In the summer of 2014, when ISIS rose to power in Syria and Iraq, that all threatened to change: the leaderless jihadis now had a leader (Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi) and territory (the caliphate) to profess allegiance to and defend. Some of them returned to Europe, carrying out large-scale attacks in Paris and Brussels. Jihadi terrorism, for a short period, became “directed” again.
Even so-called “lone wolves” who had never been to Syria or Iraq could communicate with ISIS operatives online and receive operational guidance and support from them. Others, who had neither been to ISIS-controlled territory nor received guidance from the group, nevertheless took “inspiration” from it, using cars, trucks, or knives to conduct killing sprees against random civilians in Western cities.
Today, this seems to be the dominant form of jihadi terrorism in the West: low-tech, amateurish attacks devoid of any real logic or political rationale. Indeed, this type of terrorism seems more performative and personal than instrumental and political.
What, for example, was the point of Usman Khan’s rampage at Fishmonger’s Hall in London in November 2019? What set of political demands did Khan have? Given that Khan’s violence was directed at those associated with the “Learning Together” programme, a liberal-minded prison education initiative he took part in, and given his desire to become a martyr, it’s hard to avoid the suspicion that Khan’s motives were more personal than political or a complex combination of both. Perhaps terrorism has always been like this, but in its current incarnation it seems that the gap between terrorist atrocities and real-world politics has never been so far apart.
Yet as terrorism in the West has become more banal and less lethal, the response to it, in contrast, has become insistently more hysterical. ISIS, as the recent attack in Kabul has demonstrated, remains a potent threat in Muslim-majority countries, but its military defeat in Syria and Iraq has massively hampered its ability to direct and inspire attacks in the West.
This has left a large void which our over-bloated security state and counter-extremism industry has tried to fill by amplifying the threat of far-Right groups. Not so long ago they were sounding the alarm about the dangers of “slick” online ISIS propaganda, and how vulnerable young people were being radicalised by it. Today, widely respected extremism scholars are sounding the alarm about far-Right online “echo-chambers” and writing feverish articles on: “How parents can learn to recognize online radicalization and prevent tragedy – in 7 minutes”.
While far-Right violence is certainly a serious issue in America and Europe, it’s nonsensical to compare it to the far greater global threat of jihadism – or to exclude 9/11 from your calculus in an effort to show, as one terrorism expert recently did, that “excluding the coordinated attacks of 9/11, domestic right-wing terrorism has caused more harm to American citizens at home than radical Islamist attacks over the past two decade”.
It’s also hysterical to believe that far-Right terrorists are using the internet to turn children into white supremacist terrorists, or to think that a meme or an ironic joke “can be a gateway to extremist views”. This is part of a deeper confusion, where the counter-extremism industry, instead of focusing on specific violent groups and their kinetic threat level and capabilities, has sought to expand its remit (and potential revenue) by inventing useless and nebulous categories like “hateful extremism” and “extremist narratives”.
The cartoonish notion that terrorists are “hateful” has somehow caught on among policy-makers post-9/11, but it has little to do with how and why people decide to kill themselves and others in service to a sacred cause. While hate and reductive thinking are clearly bad, they’re useless as predictors of terrorism, which, as every terrorism scholar knows, is rare and committed by very few individuals.
Perhaps the most obvious manifestation of today’s confusion about terrorism came after the breaching of the Capitol Building on 6 January, 2021. “This is terrorism,” scholar John Horgan gravely tweeted on the day of the riots. Kathleen Belew, another expert, was similarly emphatic and self-certain, tweeting on the day of the riots and about the rioters: “They are certainly anti-democratic, since they are using terrorism to attack fair electoral process. The word you want, I think, is fascist.”
But whatever happened on 6 January, it wasn’t terrorism; if by terrorism we mean, in accordance with standard non-politicised definitions, violence aimed at civilians to achieve some political goal. No civilians were deliberately targeted and harmed in the Capitol building, except for one of the rioters who was shot dead by the police. According to the FBI, the motives of the vast majority of the rioters were unclear since they had not given any thought to what they would do once they were inside the Capitol building, and there was scant evidence of any plot or coordination among them.
The world has changed markedly since 9/11, and in no small part because of it. Terrorism remains a potent global threat. But we should not overstate the threat, still less pretend that people who disgust us with their ideas and hatreds are really terrorists.
“Terrorism is theatre,” the seasoned terrorism expert Brian M. Jenkins observed more than 40 years ago. He was referring to how terrorist atrocities “are often carefully choreographed to attract the attention of the electronic media and the international press”. He was right about that, but I doubt that even someone as prescient and sharp as Jenkins could have envisaged an act of terrorism as theatrically spectacular as 9/11.
Today, however, terrorism is still a spectacle, while no longer being all that spectacular. Indeed, while terrorists continue to horrify us with their violence and contempt for life, most — like the fool who tried to blow up a group of gendarmes on the Champs-Élysées in 2017, but only managed to asphyxiate himself after the gas canister in the car he was driving failed to properly explode — will be half-remembered and enjoy no infamy whatsoever.
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SubscribeThis article wanders about like a mouse in a maze without ever quite getting to the bait.
“This has left a large void which our over-bloated security state and counter-extremism industry has tried to fill by amplifying the threat of far-Right groups. ** Today, widely respected extremism scholars are sounding the alarm about far-Right online “echo-chambers””
This is 100% incorrect, it is nothing to do with a lack of other terrorism (The entire country was having ‘Shopping Riots’ all last year – not terrorism, and that was brushed under the carpet) – it is totally because the Left/Liberal elites are out to destroy the West – by getting society to destroy its self from the inside by using Neo-Marxism and Biden’s Democrat Party Post Modernists, and his Monetary/Fiscal policy. ( to devalue the Dollar – Insane amounts of Central Bank money printing wile creating inflation and keeping interest zero.)
So to destroy the economy and nation with economic collapse and huge Identity Hate tearing all apart; created by the MSM, is the goal. The MSM, and Tech/Social Media elites have invented this Straw-man of ‘Far Right Extremists’ for that reason. (there are essentially no Far Right – they could not fill a stadium.)
Conservatives by nature are hard working, law abiding, Law and Order followers, politically responsible, moral and just – Naturally you cannot destroy a society and nation with this kind in control. And so – the Neo-Marxists need to attack them every way they can.
That is the entire reason for CRT, BLM, freeing criminals to make for a lawless society, destroy the borders to end Rule of Law, to end the demographic majority of the conservative voters, and the Education industry being ‘Captured by the Post-Modernists. They make Identity war and class war the prime factor in every story, and created the ‘White Paternity’ as the ultimate straw-man problem.
No, the ones out to destroy the West are not terrorists – but as the Roman Cicero said over two millennium ago:
““A nation can survive its fools, and even the ambitious. But it cannot survive treason from within. An enemy at the gates is less formidable, for he is known and carries his banner openly. But the traitor moves amongst those within the gate freely, his sly whispers rustling through all the alleys, heard in the very halls of government itself. For the traitor appears not a traitor; he speaks in accents familiar to his victims, and he wears their face and their arguments, he appeals to the baseness that lies deep in the hearts of all men. He rots the soul of a nation, he works secretly and unknown in the night to undermine the pillars of the city, he infects the body politic so that it can no longer resist. A murderer is less to fear. The traitor is the plague.”
And that enemy within is Neo-Marxist, Post-Modernist, Liberal/Left. They are so Owned by the Elites via their MSM, Tech/Social Media, Political Parties of the Left, the Education industry, and now, because of the success of capturing the education, – their ilk in all Corporations and government roles, – that they are near to being at the point where they can ‘Sack Rome’ from the inside. That it will also destroy themselves does not seem to worry them – that philosophical Pathology produces such outward hate, and Self Hate, they do not mind their own destruction, as long as it destroys everyone else in the West too.
they do not mind their own destruction, as long as it destroys everyone else in the West too puzzles me. The left is a very large body of people who like to think they are less selfish than the right. I simply do not think significant numbers of them would get together in a conspiracy to orchestrate destruction of others and themselves. Damage would be inadvertent not deliberate.
On monetary policy the objective is to keep saving and spenders in balance to maintain economic activity and prices. The pandemic has moved income/wealth from the poor, who have to spend, to the more wealthy, who are likely to save. Left on its own this would deflate economies. Getting the correct balance will be difficult, particularly in the UK where supply chain / labour issues means regaining economic activity must be allowed to take time or it goes straight to inflation.
“The left is a very large body of people who like to think they are less selfish than the right. I simply do not think significant numbers of them would get together in a conspiracy”
Well, there was Venezuela, China, Russia, Cambodia, Cuba, and so on where they conspired to revolution, and had enough (even if it was under 10%)
then the lesser, say like – Afghanistan in 1973 tried the Communist thing, although a people more unsuited to Socialism would be impossible to find – but they tried, and when losing invited in USSR and its Army into Afghanistan to stay in power, and so 40 years of war, How did they manage that? Did a significant number conspire to make the nation Communist? Well obviously enough did, even though in Afghanistan I guess it was under .001% of the population (it was the King’s Cousin and his corrupt cronies)
And the Neo-Marxists own the MSM/Social Media/Tech, the Parties of the Left, and the gov workers, and all the education and unions and so on.
“Damage would be inadvertent not deliberate.”
Hardly – the damage to the Western Nations is the means of moving to the next stage. There has never been a peaceful and economically successful move to Left Government from Capitalism. They need economic collapse to get the mob going, USA is just too comfortable and too much equality of opportunity.
“On monetary policy the objective is to keep saving and spenders in balance to maintain economic activity and prices. The pandemic has moved income/wealth from the poor, who have to spend, to the more wealthy, who are likely to save.”
You are 100% WRONG. The monetary policy has been to inflate by excess Fiscal money printing (Trillions excess) wile production has been very greatly curtailed by lockdown. Reduced goods and services, vastly increased M2 (money supply), and so Inflation. This with huge Monitary purchasing of bonds and mortage backed securities, inflating equities and hard assets hugely – WILE keeping interests at ZERO.
So middle class and lower cannot save as the real interest is below zero (intrest, (nothing) – inflation = negative real interest), means any savings is shrinking in value! Many say inflation is 10%, so any savings shrink 10% a year! 6 years and you have lost it all! No pensions.
The wealthy get VERY cheap loans and buy ‘Appreciating Assets’ so they are getting very ritch indeed – most have doubled their money during the covid plandemic.
The lower have lost, the top made filthy rich on the monetary policy! The entire covid Monetary policy is to redistribute the wealth from the middle to the top.
I commented on a conspiracy to orchestrate destruction of others and themselves. As you cite there have been plenty of organised left wing political movements but I am asserting that their motivation, whether misguided or not, was for a good, in their opinion, of some sort not self destruction. I am not commenting on what the outcomes have been, or might be, but I question the existence of any agency that conspires for the destruction of others and themselves.
On monetary policy in 2008 QE was done, at least initially, to give banks more liquid assets to encourage lending with the Government exchanging some of its long term borrowing to short term borrowing. It bought back its longterm debt expensively because current interest rates were so low. There will be a real loss when it has to renew the shorterm borrowings at higher interest rates in the future. In as much as economic activity returned it can be argued it helped. There was not much inflation for consumers. The downside was, as you say, serious inflation of assets bought by savers that are now, to my mind, seriously over priced. I agree that savers now have extreme difficulty finding assets to invest in. You have mentioned here and elsewhere that the rich have access to Appreciating Assets, what are they? I want to buy some! I did not think QE was needed on such a scale, the problem is always sentiment, greed drives economies and fear stops them dead. Low borrowing costs do not motivate the fearful to borrow and spend.
I think we agree that monetary policy currently risks increasing inflation seriously but for me it is because supply will not keep up with the desire to spend.
We differ in that I ascribe the motivation for monetary policy to be for a good, if misguided, and see no collective agency to achieve a benefit for a particular vested interest. That the outcome might be so is a separate issue.
Good clear summary thanks Jon.
I read this Wikipedia article recently which seems to aptly describe where we’re at and where we’re going to:
Thought Reform and the Psychology of Totalism.
Yes – the 8 criteria for thought reform are the exact ones being used by the Neo-Marxist education system, and the MSM.
The Media continues to provide the oxygen of publicity to Terrorists, whilst at the same time hiding the identity/motivations of the perpetrators when it doesn’t suit their narratives.
Another fascinating article by Simon.
The new terror is the unnecessary fear bring generated by scientists, politicians and the media about climate and a pandemic. Both created out of nothing. We are now part of the terror because it has taken over our lives. Rational discussion is not possible and so the terror will go on endlessly. With the terror comes the loss of our freedoms.
Homo sapiens is an anxious creature always on the lookout for new threats. the MSM plus the military industrial complex plus the myriad defense ‘experts’ plus politcians feed this high anxiety because it gives them control and funding to maintain a high level of anxiety in the ‘herd’. It is hard and time consuming to build up an internal ‘locus of authority’ – IE to figure out for yourself what is truth – so the sheep are at the mercy of the forces above – and are often, by nature, predisposed to follow the Judas sheep – of which there are many (good metaphor !) . Thus it has always been and thus it appears that it will always be. All we can really hope for personally is to be mostly free from fear, do our little bit for human and planetary sanity, and get some stimulation from participating in the slow train crash that is contemporary history – or is that too pessimistic ??
When screens were only of a certain size,
character was bright and full of life.
Well, entertainment had been the prize;
the witness to it would have forget his strife
Now screens are ridiculously tiny
But don’t be fooled by their buttons so shiny
They’ll have you entranced
by a sea of violence,
by characters so vain, lame, dull and decrepit
Have such waters ever been so mesmerisingly tepid?
Yes, screens now proliferate small,
A good character is literally diminished.
Are you not appalled?
Good points, well made. But this piece loses its thrust by meandering into discussing the lone operator and right wing extremism.
What I think we still crave to understand is the mindset and emotions that drove Bin Laden and his terrorists. We use sanitised words such as radicalisation instead of brainwashing, which is more accurate. But a brain must be receptive to the washing out of good sense and logic and installing false beliefs.
And the porn in the title … wasn’t adequately explored.
However, part of me is reminded of the way the mind dreams – sometimes terrifying and illogical – yet designed to protect us by overcatastrophising events. Perhaps watching 9/11 and other horrific footage has the same effect as dreaming. And part of us deep inside says, ‘Thank God that isn’t me’