Is this the end of the G20?
The international club has already ceased to function
Russia has been sanctioned by an ever lengthening list of international organisations. The country has been removed from the SWIFT global payments system, from international football competitions and from the Eurovision Song Contest.
Russian athletes have just been banned from the Paralympic Winter Games in Beijing; and even Russian cats aren’t exempted — they’re the subject of special measures by the Fédération Internationale Féline (FIFe).
Like what you’re reading? Get the free UnHerd daily email
Already registered? Sign in
However, there’s one prestigious body of which Russia is still a full member, and likely to remain so: the G20. The organisation was founded in 1999 to reflect the fact that the G7 nations (the seven biggest western economies) no longer dominate the global economy. The G20 therefore provides a forum in which the G7 countries can sit alongside China, India and other major economies from each global region.
Together, the members of the G20 account for two-thirds of the world’s population and 90% of its economic output. As a forum for economic cooperation it matters. Suspending or expelling Russia from membership would be a major step.
One G20 leader — Scott Morrison, the Prime Minister of Australia — has already suggested that Russia’s membership should be reconsidered.
There is a precedent. In 1997, the G7 became the G8 when Russia was invited to join as a full member. However, that came to an end in 2014 when Russia was suspended following the annexation of Crimea. The G8 subsequently reverted to its previous name.
In theory, the G20 could follow suit and become the G19. However, the organisation operates on the basis of consensus. Unlike the G7, the G20 is not a western club, so achieving unanimity is unlikely — especially with China as a member.
But there might be another way. Half the G20 members — the G7 nations, Australia, South Korea and the European Union — can be counted as western democracies. If they were to collectively boycott any meeting at which Russia is present, then the G20 would effectively cease to function. Other members might also join in. Of this group of ten, six (Argentina, Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico, Saudi Arabia and Turkey) voted against Russia in this week’s UN vote on Ukraine (China, India and South Africa abstained).
In other spheres — especially culture and sport — the boycott threat has proven effective in persuading reluctant international bodies to act against Russia.
Finally, it’s worth remembering that a founding purpose of the G20 was to facilitate global cooperation on financial stability. The organisation was created to help prevent events like the 1997 Asian financial crisis. However, several of its member states are now engaged in a financial war. As a response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the western countries are deliberately destabilising Russia’s banking system and therefore its entire economy.
In this respect, the G20 has already ceased to function.
I must say I’m quite envious of how quickly Russia is being decoupled from the global system. Might Brexit have happened quicker if we’d just invaded someone?
Yes the G20 should be disbanded, thereby kicking Russia out. Then kick Russia out of the UN by disbanding that useless organisation as well.
Especially kick Russia out of anything to do with the environment. Let the rest of the world laugh at Russia while they struugle to survive on just fossil fuels. We better people will have renewables and we’ll show who is the boss then.
It seems the problem with formal institutions is that most fail to adapt to their everchanging environment. Instead they metastasize into vehicles operating principally for the benefit of those they employ, and the sectoral interests which always capture them. (The UN, and the World Bank are among the worst in that respect.)
If NATO had been cautiously reset in the 1990’s, to reflect the dismemberment of the Warsaw Pact, Russia’s alignment with the rest of Europe/and the West might have been deeper by now.
Suppose you did get your way. What would further isolation achieve?
Suppose Russia gets its destructive military way in Ukraine. What would it achieve?
A strategically defensible bottleneck buffer between it and the Iraq/Afghanistan/Libya/Syria stomping US/EU/NATO/WEF globalists.
Join the discussion
To join the discussion in the comments, become a paid subscriber.
Join like minded readers that support our journalism, read unlimited articles and enjoy other subscriber-only benefits.Subscribe