One of the most disturbing trends of our time is the long-term decline in democratic values – as documented by Yascha Mounk, among others.
It’s not that everyone’s gone full fascist all of a sudden. However, the research does indicate that popular support for democracy is not as solid as it used to be.
Given the rise in support for populist parties of the right and left, one might assume the problem is one of polarisation. Voters drifting towards either extreme of the political spectrum are embracing ideological absolutism at the expense of democratic give-and-take.
However, in a fascinating piece for the New York Times, David Adler argues that disillusion with democracy appears to be most severe at the centre of the political spectrum:
“I examined the data from the most recent World Values Survey (2010 to 2014) and European Values Survey (2008), two of the most comprehensive studies of public opinion carried out in over 100 countries. The survey asks respondents to place themselves on a spectrum from far left to center to far right. I then plotted the proportion of each group’s support for key democratic institutions…
Respondents who put themselves at the center of the political spectrum are the least supportive of democracy, according to several survey measures…”
This is counter-intuitive, indeed Adler calls it the Centrist Paradox. So how do we explain his findings?
It could be that liberals and moderates are so appalled by their fellow voters’ recent choices that they’ve lost faith in the democratic process. Over the last year, we’ve seen self-declared liberals seeking to overturn the Brexit referendum; entertaining overblown conspiracy theories about foreign interference in election campaigns; turning a blind-eye to Spanish police violence against Catalan voters; and showing extraordinary disrespect to Italian voters this week.
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