At around the same time yesterday that Oprah Winfrey, Lady Gaga and Katy Perry were onstage for Kamala Harris, America’s most important celebrity endorsement finally came in.
“He makes the most compelling case for Trump you’ll hear, and I agree with him every step of the way,” said podcaster Joe Rogan after concluding an interview with Elon Musk. “For the record, yes, that’s an endorsement of Trump.”
This affirmation of support has been a long time coming, and comes too late to make any significant mark on the race, but it still carries a deeper meaning. Really, it is the climax of a much longer process of cultural realignment.
Back in 2020, Rogan was still playing the “disappointed Leftist” card when he endorsed Vermont’s Democratic socialist Senator Bernie Sanders. This was already four years after the “Bernie Bro” phenomenon first took off, who were at the core of the Rogan brand and audience. These were relatively prosperous white men, aged 18-30, who were fed up with the system and what they were being fed by the media. Like a less ardently political version of Corbynism, the movement represented a rebellion against 30 years of end-of-history politics — but one that also had safe, cuddly vibes.
In fact, the hype around Sanders could be seen as the last ride of the slightly older Occupy Wall Street tendency. Members of that generation — who grew up in the shadow of the Great Recession, and who knew that they were being screwed by property prices, labour arbitrage, and an inverted population pyramid — had found a class champion in an older style of Leftism.
But when a post-peak Bernie was finally blown out of the 2020 race by the DNC’s machinations, the Bernie Bro tendency split. Part of it was fed back into the progressive wing of the Democrats, but another part ventured into the undergrowth of conspiracies and a focus on “the media” as the subject of discourse rather than the provider of discourse.
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SubscribeRogan’s endorsement won’t change voting preferences at this point, but it could drive unlikely voters to the polls.
Or have the reverse effect ! Remember Russell Brand endorsing Ed Miliband in 2015. Why did no one call it the “Brand Effect” ?
Who knows at this point. Most commentators seem to be making stuff up to fill space. And the US electoral system is quite baffling. The pundits pore over the “early voting” returns (quite why these are released before the election polls close is beyond me). Yet no one thinks to question whether the “registered Republicans” (and Democrats) will actually vote for the party they’re affiliated to this time. I’d be really interested to see how much reg R->D and reg D->R voting actually happens.
I gather the score (18:00 GMT) is currently 3-3 from Dixie Notch, NH. Yes, that’s literally 3 votes each. It’s apparently the Sunderland of the US (reports earliest – possibly even before the polls open in Hawaii). And has only 6 voters.
Anyone know if they do “horses at polling stations” in the US ? Feels like it should be a thing in Texas.