04/20/2026 - 1:03am

Welcome to the age of uncertainty Geopolitical forecasts are for losers

Wolfgang Munchau

17.09

Labour’s technocratic tyranny Government by numbers doesn’t add up

Wessie du Toit

12.02

Skepticism won't save you Science can never be certain

Timandra Harkness

28.05

The danger of convicting with statistics Courts have a bad history of using probability

Tom Chivers

12.05

We should be very wary of the R value A rise in the Covid-19 infection rate actually means that lockdown is working

Tom Chivers

19.09

Statistically, you shouldn’t believe the news It's easy to misinterpret data, says Tom Chivers. Luckily David Spiegelhalter's book has some useful tips about understanding headline figures.

Tom Chivers

18.06

In praise of media scare stories

Peter Franklin

04.02

Do we really have a ‘suicidal generation’? There's no evidence that social media is to blame for an increase in teen deaths

Tom Chivers

27.12

Bayes should be the face of the new £50 note

Graeme Archer

21.11

Could you predict Brexit? It's in everyone's interests that our forecasts are more accurate

Tom Chivers

16.11

The truth about GDP figures

Peter Franklin

08.11

Don’t fight dirty with statistics

Tom Chivers