Two years ago, Texas Senator Ted Cruz was Donald Trump’s strongest competitor for the Republican presidential nomination. Today, polls show he could lose his bid for re-election in what, for decades, has been one of the most Republican states in the Union. Why this is so tells us much about the tectonic shift American politics is experiencing.
Cruz is, in many ways, the embodiment of his native state. Like many of his fellow Texans, Cruz strikes most people as brash, aggressive, fiercely nationalistic, unapologetically religious, and protective of his liberties. For native Texans, that’s just fine. There’s a reason the state adopted “Don’t Mess With Texas” as its motto for an anti-litter campaign. The swagger and not-so-subtle underlying threat fit the state’s traditional mentality to a T.
These sensibilities run deep; they stem from Texas’ origins as an independent republic with its own War for Independence. Every Texan learns in school about the defenders of the Alamo, a church mission in San Antonio whose 200 Texan soldiers were slaughtered by Mexican President and general Antonio Lopez de Santa Anna. “Victory or Death”, the doomed men’s commander William Travis had written in a call for aid, a statement Texans revere in the manner the ancients honoured Leonidas and the stand of his Spartans at Thermopylae. The inscription on the monument commemorating the battle in which Texas won its independence also aptly summarises that mindset: “The slaughter was appalling, victory complete, and Texas free!”
Like much of the American South, these sentiments found their original political expression in the Democratic Party. That, however, was when the Democrats were the party of the farmer and the less-educated – and of the defeated, former slaveholding Confederate States of America. As Democrats have moved in the past 25 years towards becoming the party of the very poor, the non-White, and the secular White urbanite, these values now find their expression in an unyielding and pugnacious support for the Republican Party.
But Texas, like America, is changing. The state has always been home to a large black population: it was once a slave-holding state and had joined the Confederacy during the American Civil War. More recently, though, its robust economic growth has attracted millions of migrants.
Many come from other parts of the United States – and bring with them their non-Texan upbringing and values. Millions more come from Mexico, attracted by economic opportunity and freedom. The result is that native Texans are increasingly declining in power and influence in their own state.
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