I think Harris will win the Presidency; no real evidence as to why but I think Trump was solely targeting Biden and that avenue of attack has evaporated.
With regard to Vance, his CV seems inspirational and some of his views sensible but that probably isn’t enough.
As for Tory leader, Tugendhat is about as centre Right as Lord Cameron of Greensill who could only win an election by promising a Referendum on EU membership…far from a centre Right policy, in fact a Ukip policy. If he becomes leader the Tories stand no chance against Starmer Labour.
I have no real evidence of this either, it’s just a feeling, but I also kind of have this general sense that the whole Trump thing was a moment in time, and that moment has passed.
I would agree re Trump. Harris is a difficult opponent for him. If something were still to happen to Trump medically, stroke or other event, JD Vance alone would have the measure of Harris.
Yes I agree, but I still doubt that Vance could win.
Jeremy Bray
4 months ago
Asking the public who they chose among a range of relatively unknown Conservative MPs is certainly no guide as to who would make an effective leader.
Left-leaning voters will inevitably vote for the most left leaning Conservative they have heard of despite the fact that their vote is irrelevant given that they would not vote conservative even if he or she was elected.
The message of the Labour landslide is that you only need 20% of possible voters or 33% of actual voters to win big if your opponents are sufficiently divided or apathetic because you utterly failed to deliver on your manifesto.
The conservatives just need a leader that reflects the views of a decent selection of the conservative members of the public and who is capable of generating sufficient enthusiasm for an achievable program.
Labour is the party of the bureaucracy the Conservatives have to be the party of those who pay for it and so have an interest in a smaller more efficient bureaucracy.
JDV’s position on abortion is insane, scientifically, morally, and most germane to the topic under discussion – politically
AJ Mac
4 months ago
Of course he regrets the pick. He regretted choosing Pence too, though not on (the first) election day. Turns out you need to get back into the White House before you can anoint your successor according to your own definition of “succession”. Vance may also have at least one losing presidential run in his future–mirroring Trump.
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SubscribeI think Harris will win the Presidency; no real evidence as to why but I think Trump was solely targeting Biden and that avenue of attack has evaporated.
With regard to Vance, his CV seems inspirational and some of his views sensible but that probably isn’t enough.
As for Tory leader, Tugendhat is about as centre Right as Lord Cameron of Greensill who could only win an election by promising a Referendum on EU membership…far from a centre Right policy, in fact a Ukip policy. If he becomes leader the Tories stand no chance against Starmer Labour.
I have no real evidence of this either, it’s just a feeling, but I also kind of have this general sense that the whole Trump thing was a moment in time, and that moment has passed.
I would agree re Trump. Harris is a difficult opponent for him. If something were still to happen to Trump medically, stroke or other event, JD Vance alone would have the measure of Harris.
Yes I agree, but I still doubt that Vance could win.
Asking the public who they chose among a range of relatively unknown Conservative MPs is certainly no guide as to who would make an effective leader.
Left-leaning voters will inevitably vote for the most left leaning Conservative they have heard of despite the fact that their vote is irrelevant given that they would not vote conservative even if he or she was elected.
The message of the Labour landslide is that you only need 20% of possible voters or 33% of actual voters to win big if your opponents are sufficiently divided or apathetic because you utterly failed to deliver on your manifesto.
The conservatives just need a leader that reflects the views of a decent selection of the conservative members of the public and who is capable of generating sufficient enthusiasm for an achievable program.
Labour is the party of the bureaucracy the Conservatives have to be the party of those who pay for it and so have an interest in a smaller more efficient bureaucracy.
Let’s see how that works in a country where the numbers depending on the bureaucracy for income exceed the number of net taxpayers funding it.
You think we (the UK) are there?
JDV’s position on abortion is insane, scientifically, morally, and most germane to the topic under discussion – politically
Of course he regrets the pick. He regretted choosing Pence too, though not on (the first) election day. Turns out you need to get back into the White House before you can anoint your successor according to your own definition of “succession”. Vance may also have at least one losing presidential run in his future–mirroring Trump.