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Labour’s Net Zero plans will lead to carmaker exodus

Clean energy, ahoy! Credit: Getty

December 28, 2024 - 1:00pm

The UK Government has announced details of the consultation with carmakers over the best route to achieving Net Zero targets. This is a response to job losses in the industry, most notably after the announced closure of Vauxhall’s Luton factory, and ongoing concerns over the feasibility of EV mandates. Manufacturers will have eight weeks to submit their views.

There might appear to be hope in this for those who fear Labour’s policies will herald a “carmaggedon” for the industry. What’s more, the Government press release from Christmas Eve talked of greater “flexibility” and stressed the importance of the automotive sector to the UK economy. But it also referenced some highly dubious figures on the running cost advantages of EVs and made no mention of the broader debate about the Net Zero crusade.

Paying very close attention to all this will be the executives of Japanese car giants Nissan and Honda whose intended merger was confirmed at a press conference in Tokyo this week. Nissan employs 6,000 people in the UK, with a supply chain that extends to 30,000, most of whom are based at the company’s Sunderland plant. Nissan executives have warned that the current regulations are making their business unsustainable: 22% of all sales must be EVs, rising to 28% by 2028.

Labour will need to be careful though: the Nissan-Honda merger could create the world’s third largest car manufacturer, after Volkswagen and Toyota. Mitsubishi, which currently has a partnership with Nissan, could also join and the new corporate behemoth could be worth in excess of $42 billion. The aim is to seal the deal by June 2025 and list on the Tokyo stock exchange in 2026. The essential motive is that both companies are struggling to compete with Chinese dominance of the EV market and the increasingly onerous regulations imposed by Western governments.

Nissan is in a particularly difficult situation, with some calling this a rescue mission by Honda. The company, which reduced its profits forecast massively last month from £2.5 billion to just under £1 billion, has had a fraught decade. In an acutely embarrassing incident in 2018, former CEO Carlos Ghosn escaped from Japan to Lebanon hiding in a large music equipment box on a private jet. Ghosn has described the merger talks as a sign that Nissan is in “panic mode”.

The merger is highly significant in Japan and it is testament to the special status companies like Nissan and Honda that the word “merger” was avoided until it became undeniable. Japan’s mega-corporations are more than just employers: they are proud symbols of the country’s post-war renaissance and serve as almost guardians and protectors of their employees. The deal is simple: once hired you are guaranteed a job for life. In return, you stay with the company and basically devote yourself to it. Japanese salarymen commonly introduce themselves as the virtual possessions of their company (“I am Honda’s Yamato-san”, for example). One’s real family can seem of secondary importance.

But crucially, Nissan-Honda pulling out of the UK market would be a seismic loss. And this looks increasingly possible given that the UK has the most expensive industrial energy prices in the world. Contrary to Britain’s tactics, Japan has managed to keep energy cheap, restarting its nuclear plants in the wake of the Fukushima disaster. This ought to focus the minds of Energy Secretary Ed Miliband and Transport Minister Heidi Alexander. But it is hard to imagine a dramatic U-turn from this government, or even a gear shift.


Philip Patrick is a lecturer at a Tokyo university and a freelance journalist.
@Pbp19Philip

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John Galt
John Galt
2 days ago

It seems that the UK is trying to de-colonize by turning themselves into the position many of their former colonies were before they arrived.

Richard Littlewood
Richard Littlewood
2 days ago
Reply to  John Galt

They seem to be. All in preparation for what though?
Everything will get worse and worse. What do they see there?
Perhaps someone in Unherd could pop round to the sister magazine (it used to be quire special) and ask Gove.
He had high hopes for a new party after destroying the Conservatives. He was going to call it the Phoenix party.
But for what? What is the vision?

D Walsh
D Walsh
2 days ago

The vision is to win the next election

Thats it, they don’t really care about anything else

The Phoenix party LOL if its run by Gove and the usual Tory clowns, how would it be any different

Brian Doyle
Brian Doyle
1 day ago
Reply to  John Galt

Correction Required
UK no longer trying successfully and forever so the position of former colonies has been reached

Go look at how a Socialist Capitalist Economy has dealt with
” The New Era ” of Global affairs

As opposed to Neo Liberal Capitalism who leave all for the market to decide of which UK has been a dedicated follower of that
Philosophy of Thatcherism

Well it was the British who invented the word Coolie and slapped the sticker on the Forehead of the Chinese that were brought into Singapore in Colonial day’s
To build the Railway Lines and docks
UK are now truly Coolies now and this time no sticky label slapped upon the forehead, but in heavy
Bright Red Ink tattooed prominently
So upon our foreheads

Just one little example
By 2030 New EV vehicles manufacturing globally shall be at least 88 % of the Total
On Monday morning after less than one hour of Manufacturing China shall off the production lines roll off more EV automobiles that the UK can produce in a entire Year

That’s just one little statistic and
A very small part of that bright shiny new Tattoo upon your Coolie
Forehead
In the next few years you will be recalled to the Tattooist to have your inking lit up for the whole world to view 24/7/365

” Oh Mummy look at That Old Imperial power “

McLovin
McLovin
1 day ago
Reply to  Brian Doyle

Are you a bot? On second thoughts even AI can write proper sentences with punctuation.

Brian Doyle
Brian Doyle
1 day ago
Reply to  McLovin

Is that the best you can offer on behalf of a thourghly bankrupt UK completely devoid of any means to stop the slide into Absolute poverty
Here another fact for you
In 1957 The UK launched 57 % of Global commercial shipping
2023 – 0 %
China in 1957 0 %
So far 2024 – 74 %
And for forward orders for Aug , Sept , Oct and November 100 %
Total % of orders so far for orders placed globally in 2024
88 %
Keep coming at me The Bot
Plenty more data for you Coolies

Brian Doyle
Brian Doyle
1 day ago
Reply to  McLovin

Yer weasel english language shall not save the day for you
The Coolies
After all your weasel language
Invented that word
Most fitting that it’s now inked upon the Weasels forehead

McLovin
McLovin
1 day ago
Reply to  Brian Doyle

Beyond weird!. Do you sleep with a copy of Mao’s Little Red Book under your pillow?

Brian Doyle
Brian Doyle
1 day ago
Reply to  McLovin

Really facts are Weird
Methinks tis thou are weird

Mrs R
Mrs R
1 day ago
Reply to  Brian Doyle

It appears the consecutive British governments have been working for the benefit of the China.
What does that make them?

Ian Barton
Ian Barton
2 days ago

Words fail me . I am starting to look forward to the day when my anger just becomes numbness.

Last edited 2 days ago by Ian Barton
Ethniciodo Rodenydo
Ethniciodo Rodenydo
2 days ago
Reply to  Ian Barton

The best political analogy I can think of is the Holodomor 
And of course, as the Daily Mail put it Ed Miliband’s father “hated Britain and purveyed a poisonous creed designed to destroy British institutions”.
As Miliband senior himself said about WW”  “The Englishman is a rabid nationalist. They are perhaps the most nationalist people in the world… you sometimes want them almost to lose (the war) to show them how things are.”

Last edited 2 days ago by Ethniciodo Rodenydo
Peter B
Peter B
1 day ago

Is there any Miliband who isn’t an idiot ?
Miliband senior obviously didn’t get out much if he though the English were the most nationalistic people in the world !

Richard Rolfe
Richard Rolfe
1 day ago
Reply to  Peter B

He’d have found out pretty soon if he’d stayed in Poland.

UnHerd Reader
UnHerd Reader
1 day ago
Reply to  Peter B

The one who escaped to the US to “run” a “charity” for a massive salary Labour MPs can only dream of. He still pretends to be a socialist though.

Ethniciodo Rodenydo
Ethniciodo Rodenydo
5 hours ago
Reply to  Peter B

There should be a law barring those coming to this country, and their descendants for at least 4 generations, should be barred from voting or participation in politics to allow time for the poison to drain.

Stuart Bennett
Stuart Bennett
1 day ago
Reply to  Ian Barton

“I am starting to look forward to the day when my anger just becomes numbness”

So are the current government. Then they won’t even have to concoct some slimey, derision-tinged justification and deliver it with an exasperated eye roll.

John Tyler
John Tyler
2 days ago

Japan restarted their nuclear industry… What a novel idea! What a shame our jobsworth leaders have overseen the slow crumbling of our industry.

Brian Doyle
Brian Doyle
1 day ago
Reply to  John Tyler

Slow crumbling
No very fast and what tiny bits left
Now reached Terminal Velocity

Jim Veenbaas
Jim Veenbaas
2 days ago

I’m sure Labour will come up with some dimwitted compromise, thereby avoiding the immediate loss of 6,000 jobs. Then we will be told how centrist and practical they are. It won’t save the industry of course, which will die a slow death rather than immediately. Maybe they can compensate by raising taxes so high on air flights that no one can afford to fly anymore.

John Tyler
John Tyler
2 days ago
Reply to  Jim Veenbaas

You forgot that they’ll remind us they’re grown-up.

Susan Grabston
Susan Grabston
2 days ago
Reply to  Jim Veenbaas

Agree. Jonatham Reynolds is by all accounts starting to pee himself having latterly connected a few dots (despite the unions screaming about Grangemouth for months.as.a foretaste of what.was to.come). Rachel from Customer Service was sent to Sunderland earlier this month,.etc. .

Susan Grabston
Susan Grabston
2 days ago

Not sure this merits an article given deindustrialisation appears to be part of the uniparty’s growth strategy. To try and help.get ahead of a story perhaps you could write about the nudge energy rationing in the UK which is going to become mandatory on current trends in a world that requires 3X power for AI data centres. Or perhaps tackle head on the fraudulent presentation of green data -.that renewables are 44% of energy when in fact it’s 44%.of electrical energy which – in turn – is 55%.of total energy and the implications of this fake news on govt complacence if not hubris (many politicians take the 44% of energy mantra at face value). Or the increasing capture of green subsidies misallocated to corporate entities seeing an investable opportunity on the back of the taxpayer (I’m following this one from a rock in the Irish sea.where big money is buying English land). Or the implications of solar farms on food security. Or the implications of 2030 fossil fuel car ban on freedom of movement relative.to the uptake of other transport modalities and an ageing population. Or perhaps the incoming push for digital ID and money in a world where Florida storms resulted in “cash only” for a week, Crowdstrike can take down the whole system,.and geopolitics will see more deep sea cable cutting. So much to write about lifting a curtain on some urgent and potentially life threatening energy issues

Last edited 2 days ago by Susan Grabston
Dee Harris
Dee Harris
1 day ago

“consultation with carmakers over the best route to achieving Net Zero targets.”
For any sensible govt “Net Zero targets” should actually be “increased employment and industrial production.” But not with TTK’s Labour (as it wasn’t with the fake Tory govt either).
If you love your country Vote Reform whenever you can.

Peter Johnson
Peter Johnson
2 days ago

This reminds me of the Trudeau governments decision to ‘invest’ 37 Billion dollars in EV battery plants while also capping oil and gas production. It is as if they want to destroy our economies.

Dylan B
Dylan B
2 days ago

This government will ruin us.

Henry B
Henry B
2 days ago
Reply to  Dylan B

Merely completing, with added malice, what the preceding Conservative governments were already doing.

Mrs R
Mrs R
1 day ago
Reply to  Dylan B

That is certainly their intention.

UnHerd Reader
UnHerd Reader
17 hours ago
Reply to  Dylan B

Wrong tense.

Jeremy Bray
Jeremy Bray
1 day ago

The plan is to reduce the population to travelling by electric bicycle while official electric Zils transport important bureaucratic officials at speed and comfort on almost empty, albeit potholed, highways. The vision of Miliband’s sainted father.

Stuart Bennett
Stuart Bennett
1 day ago

These pampered private schools twits are hellbent on destroying us by every means available to them. For a while I believed they were insulated from the consequences of their demented, reality denying, idiotic fantasies but the more I think about it when the entire country collapses into bankruptcy, poverty and ruin it’ll finally come for them too. I suspect though that no number of deaths of despair and blood spilt will be enough humble them. It has always been so in the history of the Left that their failures are held to be the fault of the ruled not the rulers. Their theories are obviously perfect, it’s those beneath them who failed.

Thomas Wagner
Thomas Wagner
1 day ago
Reply to  Stuart Bennett

It’s just the inverse of the excuse for Communist failures — “the right people weren’t in charge.”

Henry B
Henry B
2 days ago

Not carmageddon. Starmergeddon.

Last edited 2 days ago by Henry B
Kiddo Cook
Kiddo Cook
2 days ago

The Japanese may have turned on their nukes but they, like Sth Korea and others, have national govt agencies to negotiate fuel/ energy , leveraging massive spend, to achieve better terms for their people. Unlike most of Europe that abdicates this to multiple transnational corporations for private profit.

Michael Cazaly
Michael Cazaly
1 day ago

And in continuation to the last paragraph…”or even give a sh*t.”

Ideology (and virtue signalling..) over reality…

Jonathan Nash
Jonathan Nash
1 day ago

It is obvious that the 2030 date for ceasing petrol/diesel vehicle sales cannot be achieved even if it were desirable. This consultation is the first step in abandoning it.

Kiddo Cook
Kiddo Cook
1 day ago

It’s far more important that Starsimer and Millibantz destroy what little industry is left in our country to trumpet to a laughing world that we’re all freezing but emit zero CO2. I long for them both to be pelted with coal in the stocks of their hubris.

Steven Carr
Steven Carr
2 days ago

Electric vehicles will reduce dependence on fossil fuels, because the electricity will be generated by offshore wind turbines, which use diesel generators.

D Walsh
D Walsh
17 hours ago
Reply to  Steven Carr

Na, that might be the case for now, it will surprise you how electricity is generated 10 years from now