John Oxley

John Oxley is a corporate strategist and political commentator. His Substack is Joxley Writes.

@Mr_John_Oxley

Keir Starmer’s main threat will come from the Left New polling shows Labour's vulnerability to Green and Lib Dem gains

09 Dec 2024

Will Keir Starmer’s benefits crackdown harm Labour? Views on welfare reform divide the party's base

25 Nov 2024

Will the Tories’ Kemi Badenoch bounce last? A polling lead over Labour means nothing without sustained pressure

14 Nov 2024

Don’t expect the new Tory front bench to fight the next election A fresh vanguard of talent will emerge in the coming years

05 Nov 2024

Was Rishi Sunak right all along? Only in Opposition has he shown his real talent

31 Oct 2024

Next Tory leader won’t be a unifier Even candidates preaching cooperation face a bitterly divided party

03 Sep 2024

The anti-Tory coalition is solidifying ahead of 2029 New analysis shows that Labour and the Lib Dems could deepen ties

15 Aug 2024

What are the dividing lines in Tory leadership contest? Candidates aren't differentiating themselves on Britain's most pressing issues

28 Jul 2024

King’s Speech will shape Starmer’s premiership Today marks a rare opportunity to take bold legislative measures

17 Jul 2024

The Tories deserved their drubbing Tonight's result is a distillation of rage against this government

04 Jul 2024

Will Nigel Farage launch his own ‘Stop the Steal’ movement? The Reform leader may follow in Trump's footsteps next month

17 Jun 2024

The Lib Dems’ middle-class populist manifesto Ed Davey's party is gaining in the polls — but what does it stand for?

09 Jun 2024

Britain’s TV debates have lost their aura The Sunak-Starmer showdown will not shift the electoral dial

05 Jun 2024

A snap election is Rishi Sunak’s last hope Today's announcement is a roll of the dice from a dying government

22 May 2024

Are the Tories on the verge of splitting? Dan Poulter's defection to Labour is further evidence of Conservative dysfunction

28 Apr 2024

Is Reform UK a paper tiger? The party's strong polling numbers may not translate into votes

23 Apr 2024

Is this the end of Angela Rayner?

13 Apr 2024

Reform UK threatens Tories in over 300 seats A new YouGov MRP may reinvigorate talk of an electoral pact

05 Apr 2024

Theresa May continues rehabilitation tour by resigning Her dignified departure from Parliament risks masking her failures in office

08 Mar 2024

George Galloway MP: a tribune for anti-politics His Rochdale victory will foster more division in Britain

01 Mar 2024

Is Sue Gray the new Dominic Cummings? Keir Starmer has had to rein in his Chief of Staff over citizens' assemblies

20 Feb 2024

Labour’s Rochdale controversy is more than just a gaffe Azhar Ali's anti-Israel comments reveal a stubborn conspiracism within the party

12 Feb 2024

Who benefits from a Rishi Sunak regicide? Certain leadership hopefuls know they have to make a move soon

29 Jan 2024

Resigning Tories go out with a whimper, not a bang Rishi Sunak's government will survive, but it cannot recover

17 Jan 2024

Reform UK’s Thatcher obsession will alienate voters The party's libertarianism won't tempt Labour supporters

03 Jan 2024

Rishi’s Rwanda plan is destined to fail Yesterday's vote bought the PM time but not salvation

13 Dec 2023

Jeremy Hunt unveils his people-pleaser budget The Autumn Statement prioritised electability over long-term stability

22 Nov 2023

David Cameron’s comeback is a final throw of the dice Bringing back the dead won't resurrect the Tories

13 Nov 2023

Will the Tories’ Net Zero gamble pay off? Rishi Sunak wants to draw a line between his and Labour's green policies

06 Nov 2023

The Conservatives are now a zombie government Two disastrous by-election defeats show the party is just playing for time

20 Oct 2023

Nigel Farage will never rejoin the Tories The Brexit architect wields more power outside the party than within

04 Oct 2023

Keir Starmer is tempting fate by demoting Lisa Nandy The Labour MP could challenge her leader in the future

04 Sep 2023

Sadiq Khan will survive the Ulez backlash, but Labour might not Opposition to the scheme could hurt the party nationally

29 Aug 2023

Holding Uxbridge won’t save the Tories The party was trounced in the Selby and Somerton by-elections

21 Jul 2023

Starmer should beware a Left-wing insurgency

13 Jul 2023

Reform’s failure is a silver lining for Rishi Sunak The Right-wing party's disappointing election could save the Tories

05 May 2023

Dominic Raab’s exit is a victory for the Blob But the bullying probe has severely weakened Rishi Sunak's authority

21 Apr 2023

Farewell then, Dominic Cummings’s class of 2019 Scott Benton is the latest Vote Leave MP to depart the Conservatives

07 Apr 2023

The Red Wall firebrand is a myth

13 Feb 2023

Sunak’s enemies lie in wait

17 Jan 2023

Westminster isn’t that corrupt

12 Jan 2023

Will conservatism survive 2023?

02 Jan 2023

Can the Tories survive a Right-wing insurgency?

15 Dec 2022

Chester result could have been worse for the Tories The outcome doesn't suggest a 1997-style wipeout

02 Dec 2022

The Tories are fleeing a sinking ship

29 Nov 2022

Rishi Sunak bows to Tory NIMBY pressure A minority of MPs are putting their own interests ahead of the nation's

23 Nov 2022

How Rishi could trap Labour

21 Nov 2022

What Hunt can learn from Truss

15 Nov 2022

The Tories were destined for civil war

21 Oct 2022

The Truss premiership is now dead in the water Axing the Chancellor won't fix the PM's problems

14 Oct 2022

Liz Truss won’t unchain Britannia

23 Sep 2022

The Tories are criminally blind

23 Aug 2022

The Tories don’t care about politics

09 Aug 2022