September 23, 2024 - 7:15pm

→ Russia outpaces Germany in arms production 

More bad news for Ukraine: Russia is far outpacing its most powerful European ally, Germany, in weapons production, according to a new report from the Kiel Institute.

Germany took more than a year to significantly increase its production following the invasion of Ukraine in 2022. For some weapons systems, it would take Germany 100 years to return to 2004 levels, researchers found. Meanwhile, Russian arms manufacturing is outpacing its losses. “Europe must confront the reality that a long-lasting war of attrition is again on European soil,” the report warned, adding that the US will likely be absorbed in other conflicts before the war can be won. As ever, much hinges on November’s election. 

→ The great X-odus

The bifurcation of the internet into Left-wing and Right-wing spaces continues apace. Britain’s Left-wing posters have fled X — formerly Twitter — in droves since Elon Musk’s takeover, according to analysis in the Financial Times.

Musk’s claim that a British civil war over immigration was inevitable appears to have driven the latest spike in growth at Bluesky, X’s progressive rival. Daily users rose from about 40,000 to 100,000 from August to September. Socially conservative Brits, meanwhile, have stuck around on X. Before the 2015 and 2019 elections, 30% of progressive Britons posted political content on X, but that number had fallen by half by the time of the summer riots. The Right-wing takeover of X is nearly complete…

→ Did Trump actually win the debate?

Donald Trump’s debate against Kamala Harris was widely panned in the press as a crushing loss — Harris successfully “baited” Trump and “humiliated” him, according to headlines; his performance was a “meltdown” and showed he is “losing his war with reality”. That performance, however, appears to have impressed voters in swing states.

Credit: NYT

In Arizona, the former President was behind Harris by five points in a New York Times/Siena August poll, then surged five points ahead of her as of today. Similarly, in Georgia and in North Carolina, Trump gained ground, calling the media narrative that he lost the debate into question. Does he still think the pollsters are “faking it”?