is, to be more generous, the repetition of a hypothesis as if it were already proved. But it hasn’t been proved and there is nothing in the piece you shared or in the attached literature that demonstrates a link between human activity and the severity of any storm anywhere ever. Now, it will be nearly impossible for you to recognize this if you consider axiomatic that which is not.
Furthermore, why would you clench for a kiss on the a**? Did you read it wrong?
Dozens of self-referential reports, paid for by people profiting from climate fear, that ignore science, historical data and economics. All tailored to give gullible folks a sense of wisdom.
Let me invert your assertion and ask you how much longer before AGW zealots, like yourself, will acknowledge that there has been nothing significant happening in terms of ‘extreme’ weather events over the past few decades? Even the IPCC’s own data says that!
Censoring sceptics and attributing single weather events to your cause may keep you going a bit longer, but it’s a failed hypothesis. Only the vast juggernaut of financial self interest keeps the myth going- follow the money.
Adam,
The zealots,are predictable.
Robbie, that is incoherent arguing on your part. Reputable studies show that adjusted for inflation, storm damage costs are flat. Historical data shows no trend in strength, frequency or intensity in hurricanes.
You need to expand your sources beyond climate sceptic blogs.
He is referring to peer-reviewed papers
Failed predictions from the past should lead us to be more mindful of the likelihood of claims for the future.
For example, “Water availability will be a serious constraint to achieving the food requirements projected for 2025” was a conclusion of the paper “Water for Food Production: Will there be enough for 2025” – https://www.jstor.org/stable/1313422
Very ‘scientificky’, but now proven quite wrong as we reach 2025. Doomsaying makes for good headlines, but poor predictions, and skepticism is an entirely sensible response to extreme claims. (pdf of the full paper: https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/document?repid=rep1&type=pdf&doi=e85fdba1f2cf197b60ffd6f00fe30192e487d1ae).
This is silly. The increased costs of storms has nothing to do with climate change. Hurricane frequency and intensity are down over the last few decades. The number of deaths is much lower than in the past.
Cost are up because the value of property is up. Florida property values have doubled in the last ten years, and construction costs are way up. Of course insurance claims from storms will be way up.
Came to make this comment myself, instead thumbs up to yours.
Let me add:
2) “Apartment blocks built without adequate air flow on the assumption the air conditioning would always be running would then turn into potential death traps for their more vulnerable residents” So the problem is not the storms per se, which as Arthur G points out have always been with us. The problem is the idiots who built apartment buildings without adequate air flow.
3) “Recurrent supply shortages are driving up prices, especially on food…” – Not at all. Food has never been in more abundant supply, hence why wheat prices are in the toilet. Rising food prices are entirely related to changes in market structure, consumer tastes and upstream regulatory burden.
4) It’s possible to build houses that can withstand storms. Costs more, but it can be done.
Here’s a link to a study published by the Imperial College London demonstrating how climate change has increased the severity of these recent storms.
div > p:nth-of-type(2) > a”>https://spiral.imperial.ac.uk/handle/10044/1/115024
But the study flies in the face of the facts
Again, Hurricane activity is down.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/hurricane-ida-henri-climate-change-united-nations-un-galsgow-conference-natural-disaster-infrastructure-carbon-emissions-11630704844
Meaningless Weather Attribution studies, which are based on computer models. Real world data does not support their claims
They were good on Covid too, as I recall.
Unfortunately, since 2020 and the faulty computer models produced by Imperial that were bizarrely aloud to strongly influence government policy, I have found myself unable to trust “studies” and projection produced by Imperial.
Unlike California, Florida consistently maintains a budget surplus. The Gulf of Mexico has, is and will continue to be a hurricane laboratory because of warm water conditions.
But rich people will continue to build there and get private insurance because rich people want coastal property. Since rich people will be there, stores and restaurants will continue to be there and they will continue rebuild in more “sustainable ways.” Insurance premiums were too low for too long but its a self-correcting problem once premiums are raised.
I’m sure places like Florida would be perfectly fine with the Federal Government decoupling its “interconnected” finances with the State.