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Andrew Best
Andrew Best
3 years ago

Putting everything aside about trump how can the democratic party think that a senile, old, handsy, groper Is the best they can come up with?
In a country of hundreds of millions he’s the best candidate? Ridiculous
And even if you hate trump and everything he stands for he has won once and your best and brightest to beat him is Biden!
I suppose it will give them another 4 years to find a body with a pulse to beat trump’s successor

Carolyn Jackson
Carolyn Jackson
3 years ago
Reply to  Andrew Best

It’s the double standards which sticks in my craw – Trump has been lambasted since he threw his hat in the ring the first time over his locker room comments, but those same people haven’t had any criticism over Biden over his over familiarity with his hands. They also turned a blind eye to Clinton’s sexual misdemeanours (not to mention Kennedy, although I admit that was a long time ago)

Peter Kriens
Peter Kriens
3 years ago

Those locker room comments were about how women let famous men do what they want,not about what famous do.

And it is hard to deny that there is a real groupy effect. Monroe & Lewinsky are not on record that they hated the attention they got from famous men. Generally the complaints come when, inevitably, the famous men decide to move on.

Mark Corby
Mark Corby
3 years ago

Worse, at least Kennedy did his bit with the USN, in PT109.
By contrast Clinton is a wretched draft dodger.
Sadly no decent sniper has found him yet; But we live in hope.

ellenoday
ellenoday
3 years ago

Believe all women except Tara Reade.

Fraser Bailey
Fraser Bailey
3 years ago

‘I don’t share Trump’s politics,..’

So, your politics are therefore:

– Unlimited, mass immigration and the immiseration of the indigenous working class
– An open border with Mexico so that China continues to flood the US with opioids etc
– Unrestricted trade with China, the selling of US/western assets and IP etc to China
– Ongoing interventions in the ME and wherever it suits the Military/Industrial Complex
– The US pays for the whole of NATO
– Shutting down the US indefinitely so that the private sector, particularly small business, is wiped out

This is why, as Jimmy Dore and other (properly) left-wing commentators keep pointing out, many US progressive hate the DNC and Pelosi etc more than they hate Trump.

Martin Davis
Martin Davis
3 years ago
Reply to  Fraser Bailey

Mmm, he should thank you for providing an exemplary example of exactly the sort of responses which would buttress a plurality (well, at least in the Electoral College) for Trump come November.

Martin Davis
Martin Davis
3 years ago
Reply to  Fraser Bailey

Goodwin was commenting on Trump’s chances of re-election, not offering his own opinions on the talking points of US politics. His main approach is a challenge to what he sees as conventional (MSN) opinion regarding expectations of a Trump defeat. This he thought unlikely given how the COVID crisis could be treated as an unanticipatable event, with its handling and consequences not directly attributable to Presidential actions (and inactions). Moreover, he points out that Trump has already made it abundantly clear he blames China exclusively for this crisis, and that to some significant extent the electorate shares this viewpoint. Goodwin himself may not share this opinion on who to blame, but he does count it a significant intervention, and likely a winning card.

Mark Corby
Mark Corby
3 years ago
Reply to  Martin Davis

This sounds very suspicious. Is Martin Davis perchance the pseudonym for Matthew Goodwin?

Fraser Bailey
Fraser Bailey
3 years ago

‘So, while there is an emerging consensus around Trump’s impending defeat…’

No there isn’t. Many informed US commentators are predicting a ‘Red Wave’ in November. This is partly because the Republicans have just won two special elections for Congress. In one of these they flipped a Democrat district in California, of all places. The swing to the Reps was 21% at one point, although this will probably reduce as more votes are counted.

At the point in the cycle, Hillary was at least 4% ahead, probably more. Moreover, the ‘enthusiasm gap’ between Biden i.e. how enthusiastic their natural voters are in terms of voting for them, is 15 to 20% depending on the poll.

In addition, more and more people are now aware of Tara Reade’s sexual assault allegation against Biden, and his support among women has dropped 6% in the last couple of weeks. (Needless to say, the MSM suppressed this story for a month, but coverage in the progressive alternative media eventually broke through). Meanwhile, more and more people are aware of ‘Obamagate’ (8 million shares on Twitter).

Add in the fact that Biden is senile, voted for the Iraq war and various other military disasters, has corruptly enriched his entire family and is a long-standing friend to China and….well, it’s not a done deal.

Johnny Norfolk
Johnny Norfolk
3 years ago
Reply to  Fraser Bailey

The main piece here is just like the MSN. anti Trump just because they do not like him.

Fraser Bailey
Fraser Bailey
3 years ago
Reply to  Johnny Norfolk

Yes, there is nothing ‘UnHerd’ about this piece whatsoever. We hear it 24/7 from an MSM that has been wrong about everything for at least 20 years.

ellenoday
ellenoday
3 years ago

Goodwin is usually quite good with political analysis and although he is a lefty at heart he is able to tamp down his Trump/US hatred to provide relatively objective assessment of the shifting political sands. (He is a Brit academic after all.)

But to think that Trump needs China to win re-election to beat Biden is just whistling through a bad set of NHS teeth. The Dems have cleaved so far to the left that independents, perhaps reluctantly, are faced with either voting for Trump or abstaining. Witness brainless post modern Marxist Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and her laughable pronouncements as an example of the absurd leftwards drift.

AOC’s silly Green New Deal that plans to shut down all aircraft within 10 years is enough to given even the most doubtful independent pause when voting. As an aside I see the Green New Deal is being embraced by Labour in the UK.

But back to Trump. The Dems themselves are in turmoil with the moderate faction adopting much of Bernie Bro Identity Politics nonsense while these same leftists seethe that their candidates had the presidency (they believe) stolen from them (and him, Saint Bernie). The excitement and energy of the Dems has ebbed as semi-senile Biden pushed Bernie aside. Yet the excitement on the Trump side is as strong as ever: he has 94% support among Republicans.

What is it about the British that they can never get American politics right? I blame the British Bias Corp, I do, that feeds Brits an incessant diet of anti-Americanism dressed up as truth.

Mark Corby
Mark Corby
3 years ago
Reply to  ellenoday

Many on this benighted, overcrowded, rain swept, little island see Mr Trump, as the voice of ‘real’ America. That is, Blue collar and Red neck America. The America that with only 5% of the world’s population still dominates the planet in the Imperial sense.
Nothing like it has been seen since the great days Ancient Rome. Although far from perfect, it is, and remains, the sole guardian of all that this good about the West.
China represents a clear and present danger, yet many former, supine, US Presidents have studiously avoided the issue.
The boil must be lanced and in Trump we trust.

Fred Bloggs
Fred Bloggs
3 years ago

The democrats operate on identity based rhetoric and so when they choose a presidential candidate they agonize over which intersectional identity groups are being represented. It risks becoming a “pick your avatar” exercise rather than a “select your candidate” exercise. In fear of losing they fudged and went for Biden – another “old white guy“. Perhaps Biden was picked for his tip top, alert intellect and real world wisdom; it’s hard to tell.

My suspicion is that the voters went for Obama on identity based grounds; and have moved on from identity based thinking being “the big answer“; hence Hilary didn’t get the win she expected in 2016.

Fraser Bailey
Fraser Bailey
3 years ago
Reply to  Fred Bloggs

Obama was indeed the identity candidate par excellence, not that I wasn’t pleased when he was elected. But ultimately he represented nothing more than empty, albeit superficially profound, rhetoric.

The moment he appointed Geithner of Goldman Sachs as his Treasury Secretary you knew there would be no hope and no change for working Americans. His healthcare reforms delivered nothing really, and on top of that there was Libya, ‘Fast & Furious’ and numerous other disasters. Only now is it all coming out as the real left in the US comes to hate him just as much as they hate the Clintons and Pelosi.

Peter Kriens
Peter Kriens
3 years ago
Reply to  Fred Bloggs

Come on get serious. Obama is one of best political speakers I ever heard. He could charm the sox of any audience. I’m not denying that his skin color helped him but I think he would’ve won anyway.

And he wasn’t a bad president, my only complaint is that he did not reign in the feminist sisterhood in the institutions that are doing so much damage to our society.

ellenoday
ellenoday
3 years ago
Reply to  Peter Kriens

“Obama is one of best political speakers I ever heard.”

You are surely joking sir. Off teleprompter he was and is appalling with umm’s and aah’s that would put a teenager to shame Look on YouTube for confirmation.

And you say he wasn’t a bad president: no, if you believe Globalism is the way to go. He pushed a strong globalist agenda in many areas and indeed had much in common with Bush and Clinton, Globalists all, just as in the UK there was little to choose from between Blair, May, Brown or Cameron.

The importance of Trump that many seem to miss is that he is the first leader of a Western country is that he is openly hostile to Globalism. For that, he gets my vote.

Fred Bloggs
Fred Bloggs
3 years ago
Reply to  Peter Kriens

Obama was eloquent on occasion and hailed as the new Messiah. Just as Blair was; and where is Blair now?

The scale of financial slush in and around the Obama administration was appalling. Bit by bit it comes out: the massive enrichment of the insiders like the Biden family and the Clinton family with money coming from overseas companies and governments. The pedestal on which Obama has postured is being hollowed out as Blair’s has been. Time will tell, truth will out.

Fraser Bailey
Fraser Bailey
3 years ago
Reply to  Peter Kriens

Obama was, ultimately, an empty suit. He looked good, and sounded good. But there was very little content to his words, and even less delivery for normal, working Americans.

David Bell
David Bell
3 years ago

There is one other aspect to Trump that we in the UK ignore. It was pointed out to me by a business partner who is an Evangelical Christian living in the bible belt of central USA. He told me in late 2015, when Trump announced his candidacy that he would win. The issue was simple: Judges!

During the Obama presidency he failed to appoint judges so there where over 2,000 unfilled posts and at least 2 seats would come up on the Supreme Court which the 2016 president would appoint. Trump was many things but he promised to appoint Conservative Christian judges and he has. He has changed the complexion of many of the Federal “circuit” courts. Places like California now have new conservative judges when previously they where exclusively liberal. He has appointed two judges to the Supreme Court both with conservative Christian views and that has changed the balance of power on the court. The 2020 winner will get to appoint at least one more Supreme Court judge and there are other important vacancies coming up in key court rooms around the country. The Evangelical Christians will vote for Trump because he will appoint judges with their views, Biden won’t! That will be the key difference in many states. It’s that simple.

Trump will win because his coalition is much deeper and stronger than we realise!

Carolyn Jackson
Carolyn Jackson
3 years ago

In Florida, Michigan and Pennsylvania Hilary Clinton was ahead of Trump in double figures, not the single digits which Biden is ahead by. Trump went on to win those states. People who are going to vote need to focus more on Biden’s running mate as he or she will be the one who ultimately (and probably very quickly) takes over when Biden’s obvious dementia becomes too advanced.

David Bell
David Bell
3 years ago

This is correct, his running mate will get more scrutiny than any VP candidate since Sarah Palin. But I have one question, what happens if Biden wins but cannot be inaugurated due to ill health or death? It is very clear what happens if he becomes incapacitated after the inauguration but the US Constitution appears quite on the issue of before.

Peter Kriens
Peter Kriens
3 years ago

He? 😂🤣😄😁😅😋😆😀😝😜🤤🤪

Scott Allan
Scott Allan
3 years ago

You are delusional to keep referencing DNC think tanks as authorities on anything.

Sleep, creepy Joe won’t even be the nominee. You are another far left wishful thinker. The DNC will be lucky to win 4 states, if they put Sleepy, Creepy Joe on the ticket. I think they will nominate Cuomo and Michelle Obama.

Please get out of your bubble and put boots on the ground. You can do random surverys in any neighbourhood.

I predict Trump gets high teens even 20% of the Black vote. That is curtains to every democrat running. That is why 14 voted down Nancy’s ridiculous stimulus 3 package.

Johnny Norfolk
Johnny Norfolk
3 years ago

You do not believe the polls do you. They always favour the left. Trump will win on who he is and what he stands for. Just watch.

Russ Littler
Russ Littler
3 years ago

Yet more bulls**t from this liberal lefty professor who is completely out of touch with reality. Biden is nowhere near Trump in the real world poll of real people. He will sweep to a landslide tsunami type victory in November, and continue to clean house of these corrupt politicians and evil medical mafia (yes Mathew, the people you work for are funded by the Gates foundation), because the American people are no longer asleep. They see who the real criminals are now. The reason you cannot find a suitable candidate to run against Trump is because you have no honest, decent human beings, in your party. They are all self serving globalists who look down their noses at “the deplorable’s”, and the ordinary people see this perfectly well.

Rafael Aguilo
Rafael Aguilo
3 years ago

Mr. Goodwin paints the reaction to China and the COVID19 pandemic as if the U.S., or Pres. Trump, for that matter, was the ONLY leader or country raking China over the coals, and everyone else is as friendly as ever and clapping China. Nothing further from the truth.

As for campaign fodder, all you have to do is look at all the videos of Democratic leaders poo-pooing the “misinformation” about the COVID19 virus, and the travel ban from China as “racist and xenophobic”. NYC’s mayor and Health Commissioner did “Oscar worthy performances” when they exhorted the people to keep living their lives. NYC became THE center of the pandemic. Another “worthy of a trophy” mention performance was given by Rep. Nancy Pelosi in California, followed later my the New Orleans mayor. Add to that all the orders given to Senior Homes to ACCEPT back seniors with positive COVID19 diagnosis, after being discharged from the hospitals.

They were basically following the “brotherly example” of Italy, no? How did that work out?

The pandemic has proven, once and for all, what anti-globalists have been saying all along, you can’t depend for another country to manufacture and supply your critically needed products. All you’re doing is asking for a kick in the nuts when the crap hits the fan. Well, the crap DID hit the fan, and the West WAS kicked in the nuts. Now you can see a LOT of countries pointing their collective finger at China. Case closed.

After “selecting” another “establishment to the core, old white guy” as their ideal candidate to “defeat Trump” (their ONLY call to arms); the party of “diversity and inclusion” is now faced with the prospect of selecting their VP candidate, from a “let’s see who can go further to the Left”, and diverse field, that was thrown under the bus before . Can anyone see the hypocrisy here? Good luck.

Warts and all, Pres. Trump has been the ONLY “in your face” non-political establishment president the U.S. has had in a very, very long time.

Mark Corby
Mark Corby
3 years ago

‘Emerging consensus’ of Trump’s impending defeat, what drivel is this?
It is precisely the sort of piffle that is heard every day, in the salons of both Hampstead hypocrites and Islington idiots. No doubt there are pockets of the same nonsense in the US?
Red neck and Blue colour America will see Trump back in the White House in November.
Does anyone seriously believe that the geriatric old pervert Biden has any appeal whatsoever? Even ‘my turn’ Hillary or worse the ‘botox b***h’, Polossi would be preferable as the Democrat candidate.
Trump is a businessman, used to evaluating and taking risks. His instinct over China is correct.
It is appalling that so many former US Presidents have facilitated the rise of China, this festering carbuncle on the backside of humanity.
In any war, whilst the US will remain inviolate, her ‘theatre’ allies are likely to be devastated, due to the dereliction of duty and, frankly supine behaviour of the previous inhabitants of the White House.
Trump may not be perfect, but he is the best we have, in the time available. Good luck to him!
Vae victis!

David George
David George
3 years ago

Recent events are playing straight into Trumps hands; while we await Durham’s report to the DOJ and the Obama/Clinton (the so called Obamagate) crimes therein China is having another tantrum and threatening to invade Taiwan, blocking imports from anyone that so much as questions them and generally behaving like a spoilt brat.
A rich vein to exploit come election time I would say.

Mark Corby
Mark Corby
3 years ago
Reply to  David George

“Spare the rod and spoil the child”.

Mark Corby
Mark Corby
3 years ago
Reply to  David George

“Spare the rod and spoil the child”.

jmarsden1961
jmarsden1961
3 years ago

I am in the UK and so don’t see much on CNN Fox etc. but in the last election it was clear that Trump appealed to blue collar workers with his ‘I’m one of you’ mantra which resonated with many people who felt unrepresented.

Secondly it seems Clinton represented the old guard and the email scandal was the final nail in the coffin.

Now even though Trump is a complete narcissist – witness how he turns on even loyal inner circle members when they disagree with him- and is presiding over massive unemployment- I believe he is banking on post Covid economics – Being seen to be righting the economy and taking on China economically as well as politically.

Crucially Biden hasn’t seized the opportunity to sow nearly enough doubt in voter’s minds about Trump not has he demonstrated enough nous to encourage the population to vote for him.

Therefore US underlying conservatism will kick in: let’s stick with what we know – the least worst option.