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Hispanics are turning away from Joe Biden

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December 21, 2021 - 5:09pm

Faced with a seemingly never ending pandemic, high inflation, and a stalled legislative agenda, President Joe Biden’s approval rating continues to sink. In a new PBS/Marist poll released on Monday, only 41% of respondents said they approved of the job Biden is doing as president, compared to 55% who disapproved. That’s marginally better than Trump’s numbers at the same time in his presidency — in December 2017, Trump sat at 35% approve vs. 59% disapprove — but still represents quite a fall from January, when Biden sat at 51% approval vs. 38% disapproval. 

Perhaps the most interesting thing about the new poll is who, exactly, is souring on Biden. Over the last few weeks, there has been a raft of stories about the president’s struggles with Hispanics, whose traditionally solid support for the Democrats once fuelled predictions that immigration would lead to permanent progressive electoral majorities

But this new poll paints the starkest picture yet: 65% of Latino respondents said they disapproved of Biden, against only 33% who approve. When one considers the intensity of feeling, the numbers are even worse: a majority of Latinos, 52%, strongly disapprove of Biden, while only 11% strongly approve. 

Earlier analysis gives us a sense of why Hispanics are drifting Rightward. According to the data research firm Equis, in 2020, Hispanics strongly supported Trump’s policies on Covid and the economy over Biden’s, even if a majority of them still voted for the latter. Now, with Trump out of office, the economy sputtering, and the Democrats becoming the party of semi-permanent Covid restrictions (including a fresh wave of blue-city vaccine and mask mandates in response to the Omicron variant), it is no surprise that the president is bleeding support. 

Issues that the Democrats thought would appeal to Hispanics, such as immigration and racial equity, seem either irrelevant or actively counterproductive — as Eric Levitz recently noted, about half of Hispanics want to reduce legal immigration and 55% favour increased border security. And some Hispanics may be turned off by what they see as the Democrats’ flirtations with socialism.

There has been talk for some time among reform-minded Republicans like Marco Rubio of turning the GOP into a “multiethnic, multiracial, working-class” party. It looks as if the Democrats may be doing their job for them. The PBS/Marist poll also showed that Biden’s approval was lower among those making less than $50,000 a year than those making more, lower among the non-college-educated than the college-educated, and below 50% in every region of the country except the Northeast. 

Analysts once worried that the GOP was becoming the party of Southern whites, which would sabotage its prospects in national elections. Now it looks as if the Democrats are in danger of becoming the party of the Acela corridor.

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J Bryant
J Bryant
2 years ago

Dwindling support for the Democrats among Hispanics has been written about quite extensively this year. Several possible explanations have been given. The progressive agenda around gender is said to not sit well with many Hispanics who favor traditional family structures and are otherwise socially conservative. Some Hispanics are said to view the largely white progressives as condescending when they lump ‘people of color’ into one basket and purport to know what’s best for them (including renaming them–Latinx). Many Hispanics either come from South America or have relatives who came from there within the past generation or two and they’ve seen what centralized, socialist-oriented governments can do to a country.
Turns out ‘people of color’ have minds of their own.

Drahcir Nevarc
Drahcir Nevarc
2 years ago
Reply to  J Bryant

Black minds matter.

James Joyce
James Joyce
2 years ago

I wish that the US would stop taking these polls and also stop categorising everything based on race and false names. “Hispanic” is a name simply made up by the federal government decades ago for the census, and it doesn’t really mean anything. Is a Cuban professional the same as an indiginious person from the highlands in Guatemala? Is a Venezuelan engineer the same as a day labourer from Mexico? Can someone tell me what they have in common, other perhaps than brown skin, and that’s not really true either.
But while I wait for that to happen–LET’S GO BRANDON!

George Glashan
George Glashan
2 years ago
Reply to  James Joyce

Vamos Brandon !

Jeremy Bray
Jeremy Bray
2 years ago
Reply to  James Joyce

Yes, Profiling may be illegal if you are a police officer but not if you are a pollster. It doesn’t seem to have sunk in that the colour of a man’s skin or ethnic origin tells you almost nothing about a man’s opinions.

James Stangl
James Stangl
2 years ago

Excellent news. Let’s go, Brandon!