Emmanuel Macron (L) meets with Gabon's Ali Bongo in March 2023 (LUDOVIC MARIN/AFP via Getty Images)

Gabon fulfils all the stereotypes you might have about the west coast of Africa. Brutal, kleptocratic dictator whose family have been in power for over 50 years? Tick. Highly corrupt political system that facilitates large multinational companies to pillage, rob and destroy the livelihood of its people? Tick. Unbelievably resource rich and beautiful, with large areas of untouched rainforest? Tick.
Don’t be fooled. Despite its small size and seeming typicality, Gabon is different. Because this African country, with barely 2.3 million people, has played a massively outsized role in post-colonial Africa. For over 50 years, it has been both the exemplar case and chief facilitator of a dirty capitalism and corrupt neo-imperialism that has marred the continent.
To put it simply, Gabon’s leading Bongo dynasty is responsible for facilitating no-good transactions and all means of illicit activity — and the story of post-imperial French success cannot be told without it.
It all starts, as it so often does when it comes to France, with Charles de Gaulle. De Gaulle was desperate to keep sub-Saharan Africa in French orbit — and so set about with a plan. To maintain dominance, France would do a few things. Most obviously, France would keep close institutional, personal and political links with its former colonies, embedding itself into new states. But De Gaulle also tried something else: France would use whatever means possible to ensure the right politicians got into the right places. De Gaulle had a type in mind: those pliant to French interests, but who would also be sensible and intelligent enough to maintain power, and so ensure continuing dominance.
And so it was, like most of former French sub-Saharan states, with Gabon, who had as its first President Leon M’ba, a man so pro-French, that initially he rejected independence, instead attempting to make the country part of metropolitan France. Yet, from very early on, De Gaulle and the advisors around him carved out a special role for this tiny country. Small, but nevertheless oil and mineral rich, Gabon was unassuming, easy to control, and awash with liquid cash. These characteristics and its cringingly loyal, ruthless and highly strategic second President, Omar Bongo, made Gabon the central puzzle piece in a system of continued French political control — where France could offshore its geostrategic dirty work.
So, France started using the small country as a base, a place where the messy business of getting what it wants could be done, but not traced back to it. At the centre of it all was a series of multinational companies, who exercised massive amounts of power, and acted at the behest of the French state. The largest, and by far most significant of which, was an oil company named Elf Aquitaine. The company, using Gabon as its base, facilitated all sorts of contracts, bribes and bungs that furthered its and the French governmental interests — tellingly, France chose its CEO.
Elf Gabon, a subsidiary of Elf Aquitaine, made a standard annual payment of £15 million to leaders of African states, mainly of ex-colonies. The payment, essentially from France itself, would not have been acceptable if it was transparently from the ex-colonial master. So France used Gabon to make its dirty tricks possible.
As time went by, the size of the system exploded. By the Nineties, Elf was dealing with illicit financial flows exceeding $130 million a year. Money for contracts in places as far as Venezuela, Russia and Central Asia went in and out of the company, allowing French companies intimate to the French state strategic control of resources far outside of just its African ex-colonies.
In 1991, £250 million in euphemistically named “commissions” went through Elf for a deal involving six naval frigates being sold to Taiwan for a figure close to £1.6 billion. This was, in effect, a huge military contract for French companies, facilitated by a dodgy company based in Gabon. The country, in all senses but name, continued to act as a strange half-colony.
At other points, Gabon was used for more explicit and brazen political benefits. Funds were transferred to armed militias and rebel troops from it, using the Elf system. It also acted as one of the bases for Jacques Foccart’s Service d’Action Civique (SAC) — a French organisation that promoted its interests in a fashion not dissimilar to Russia’s Wagner Group.
In exchange for being the lynchpin of French neo-colonialism Omar Bongo, the kleptocrat President, would receive an unprecedented level of support from France. For one, Bongo became essential for French political life. And he was, as a result, kept safe by a crack-squad of French troops, connected by tunnels to the Presidential Palace from a local French military base. If protests, riots or a coup threatened Bongo, the French could always step in. The knowledge of this arrangement was all that was needed to keep him in power — for 42 years Bongo was President. Only his death parted him from the job.
Bongo became a strange figure in French politics. His role in greasing no-good arrangements made the country not just a place for dodgy deals with other countries, but also between French politicians. It was not unheard of for French politicians to head to Gabon and return with a suitcase of cash. Jacques Chirac’s campaign for president, it is reported, gained huge quantities of campaign funding from Gabon’s oil riches. It is partly because of these intimate connections that when Nicholas Sarkozy first took office, the first man he called was not Bush or Blair or Merkel, but Omar Bongo.
That this system collapsed is the story of the recent coup. The demise of the hold of the French state over Gabon — and the collapse of its tightly controlled system of neo-colonialism — is what allowed this coup to take place: the special relationship between Gabon and France no longer exists.
There is no one reason that the French and Gabonese have given up on the tight relationship. Some might point to the Elf affair, when Eva Joly, a Norwegian-French judge revealed the sickening extent of the corruption, resulting in the French government distancing itself from the company. Though French corruption within the country continued, the extent of the revelations meant France spread its bets throughout the continent — as it could no longer afford to be so brazen in its search for an edge within its ex-colonies.
Others might point to the death of Omar Bongo, the shrewd, power-hungry kleptocrat, whose charismatic authority, political nous and diplomatic skill made challenging the Bongo regime near impossible. His son, Ali Bongo, though just as kleptocratic and brutal as his father, was far less strategically decisive when it came to geopolitical direction in global affairs. Instead of cutting fine to the French wind, Bongo junior diversified his portfolio. Out went French total control, in came the free market, Chinese investment and the Anglo-American multinationals. In 2019, Gabon even joined the Commonwealth — the surest sign yet that it was trying to move away from the French.
The result: a dramatic decline in patronage from the former colonial overlord, even if the institutional links remained strong. Gabon became unexceptional once again — no longer the hidden secret to French colonial control, it became just another African state.
In a way, a farewell to the Bongos is a much-needed tonic for little Gabon. Most ordinary Gabonese never saw the results of so-called independence. Though Gabon gained a large middle class and a bechamel-thin class of super-rich elites, the majority of its population remained astonishingly poor. France continued to exploit the country as if it were a colony, in ways more pernicious and systematic than when it exercised real control. The loss of the dynasty that enabled huge funds to leak out of the oil-rich state and into a huge French slush fund seems like it only to be a good thing.
But it’s far from clear it is. What this latest coup means is highly ambiguous. Yes, it’s a clean break from a French-controlled dynast — but Bongo junior was already trying to move away from France anyway. And even that fact is highly contestable: the new leader of the military government of Gabon is none other than a cousin of Ali Bongo himself.
Perhaps this is typical. Gabon is a country whose recent history has been defined by secrecy —whose unassuming typicality gives it licence to hide the rhythms and patterns that govern its extraordinarily interesting and colourful political life. If there’s any conclusion we can draw from the recent coup, it is that that’s unlikely to change.
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SubscribeAnother remarkable vignette on the Ukraine war from David P. You courageously put yourself in harms way but take care so that those fingers can keep tapping out these reports for everyone’s enlightenment of the actual situation.
It’s a pity Unherd readers choose to comment on geopolitics instead of lauding the bravery of these people including that of the writer, and his front line insights.
Even worse, to downtick your comment, as will probably happen to this one. Two world wars is enough for Europe. No more wars and an end to the inscessant threats should be every European’s priorities. If it takes the US/Nato to achieve this then so be it since the EU has no capability, just weakness and divisions. The US is by far the lesser of the evils on the planet and Europe without their intervention in WW2 and rebuilding support would not be what it is today and for the last 70 years of prosperity.
War is the history of humanity. Until humans are extinct, or 100% of the population is controlled by a global dictator, there will be war.
Not during the vaunted ‘Pax Romana’ it must be said.
Although the writing is excellent and the scenes he describes are vivid, ALL war is hell, not just this one. Huge craters and toppled buildings are nothing new in war.
I’m struck by how much Nataliya seems to relish her role. It’s almost as if she might have been a miserable person until all this happened, which now gives her life meaning.
Remarkable insight into someone you don’t know and have never met.
You become speechless when you realize how little the Russians care for the Ukrainians. The parallels with the WW2 and the shelling back then send chills down your back. There seems to be a deliberate attempt at trying to either kill all Ukrainians or at least force them to flee and leave the country forever. That the Russian army still uses the same tactics of bombing first without discrimination is a sign that they don’t care much or respect anything. Human life isn’t valued high, culture and property even less.
The Russians have always been thus. The Germans had to have their bellicosity burned out of them, but there are a lot more Slavs. The future is uncertain. The neo-cons in the US want war to remove the Russian threat for good.
May I gently try to redirect the energy of this discussion, to honor the heroism of both the writer, who is striving to truthfully convey what he is seeing, and a different type of hero, Nataliya Zubar, who is fighting against great odds for justice that may never come. In a world in which most issues are far more complex than meets the eye, I think these two courageous people deserve our thanks.
Yes
As of 9th May official figures say there have been 3459 civilian deaths in the war in Ukraine.
According to a report on the BBC from May 2013 there were 461,000 deaths as a result of the US lead war in Iraq in which the UK and other western countries were involved.
ALL war is bad no matter who the aggressor is, and all lives are important no matter what skin colour they may have, what religion they are, or which continent they live on.
Can we not use diplomacy instead of guns.
“Can we not use diplomacy instead of guns”.
You should ask that of the 412 British MP’s who voted for the Iraq War, despite the farcical claims that the ‘Saddam Beast’ had WMD.
Additionally your comparative analysis of the casualties so far, show that Mr Putin is a rank amateur when it comes to killing, and particularly in comparison to Butchers such as Blair & Bush.
I am no expert but I suspect that the Bush-Blair partnership, with a sizeable contribution from Hilary Clinton and Obama, account for far more citizen deaths in the 21st century than Putin.
That is in no way a defence of Putin, definitely not, but is it not important to realise that a massive percentage of the world’s population does not see ‘the West’ as white knights coming to the rescue?
Is it right that we invade countries killing hundreds of thousands using shock and awe tactics (that is what we called it) when we disagree with them, or ‘suspect’ them of something, and yet criticise other countries for doing the same, but killing a small fraction of that number?
If Putin was wrong (and I think he is) then what do you call our invasions of Iraq, Libya and Afghanistan and why are our politicians and generals not facing charges of war crimes.
Duplication due to slow ‘flash to bang’.
Q “what do you call our invasions of Iraq, Libya and Afghanistan?”
A: Waging a war of aggression.’We’ executed both Keitel & Jodl*for such at Nuremberg in 1946.
(* German Field Marshals.)
(11.25 BST, Second attempt to answer your question.)
The Censor will NOT permit me to answer your erudite question.
11.29 BST.
Hallelujah! Reprieved at 12.13 BST
13.54 BST. I spoke too soon and the CENSOR has reconsidered. This is ridiculous is it not?
We all need Elon Musk.
How many deaths were directly caused by those nations though? I’m not defending the Iraq war, however most deaths were caused by the sectarian violence that was unleashed rather than the bombs and bullets of western nations, whereas all Ukrainian civilian deaths have been killed by Russian aggression
Butchers Bush & Blair knew full well that their completely unprovoked attack on the ‘Saddam Beast’ would unleash a sectarian blood bath that would emasculate Iraq for the foreseeable future.
It was/is all part of the narrative to remove a regional/ theatre power from the cauldron of Middle East politics, in the vain hope of bringing peace and stability to the area.*
None of this off course, exculpates that pillock Putin from his own murderous campaign in Ukraine.
(*Cui Bono?)
Hindsight is always 20/20. And relying on is pretty useless as an argument.
The moment I heard the wretched Bush say “Saddam did 9/11” I and millions of others knew this was a massive lie. Why didn’t you?
Here’s the statistics that appeared in a Guardian article.
• 14,705 (13%) of all documented civilian deaths were reported as being directly caused by the US-led coalition. The report notes that
Of the 4,040 civilian victims of US-led coalition forces for whom age data was available, 1,201 (29%) were children
• Over half of the civilian deaths caused by US-led coalition forces
occurred during the 2003 invasion and the sieges of Fallujah in 2004.
• Of the 45,779 victims for whom IBC was able to obtain age data, 3,911 (8.54%) were children under age 18.
14,705 (13%) of all documented civilian deaths were reported as being directly caused by the US-led coalition (which included the major involvement of the UK and at least 1,200 of those were children, possibly many more as we don’t know all the ages of those who died.
From the UK point of view it was worse than Suez but not quite up to Mau Mau standards.
Ukraine and the world are dealing with a mass psychosis created by Putin. He has de-humanized Ukrainians. And once that happens, Russians see virtually any war crime as acceptable, even laudable.
We must do everything possible to weaken and then destroy this regime.
Would you suggest continuing the war until there is a last man standing, or would you suggest negotiating a cessation of hostilities?
I’m afraid you are deluded in believing that there would be a lasting “cessation of hostilities”. The grievances would all be left in place and simply reactivated later by Putin (or some successor) at a time of their choosing when the Ukraine was less prepared and the West less motivated. It is better to address the root causes now.
Russian colonialism has left large ethnic Russian groups scattered across Ukraine, Moldova, the Baltic states, the Caucasus and the Central Asian states. A new Putin can always come along and try to exploit these just as Germany did in the late 1930s.
There is as an example a significant Hungarian minority in Western Ukraine. But Hungary has not invaded Ukraine.
The fact that all these countries have voluntarily joined NATO (or wish to) tells you everything you need to know about whether Russia is a good neighbour.
Kicking the can down the road as you suggest seems fundamentally immoral to me.
Peace treaties and (often difficult) negotiations have been and always will be part of conflict resolution. To take that off the table appears immoral to me – every day more and more people die. As dire as Putin is, the situation is complex as wars usually are. Unfortunately the US wants this war and too many people are making apologies for their behaviour.
‘The US wants this war’. Evidence? Why didn’t it choose to go to war with Russia then at numerous times over the past post-Soviet 30 years, when Russia was weaker than it now is? The US has huge problems which we discuss endlessly. There may be some parts of the ‘military-industrial’ complex that welcome selling expensive weapons, but US society is notably un-bellicose, perhaps even naively so. Only a minority of the population even say they would defend their own country from invasion. You can’t maintain that the US is simultaneously decadent and effete AND warlike.
The US elite – the swamp – are driven by money. A proxy war is perfect – the US do not want a war on their own turf. They pump money and arms into Ukraine and their politicians talk war on camera. The US don’t want to get their hands dirty, so yes, they are decadent, effete and warlike. You put it so well!
Correct, Biden is a corrupt moron, as is his son, and the wretched George W Bush Jnr before them!
Give us Donald Trump any day.
The American public has been primed to hate Russia over the past 20 years. Our elite ‘anti-Trump’ class has been pushing the Russia hate hard since 2015 – 2016. So much so that it’s now a meme – ‘everyone I dislike is a Russian agent’. You can’t understate how much our media and the antiTrumpers pushed the anti Russian rhetoric. It was just over the top how much Russia was used to disparage President Trump. So now if anyone calls for peace or cooler heads, it’s seen as heretical b/c ‘oh you love Trump and Putin’. There is no critical thinking going on about the consequences of escalating this conflict.
Also, we are large enough to have significant numbers in both the neo-cons and the ‘soyboy’ factions.
However, the fact is that the US isn’t pushing for a peace settlement tells us a lot about motives and intentions.
Why wait until now? You need opportunities and motive. You couldn’t convince the public if we were still in Afghanistan and Iraq that expanding those wars and going after Russia was a good idea.
However, a lot of our leadership has believed that we need to get rid of Putin and damn the consequences for 20 plus years. They tend to be very aggressive on this point during Presidential debates and in elections for other Federal offices. They assume we would win because we are ‘number one’ and exceptional’ and that we should be evangelists for democracy and freedom around the world and we should rule the world. If that isn’t evidence, I don’t know what is.
They can’t stop saying ‘we need to be more aggressive with Russia.’ Trump was a bit different in that he would actually talk to Putin and not try to bully him at every turn. He wasn’t a pushover, but he also made it clear that he wanted to avoid war with Russia. Most of our politicians simply don’t make similar statements.
Perhaps you should actually give proof that Biden, after the Afghanistan debacle, two years of Covid, and a recession, “wants this war.”
Yeah, I know they planned it all. They lured Putin into making totally unreasonable demands. They also knew that the Ukrainian army was much stronger that it looked. They then knew that Putin’s initial plan would fail. It was all a clever trap.
The US is all-knowing and all-powerful. That’s why they are still in control of Vietnam and Afghanistan.
It must be comforting to know that one can rely on a few certitudes in a world that has otherwise been very uncertain for, oh, 6000 or 8000 years at least.
See my comment above. Also might I add that Biden is patently senile (and corrupt), so why you suggest that he is making any decisions is laughable. He is well off the rails.
At this stage what is there to negotiate?
If someone kicks in the door of my house and takes over my living room and kitchen, you will presumably say “Stop trying to drive him from your house, stop fighting and negotiate!”
Negotiate about what? Do I let him keep my living room in return for him giving me access to my kitchen, that would be an acceptable outcome, would it?
Absurd.
It is unfortunate that some people argue without knowing anything about the subject, which seems to be the norm today. Everyone can have an opinion, but please make it an informed opinion.
When you say, “what is there to negotiate”, you completely ignore the last 10 years of warning from Putin about NATO encroachment to his Western borders. Even though I think Russian oppression is extremely wrong, and it would be wonderful if they suddenly reversed 1000 years of history, and accept the decadent western lifestyle, they have a right to govern as they see fit. There is nothing sudden about this war. Your analogy about someone suddenly kicking in your door is completely incorrect.
You are right that Russian expansion has not been sudden – we have had under Putin the brutal destruction of Grozny, Aleppo, the invasion of Crimea, the Donbass and now this full-scale invasion. An excuse for a war is not a reason, or at least not a ‘reasonable’ reason. NATO poses no threat to Russia, and Putin knows it. So far no one has risen to the challenge to explain the fundamental difference between Putin’s aggression over the past 20 years and Hitler’s in the 30’s. The same bogus grievances and hysterical attacks on the West and neighbouring countries (Poland provoked Nazi Germany, don’t you know?), combined with the belief that all Russian / German speakers must be brought into the empire (whether they want to or not).
The comment about ‘decadent Western lifestyle’ is firstly completely irrelevant, and secondly, laughable – most Russians in fact want to emulate such a lifestyle! I wonder just who ARE all these Russian plutocrats who love to live and shop in the West? Why don’t they prefer their own virile native culture?
Quite right.
NATO touches just 6% of Russias borders. However that will change as more nations look to get themselves under NATOs defence agreement due to Putins actions in Ukraine
Why are peace negotiations absurd? Take NATO off the table. Is your ‘acceptable solution’ that people fight until hundreds of thousands more are killed? That more cities are destroyed? That the situation escalates to nuclear? Ramp it up, why don’t you.
The idea is absurd because neither of the parties is ready to negotiate, and neither one believes he can get what he wants by means of negotiations — yet. That you disapprove of those positions is irrelevant.
“Ukraine rises again.”
Brings to mind the opening line of the Ukrainian national anthem: “Ukraine has not yet perished,” which apparently they ripped off from the Poles (“Poland has not yet perished”), nearly verbatim, in 1862. Both nations (fledgling Ukraine at the time was the territory of the Cossack-led Hetmanate) nearly disappeared as the Russian imperial monster marched ravenously westward in the late 18th century. Rather than succumbing to the seemingly inevitable however, a Ukrainian renaissance of sorts took place as literary figures – from, of all places, Kharkiv – spearheaded a romantic movement at the university there in 1805. A unique and formidable Ukrainian identity emerged as a result of the later work of Taras Shevchenko and Mykola Kostomarov.
In the decades following, there has been no end to Russia’s attempts to exterminate Ukrainian identity, language and culture. But they will only fail miserably, again. And that steel trident will rise once more from the ashes.
I’ve been to Russia twice and Ukraine a number of times, and my wife is from western Ukraine. Having spent some time in all of the cities in what are now warzones in past years .. Odessa, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Kiev, Sumy, the indelible fact is that a) Ukraine is a progressive country going in a positive direction in terms of standards of living and quality of life. Russia, less so. There is a definitive cultural distinction between the two countries, their languages and cultures having diverged more than 800 years ago. This all flies in the face of Putin and his so-called “research” and allegations that Ukrainians are really all “ethnic Russians” who need to be re-enfolded in Russia’s cold embrace. Bullshit.
Moreover .. Russia has by now fully demonstrated its ineptitude and lack of military prowess. Putin isn’t going to use nukes. The rest of the world – particularly Europe – needs to grow a set of testicles by accepting the loss of Russian petrol and start throwing up as many sanctions as possible against Russia and start sending as much money, arms, and other aid to Ukraine. And not today. Yesterday. The world needs to start thinking in terms of saving Ukrainian lives. Not only it’s young soldiers, but it’s women and children, slaughtered by the crimes that Putin and his Russia have assaulted.
There’s a lot of talk here about how the Russians don’t seem to care how many Ukrainians they kill, but they have always been this way about their own, also. Peter the Great got an estimated 100,000 conscripted laborers — effectively slaves — killed during the construction of his new capital, St. Petersburg, due to the atrocious working conditions. In WW2 the USSR beat Nazi Germany on the eastern front, but at a cost of three times the number of military dead that the Germans lost. I once read a WW2 discussion about clearing minefields between a Russian officer and an Allied one, who was describing the ‘flailing’ tanks that used chains to set off the mines: “We don’t bother with that,” the Russian said. “We just march a punishment company through it.” And as to the Ukrainians’ attitude toward the Russians — there is little mention of this in the western press, but part of their present motivation must be their recollection of the millions killed by Stalin’s food confiscations in the early 1930s.
This woman looks and sounds like a real Karen.
Which woman, Lesley van Reenen or Heelay Khan?
Looking back on the wars of history – Crimean, Napoleonic, Hundreds Year War, Wars of the Roses – they were fought by armies on battlefields most of the time.
Now in modern warfare the destruction of cities is typical, the attempt to wipe out the enemy’s ability to function as a nation – Warsaw, Dresden, Nagasaki, Grozny, Aleppo and Mosul. It can work for a time, but it is mostly unsuccessful, cities can be repaired and rebuilt, flourish again, if the people survive.
But meanwhile Putin’s punishment of Ukraine (that’s how it seems to me) continues, it could go on for a long time yet, and we need to face the fact that the West is prolonging it. Is it doing that for the right reasons ?
Historical Context:
“Hitler’s punishment of Britain continues, it could go on for a long time yet, and we need to face the fact that the US is prolonging it. Is it doing that for the right reasons ?”
I cannot accept your equivalence of Putin with Hitler. Perhaps you would like to put forward an evidence based argument to support your idea. I suggest you bear in mind Mein Kampf.
What rock have you been living under? His diatribe last year along the lines of the racial purity of Russians, and the filth that oppose him?
Which diatribe are you referring to ? Details please so I can look it up and read it.
You’re not Linda Hutchinson reincarnated by any chance are you?
If you mean the commenter on these pages sometimes then I’m flattered, she often writes very good comments, but no, we are two different people.
Rudeness on comments pages is always cover for a lack of any real argument.
I have waited two days for evidence of this Putin “diatribe” of yours. None so far, apart from another commenter offering something from Twitter (!) and a rant in the Russian equivalent of the Daily Mail by a journalist.
I can only conclude that this diatribe exists nowhere but in your imagination.
Challenge accepted. There is no free press in Russia. How is your Russian? If good, here you go.
If not, here is a translation of the above RIA Novosti article. Here is a nice juicy snippet.
Yes, this is an official state media mouthpiece calling for the literal extermination of Ukraine’s intelligentsia. The Russian Z-movement are indistinguishable from Nazis.
Horrifying if true.
But it’s been done before. Poland during WWII (mainly by the Russians), entire history of the Soviet Union on their own people. Chinese cultural revolution. Pol Pot. I guess there’s some historical form here.
It appears from the “de-Europeanisation” talk that they (Putin’s outfit) don’t think of themselves as European any more. Just a small country [by population and economy] in Asia then …
Twitter is not my idea of a reliable news source.
I’m still waiting for Putin’s “diatribe” from “last year”.
Perhaps some are too ready to believe what they want to believe.
Ok, both invaded their neighbours under the pretext of looking out for minorities in those countries. Both control counties that had fallen from past glories, and have ruthlessly removed any dissenting voices leaving a one man/party state where the populace is fed almost nothing but state backed propaganda. Both seem happy to allow their military to destroy whole cities of civilians to try and scare the opposing nation into submission, as we saw in the blitz and Russias constant shelling. There’s a few examples off the top of my head
Yes.
It’s not sorted until the bad neighbour either reforms his ways or is defeated or weakened sufficiently that this does not happen again.
This is all the responsibility of Russia and Putin. Stop trying to blame the West.
Putin’s attitude really does seem to be that if he can’t have Ukraine, he’ll just trash the place so no one else can.
You think the West are blameless? You don’t think the US is fighting a war with Russia? I would suggest that one side is waging a proxy war.
If we are it is because Putin has made that necessary.
We didn’t invade the Ukraine. Or Poland in 1939. The Russians did both. They still lie to their own people about what they did in 1939 in Poland. They lied about Katyn for decades.
Until the Russians stop lying to themselves about history and maintain their lingering colonialist attitude and victim mindset the problems will persist. It’s almost as if they live with a collective mental delusion. They’ll keep making the same mistakesand continue being a threat to their neighbours until they recognise this and get it treated.
I have seen video footage of Pelosi and some other Dem politicians announcing nothing other than fight to the death war talk. Surely the responsible thing to do would be to negotiate an end to this?
How can you negotiate with someone who is a professional liar and you cannot trust ? What is the point ?
We have to play the cards we have been dealt. Yes, there was some very inept US and EU meddling in Ukraine starting around 10-15 years ago. But the root causes of this conflict were always there – the fundamental incompatibility of Ukraine wanting to move away from Russian dominance towards the West and Russia’s inability to accept reality.
Russia needs to get real. It’s not a major world power any more.
There are clearly no votes for US politicians in going soft on Russia right now. That’s just how it is. Russia should have known this.
Perhaps Russia cannot be described as a world power in the same way as it was in Soviet Union days but China is a friendly super power on its eastern border
That should not be forgotten by the US..
It is up to the Ukrainians whether to negotiate, not for others to negotiate over their heads as you are suggesting.
Actually the war talk footage I’ve seen was with Zelensky in the room.
But is it really up to the Ukrainians? From the rhetoric coming out of America and the massive amount of money (another $40 billion just announced) and weapons being shipped into the country it looks and sounds like someone else is pulling the strings.
If the Ukrainians don’t want to fight then they could turn down the aid package. Ultimately the Americans are simply responding to the Ukrainians plea for help, and if it weakens Putin doing so no doubt they’ll see that as a massive bonus
You answered it yourself. “If it weakens Putin doing so no doubt they’ll see that as a massive bonus”.
America aren’t doing this because they’re the white knights … the good guys … the super heroes out of a Marvel movie.
America has a reason for doing everything it does, whether it be oil, arms sales, profit from rebuilding (hugely profitable, which is why they like shock and awe destruction tactics), control of supply lines, or simply power and the ability to maintain their superpower status.
Their aim IS the ‘massive bonus’ you speak of Billy Bob.
The Washington elite don’t give a rusty dime for Ukraine or Ukrainians, or Iraqis or Libyans or Afghanis, or Syrians or the Vietnamese.
And I hate to break it to you, but not does Boris Johnson.
How very naive.
That rhetoric on behalf of the Dems shows just how craven and depraved they are to risk a world war simply to take America’s attention away from the misery that we are facing today with inflation and CRT.
Alas, it seems many people prefer the threat of nuclear Armageddon than giving diplomacy a chance. Where’s today’s answer to John Lennon when you need them.
Read some of the bloodthirsty comments on the thread above. These men believe in no negotiations and fighting till the last man drops and the last city is levelled.
You’re silly beyond redemption. Whether these Unherd commenters believe in negotiations or not is beside the point. What does count is whether the belligerents, Russia and Ukraine, are ready to negotiate and come to a settlement — but so far they are NOT. Obviously Russia did not think Ukraine would willingly roll over and accede to its demands, so it attacked. And for their part, the Ukrainians saw no need to sue for peace as long as they were able to give a good account of themselves. Yes, a lot of lives are lost in the process, but walking around with picket signs saying “Make Peace, Not War” won’t fix that.
With the conclusion of the Afghan fiasco and The War on Terror (Islam) in general, US Defence Industries really do need another war to satisfy their investors.Now ‘they’ve got one’! Yippee! (we’re all going to die!)
QED?
I have often wondered just why the US seems to keep its military so regularly engaged in overseas adventures. One possibility of course is the need for regular “kit testing” – if you develop as much advanced military technology as the US does, it’s certainly helpful to get some real world testing done.
I’m not suggesting this is the sole reason for US behaviour. But it’s certainly a pull factor.
We can also see from Russia’s catastrophic performance in Ukraine exactly what happens if you don’t keep your military in good shape. But that’s also what autocracy and corruption does for you.
It’s certainly looking like the Russian defence industry is going to be a huge loser from Ukraine and Western companies will be winners (regardless of how the conflict now plays out).
Couldn’t agree more. For far too long Russia has basked in the glory of the T34 & the AK 47, whereas most of their stuff is rubbish.
For the USA the chance of a little “live firing” whist pursuing its political agenda is not to be sniffed at.
For ourselves, the thirty year nano-war in Northern Ireland, coming as it did just after Aden, was a godsend for the training of young commanders and soldiers alike, and a massive relief from the monotony of BAOR.
That’s not very potty trained, where did you go to school?
Just out of curiosity what precisely has annoyed you?
The West/Nato is clearly partially to blame for this war, for many reasons. Anyone who looks at this conflict as Russian/Putin = evil Ukraine/Zelensky/Nato = the good guys, has not considered the wider historical prelude to the actual start of this conflict in 2013/14. Nato does not have any moral authority at all. Just look at its behaviour in Libya, Iraq and Syria.
Ancient Rome destroyed both Carthage and Corinth in 146BC*.
(* 607 AUC.)
For the right reasons? Seems that Autocratic Bureaucracies like Russia only thrive in the absence of a middle class. The Ukraine War recognises the threat (to Russia) of this emerging Ukrainian middle class. Historically Mongols and Turks stifled any expanding middle class (to the East of Poland) that flourished throughout the West. Right reasons may include prolonging conflict (sorry – War) providing an expanding and heroic Ukrainian middle class time to entrench the heroism of their identity in founding the principles of their post war nation State.
Thank you for your intelligent reply, that’s interesting.
The Ukrainians are the ones who should decide. The West is helping them to defend themselves. It is not prolonging the war.
It’s prolonging the slaughter is it not? Or have you missed that irritating detail?
Prolonging? What is the alternative to prolonging? The longer it goes, the more Ukraine has in bargaining power. Both countries bleed but Ukraine has the West behind it, so in a war of attrition Russia will bleed out first.
If you think pitched battle was mainly what warfare was about in the past, I suggest you look up the word “chevauchée”.
Historical context:
Jerusalem was leveled in 70 AD by the Romans so that “not one stone was left upon another.”
Which part of “most of the time” do people not understand ?
There have been thousands of wars, of course towns and cities have been laid waste before. But these picky little replies to my comment, interesting as some of them may be, are missing the point -: that destroying cities is now the priority in modern warfare for the reasons I have outlined. And I am not the only one to think so: https://www.mwi.usma.edu/destructive-age-urban-warfare-kill-city-protect/
As it richly deserved, it must be said.
You seem to believe that cities were rarely attacked during wars of the past. That is simply ludicrous. Attacks on cities occurred in most wars of the past, they were very destructive, and they were the reason why so many were built like fortresses. For surviving examples, go visit Langres and Carcassonne in France, Brugge in Belgium, Rothenburg in Germany, along with many others throughout the Low Countries. When outright attacks failed, starvation by siege was the fallback strategy, and there’s no need to dwell on what happened once the city capitulated. Go read some history.
You’ve missed the point, I suggest you read my reply to Warren T just above and click on the link for the fact based evidence which supports my point.
Hmmm … When I click on your link for your “fact-based evidence” I get a warning not to go there; it’s unsafe, though I don’t know why. So I’ll just stick to my view that targeting cities is nothing new, one obvious reason being that, in contrast to the surrounding countryside, cities were the places that controlled the sort of substantial resources that could be most useful to conquerors.
That’s odd, I wonder are you in the US ? and if so, why would the US want to prevent you from checking out the Modern War Institute at Westpoint website, which is where my link should take you ? it takes me there just fine, I’m in the UK. Seems unlikely there should be a problem.
The essay in question is ‘The Destructive Age of Urban Warfare: or, How to Kill a City and How to Protect it’ by John Spencer, Chair of Urban Warfare Studies at MWI, https://mwi.usma.edu/staff/john-spencer/
Try getting to the Modern War Institute website and then searching for the essay from there, it’s well worth reading. Best of luck.
Perhaps the Ukrainian govt should have considered this when they started systematically destroying Luhansk, Donetsk and every village around 8 years ago.
what goes around comes around.
Don’t say that! Or ‘they’ will Chuck you off the site!
You mean the ones illegally taken by Russian special forces, sorry I mean “volunteers”?