February 19, 2025 - 6:00pm

Relations between America and Ukraine have hit a historic low. Besides sidelining Ukraine from talks about its own fate, US President Donald Trump yesterday blamed Ukraine for its own invasion. “You should have never started it. You could have made a deal”, he remarked. This was followed today by accusations that Volodymyr Zelensky is a dictator in a country without elections.

Things are seemingly no better behind closed doors, with the Americans failing to provide Kyiv with the most basic information. Zelensky found out about the US-Russia negotiations in Saudi Arabia through media reports and, having planned to visit Riyadh to speak with US officials, admitted they had not told him “who will stay, who will leave or who is planning to go where. To be honest, I don’t care”.

His outburst was symptomatic of a new and confrontational tone from the Ukrainian leader. Having hitherto carefully flattered Trump and avoided direct criticism of the new US administration, Kyiv has recently rejected the US draft agreement for a deal giving Washington 50% of Ukraine’s rare minerals. Zelensky is now fighting back against Trump’s claims that he enjoys only 4% approval ratings, commissioning polls to show his true popularity. Given the US President’s aversion to criticism and taste for public feuding, relations between the two leaders are unlikely to improve.

So what options are available to the Ukrainian leader? Naturally, he seems to be turning to the allies he still has for support. With Trump’s Special Envoy for Ukraine and Russia Keith Kellogg arriving in the country today, Zelensky has offered to take him to the frontline to let him speak with soldiers and witness what is happening. It is a logical plan, using his designated link with the Trump administration and convincing Kellogg of Kyiv’s position in the hope that he may have greater success in influencing Trump.

Yet, the strategy is unlikely to work. No matter how sympathetic Kellogg proves to be, he has already been sidelined himself, excluded from the US-Russia talks. Reports emerged that this was at Moscow’s instigation, the Kremlin disliking Kellogg’s peace plan since it proposed continuing military aid to Ukraine and providing security guarantees to deter further Russian aggression. As such, any energy expended on Kellogg is likely wasted, his voice having minimal influence on negotiations.

Zelensky may additionally turn to Keir Starmer. The British Prime Minister will next week visit Washington, while another summit with both Zelensky and European leaders is scheduled for after Starmer’s return. He is not a bad choice to take the Ukrainian President’s arguments to the White House — Trump has publicly complimented Starmer for being “very nice” and shown favouritism towards the UK over Europe regarding tariffs. However, this will be the ultimate test of how much rapport the UK truly has established with the new US administration.

The other ally Ukraine is looking to is Europe. Zelensky has announced he is already talking to European leaders, adding: “I think they will be ready to talk about funding our armed forces”. That would, however, entail gaining a unified, coherent response from European leaders who have, over the past week, squabbled over the location, format and attendees of Monday’s emergency summit in Paris and failed to agree on whether to send European peacekeepers. Tensions were so high regarding the latter that German Chancellor Olaf Scholz walked out of the meeting, later admitting he was “annoyed”.

Even if the prospect of losing US aid did jolt the Europeans into action, it is doubtful if that would be sufficient to maintain Ukraine’s war effort. Lieutenant General Ihor Romanenko, former Deputy Head of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, told Al Jazeera that “Europe can’t possibly replace American aid” and “we will last six months” without US support.

Considering the long-term prospects, Kremlin spokesman Dmitri Peskov this week said that Ukraine has the right to join the EU. This may be the lasting solution, Russia keeping the land it occupies and Zelensky selling EU membership to Ukrainians as a victory, with the prospect of the other territories potentially returning via diplomatic means at some future juncture in the style of East-West Germany.

For the time being, however, Zelensky’s strategy is logical. But he is likely discovering that Ukraine’s remaining allies are in the same boat: bewildered by the events of the past week and lacking any influence over Donald Trump.


Bethany Elliott is a writer specialising in Russia and Eastern Europe.

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