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Is the US turning away from youth gender transitions? 

'If the radical Left continues to define the Democratic Party, then we’re just going to continue to lose.' Credit: Getty

November 15, 2024 - 7:10pm

The US is currently years behind its Western peers in restricting youth gender transitions, as the UK, Sweden, Norway and others limit access to hormones and surgeries for minors. But changing political winds, along with a pending Supreme Court case, could bring about a sea change over the coming year.

A federal court determined on Wednesday that Indiana’s ban on puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones for the purpose of youth gender transitions could stand, reversing a lower court’s temporary blocking of the law. A nearly identical court process unfolded in Tennessee last year, with the case now resting before the Supreme Court. Justices will hear oral arguments next month in the Tennessee case, and are expected to release a decision in late spring determining whether such bans are constitutional.

The Court’s 6-3 conservative majority will likely uphold restrictions on medical transitions for minors, but such a decision would not resolve the current split in the US over the issue. As it stands, 26 states restrict the procedures and 24 do not.

In early 2023, Donald Trump pledged to sign a law banning “child sexual mutilation” nationwide, and this month’s election results make a full US ban a strong possibility. Republicans will control the House, Senate, and presidency in the coming year, and the party has every reason to view bans on youth transitions as a winning issue. Ads highlighting Kamala Harris’s support for taxpayer-funded transition surgeries for prisoners, for example, were credited with winning over undecided voters in swing states.

Democrats have long objected to restrictions on transgender medical treatments, including for minors, generally siding with activists’ claims that the procedures are safe, effective, and medically necessary. The Biden administration has led the way on this front, with a whole-of-government effort to make legal and medical transitions more accessible through the work of numerous federal agencies, including the Department of Health and Human Services. Youth gender transitions, and opposition to state limits on such treatments, were key to those efforts. Further, the Biden administration is one of the petitioners currently asking the Supreme Court to strike down state laws banning such treatments for minors.

But the Democratic Party, having just seen 90% of US counties shift to the Right, is divided over how it should handle contentious social issues moving forward. Massachusetts Democratic Rep. Seth Moulton has been the subject of a week-long news cycle after arguing against male athletes in girls’ sports, but he has maintained his position amid criticism from his party and his own staff.

“If the radical Left continues to define the Democratic Party, then we’re just going to continue to lose,” Moulton has since said. As it becomes acceptable — and perhaps politically necessary — for Democrats to reject transgender ideology, it looks increasingly likely that a bipartisan consensus will jointly ban cross-sex treatments for minors at the national level.


is UnHerd’s US correspondent.

laureldugg

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El Uro
El Uro
25 days ago

“As it becomes acceptable — and perhaps politically necessary — for Democrats to reject transgender ideology” – “politically necessary” is all you have to know about the majority of modern politicians.

Thomas Wagner
Thomas Wagner
24 days ago
Reply to  El Uro

A spine that can be bent by “political necessity” is no spine at all.

UnHerd Reader
UnHerd Reader
24 days ago
Reply to  El Uro

I’m one gender critical liberal who has always been against transitioning confused children with dangerous, experimental drugs. Most of these children have mental health issues and many of them are same sex attracted. The whole ideology is barbaric.

Champagne Socialist
Champagne Socialist
25 days ago

Another attempt by far right “Christian” extremists to insert themselves and their insane prejudices between a citizen and their health care provider. They’ve already done it to women. Trans kids are next. Who will it be after that?

Lancashire Lad
Lancashire Lad
25 days ago

You, with a bit of luck. A total lobotomy would do wonders for your IQ level.

Champagne Socialist
Champagne Socialist
25 days ago
Reply to  Lancashire Lad

Ah, our kid! Look at you, still trying to be funny! Keep it up, lad, persistence in the face of repeated humiliations is very admirable!

Champagne Socialist
Champagne Socialist
25 days ago

(this is where he says something like “oh, you should know all about that” or something equally lame. I can read you people like a book!)

El Uro
El Uro
25 days ago

Giving you a dislike is like a dog raising its paw to mark its territory. It’s not that it’s pleasant, it’s just necessary.
By the way, have you recovered from the victory of “foscism” in America?

Lancashire Lad
Lancashire Lad
25 days ago

So rattled, you’re talking to yourself now. I’ll wager that’s just the start of your solo activities.

Champagne Socialist
Champagne Socialist
25 days ago
Reply to  Lancashire Lad

Rattled?!?! By you?!?!
At last you said something funny, our kid!

Thomas Wagner
Thomas Wagner
24 days ago
Reply to  Lancashire Lad

Be grateful that none of those solo activities can result in offspring. More of Champagne Socialist we do not need.

UnHerd Reader
UnHerd Reader
25 days ago

Typical CS drivel posing as clever. And failing miserably.

David Morley
David Morley
25 days ago

No you can’t! But given a few minutes you can recognise that you’ve just set yourself up!

Champagne Socialist
Champagne Socialist
25 days ago
Reply to  David Morley

I knew you were going to say that

Thomas Wagner
Thomas Wagner
24 days ago

I knew you were going to say that.

UnHerd Reader
UnHerd Reader
25 days ago

Yes, child sacrifice and mutilation are not worth the attention of the woke. The woke have the right to vo-opt medical care and turn it into child destruction and no one has the right to question it.

Champagne Socialist
Champagne Socialist
25 days ago
Reply to  UnHerd Reader

Child sacrifice? Where did you get that from, old boy?

Rob N
Rob N
25 days ago

Have heard Seth Moulton is being more than a bit hypocritical having sponsored much of the trans lunacy legislation and policy.

Bret Larson
Bret Larson
25 days ago

I hope trump stays out of it and allows the states to decide on the cultures they want.

Brett H
Brett H
25 days ago
Reply to  Bret Larson

Just had to drag Trump into it.

UnHerd Reader
UnHerd Reader
25 days ago
Reply to  Bret Larson

So allow the latest democrat peculiar institutions to fester unchallenged? Nope.

Ian Barton
Ian Barton
25 days ago
Reply to  Bret Larson

I’m not convinced that individual States should have a “right to mutilate”.

Bret Larson
Bret Larson
24 days ago
Reply to  Ian Barton

The populations have a democratic right to forge their own path. Don’t you trust them?

Evan Heneghan
Evan Heneghan
25 days ago

Seth Moulton is getting a very hard time from right wing and left wing commentators for his hypocricy (right) or transphobia (left). What I’d say is that, of course he’s a hypocrite, as are almost all career politicians, but at least he’s willing to be one of the first to put his head over the pew and say that he actually thinks it’s wrong. He’s certainly no worse than the lunatic true believers, or the cowards who know it’s morally wrong and politically unpopular, but are afraid of being uninvited from the nice dinner parties.

Jim Veenbaas
Jim Veenbaas
25 days ago
Reply to  Evan Heneghan

That’s fair.

Peter Johnson
Peter Johnson
24 days ago
Reply to  Evan Heneghan

There is going to be a cultural sea change in Canada and US due to Trump’s win – it has already started. Those of us who have been vocal about pushing for change should welcome converts – particularly politicians and leaders. Moulting deserves credit for being a first mover in his milieu – and an important one.

Kiddo Cook
Kiddo Cook
25 days ago

This transgender madness must be killed off for the lunacy it is and for the poison it promotes. It’s only big pharma benefitting from the misery of its human experimentation not dissimilar to Nazi horrors of WW2.

Kiddo Cook
Kiddo Cook
16 days ago
Reply to  Kiddo Cook

RANSGENDER police officers can strip-search women under new guidance issued by the British Transport Police (BTP).
The guidance, seen by The Telegraph, allows male staff identifying as female to intimately search women so long as they have a gender recognition certificate (GRC).
It comes after backlash earlier this year saw similar national policing guidance temporarily withdrawn after thethen government raised concerns about women’s safety.

Michael Clarke
Michael Clarke
24 days ago

That would be progress.