In Britain, like every other Western country, immigration is one of the biggest – if not the biggest – concern of the general public. Like publics across Europe, poll after poll shows that the British public want immigration to be reduced. And yet in recent years the government has either been unwilling or unable to satisfy that desire of the people. Of all the issues that have caused a breakdown in trust between the public and the politicians, the political inability to get more control of immigration is the most fundamental.
Some news this week demonstrated the depth of that divide. On Thursday the BBC led its bulletins with the good news story that “latest estimates” revealed a “big net migration fall since Brexit vote”. I say ‘good news’, because news of a fall-off in net migration would suggest that all the people who had voted for Brexit in order to ‘take back control’ of their borders might be being listened to and their concerns acted upon. Nevertheless the pro-mass migration Institute of Directors, among other institutions, lamented the figures, claiming that they revealed “signs that [the UK] is becoming a less attractive place to live and work.” At the other end of the debate, the think tank MigrationWatch warned that despite the news, the current government remains “likely to fall well short” of its own targets for bringing down net migration during this parliament.
This back and forth is typical of the gap in the actual immigration debate. The “big fall” which the BBC announced was in fact a fall in net migration to 246,000 for the year. And that fall was mainly accounted for by EU migrants leaving the UK. What is more, this “big fall” – far from being a historic achievement – only means net migration into the UK has come down to its lowest levels for three years – but is still at a historically very high level.
This “big news” highlights a far deeper aspect of the immigration debate, which is true not just of the UK but common to each country across the continent.
In recent years, while travelling across Europe to study migration and its effects, I have come across the same story in each Western European country. In every one there is an apparently unbridgeable divide. On the one hand there is the popular cry that ‘we aren’t allowed to debate immigration’. On the other there is the almost equally common reply, ‘what are you talking about? We are forever talking about immigration’. Through my travels and conversations with publics and policymakers I stumbled on the reason why these two apparently irreconcilable arguments co-exist.
The simple fact is: we do not have the immigration debate that people want. The announcement of a three-year low in immigration into the UK – coming as it does into the third decade of a historic high point of immigration into the UK – exemplifies this divide. The decision of 51,000 EU nationals ending their time in the UK is undoubtedly something but it does not get to the heart of the immigration concerns felt by the British – or indeed European – publics.
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